• Title/Summary/Keyword: 건물부하 예측

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An efficient multipath propagation prediction using improved vector representation (효율적 다중경로 전파 예측을 위한 Ray-Tracing의 개선된 벡터 표현법)

  • 이상호;강선미;고한석
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.12A
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    • pp.1974-1984
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we introduce a highly efficient data structure that effectively captures the multipath phenomenon needed for accurate propagation modeling and fast propagation prediction. The proposed object representation procedure is called 'circular representation (CR)' of microwave masking objects such as buildings, to improve over the conventional vector representation (VR) form in fast ray tracing. The proposed CR encapsulates a building with a circle represented by a center point and radius. In this configuration, the CR essentially functions as the basic building block for higher geometric structures, enhancing the efficiency more than when VR is used alone. The simulation results indicate that the proposed CR scheme reduces the computational load proportionally to the number of potential scattering objects while its hierarchical structure achieves about 50% of computational load reduction in the hierarchical octree structure.

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The Design of Direct Load Control System Using Weather Sensors (기상센서를 이용한 지능형 직접부하제어 시스템 디자인 설계)

  • Choi, Sang Yule
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.113-116
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    • 2015
  • The electric utility has the responsibility of reducing the impact of peaks on electricity demand and related costs. Therefore, they have introduced Direct Load Control System (DLCS) to automate the external control of shedding customer load that it controls. The existing DLCS have been operated only depend on On/Off signal from the electric utility. That kind of DLCS operating has been successfully used until now. But since the number of customer load participating in the DLC program are keep increasing, On/Off signal control from the electric utility is no longer meets the needs of many different kind of customers. Therefore, In this paper, the author suggest the design of direct load control system using weather sensors to meet the diversity of different customer needs.

Development of Weather Forecast Models for a Short-term Building Load Prediction (건물의 단기부하 예측을 위한 기상예측 모델 개발)

  • Jeon, Byung-Ki;Lee, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2018
  • In this work, we propose weather prediction models to estimate hourly outdoor temperatures and solar irradiance in the next day using forecasting information. Hourly weather data predicted by the proposed models are useful for setting system operating strategies for the next day. The outside temperature prediction model considers 3-hourly temperatures forecasted by Korea Meteorological Administration. Hourly data are obtained by a simple interpolation scheme. The solar irradiance prediction is achieved by constructing a dataset with the observed cloudiness and correspondent solar irradiance during the last two weeks and then by matching the forecasted cloud factor for the next day with the solar irradiance values in the dataset. To verify the usefulness of the weather prediction models in predicting a short-term building load, the predicted data are inputted to a TRNSYS building model, and results are compared with a reference case. Results show that the test case can meet the acceptance error level defined by the ASHRAE guideline showing 8.8% in CVRMSE in spite of some inaccurate predictions for hourly weather data.

Energy Management System Design Based on Fast Simulation Using Machine Learning Model (기계학습 모델을 이용한 고속 시뮬레이션 기반의 건물 에너지 관리 시스템 설계)

  • Lee, Eun-joo;Kim, Jeong-min;Ryu, Kwang-ryel
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2016.07a
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    • pp.13-15
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    • 2016
  • 에너지 소비가 큰 건물은 내부 온/습도, 이산화탄소 농도, 미세먼지 농도 등의 일정 공기 질을 유지하면서 에너지 비용을 최소화할 수 있는 제어계획을 수립하는 것이 필요하다. 기존 건물에서 실내 환경의 운영은 설정된 실내 환경 값을 기준을 벗어나면 설비 기기를 제어하는 방식으로 이루어진다. 이는 단 시간에 고에너지를 투입하여 장비를 가동시키므로 에너지 소모가 크며 peak 전력이 높아 에너지 비용이 크다는 문제가 있다. 따라서 온도를 포함한 환경이 변해가는 상황을 예측하고 사전에 에너지 사용 계획을 수립하여 관리 제어를 수행함으로써 예열부하 등의 불필요한 에너지 손실을 절감하려 한다. 이를 위해 실내 환경이 변화하는 것을 예측하고 후보 제어계획으로 제어를 수행할 때 소요되는 에너지가 어느 정도인지 시뮬레이션하여 제어계획의 적합도를 평가한다. 기존 EnergyPlus와 같은 시뮬레이션 도구는 모델이 복잡하여 시뮬레이션에 많은 시간이 필요하기 때문에 환경 변화를 반영하기 위해 주기적으로 재수립되는 수많은 제어계획 데이터를 단시간에 시뮬레이션하기에 부적합하다. 본 논문에서는 빠른 시뮬레이션을 위해 실제 운영 데이터와 에뮬레이션을 통해 획득한 운영 데이터를 기반으로 학습 알고리즘을 이용하여 제어계획 적용 시의 미래 상황을 예측한다.

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A Study on Building Energy Saving using Outdoor Air Cooling by Load Prediction (부하예측 외기냉방에 의한 건물에너지 절약에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Kim, Myung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a control algorithm for outdoor air cooling based on the prediction of cooling load, and to evaluate the building energy saving using outdoor air cooling. Outdoor air conditions such as temperature, humidity, and solar insolation are predicted using forecasted information provided by the meteorological agency, and the building cooling load is predicted from the obtained outdoor air conditions and building characteristics. The air flow rate induced by outdoor air is determined by considering the predicted cooling loads. To evaluate the energy saving, the benchmark building is modeled and simulated using the TRNSYS program. Energy saving by outdoor air cooling using load prediction is found to be around 10% of the total cooling coil load in all locations of Korea. As the allowable minimum indoor temperature is decreased, the total energy saving is increased and approaches close to that of the conventional enthalpy control.

A Study on Estimation of Cooling Load Using Forecasted Weather Data (집단 건물 면적을 이용한 시간별 냉방부하 파라미터 설정 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyu-Hyun;Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Lee, Je-Myo;Song, Yang-Sup
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, new methodology is proposed to estimate the cooling load using areas of building group and predicted weather data. Only three parameters such as maximum, minimum temperature and building area are necessary to obtain hourly distribution of cooling load for the next day. The maximum and minimum temperature that are used for input parameters can be obtained from forecasted weather data. The areas of building group are used for setting several parameters that are used for estimate cooling loads. Benchmarking building(research building) is selected to validate the performance of the proposed method, and the estimated cooling loads in hourly bases are calculated and compared with the measured data for benchmarking building. The estimated results show fairly good agreement with the measured data for benchmarking building.

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Short-term Power Load Forecasting using Time Pattern for u-City Application (u-City응용에서의 시간 패턴을 이용한 단기 전력 부하 예측)

  • Park, Seong-Seung;Shon, Ho-Sun;Lee, Dong-Gyu;Ji, Eun-Mi;Kim, Hi-Seok;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.177-181
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    • 2009
  • Developing u-Public facilities for application u-City is to combine both the state-of-the art of the construction and ubiquitous computing and must be flexibly comprised of the facilities for the basic service of the building such as air conditioning, heating, lighting and electric equipments to materialize a new format of spatial planning and the public facilities inside or outside. Accordingly, in this paper we suggested the time pattern system for predicting the most basic power system loads for the basic service. To application the tim e pattern we applied SOM algorithm and k-means method and then clustered the data each weekday and each time respectively. The performance evaluation results of suggestion system showed that the forecasting system better the ARIMA model than the exponential smoothing method. It has been assumed that the plan for power supply depending on demand and system operation could be performed efficiently by means of using such power load forecasting.

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Short-Term Load Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Models (인공신경망을 이용한 건물의 단기 부하 예측 모델)

  • Jeon, Byung Ki;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.29 no.10
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    • pp.497-503
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, studies on the prediction of building load using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models have been actively conducted in the field of building energy In general, building loads predicted by ANN models show a sharp deviation unless large data sets are used for learning. On the other hands, some of the input data are hard to be acquired by common measuring devices. In this work, we estimate daily building loads with a limited number of input data and fewer pastdatasets (3 to 10 days). The proposed model with fewer input data gave satisfactory results as regards to the ASHRAE Guide Line showing 21% in CVRMSE and -3.23% in MBE. However, the level of accuracy cannot be enhanced since data used for learning are insufficient and the typical ANN models cannot account for thermal capacity effects of the building. An attempt proposed in this work is that learning procersses are sequenced frequrently and past data are accumulated for performance improvement. As a result, the model met the guidelines provided by ASHRAE, DOE, and IPMVP with by 17%, -1.4% in CVRMSE and MBE, respectively.

Study on the Annual Building Load Predicting Method using a Polynomial Function (다항함수를 이용한 건물의 연간부하 예측 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Hi-won;Choi, Seung-Hyuck;Ryu, Hyung-Kyou
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2017
  • In order to use and manage the building energy efficiently, it is necessary to minimize building energy consumptions, and establish operation plans of various equipment. The maximum heating and cooling load calculation is an essential way in various equipment selections, and the annual building load calculation is used in forecasting & evaluating the LCC required for operation plan. In this study, noting that the annual building load changes depending on outside temperature around year, we propose a predicting method of annual building load. By using the $4^{th}$ polynomial function that have two double radix and a feature the $f(x)=a^4$ in x = 0 condition, we can calculate annual building load very easily only with the two result (maximum heating and cooling load) and a minimum parameters.