• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계량 모형

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Categorical Financial Analyses on the Level of Corporate Cash Reserves for the Korean Chaebol Firms in the Post-Era of the Global Financial Crisis (국제금융위기 이후 한국 재벌기업들의 현금유보 수준에 대한 계층별 재무적 특성요인 분석)

  • Kim, Hanjoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.729-739
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    • 2016
  • The primary objective of implementing the study was to further investigate any pronounced financial components affecting the level of cash retention for the Korean chaebol firms. The research was framed to test for two hypotheses on the cash savings with utilizing the chaebol firms during the post-era of the global financial turmoil (from 2009 to 2013). In the first hypothesis test, any significant explanatory variables relative to the cash holdings, were identified in each corresponding category of the conditional quantile regression (CQR) model, while multilogistic regression analysis was performed to discriminate relevant financial factors in each pair of classes consisting of the chaebol firms. Concerning the results, liquidity, agency costs, and cash conversion cycle were found to be statistically significant in the majority of classified categories in the former test and liquidy, firm size, and dividend yield, also showed discriminating powers in each pair of categorical for the firms in the latter test.

A Model and Its Application of Performance Monitoring, Evaluation, and Management System for National R&D (국가연구개발 성과추적평가관리 시스템 모형 및 활용)

  • Kim, Moon-Soo;Lee, Hak-Yeon;Choi, Chang-Woo;Lee, Seong-Ryong;Choi, Kyung-Il;Jeon, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.613-638
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    • 2008
  • The Korean government established 'the Act on Performance Evaluation and Management for National Research & Development (R&D) Programs' in 2005, and one year later constructed a master plan, 'A Basic Plan for the Management and Utilization of R&D performance' that focused on better diffusing the public R&D outcomes. In this study we propose a model of performance monitoring, evaluation, and management system for national R&D, which is based on a systematic approach and the logic model that has been prevalently used in planning and evaluating the public programs, to meet the purpose of the law and the master plan as well as to facilitate the diffusion of national R&D outcomes focused mainly on the industrial application technology. Furthermore, in order to use the model for the several applications, the model's specific measures which includes the quantitative methodologies such as analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and data envelopment analysis (DEA) are suggested in accordance with the existing system of the evaluation institution in Korea.

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Social Benefits of Improved Water Quality at the Taehwa River Based on Citizen's Willingness-to-Pay (시민지불의사에 기초한 태화강 수질개선의 사회적 편익)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.83-109
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    • 2007
  • This study evaluates citizen's willingness-to-pay for the benefits from improved water quality of the Taehwa river in Ulsan, Korea, using a contingent valuation method with double-bounded dichotomous choice. The estimation results of the bivariate probit model shows the amounts of willingness-to-pay are monthly 3,458.5 Korean Won per household and yearly 14,760 million Korean Won for total households in Ulsan, Korea. These estimates are equivalent to the social values of improved water quality of the Taehwa river. This study also tests the inter-dependence between two answers, which may occur in the responses of the questions for the double-bounded dichotomous choice, and all the null hypotheses on the inter-dependence are rejected in this study.

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Application of Common Random Numbers in Simulation Experiments Using Central Composite Design (중심합성계획 시뮬레이션 실험에서 공통난수의 활용)

  • Kwon, Chi-Myung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2014
  • The central composite design (CCD) is often used to estimate the second-order linear model. This paper uses a correlation induction strategy of common random numbers (CRN) in simulation experiment and utilizes the induced correlations to obtain better estimates for the second-order linear model. This strategy assigns the CRN to all design points in the CCD. An appropriate selection of the axial points in CCD makes the weighted least squares (WLS) estimator be equivalent to ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator in estimating the linear model parameters of CCD. We analytically investigate the efficiency of this strategy in estimation of model parameters. Under certain conditions, this correlation induction strategy yields better results than independent random number strategy in estimating model parameters except intercept. The simulation experiment on a selected model supports such results. We expect a suggested random number assignment is useful in application of CCD in simulation experiments.

An Agent-Based Model Analysis on the Effects of Consumers' Demand Response System (행위자기반모형을 이용한 선택적 전력요금제의 전력요금 절감효과 분석)

  • Park, Hojeong;Lee, Yoo-Soo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.225-249
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    • 2015
  • There are growing interests in the introduction of consumer's selective electricity tariff systems in order to enhance demand response in electricity market in Korea. Real time pricing (RTP) and Time of Use (TOU) are typical examples of demand response system through which electricity price is linked to real time demand. This paper adopts an agent-based model to analyze the effects of such demand system on the counsumers' electricity costs. The result shows that real time pricing system is effective to reduce electricity costs of consumers by providing more flexible tariff system, depending on each consumer's demand pattern. This finding could be used as a basis for supporting smart grid system in the presence of responsive demand environment.

KTX Passenger Demand Forecast with Intervention ARIMA Model (개입 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 KTX 수요예측)

  • Kim, Kwan-Hyung;Kim, Han-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.470-476
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    • 2011
  • This study proposed the intervention ARIMA model as a way to forecast the KTX passenger demand. The second phase of the Gyeongbu high-speed rail project and the financial crisis in 2008 were analyzed in order to determine the effect of time series on the opening of a new line and economic impact. As a result, the financial crisis showed that there is no statistically significant impact, but the second phase of the Gyeongbu high-speed rail project showed that the weekday trips increased about 17,000 trips/day and the weekend trips increased about 26,000 trips/day. This study is meaningful in that the intervention explained the phenomena affecting the time series of KTX trip and analyzed the impact on intervention of time series quantitatively. The developed model can be used to forecast the outline of the overall KTX demand and to validate the KTX O/D forecasting demand.

Erosion processes in bedrock river -A review with special emphasize on numerical modelling- (기반암 하상의 침식과정 -수치 모형을 중심으로 한 고찰-)

  • Kim, Jong-Yeon;Hoey, Trevor;Bishop, Paul;Kim, Ju-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.11-29
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    • 2006
  • A bedrock river is a channel in which bedrock is exposed along the channel bed or walls for at least approximately half of its length. In some case, a continuous alluvial veneer may be present, but this is completely mobilized during floods. From the point of long term landscape evolution during the Quaternary, the bedrock channel determines local base level and the lowering rate of bedrock channels controls the rate of erosion and transport processes and forms on the adjacent hillslopes. In this review, various erosional processes in bedrock river channels are classified and discussed. Especially, theoretical and numerical models on channel bed abrasion with bed load sediment particles are introduced and discussed.

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Derivation of an effective military fitness model RSC clustering analysis method through review of e-commerce customers clustering analysis methods (전자상거래 고객의 클러스터링 분석방법 고찰을 통한 효과적인 군인체력 모형 RSC 클러스터링 분석방법 도출)

  • Junho, Lee;Byung-in, Roh;Dong-kyoo, Shin
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2023
  • This study emphasizes the essential need in the military for effective measurement and monitoring of soldiers' physical fitness, health, and exercise capabilities to enhance both their overall fitness and combat effectiveness. The effective assessment of physical fitness is considered a core element of management, aligning with principles of modern management. Particularly, preparing soldiers with robust physical fitness is deemed crucial for adapting to dynamic changes on the battlefield. In this research, the RFM (Recency, Frequency, Monetary) customer analysis and clustering methods, validated in e-commerce, are introduced as a basis for applying an AI-driven customer analysis approach to assess military personnel fitness. To achieve this, the study explores the incorporation of the RSC (Reveal, Sustainable, Control) analysis model. This model aims to effectively categorize and monitor military personnel fitness. The application of the RFM technique in the RSC analysis model quantifies and models military fitness, fostering continuous improvement and seeking strategies to enhance the effectiveness of fitness management. Through these methods, the study develops an AI customer analysis technique applied to the RSC clustering analysis method for improving and sustaining military personnel fitness.

Traffic Congestion Estimation by Adopting Recurrent Neural Network (순환인공신경망(RNN)을 이용한 대도시 도심부 교통혼잡 예측)

  • Jung, Hee jin;Yoon, Jin su;Bae, Sang hoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2017
  • Traffic congestion cost is increasing annually. Specifically congestion caused by the CDB traffic contains more than a half of the total congestion cost. Recent advancement in the field of Big Data, AI paved the way to industry revolution 4.0. And, these new technologies creates tremendous changes in the traffic information dissemination. Eventually, accurate and timely traffic information will give a positive impact on decreasing traffic congestion cost. This study, therefore, focused on developing both recurrent and non-recurrent congestion prediction models on urban roads by adopting Recurrent Neural Network(RNN), a tribe in machine learning. Two hidden layers with scaled conjugate gradient backpropagation algorithm were selected, and tested. Result of the analysis driven the authors to 25 meaningful links out of 33 total links that have appropriate mean square errors. Authors concluded that RNN model is a feasible model to predict congestion.

Quantitative Analysis of Port Incentive Effect: Focusing on Busan Port (항만인센티브제도의 효과에 대한 정량적 분석: 부산항을 중심으로)

  • Ha, Myung-Sin;Kim, Chul-Min;Chang, Byoung-Ky
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2011
  • Various incentive policies for transshipment cargo have been enforced without any evaluation of the effectiveness. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of volume incentive on container transshipment cargo. To be different from previous studies, this study tries to quantitatively assess the incentive effects by using econometric techniques. The result derived from the ARIMA type models indicates that the total amount of the increased transshipment cargo during the last 7 years is about one million TEU. In the meanwhile, the multivariate long run equilibrium model implies that the increased transshipment cargo is less than 0.5 million TEU for the 7 years. Furthermore, the structural break tests indicate that the volume incentive does not change the model structures. It means that the effect of volume incentive is not statistically significant. Consequently, the test results conclude the effect of volume incentive on transshipment cargo is not significant although the volume of transshipment cargo is increased to some extent by volume incentive. Considering the magnitude of BPA's expenditure, we doubt the effectiveness of volume incentive. This study, therefore, encourages the port authority to research a more efficient way to induce transshipment cargo rather than focusing on only volume incentives.