• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적파급효과

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CGE 모형을 이용한 다목적댐 운영의 경제파급효과분석: 용수공급기능을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Gi-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hyeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.129-156
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the contribution to the national economy of the stable water supply through managing multi-purpose dam. For the analysis, we consider 17 major multi-purpose dams and build a CGE model with summer water and winter water being the production factors as the base year of 2007. We analyze the economic impact of meeting water demand due to the dam management and estimate the risk premium of reducing the uncertainty of water supply. The analysis results show a significant production decrease in the industries of agriculture, forestry and fisheries and tap water as well as the food and beverage industry using the former industries' output as intermediates in the production and show an production increase largely in steel industry and electronic and electrical industries. Being compared to the benchmark solution, GNP is analyzed as being reduced by 0.22~0.68%. Meanwhile, the risk premium is estimated to be about 4 billion to 24 billion won for the value 01 the measure of relative risk aversion in the range 01 0.5 to 3.0.

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An Analysis on Economic Effects of Port-Liquid Freight - Focusing on Ecomomic effects of Liquid Freight in Ulsan Port - (항만 액체화물 처리의 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 울산항 액체화물 중심 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Choon;Choi, Bong-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.265-287
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    • 2008
  • This paper studies the economic effects of port-liquid freight by focusing on Ulsan port and its regional economic effects. The direct industrial effects of port-liquid freight are analysed to be an increase in about 1billion dollars' worth of production of the regional port-logistic industry, an increase in about 0.22billion dollars' worth of value-added of the industry, and the creation of about 2,600 employment in the industry. Including the indirect effects, the total effects on Ulsan regional economy are estimated to be an increase in about 1.9billion dollars worth of production, an increase in about 0.51billion dollars' worth of value-added and an increase in about 6,442 employment.

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Economic Impact of City-Gas Industry by the Expansion of Natural Gas Use in Power Generation (발전부문 천연가스 사용 확대에 따른 도시가스 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Yang, Minyoung;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.549-575
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    • 2017
  • Recently, power mix of Korea is planned to be changed from coal-fired and nuclear to gas-combined and renewables by the energy policy of new government. This change will also affect city-gas industry. This paper analyze the economic impact of city-gas industry by scenario that switching coal-fired and nuclear power generation into gas-combined and fuel cell. 2030 input-output table is estimated to take the transfer period into account. As results, the induced impact by city-gas industry to the others was negative when switching into gas-combined while that was positive when switching into fuel cell. This results imply that the gas-fired can be a feasible alternative for short-run but fuel cell is more helpful for our economy in long-run.

A Study on Impacts of Industrial Convergence Using Patent Citations (특허인용관계를 활용한 산업융합 파급효과 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jong;Kim, Ki-Kook
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 2014
  • Recent efforts of government to improve economic performance and increase employment through industrial convergence are being promoted actively. However, unfortunately, we have little of quantitative study on the following questions; (1) what is the rate of industrial convergence progressed?, and (2) what is the rate of total effects of industrial convergence spreaded?, and (3) which is the No. 1 industry in the magnitude of inductive effect of industrial convergence? In this study, we have measured and analyzed quantitatively the following questions using patent citation; (1) how is industrial convergence progressed?, and (2) how much has industrial convergence a effect on all industry?, and (3) what is the rate of the inductive effect of industrial convergence? In doing so, decision about industrial convergence has been made using patent citation and the effect of industrial convergence is drawn from convergence I/O table which made by patent citation.

The Major Ripple Effects of the Logistics Industry (Using a MRIO(Multi-Regional Input-Output) Analysis) (물류산업의 주요 경제적 파급효과분석 (MRIO를 이용하여))

  • Choe, Yeong-Yun;Kim, Chan-Seong;Park, Min-Cheol;Seong, Hong-Mo;Sin, Seung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to identify the impact of the logistics industry on the Korean national economy. To do this, we used a MRIO table provided by the Bank of Korea which includes inter and intra regional relationship of the production and consumption for 6 areas - the Seoul Metropolitan, Gangwon, Chungcheong, Jeonra, Gyeongbuk, Gyeongnam area, but an original MRIO table was recomposed of 29 sectors focused on logistics industry for the purpose of this study. we analyzed producing-inducing effects, supply-shortage effects and inter-industry linkage effects based on logistics industry by region and industry. As a result, the logistics industry has more supply-shortage effect rather than production-inducing effect and has a higher ripple effect on the automotive in Gyeongnam area and petrochemical industry in Jeonra area. In particular, the ripple effect of th Metropolitan logistic industry was far smaller than that of other areas, because the Seoul Metropolitan industry was identified as the primary and middle demand industry.

A study on National economic impact of Flood Control by Dam operation (다목적댐 홍수조절의 국민경제적 파급효과)

  • Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.417-417
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    • 2011
  • 댐에 의한 가장 큰 편익 중 하나는 홍수조절이다. 21세기 들어서면서 전세계적으로 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화로 빈번한 자연재해를 경험함에 따라 국민의 안전과 생명을 위한 업무로서 홍수방어의 중요성은 증대하고 있다. 기후변화에 따른 극단적인 홍수사상은 물관리의 중요성을 증대시키고 있다. 특히 여름철의 홍수를 적절히 방어해야 하는 우리나라의 경우, 물관리의 대표적인 수단으로서 댐 운영은 매우 중요하다. 댐이나 저수지는 홍수피해를 크게 경감시킬 수 있는 가장 효과적인 수단이다. 댐이 없을 경우, 홍수피해가 그대로 경제에 미치게 되지만 댐이 건설되어 있는 경우에는 댐에서 홍수량을 적절하게 조절하여 경제에 미치는 피해를 최소화하는 기능을 수행한다. 본 연구는 2006년 홍수시 충주댐의 홍수방어에 따른 사회경제적 파급효과를 추정하는 모형과 결과를 제시하였다.

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Regional Economic Effects of The Development in New Port : Focused on Incheon Port (항만 개발이 지역경제에 미치는 파급효과 - 인천항을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Hong-sung;Kim, Youn-Sung;Shin, Jin;Chung, Ben-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.240-258
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to quantify the regional economic effects of the development in Incheon New Port(Stage I) using a regional I/O table and to provide implications for making policies to support the development of the port logistics industry. According to the results of this study, production inducing effect 6,064.5 billion won on Incheon local economy from the development of port facilities at the Incheon New Port (Stage I) occupies 15.0% of 40,398.5 billion won the total production of the Incheon area in 2005, added value inducing effect 2,821.3 billion won occupies 7.7% of 36,508.0 billion won the total added value of the Incheon area in 2005, and induced new employment 72,424 workers occupies 9.0% of 808,248 workers the total number of employees in the Incheon area in 2005. As presented above, the development in the Incheon New Port(Stage I) was expected to have huge spillover effects on Incheon local economy. Accordingly, the development in Incheon New Port must be promoted in a timely manner on national.

A Study on the Input-output Analysis of Environmental Industry (환경산업에 대한 투입·산출 분석)

  • Kim, Jeongin;Choi, Namhyun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.381-418
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    • 2005
  • From the respect of economics, environmental industry has not defined clearly since environmental services and goods are so broad to focus. Therefore many countries are using their own version of environmental industry. Hence analysis of environmental industry is very limited. In this thesis, based on the definition of Bureau Statistical Office in Korea, economic analysis for the industrial spill effect, production effect, value-added effect has been done by using 1995, 1998 I-O tables published from the Bank of Korea. Even if portion of production from environmental industry in Korea is quite low so far, forward and backward effect has quite impact on the whole industry and show strong intermediate goods. With respect to price effect.

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The Economic Effect of Industrial Investment on North Korea Natural Gas and Coal (북한 천연가스산업과 석탄산업 투자에 따른 경제적 파급효과)

  • Kim, Hyoungtae;Chae, Jungmin;Cho, Youngah
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • North Korea is currently undergoing an economic crisis of industrial productivity reduction, which resulted from decreased energy production and economic sanctions due to conflicts with the international society. This paper examined the technological status of North Korea's natural gas and coal industries which are essential sectors for recovery of the economy and North-South cooperation on energy industry. This paper also analyzed investment strategies in North Korean energy industries and calculated the size of economic ripple effect of the investment on North and South Korea. In order to analyze the effect of the investment on North Korean economy, we constructed an inter-industry relation table of North Korea for year 2014 and used an input-output model. The ripple effect of the investment in natural gas and coal industries turned out to be 1.012 billion dollars and 2.742 billion dollars respectively. In order to analyze the ripple effect of the investment on South Korean economy, we constructed an inter-industry relation table of South Korea for year 2013 and used a demand-driven model for inter-industry analysis. As a result, production, added-value and employment inducement coefficients of the investment were calculated as 2.02073, 0.62697 and 8.99409 for the natural gas industry and 2.02130, 0.62701 and 9.00413 for the coal industry respectively.

Estimating the Economic Impact of '2011 Seoul Motor Show' Using Regional Input-Output Model: Based on Expenditures of Exhibition Attendees (지역산업연관모델을 이용한 '2011 서울모터쇼'의 경제적 파급효과 분석: 전시참관객의 지출액을 바탕으로)

  • Kim, Dae-Kwan;Han, Youn-Joo;Lee, Sang-Min;Choe, Yeong-Bae;Song, Soo-Yeop
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2011
  • This study aimed to estimate the economic impact of the '2011 Seoul Motor Show' using a direct survey-based regional input-output(I-O) model. Based on the regional I-O table, Exhibition multipliers were derived with respect to output, income, employment, value-added and indirect tax. Attendees' survey was conducted to estimate per capita expenditure. The results of this study indicated that all attendees of '2011 Seoul Motor Show' generated 53.1 billion Won of output impact, 11.7 billion Won of income impact, 24.1 billion Won of Value-added impact, 2.6 billion Won of tax impact, and 1,030 part-time and full-time jobs throughout direct and indirect effects. Another result of this study was that output multiplier of the exhibition industry was similar with other industries, however, income, employment and value-added multipliers were relatively larger than those of other industries.