• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적파급효과

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An Analysis of Application Performance of Defense R&D Technologies Acquired by Offset Programs (절충교역을 통해 획득한 연구개발 기술의 활용성과 분석)

  • Hong, Seoksoo;Seo, Jaehyun;Shim, Sang-Ryul
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2014
  • Offset trade has been applied in Republic of Korea's defense acquisition programs since early 1980s and used for national economic development as well as enhancement of military capabilities. The accumulated offset trade value amounts to over 10 billion dollars by 2010. However, questions in regards to the effectiveness of offset trade have been constantly raised. As it is a quite difficult task to analyze and calculate the application performance of defense technologies acquired by offsets objectively, limited level of quantitative analysis of application performance have been conducted so far. Hence, in this paper, we came to understand the overall status of application of those technologies through in-depth performance analysis and suggested some specific policies for the further development of offset trade based on the analysis results. To begin with, we developed a questionnaire based on performance indicator deducted through literature review of relevant researches, and conducted survey of major offset recipients. Also, another survey of offset experts belonged to the army, government organization, research institute and companies was conducted to evaluate the performance and effectiveness of offsets qualitatively. And we analyzed the efficiency of application performance using DEA. The results of all surveys are showing that there is positive accomplishment in the technological aspect, but in economic aspect, it shows relatively inactive outcome. Based on these results, policy direction is considered to be changed from the emphasis on the acquisition of core technology to revitalization of domestic defense industry in line with new government's policy orientation.

Simulation of Pension Finance and Its Economic Effects (연금재정(年金財政) 시뮬레이션과 경제적(經濟的) 파급효과(波及效果))

  • Min, Jae-sung;Kim, Yong-ha
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.115-134
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    • 1991
  • The role of pension plans in the macroeconomy has been a subject of much interest for some years. It has come to be recognized that pension plans may alter basic macroeconomic behavior patterns. The net effects on both savings and labor supply are thus matters for speculation. The aim of the present paper is to provide quantitative results which may be helpful in attaching orders of magnitude to some of the possible effects. We are not concerned with the providing empirical evidence relating to actual behavior, but rather with deriving the macroeconomic implications for a alternative possibilities. The pension plan interacts with the economy and the population in a number of ways. Demographic variables may thus affect both the economic burden of a national pension plan and the ability of the economy to sustain the burden. The tax transfer process associated with the pension plan may have implications for national patterns of saving and consumption. The existence of a pension plan may have implications also for the size of the labor force, inasmuch as labor force participation rates may be affected. Changes in technology and the associated changes in average productivity levels bear directly on the size of the national income, and hence on the pension contribution base. The vehicle for the analysis is a hypothetical but broadly realistic simulation model of an economic- demographic system into which is inserted a national pension plan. All income, expenditure, and related aggregates are in real terms. The economy is basically neoclassical; full employment is assumed, output is generated by a Cobb-Douglas production process, and factors receive their marginal products. The model was designed for use in computer simulation experiments. The simulation results suggest a number of general conclusions. These may be summarized as follows; - The introduction of a national pension plan (funded system) tends to increase the rate of economic growth until cost exceeds revenue. - A scheme with full wage indexing is more expensive than one in which pensions are merely price indexed. - The rate of technical progress is not a critical element in determining the economic burden of the pension scheme. - Raising the rate of benefits affects its economic burden, and raising the age of eligibility may decrease the burden substantially. - The level of fertility is an element in determining the long-run burden. A sustained low fertility rate increases the proportion of the aged in total population and increases the burden of the pension plan. High fertility has inverse effects.

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Economic Effects of Agreement on Trade in Services under the Korea-ASEAN FTA - A CGE Approach - (CGE모형을 이용한 한-아세안 FTA 서비스무역협정의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.419-448
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to conduct a quantitative assessment of potential impacts on the Korean economy of Agreement on Trade in Services Under the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Among the Governments of the Republic of Korea and the Member Countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations which was signed on 21 November 2007 using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Tariff equivalents of services were calculated on the basis of concessions made in the Agreement between Korea and ASEAN member countries. The empirical analysis shows that Korea is to get an additional gain in real GDP of 0.04 percent and in welfare of US$106 million, with an increase in per capita utility of 0.03 percent. Total exports and imports of Korea are to rise by US$179 million and $191 million, respectively, causing a trade deficit of $12 million. Korea's exports to ASEAN member countries will increase by $108 million and Korea's imports from them will rise by $278 million, giving rise to a trade deficit of $170 million.

International Comparison of Decoupling of Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Steel Industry (철강산업의 온실가스 배출 탈동조화 국제비교)

  • Kim, Dong Koo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.113-139
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    • 2022
  • The iron and steel industry is a manufacturing industry with the largest greenhouse gases emissions and has a great ripple effect on the national economy as a core material industry. This study internationally compared the decoupling patterns of greenhouse gases emissions in the iron and steel industry from 1990 to 2019, focusing on Korea, Japan, and Germany. In particular, unlike previous studies that considered only fuel combustion emissions, this study considered all fuel combustion emissions, industrial process emissions, and indirect emissions from the use of electricity and heat. As a result of the analysis, Korea is interpreted as expansive coupling, Japan as decoupling, and Germany as unclear. Therefore, the decoupling path that the Korean iron and steel industry should take should not be in Germany, but in the form of seeking a decoupling method similar to Japan or more effective than Japan. In addition, this study considered the characteristics of the iron and steel industry as much as possible and presented the causes of the decoupling analysis results and implications for the Korean iron and steel industry through comparison with Japan and Germany. In particular, four factors were suggested as factors which has promoted decoupling in Japan: high value-added of Japanese iron and steel products, development of energy efficiency technology in the Japanese iron and steel industry, strategic M&A of the Japanese iron and steel industry, and maintaining competitiveness according to the closed distribution structure of Japanese iron and steel products. The Korean iron and steel industry should also use the case of Japan as a benchmark to further increase added value through quality uprade and product diversification of iron and steel products, while at the same time making efforts to fundamentally reduce greenhouse gas emissions through the development of new technologies.

The Economic Impacts of Water Supply Constraints During a Drought Using input-output Analysis (가뭄시 용수공급지장으로 인한 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Choe, Jang-Hwan;Heo, Eun-Nyeong;Sim, Myeong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.647-658
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the forward impact of water supply bottleneck using a supply-side input-output model. The failure cost analysed in this study can be used to estimate the values of the water supply reliability and can provide the bases of policy decision for the effective reallocation when water supply constraint will occur. So the position of water supply in the national economy is identified, and direct and indirect impacts are estimated by means of the interindustry analysis. Also the failure cost index is suggested to determine the prior order of water supply important in drought. By the way, the occurrence of drought having regional properties, the failure cost of the regional level using a national input-output table may be overestimated or underestimated. For the preceding reason, the failure cost estimated by a national input-output table is compared with and analysed to a regional input-output table for Kyung- Nam.g- Nam.

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Analyzing The Economic Impact of The Fire Risk Reduction at Regional Level in Goyang City (지역단위 화재 위험도 저감의 고양시 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Son, Minsu;Cho, Dongin;Park, Chang Keun;Ko, Hyun A;Jung, Seunghyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.685-693
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    • 2021
  • This study examined the fire risk of the region in Goyang City using the spatial information data of buildings. The economic damage by industry was assessed according to the probability of fire risk. The study area was confined to Goyang-si, Gyeonggi-do, and the same fire risk reduction rate was applied to each region for the convenience of analysis. The possibility of fire was derived based on the buildings' density and usage in the area by National GIS building-integrated information standard data. The calculation of economic damage by industry in Goyang City due to the fire risk was calculated by combining the Goyang-si industry-related model produced by matching with 30 industrial categories in Input-Output Statistics of Korea Bank and 20 industrial categories in the Goyang-si business survey and the possibility of fire. The basic scenario of production impossibility during six months and business loss due to fire was established and analyzed based on the supply model. The analysis showed that Ilsan-dong-gu, Ilsan-seo-gu, and Deokyang-gu suffered the most economic damage. The "electricity, gas, steam, and water business" showed the greatest loss by industry.

A Study on Performance Analysis of New Renewable Energy Power Generation for Energy-Climate Change Policy Linkage: A Restricted Cost Approach (에너지-기후변화정책 연계를 위한 신재생발전의 성과분석: 제약비용함수접근법)

  • Lee, Myunghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.339-362
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we simulate the contribution of an increasing renewable energy to demands for fossil fuels and power supply price by estimating a cost function for the Korean electric power generation sector. Since the renewable energy is a composite input, it is not feasible to compute the price index for renewable energy due to data limit. We estimate a restricted cost function, which is derived by minimizing the costs of fossil fuels conditional on the quantity of renewable energy set to its optimal level, jointly with supply relation. In particular, derivation of the shadow price of renewable energy would make it possible to analyze potential costs incurred by power plants.

An analysis on current status and competitiveness of culture contents industry in Busan region using LQ and GAP analysis (LQ분석과 GAP분석을 통한 부산 문화콘텐츠 산업의 현황과 경쟁력 분석)

  • Choi, Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.984-990
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    • 2017
  • The domestic cultural contents industry has been growing rapidly since the 2000s. The government has designated the cultural content industry as the next generation domestic growth industry. In order to cultivate this, various regulations are made and the budget is supported. Local governments are preparing various policies of cultural contents industry. This study presents the economic ripple effect by analyzing the status level and competence of the cultural contents industry in region based on LQ(location quotient) analysis and GAP analysis. Through this, this study will examine the competitiveness of the cultural content industry with high added value in Busan and draw out the plan for activation of cultural contents. Also, this study will compare competitiveness of Busan with other regions and show the economic contribution of Busan City.

Improvement of Design Performance for the Minimization of Public Grievances Based on a Construction Public Grievance Breakdown Structure (건설공사 민원 최소화를 위한 민원분류체계 기반 설계성능향상)

  • Moon, Sungwoo;Jo, Hwani
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2018
  • Construction projects are often large in magnitude and high in construction amount. Therefore, construction activities have great impacts on business economics and social lives in the surrounding regional area. The residents can have public grievances if they are badly affected by the construction activities. Project owners should try to minimize adverse impacts in planning and design as well as in construction. The objective of this paper is to establish a public grievance breakdown structure and apply this breakdown structure to improving design functions in an effort to minimize public grievances. This research has been done in three steps of 1) analyzing the characteristics of public grievances in construction projects; 2) developing a public grievance breakdown structure; and 3) based on the public grievance breakdown structure, generating design alternatives that can improve the preparedness against public grievances. A case study has been done to demonstrate the applicability of the public grievance breakdown structure in generating design alternatives to minimize public grievances.

A Case Study on Foreign Smart City (해외 스마트 시티 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Hoon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.305-310
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    • 2014
  • We called a current society the convergence generation. In information society, digital convergence means a service or new product which appeared through fusion of unit technologies in information and communication regions. The effects of convergence technologies and social phenomenons are visualized in overall regions of society such as economy, society, culture, etc. In 2011, The Government introduced "IT Convergence Technology Prediction Survey 2025". This report includes 10 ICT industries. In this paper, we described a smart city which was leading case in digital convergence and related with our life.