• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적파급효과

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자본자유화(資本自由化)의 거시경제파급효과(巨視經濟波及效果) : 신고전파(新古典派) 성장모형(成長模型)을 중심으로

  • Jo, Dong-Cheol;Kim, In-Cheol
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.3-50
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    • 1997
  • 경제자유화(經濟自由化)와 규제완화(規制緩和)라는 세계적인 흐름과 함께 우리나라도 1992년 이후 자본시장(資本市場)을 점진적으로 개방(開放)하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 우선 몇몇 핵심 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들의 상관관계(相關關係)가 자본거래의 자유화와 더불어 어떻게 변화할 것인가에 대한 이론적(理論的)인 배경(背景)을 설명하고 있다. 여기에서는 무엇보다도 자본자유화(資本自由化)와 더불어 나타나게 되는 실질환율체상(實質換率切上)및 경상수지적자(經常收支赤字)의 의미를 합리적인 경제주체들이 자원(資源)을 보다 효율적(效率的)으로 배분(配分)하고자 하는 노력의 결과로 나타나는 현상으로 파악하고 있다. 즉 자본시장의 개방은 상대적으로 높은 국내의 자본생산성 및 실질이자율을 향한 해외자본의 유입(자본수지(資本收支)의 흑자(黑字))을 초래하며, 대외부문의 항등식을 고려하는 한 이는 경상수지(經常收支)의 적자(赤字)로 연결된다. 또한 본 연구에서는 신고전파적(新古典派的) 장기모형(長期模型)과 케인즈적(的) 단기모형(短期模型)에 기초한 거시경제 모형을 구성하고 자본자유화(資本自由化)의 속도(速度), 환율(換率)및 통화정책(通貨政策)의 변화에 따른 거시경제의 동태적(動態的) 시간경로(時間經路)를 계량화하고자 노력하였다. 예를 들어 경상수지적자(經常收支赤字)의 폭은 자본자유화의 추진속도 및 거시정책에 의존할 것이나, 예상하지 못한 큰 충격이 도래하지 않는 경우 향후 2~3년간 GDP 대비 3% 내외에 이를 것으로 추정되며, 그 이후에는 실질이자율의 하락과 함께 적자폭도 축소될 것으로 나타나고 있다. 그리고 실질환율(實質換率)의 시간경로는 자본유입과 함께 지속적으로 절상될 수는 없으며 개방초기의 절상에 이어 점차 절하되는 추세에 놓이게 될 것이다. 자본시장의 개방에 따른 경상수지의 적자는 국내의 (실물)자본축적을 보다 용이하게 함으로써 실질이자율(實質利子率)을 하락(下落)시킬 것으로 기대되나 그 효과는 연 0.2%포인트 이내에 머무를 것으로 추정되었다. 아울러 자본자유화의 초기단계에 발생할 환율절상은 수출의 가격경쟁력을 약화시켜 단기적(短期的)으로 경기침체(景氣沈滯)를 유발할 수 있으나 중장기적(中長期的)으로 성장잠재력(成長潛在力)을 확충시킨다.

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Neo-Han Ryu Market Segmentation based on Psychographic profile among Chinese and Japanese visitors (신한류에 대한 Psychographics에 따른 시장세분화 -중국인 및 일본인 관광객을 대상으로-)

  • Jung, Hee-Jin;Back, Yong-Chang;Lee, Gye-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.3006-3015
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    • 2011
  • Psychological involvement, belief, and attitude as important variables in explaining tourism behavior have been widely examined in the tourism context for its usefulness in differentiating markets. This study investigated foreign tourists' Neo-Han Ryu related trip behaviors based on their psychological involvement, belief, and attitude toward Neo-Han Ryu. A self-administered on-site survey was conducted in January 2010. Three distinctive clusters were identified from cluster analysis. These three segment show sharp contrast in terms of their psychological involvement, attitude and belief about Neo-Han Ryu and thus differ from each other with respect to their behaviors, including satisfaction, intention to revisit, recommendation, and trip expenditure. The results clearly indicate that the segment with a high Neo-Han Ryu involvement reported stronger intention to revisit and recommendation to others compared to the less involved segments. The findings provides important implications to the marketers regarding how to utilize Neo-Han Ryu to expand Korean inbound market and how to select target markets.

Effects of Design Innovations on Small and Medium Enterprises' International Competitiveness (디자인혁신이 중소기업의 국제경쟁력에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee Soo-Bong
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.19 no.4 s.66
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2006
  • The purpose this study is to discuss effects of product design innovations on small and medium enterprises' business accomplishments and further on raising those enterprises' international competitiveness through reviewing previous studies that quantitatively analyzed economic and technological performance and ripple effects of products developed through design innovations. To determine how much design innovations are influential and contributing to small and medium enterprises' international competitiveness, then, the researcher took most advantage of statistical data from quantitative analyses of business accomplishments brought by design innovation development and investment, or economic effects like sales and exports increase. Results of the study can be summarized as follows. First, product design innovations by small and medium enterprises directly contribute to creating plenty of technological and economical achievements, for example, improved product quality, increased product profitability, the effect of product differentiation, improved price competitiveness and increased business sales and exports. Second, technological and economic achievements brought by product design innovations can directly lead to ripple effects like accumulating related knowledge and know-hows, strengthening the competitiveness of products, improving corporate image, increasing business sales and net profit, and meeting many different consumer requirements. Third, technological and economic achievements and ripple effects brought by product design innovations all become very important factors and sources on which small and medium enterprises strengthen their international competitiveness in world markets and maintain their sustainable competitive advantage. Fourth, business accomplishments or economic effects brought by design innovations can be quantitatively measured and analyzed with statistical data. Additional data from the moves can help understand and express the very value or nature of design in a quantitative way. This study is significant in that its results was made based on statistical data from empirical, objective measurements and quantification. The researcher hopes that the study contributes to promoting design innovations by small and medium enterprises and helps CEOs of those businesses better understand the very value and nature of design.

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Economic Effects of the Port Industries (항만산업의 경제적 파급효과)

  • Kim, An-Ho;Gi, Seong-Rae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.141-160
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    • 2005
  • This paper estimate and analyze the economic effect of the port industries as well its production inducement coefficient, effect ratio and response ratio using above-mention input-output analysis. The results of analysis is that the production inducement effects and the forward and backward linkage effects of port industries sectors are evaluated low evaluations. This results is not the port industry doesn't have low effects and low contributions to Korea economy, port industries are more used in the field of export and import sectors than domestic demand and supply sectors. Accordingly, the import inducement coefficients of shipping industry is most high among the 404 detailed sectors.

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TKR과 연계한 TSR의 경제성 분석에 관한 연구

  • Choe, Gyeong-Hun;Yun, Dae-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.06a
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    • pp.275-276
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라의 주요 교역권은 아시아, 미주, 유럽 지역권으로 나눌 수 있다. 아시아, 미주 지역권은 해상 운송이 주를 이루지만 유럽 지역권은 해상 운송 뿐 아니라 철도 운송이 가능하다. 유럽 지역권 또한 해상운송이 많은 부분을 차지하고 있지만 철도 운송을 이용한 운송도 꾸준한 증가를 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 유럽 지역과의 교역에서 활용 가능한 운송 경로를 비교하여 경제성 분석에 주안점을 두었다. 분석의 요소로는 운송거리, 운송기간, 운송비를 중심으로 사용하였다.. 분석 결과 TKR과 연계한 TSR이 경제적이라는 분석 결과가 나왔지만 러시아의 물류 환경이 우리가 알고 있는 일반적인 지식과는 많은 차이가 있어 해결과제들이 존재하고 있다. 이러한 문제들의 개선사항이 해결된다면 TSR은 철의 실크로드 시대를 열 수 있으며 TKR의 시작점인 우리나라는 경제적 파급 효과는 물론 동북아 물류 거점으로 입지를 확고히 해나 갈 수 있다.

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A Comparative Analysis on the Economic Effects of the Electricity Industry of Korea and Japan (한국과 일본 전력산업의 경제적 파급효과 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Euh, Seung Seub;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2015
  • This study attempts to examine the economic impacts of electricity industry in Korea and Japan using an inter-industry analysis. Specifically, the study analyzes and compares electricity industry between Japan and Korea through production-inducing effect and value added inducing effect of electricity industry based on demand-driven model. Moreover, this study deals with supply shortage effect and sectoral price effect by using supply-driven model and Leontief price model, respectively. This study analyses the electricity industry through exogenous approach. The results show that electricity industry induces prodution-inducing effect of 0.5946 won in other industries in Korea and 0.5446 yen in other industries in Japan. Value-added-inducing effects are 0.1716 won in other in other industries in Korea and 0.2929 yen in other industries in Japan. Supply shortage effects of electricity industry are 1.5932 won in other industries in Korea and 1.2801 yen in other industries in Japan. And sectoral price effects are 0.2113% in Korea and 0.2196% in Japan due to the price increase of 10% of electricity industry.

Analysis of the Impact of Initial Carbon Emission Permits Allocation on Economic Growth (초기 탄소배출권 배분이 경제성장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Sunyoung;Kim, Dong Koo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.167-198
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    • 2011
  • The Korean government recently announced greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions reduction target as 30% of 2020 business as usual (BAU) emission projection. As carbon emissions trading is widely used to achieve reductions in the emissions of pollutants, this study deals with the sectoral allocation of initial carbon emission permits in Korea. This research tests the effectiveness of a variety of allocation rules based on the bankruptcy problem in cooperative game theory and hybrid input-output tables which combines environmental statistics with input-output tables. The impact of initial emission permits allocation on economic growth is also analyzed through green growth accounting. According to the analysis result, annual GDP growth rate of Korea is expected to be 4.03%, 4.23%, and 3.67% under Proportional, Constrained Equal Awards, and Constrained Equal Losses rules, respectively. These rates are approximately from 0.69% points to 0.13% points lower than the growth rate of 4.36% without compulsory $CO_2$ reduction. Thus, CEA rule is the most favorable in terms of GDP growth. This study confirms the importance of industry level study on the carbon reduction plan and initial carbon emission permits should reflect the characteristic of each industry.

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The Effect of an Environmental Policy as a source of a Background Risk on Economic Decisions (환경정책에 기인한 외생적 불확실성이 경제적 의사결정에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Jin-Kwon
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.57-73
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    • 2008
  • This short paper considers the situation where an environmental policy could play a source of an exogenous background risk at an individual's wealth and analyzes the effect of such a background risk on the individual's decision making in a simple chance-improving model. Our analysis shows that risks at initial wealth generated by an environmental policy could be regarded as an exogenous background risk in many cases and that such a risk makes a risk averse person behave more risk aversely in some restricted decision making situations. A policy maker considering an environmental policy which would affect individuals' initial wealth should take into account that the environmental policy could affect an individual's seemingly irrelevant economics decisions via his or her wealth.

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A Study on the Selection of Categories in Attracting Businesses for Regional Economy Activation (지역경제 활성화를 위한 기업유치 업종선정에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Kap-Sik
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.616-627
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    • 2011
  • The study aims to analyze the effects of attracting companies from Seoul Metropolitan Area on regional value-added and employment using a regional input output model and to suggest the most appropriate categories in attracting business based on the result from the analysis. It is assumed that large manufacturing companies in Seoul Metropolitan Area are relocated to 5+2 supra-economic region in this paper. The result shows that selection of categories in attracting businesses should be depend on the characteristic of regional industrial structure. Also, it is derived that establishing a differentiated strategy in attracting businesses is essential.

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The Feasibility Study of a Light Rail Transit Development (경량전철 개발에 따른 경제적 파급효과 분석 연구)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Lim, Kwan-Su;Lee, Jin-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2010
  • Light rail is an electric railway system, characterized by its ability to operate single or multiple car consists (trains) along exclusive rights-of-way at ground level, on aerial structures, in subways or in streets, able to board and discharge passengers at station platforms or at street, track, or car-floor level and normally powered by overhead electrical wires. Depending upon the specific system, the light rail lends some major advantages to urban settings. The evaluation of light rail technology as a potential component of regional transit systems has been the subject of extensive studies throughout the country in the past decade. For the study, feasibility was defined as "the ability of an LRT system to achieve certain level of transportation market in comparison with other transportation alternatives." This paper describes the feasibility study to evaluate a proposed light rail development project. The minimum are those LRT systems that would met to make a project feasible for further evaluation.