• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제변수

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A System Dynamics Model for Economic Growth, Environmental Quality, and Knowledge Development in Korea (한국경제의 성장과정과 환경 및 지식스톡에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링)

  • 전대욱;김지수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.111-114
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구의 목적은 한국경제의 성장과정에서 자본, 노동, 지식, 그리고 환경질의 동태적 상호관계를 도출함에 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 경제성장에 관한 전통적인 거시경제적 시스템 다이내믹스 모형에 최근 경제학에서 대두되는 새로운 아이디어, 환경 및 지식에 관한 변수들을 가미하여 본 연구의 모델을 제시하고, 아울러 경제성장의 질적 전환기에 있어서 유효한 정책수단을 제공함으로써 이론적이며 실제적인 의의를 지닌다.

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Study on the Effects of R&D Activities on the Exports of Korean Economy (R&D투자가 한국경제 수출에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-66
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    • 2006
  • The country with a relative abundance of human capital conducts relatively more R&D in the steady state than its partner. This country acquires the know-how to produce a relatively wider range of innovative goods. High technology comprises a large share of the national economy in the human-capital rich country and real output growth is faster. This prediction would seem to accord weakly with empirical observation of Korean economy.

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Analysis of the relationship among water-efficiency in the non-agricultural sector, economic growth, electricity generation, and CO2 emission - evidence from Korea - (우리나라에서 비농업 부문의 물 효율성, 경제성장, 전력생산 및 CO2배출 간의 관계 분석)

  • Jung, Yonghun;Lee, Seong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1229-1235
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    • 2018
  • We have examined dynamic relationships among water-efficiency, economic growth, electricity generation, and $CO_2$ emissions in Korea using various time-series analysis methods for 1990-2014. While previous studies have been limited to economic growth, $CO_2$ emissions, and electricity generation, this study contributed to explain the relationship between existing variables and water-efficiency. We find that the four variables reach a balanced state in the long run through short-term adjustment, $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth are responsible for water efficiency, and that $CO_2$ emissions, economic growth and water efficiency are the causes of electricity generation. The long-term impact coefficient estimates on water-efficiency show that the increase in electricity generation and the decrease in $CO_2$ emissions increase water-efficiency. Although economic growth has increased water-efficiency, moreover, we have identified an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and water-efficiency, which suggests that economic growth above a certain level reduces the rate of increase in water-efficiency.

Concentration in the Primary City and Economic Growth (수위도시 집중과 경제성장)

  • Lee, Keunjae;Choe, Byeongho;Park, Hyeongho
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.85-100
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    • 2017
  • The study tries to shed empirical light on the relation between the concentration of population in the primary city and per capita economic growth of the country, using the data for 113 nations over the period, 2000-2010. The concentration of population is measured in two ways, the ratio of the primary city's population to the total and to the second city. Using the ratio of the primary city's population to that of the entire nation, the empirical results neither show the robust negative relations nor the reverse U relation between primary city's concentration and economic growth. The ratio of the primary city to the second city however turns out to have a negative relation to per capita GDP growth. This result implies economic growth of a nation can be enhanced by decreasing the gap between the primary and the second ranked cities and does not support the reverse U hypothesis by Handerson(1974, 2003).

Prediction of KRW/USD exchange rate during the Covid-19 pandemic using SARIMA and ARDL models (SARIMA와 ARDL모형을 활용한 COVID-19 구간별 원/달러 환율 예측)

  • Oh, In-Jeong;Kim, Wooju
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2022
  • This paper is a review of studies that focus on the prediction of a won/dollar exchange rate before and after the covid 19 pandemic. The Korea economy has an unprecedent situation starting from 2021 up till 2022 where the won/dollar exchange rate has exceeded 1,400 KRW, a first time since the global financial crisis in 2008. The US Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate up to 2.5% (2022.7) called a 'Big Step' and the Korea central bank has also raised the interested rate up to 2.5% (2022.8) accordingly. In the unpredictable economic situation, the prediction of the won/dollar exchange rate has become more important than ever. The authors separated the period from 2015.Jan to 2022.Aug into three periods and built a best fitted ARIMA/ARDL prediction model using the period 1. Finally using the best the fitted prediction model, we predicted the won/dollar exchange rate for each period. The conclusions of the study were that during Period 3, when the usual relationship between exchange rates and economic factors appears, the ARDL model reflecting the variable relationship is a better predictive model, and in Period 2 of the transitional period, which deviates from the typical pattern of exchange rate and economic factors, the SARIMA model, which reflects only historical exchange rate trends, was validated as a model with a better predictive performance.

Information Spillover Effects from Macroeconomic Variables to Hotel·Leisure Stock Index (거시경제변수의 호텔·레저 주가지수에 대한 정보이전효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-Kyung;Yu, Seo-Young;Byun, Youngtae
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.212-223
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to verify information spillover effects using returns of macroeconomic variables and hotel leisure stock index daily data from January 4, 2000 to December 30, 2015. The findings and implications of the research can be summarized as follows. First, based on time-varying AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) models no evidence of statistically significant conditional mean and volatility spillover effects from returns of macroeconomic variables on the hotel leisure stock index was observed. In addition, no evidence of price volatility spillover from macroeconomic variables on the hotel leisure market was observed. Second, it was discovered that there exists a significantly negative relationship between the return of ER and hotel leisure stock prices, but a positive relationship between the KOSPI and hotel leisure stock prices. Finally, the study also found that was a significantly positive relationship between the volatility of DUB and hotel leisure market, and an adversely negative relationship between the volatility of ER and hotel leisure market. The results of this study are expected to contribute by providing useful information for investment strategies, as well as for risk management for investors and managers.

The Relationship of U-Traffic Service Quality and User Satisfaction (U-교통서비스 품질요인과 사용자만족의 관계)

  • Hong, Jin-Ki;Hwang, Chan-Gyu;Choi, Chang-Sun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.1049-1058
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    • 2015
  • This paper aims to study the relationship of U-Traffic Service Quality and User Satisfaction. Independence variables is u-traffic service quality, and mediation parameters are publicity, usefulness and economic. Dependent variable is user satisfaction. Using SPSS 18.0, a series of factor analysis, reliability analysis, multiple regression analysis and path analysis have been performed. The conclusion is as follows. First, U-traffic service quality have a positive effect on user satisfaction directly. Second, U-traffic service quality have a positive effect on user satisfaction through mediation parameters of publicity, usefulness and economic. Third, service quality factor of the U-traffic service quality have more effect on user satisfaction than system quality factor. Last, usefulness among mediation parameters have the most positive effect on user satisfaction.

A Study on the Effects of Preparation for the Old Aged on the satisfaction of the life (중장년층의 노후준비가 삶의 만족도에 미치는 영향연구)

  • Jin, Ju-Young;Ha, Kyu-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the effect factors for the preparations for the old age on the current satisfaction of life of the middle-aged. A survey of middle aged people living in Seoul and metropolitan areas was conducted. The data from 442 subjects were collected from 450 questionnaires excluding 8 incomplete datasets and analyzed. The results were as follows. First, the emotional and economical preparations for the old age had influences on the emotional satisfaction positively. Second, the educational background, jobs for technician/working, emotional and physical preparations for old age had a positive effect on the physical satisfaction. Third, the household income, emotional and economical preparation for the old age had a positive influence on the economical satisfaction. Fourth, sex, emotional preparations for old age had a positive effect on the social relation satisfaction. The research results suggested that the preparations for the old age should be arranged from the middle-aged years because it is difficult to improve the satisfaction of life for old age in the elderly.

Empirical Model Building and Analysis for Performance of Social Enterprises (사회적 기업의 성과분석 실증모델 구축 및 분석)

  • Lim, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1436-1441
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    • 2014
  • Social enterprise has been increasingly recognized for as important economic and social contribution to modern society. Recently, many efforts and academic researches related to social enterprise are now emerging from practitioners and academics. This work focused on the key elements affecting the performance of social enterprises such as specifically social entrepreneurship, relationship-oriented organizational culture and government support policy. In this empirical model, two performance variables such as economic and social performance represent the dependent variables. And the size and age of the social enterprises are the controlled variables. By analyzing survey data of 107 social enterprises interesting and meaningful results are obtained. Social entrepreneurship influenced economic and social performance of social enterprises. And relationship-oriented organizational culture influenced economic and social performance of social enterprises. On the other hand, government support policy influenced economic performance of social enterprises, but did not influence its social performance. The developed empirical model of social entrepreneurship in this study showed that community-oriented organizational culture and government policy are important factors for the efficient and successful management of social enterprises in Korea.

Analysis of Socio-economic Factors for Predition of Railrolad Trip Generation by Principal Component Analysis (주성분해석을 통한 철도이용객수요에 미치는 사회경제지표 분석)

  • Jung, Chan-Mook;Kim, Hyo-Jong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2012
  • This study features an analysis of the socio-economic factors of ten cities on the Honam-line that affect the number of train passengers. The 3 main factors based on the principal component analysis were the population, the distance between two regions, and the area size of each region while the number of automobiles has been conventionally used instead of the area size of each region. A formula to predict the train passengers by the regression analysis was developed and showed a good agreement to the number of real passengers. When Honam highspeed railway is opened, the traveling time between two regions as well as the area size of each regions should be more precisely considered.