• 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2010.04a
• /
• pp.70-70
• /
• 2010

이 연구의 목적은 귀추적 탐구 방법과 관련된 전략들을 적용하여 지구온난화에 관련되어 측정된 다양한 유형의 데이터를 관련된 사실, 원리, 법칙, 선행 연구 결과 등을 토대로 지구통합적인 관점과 지구계를 구성하는 요소들 간의 상호작용과 영향을 중심으로 재해석하고 이해하는 것이다. 지구과학(지구시스템과학)의 학문 성격, 최근 동향, 본성 및 탐구 대상의 특성에 대한 내용과 지구과학의 본질적 속성에 잘 부합하는 귀추적 탐구 방법에 대해 학습한 후, 학생들은 인천 및 다양한 지역의 기상과 해양 자료 분석을 통하여 관찰되는 현상(결과)의 원인과 영향을 파악하는 연구 활동을 하였다. 이 과정에서 귀추적 탐구를 충분히 이해할 수 있도록, 과학 탐구에서 귀추적 탐구 방법을 사용하는 과학자들의 예시와 모의 활동을 통하여, 귀추적 탐구 방법에 사용되는 다양한 사고 전략(예, 데이터의 재구성 전략, 유추 전략, 개념적 결합 전략 등)에 대한 예시를 경험하였다. 학생들은 지구온난화에 관련되어 나타나는 현상(조사된 사항 포함)과 영향에 대해 지구시스템적으로 이해하고 재해석하기 위해 지구시스템을 구성하는 요소(예, 수권, 대기권)와 관련된 데이터 정보를 검색하고 수집하였다. 1) 지구시스템과 지구온난화에 대한 조사하고, 2) 지구온난화 및 기후변화의 변동성 확인한 후, 3) 지구온난화와 관련된 선행 연구 결과 분석하였다. 또한, 지구과학의 본질적 속성에 잘 부합하는 귀추적 탐구 방법의 이해와 적용하는 과정에서 1) 지구 온난화 및 기후 변화의 실태 파악하고, 2) 인천 지역의 월별, 계절별 기온 변화 분석 및 경향 조사(탐색: 연구문제 규명)한 후, 3) 인천과 속초 지역의 기온, 수온의 변화 추이 및 분석 (조사: 원인 조사 과정)하였다. 4) 속초 지역의 평균해면기압변화 추이 및 분석한 후, 그 결과를 토대로 5) 문헌조사 및 선행연구 결과 분석을 통한 지구 온난화의 영향을 미치는 요인 재검토 및 확인(선택 및 설명)하여, 6) 인천지역과 속초지역의 지구온난화 원인 분석 및 문제점 보완(설명)하기 위해 7) 겨울철 지구온난화가 더 심각한지 부산지역과 포항지역의 자료 분석을 통하여 연구 결과 내용의 보완 (추가 조사 및 설명)한 후, 8) 분석 결과 및 해석 내용을 전문가와 상담 실시하였다. 이 연구는 연구를 진행하면서 얻은 결과를 교육적 측면에서 다시 정리해 보면 다음과 같다. 우선, 학생들의 지구환경적 문제 해결 과정에서 귀추적 탐구 방법을 활용한 문제 해결 능력을 향상시켰다. 아울러, 지구과학의 탐구 본성, 최근 동향, 탐구대상의 특성 등의 학습을 통해 지구과학도로서의 기본적인 소양과 자질 향상에 기여하였으며, 사회과학의 연구방법을 순수과학연구에 접목하여 과학자로서의 문제해결 능력과 시스템 사고력을 향상시켰다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.54 no.2
• /
• pp.105-119
• /
• 2021

An increase in the frequency and intensity of both floods and droughts has been recently observed due to an increase in climate variability. Especially, land-use change associated with industrial structure and urbanization has led to an imbalance between water supply and demand, acting as a constraint in water resource management. Accurate rainfall-runoff analysis plays a critical role in evaluating water availability in the water budget analysis. This study aimed to explore various continuous rainfall-runoff models over the Soyanggang dam watershed. Moreover, the ensemble modeling framework combining multiple models was introduced to present scenarios on streamflow considering uncertainties. In the ensemble modeling framework, rainfall-runoff models with fewer parameters are generally preferred for effective regionalization. In this study, more than 40 continuous rainfall-runoff models were applied to the Soyanggang dam watershed, and nine rainfall-runoff models were primarily selected using different goodness-of-fit measures. This study confirmed that the ensemble model showed better performance than the individual model over different flow regimes.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2016.05a
• /
• pp.281-281
• /
• 2016

기후변화로 인한 기상학적 자연재해로부터 대비하고 안정적인 용수공급을 위해 유역의 다양한 수문 요소들에 대한 분석 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 계절적 강수량의 편차가 큰 우리나라는 유역 통합 물관리가 중요하며, 효율적 수자원 관리와 물안보 확보를 위해 유역내 물순환을 이해하는 것이 중요하다. 유역의 유출을 결정하는 요소들에는 강우, 증발산량, 토양 수분 및 지하수 등이 있으며, 시간적으로는 홍수와 같이 단기에 발생하는 유출과 장기적으로 발생하는 유출이 있다. 장기 유출은 단기 유출에 비해 토양내 수분량이 무시할 수 없을 정도로 영향을 미치게 되므로, 1년 이상의 장기 유출 해석을 위해서는 강우가 발생하지 않는 기간 동안의 토양 수분량 변화와 증발산 영향을 고려할 필요가 있다. K-water에서 자체 개발된 분포형 장단기유출 모델인 K-DRUM은 유역을 격자(grid)단위로 구분하고 각 셀들에 대한 매개변수는 흐름방향도, 표고분포도, 토지이용도, 토지피복도 등을 GIS처리하여 일괄 입력할 수 있도록 함으로써 매개변수 산정과정에서 문제가 되는 경험적인 요인을 제거하였다. 흐름의 구분은 얕은면 흐름, 지표하 흐름, 지하수 흐름으로 구분하여 운동파법과 선형저류법을 적용하였다. 또한 초기 토양함수 자동보정기법으로 실제의 기저유출량을 재현하여 전체적인 유출모의 정확도를 높였으며, FAO-56 Penman-Monteith법을 적용한 증발산량 산정모듈과 Sugawara et al.(1984)이 제안한 개념적 융설 및 적설모듈을 추가하였다. K-DRUM모형을 이용한 유출분석은 용담댐 시험유역을 대상으로 2013년도 1년간의 유출모의를 수행하였다. 입력자료는 용담댐 유역의 지형, 토양 및 토지특성 정보와 시단위 강우 및 기상정보(온도, 바람, 일사 등)를 활용하였다. 분석 결과, 총 관측유출량은 7,151 ㎥/s이고 총 계산유출량 $8,257m^3/s$이며, 관측유출량 대비 계산유출량은 약 115% 정도로 나타났다. 연간 총 강우량은 1303.5 mm로 유역면적 약 $930km^2$을 적용하여 유역 총 강우량을 산정하면 $14,030m^3/s$로서 관측유출량은 유역 총 강우량 대비 51%이고 계산유출량은 59% 정도로 나타났다. 즉 유역 유출율은 약 51% 수준으로 보통의 유역과 유사한 수준이다. 관측된 토양수분량과 K-DRUM 모형의 계산된 토양수분량을 비교하기 위하여 관측 토양수분량의 비율을 이용하여 비교하였다. 모의결과 토양수분은 강우에 의해 변화하며, 관측결과와 유사한 형태로 나타남을 알 수 있었다.

• Archives of design research
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.355-364
• /
• 2003

The TUI system Modeling Language(TML) developed in this research can be used for designing TUI system with concerning about TUI's characters. For design to be concerned about physical property of tangibles and control device and digital media, TML can be a framework to give a definition of each property and be used for designing action and reaction process separately. And it would be the guideline to represent interaction's dynamic property through showing parallel information flows among objects. Finally, for verification TML's suitability, TUI system to which TML was applied was developed.

• Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
• /
• v.25 no.1
• /
• pp.39-50
• /
• 2006

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of metacognitive strategy on conceptual acquisition ofvseasonal change and self-efficacy when it was applied to 6th grade elementary students. This study consists of 2 classes, 76 students in the 6th grade of elementary school, which were divided into the experimental group (38) and the control group (38). First, a pre-test was administrated to check students' levels of metacognitive self-regulation and self-efficacy prior to getting planned lessons and then an instruction program was developed based upon the metacognitive instruction model and students' conception. The control group was exposed to traditional methods mainly using the textbook and teacher's guide book. The experimental group employed a metacognitive learning strategy program and activities with metacognitive questionnaires. After the planned lessons, the students were tested with post-tests about the conception of seasonal change and self-efficacy. One month later the students were tested again with another test to determine the continuation effect. The results were as follows: First, the group that used metacognitive conceptual change instruction did better in forming and continuing to maintain the scientific seasonal change conceptions compared to the control group. Second, the high and intermediate group taught by metacognitive conceptual change instruction was higher in the level of self-regulation than the control group. However, it was not verified in the low group. Third, the group which used metacognitive conceptual change instruction showed a higher level of self-efficacy than the control group did.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.34 no.5
• /
• pp.473-486
• /
• 2001

The WGR model was developed to represent meso-scale precipitation. As a conceptual model, this model shows a good link between atmospheric dynamics and statistical description of meso-scale precipitation(Waymire et al., 1984). However, as it has maximum 18 parameters along with its non-linear structure, its parameter estimation has been remained a difficult problem. There have been several cases of its parameter estimation for different fields using non-linear programming techniques(NLP), which were also difficult tasks to hamper its wide applications. In this study, we estimated the WGR model parameters of the Han river basin using the genetic algorithm(GA) and compared them to the NLP results(Yoo and Kwon, 2000). As a result of the study, we can find that the sum of square error from the GA provide more consistent parameters to the seasonal variation of rainfall. Also, we can find that the higher rainfall amount during summer season is closely related with the arrival rate of rain bands, not the rain cell intensity.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
• /
• v.11 no.2
• /
• pp.45-55
• /
• 2006

A 2-D unconfined flow model is developed to analyze annual variations of groundwater level and bank filtration rate (BFR) for an experimental riverbank filtration site in Koryeong, Korea. Two types of boundary conditions are examined for the river boundary in the conceptual model: the static head condition that uses the average water level of the river and the dynamic cyclic condition that incorporates annual fluctuation of water level. Simulations show that the estimated BFR ranges $74.3{\sim}87.0%$ annually with the mean of 82.4% for the static head boundary condition and $52.7{\sim}98.1%$ with the mean of 78.5% for the dynamic cyclic condition. The results illustrate that the dynamic cyclic condition should be used for accurate evaluation of BFR. Simulations also show that increase of the distance between the river and the pumping wells slightly decreases BFR up to 4%, and thereby indicate that it is not a critical factor to be accounted for in designing BFR of the bank filtration system. A sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the effects of model parameters such as hydraulic conductivity and specific yield of the aquifer, recharge rate, and pumping rate. The results demonstrate that the average groundwater level and BFR are most sensitive to both the pumping rate and the recharge rate, while the water level of the pumping wells is sensitive to the hydraulic conductivity and the pumping rate.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.47-56
• /
• 2020

Decline of pine forests happens in Korea due to various disturbances such as insect pests, forest fires and extreme climate, which may further continue with ongoing climate change. For conserving and reestablishing pine forests, understanding climate-induced future shifts of pine tree distribution is a critical concern. This study predicts future geographical distribution of Pinus densiflora, using Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt). Input data of the model are locations of pine tree stands and their environmental variables such as climate were prepared for the model inputs. Alternative future projections for P. densiflora distribution were conducted with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. As results, the future distribution of P. densiflora steadily decreased under both scenarios. In the case of RCP 8.5, the areal reductions amounted to 11.1% and 18.7% in 2050s and 2070s, respectively. In 2070s, P. densiflora mainly remained in Kangwon and Gyeongsang Provinces. Changes in temperature seasonality and warming winter temperature contributed primarily for the decline of P. densiflora., in which altitude also exerted a critical role in determining its future distribution geographic vulnerability. The results of this study highlighted the temporal and spatial contexts of P. densiflora decline in Korea that provides useful ecological information for developing sound management practices of pine forests.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.38 no.5
• /
• pp.437-442
• /
• 2014

Ocean Literacy is an understanding of the ocean's influence on you and your influence on the ocean. This research developed the 7 ocean education model courses using ocean literacy based on the analysis of ocean education programs which executed 23 agencies in Busan. These model courses are combined in the type of indoor theory, indoor experience, field study and field experience. Also, this makes the guide map for ocean education in a 76cm*56cm size to distinguish and choose the course easily. This map is the format combined in geological location and tourist attraction spots in Busan, includes education centers, contents, lead time and so on, and it is possible for educatees to handle their preference and seasonality elastically. This map including ocean education model course is a milestone to activate ocean education, and is helpful to reach the goal of ocean education and to lead ocean professionals. In addition, this research presents the development of teaching materials, training aids to complement the weakness of indoor education, the development of cyber education through making video contents as the activation measures of ocean education.

• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
• /
• v.4
• /
• pp.141-153
• /
• 1986

This study intends to document the existing cyclical fluctuations of garic and onion price at farm gate level during the period of 1966-1986 in Korea. The existing patterns of such cyclical fluctuations were estimated systematically by removing the seasonal fluctuation and irregular movement as well as secular trend from the original price through the moving average method. It was found that the cyclical fluctuations of garic and onion prices repeated six and seven times respectively during the same period, also the amplitude coefficient of cyclical fluctuations showed speed up in recent years. It was noticed that the cyclical fluctuations of price in onion was higher than that of in garic.