• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계수 추정

Search Result 3,012, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

A Study on the Identification Method for Flutter Derivatives of Bridge Girders using Displacement Time History Data (변위 시계열 데이터를 이용한 교량거더의 Flutter 계수 추정기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae Hyung;Min, Won;Lee, Yong Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.525-533
    • /
    • 2001
  • The wind resistant design of long-span bridges has urged a special attention to the prevention of the flutter occurrence Therefore calculation of flutter derivatives is indispensable to this prediction. A used system identification method must identify all the flutter derivatives from noisy experimental data In this paper MITD(Modified Ibrahim Tim Domain) method and AKF (Adaptive Kalman Filter) method are applied to extract flutter derivatives from section-model tests. The robustness and reliability of proposal SI methods under a high signal-to-noise ratio is demonstrated through numerical simulation for windtunnel test.

  • PDF

Impact Assessment of Spatial Resolution of Radar Rainfall and a Distributed Hydrologic Model on Parameter Estimation (레이더 강우 및 분포형 수문모형의 공간해상도가 매개변수 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Shin Woo;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1443-1454
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, we assess impact of spatial resolution of radar rainfall and a distributed hydrologic model on parameter estimation and rainfall-runoff response. Radar data measured by S-band polarimetric radar located at Mt. Bisl in the year of 2012 are used for the comparative study. As different rainfall estimates such as R-KDP, R-Z, and R-ZDR show good agreement with ground rainfall, R-KDP are applied for rainfall-runoff modeling due to relatively high accuracy in terms of catchment averaged and gauging point rainfall. GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model) is implemented for flood simulations at the Geumho River catchment with spatial resolutions of 200m, 500m, and 1000m. Automatic calibration is performed by PEST (model independent parameter estimation tool) to find suitable parameters for each spatial resolution. For 200m resolution, multipliers of overlandflow and soil hydraulic conductivity are estimated within stable ranges, while high variations are found from results for 500m and 1000m resolution. No tendency is found in the estimated initial soil moisture. When parameters estimated for different spatial resolution are applied for other resolutions, 200m resolution model shows higher sensitivity compared to 1000m resolution model.

Stream Discharge Estimation by Hydraulic Channel Routing and Stage Measurement (수위관측과 수리학적 하도추적에 의한 하천유량 간접추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Gang, Sin-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.543-549
    • /
    • 2001
  • This research estimated stream discharges indirectly by hydraulic channel routing. Only stage data from three stage stations and river cross section data were used to estimate Manning roughness coefficients and to compute stream discharges. When the discharges were estimated a stage-stage set of conditions was used for upstream-downstream boundary conditions. The research used the data from the upper Mississippi River. The hydraulic channel routings were performed by DWOPER (operational dynamic wave model). The global optimization program of SCE-UA was used to improve the roughness coefficient estimation module of the modified Newton-Raphson method in DWOPER. The results from SCE-US were better. For the case study of a flood, most estimated discharges except a few show errors within 10%.

  • PDF

The Research of Velocity Estimation Method in Pipe Pumping for Slurry Transportation (슬러리 이송을 위한 관내 유속 추정 방법 연구)

  • Kwon, Seunghee;Jeong, Soonyong;Kim, Yuseung
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.21-32
    • /
    • 2014
  • This Research have suggested the new estimation method using parameter estimation algorithm to substitute established velocity and friction factor calculation equation. Established calculation equation has some difficulties for estimation and reflecting exactly flow specification cause parameter uncertainty and material uncertainty governed real phenomenon, so this research has used system modeling method for flow specification estimation and suggested estimation method.

Impact of Heterogeneous Dispersion Parameter on the Expected Crash Frequency (이질적 과분산계수가 기대 교통사고건수 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.9
    • /
    • pp.5585-5593
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study tested the hypothesis that the significance of the heterogeneous dispersion parameter in safety performance function (SPF) used to estimate the expected crashes is affected by the endogenous heterogeneous prior distributions, and analyzed the impacts of the mis-specified dispersion parameter on the evaluation results for traffic safety countermeasures. In particular, this study simulated the Poisson means based on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters and estimated the SPFs using both the negative binomial (NB) model and the heterogeneous negative binomial (HNB) model for analyzing the impacts of the model mis-specification on the mean and dispersion functions in SPF. In addition, this study analyzed the characteristics of errors in the crash reduction factors (CRFs) obtained when the two models are used to estimate the posterior means and variances, which are essentially estimated through the estimated hyper-parameters in the heterogeneous prior distributions. The simulation study results showed that a mis-estimation on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters through the NB model does not affect the coefficient of the mean functions, but the variances of the prior distribution are seriously mis-estimated when the NB model is used to develop SPFs without considering the heterogeneity in dispersion. Consequently, when the NB model is used erroneously to estimate the prior distributions with heterogeneous dispersion parameters, the mis-estimated posterior mean can produce large errors in CRFs up to 120%.

Calibration of a Network Link Travel Cost Function with the Harmony Search Algorithm (화음탐색법을 이용한 교통망 링크 통행비용함수 정산기법 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun Myung;Hwang, Yong Hwan;Yang, In Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.71-82
    • /
    • 2012
  • Some previous studies adopted a method statistically based on the observed traffic volumes and travel times to estimate the parameters. Others tried to find an optimal set of parameters to minimize the gap between the observed and estimated traffic volumes using, for instance, a combined optimization model with a traffic assignment model. The latter is frequently used in a large-scale network that has a capability to find a set of optimal parameter values, but its appropriateness has never been demonstrated. Thus, we developed a methodology to estimate a set of parameter values of BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function using Harmony Search (HS) method. HS was developed in early 2000, and is a global search method proven to be superior to other global search methods (e.g. Genetic Algorithm or Tabu search). However, it has rarely been adopted in transportation research arena yet. The HS based transportation network calibration algorithm developed in this study is tested using a grid network, and its outcomes are compared to those from incremental method (Incre) and Golden Section (GS) method. It is found that the HS algorithm outperforms Incre and GS for copying the given observed link traffic counts, and it is also pointed out that the popular optimal network calibration techniques based on an objective function of traffic volume replication are lacking the capability to find appropriate free flow travel speed and ${\alpha}$ value.

Stock Assessment and Management of Turban shell, Turbo (Batillus) cornutus Lightfoot, 1786 in Jeju Coastal waters, Korea (제주도산 소라 Turbo (Batillus) cornutus Lightfoot, 1786의 자원평가 및 관리방안 연구)

  • Kwon, Dae-Hyeon;Chang, Dae-Soo;Lee, Seung-Jong;Koo, Jun-Ho;Kim, Byung-Yeob
    • The Korean Journal of Malacology
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.291-296
    • /
    • 2010
  • Samples of Turbo (Batillus) cornutus Lightfoot, 1786 in Jeju Island were collected from September 2009 to May 2010. Population ecological parameters and stock assessment of the turban shell were determined, based on the length and age composition data from 2000 to 2009 and ecological parameters. Instantaneous coefficient of total mortality (Z) of turban shell was estimated to be 2.2062/year. The estimated instantaneous coefficient of natural mortality (M) was 0.874/year. The age of turban shell at its first capture ($t_c$) was 2.636 year. Yield-per-recruit were estimated under harvest strategies that based on $F_{max}$, $F_{0.1}$, $F_{35%}$, and $F_{40%}$ was 10.44 g, 1.87 g, 6.53 g and 7.46 g.

Estimation of Inbreeding Coefficients and Effective Population Size in Breeding Bulls of Hanwoo (Korean Cattle) (한우 씨수소의 근교계수와 유효집단크기의 추정)

  • Dang, Chang-Gwon;Lee, Jung-Jae;Kim, Nae-Soo
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.53 no.4
    • /
    • pp.297-302
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study was carried out to estimate average inbreeding coefficients, relatedness and effective population size of breeding bulls and to suggest optimal alternatives on problems of current Hanwoo improvement system. Data on proven and young bulls were obtained from 1,128 heads of Livestock Improvement Main Center from 1983 to 2008. Pedigree information on proven and young bulls was obtained from 3,760 heads of Korea Animal Improvement Association. Average inbreeding coefficients and average relatedness of proven and young bulls were estimated at the range of 0.04-0.07%, 0.10-6.82%, respectively. Effective population size was estimated for 220 heads from the average rate of inbreeding of last 26 years. Average inbreeding coefficient is rising rapidly for the last two years as well as average relatedness. Effective population size was estimated for 47 heads for the last five years. These results suggest that selection criteria of proven bulls should include not only genetic evaluation of carcass performance from progeny-test, but also inbreeding and relationship coefficients, in order to maintain genetic variability of Hanwoo. In addition, effective population size should be increased by increasing the number of proven bulls.

Parameter Estimation of a Distributed Hydrologic Model using Parallel PEST: Comparison of Impacts by Radar and Ground Rainfall Estimates (병렬 PEST를 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 매개변수 추정: 레이더 및 지상 강우 자료 영향 비교)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Yun-Seok;Choi, Cheon-Kyu;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.46 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1041-1052
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this study, we estimate parameters of a distributed hydrologic model, GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model), using a model-independent parameter estimation tool, PEST. We implement auto calibration of model parameters such as initial soil moisture, multipliers of overland roughness and soil hydraulic conductivity in the Geumho River Catchment and the Gamcheon Catchment using radar rainfall estimates and ground-observed rainfall represented by Thiessen interpolation. Automatic calibration is performed by GRM-MP (multiple projects), a modified version of GRM without GUI (graphic user interface) implementation, and "Parallel PEST" to improve estimation efficiency. Although ground rainfall shows similar or higher cumulative amount compared to radar rainfall in the areal average, high spatial variation is found only in radar rainfall. In terms of accuracy of hydrologic simulations, radar rainfall is equivalent or superior to ground rainfall. In the case of radar rainfall, the estimated multiplier of soil hydraulic conductivity is lower than 1, which may be affected by high rainfall intensity of radar rainfall. Other parameters such as initial soil moisture and the multiplier of overland roughness do not show consistent trends in the calibration results. Overall, calibrated parameters show different patterns in radar and ground rainfall, which should be carefully considered in the rainfall-runoff modelling applications using radar rainfall.

Derivation of Relationship between Cross-site Correlation among data and among Estimators of L-moments for Generalize Extreme value distribution (Generalized Extreme Value 분포 자료의 교차상관과 L-모멘트 추정값의 교차상관의 관계 유도)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.3B
    • /
    • pp.259-267
    • /
    • 2009
  • Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is recommended for flood frequency and extreme rainfall distribution in many country. L-moment method is the most common estimation procedure for the GEV distribution. In this study, the relationships between the cross-site correlations between extreme events and the cross-correlation of estimators of L-moment ratios (L-moment Coefficient of Variation (L-CV) and L-moment Coefficient of Skewness (L-CS)) for data generated from GEV distribution were derived by Monte Carlo simulation. Those relationships were fit to the simple power function. In this Monte Carlo simulation, GEV+ distribution were employed wherein unrealistic negative values were excluded. The simple power models provide accurate description of the relationships between cross-correlation of data and cross-correlation of L-moment ratios. Estimated parameters and accuracies of the power functions were reported for different GEV distribution parameters combinations. Moreover, this study provided a description about regional regression approach using Generalized Least Square (GLS) regression method which require the cross-site correlation among L-moment estimators. The relationships derived in this study allow regional GLS regression analyses of both L-CV and L-CS estimators that correctly incorporate the cross-correlation among GEV L-moment estimators.