• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가중회귀분석

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A Study on the Optimization of Suwon City Bus Route using GWR Model (GWR모델 이용한 수원시 일반버스노선 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheol Gyu;Cho, Seong Kil
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2014
  • Bus service is easily adjusted to accommodate the changed demand. Despite the flexibility of that, its relocation should overcome the following problems: first, Bus line rearrangement should consider the balance between the demand and the supply to enhance the transit equity among the users scattered around the area that supply against demand imbalances. Second, the existing demand analysed is to crude since the demand was analysed based on TAZ. mainly based on the Dong unit. Utilization of the GWR and GIS-T data can resolve the problem. In this paper, the limitation of the conventional transit demand analysis model is overcome by deploying the GWR model which identifies the transit demand based on the geographic relation between the service location and those of the users. GWR model considers the spatial effect of the bus demand in accordance with the distance to the each bus stops using SCD(Smart Card Data) and BIS(Bus Information System). This demand map was then superimposes with the existing bus route which identified the areas where the balance between demand and supply is severly skewed. since the analysis was computed with SCD and BIS at every bus stops. the shortage and surplus of bus service of entire study area could computed. Further. based on this computational result and considering the entire bus service capacity data. Bus routes optimization from the oversupplied areas to the undersupplied area was illustrated thus this study clearly compared the benefits the GIS.

An Empirical Study on the Spatial Effect of Distribution Patterns between Small Business and Social-environmental factors (소상공인 점포의 분포와 환경요인의 공간적 영향관계에 관한 실증연구)

  • YOO, Mu-Sang;CHOI, Don-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2019
  • This research measured and visualized the spatial dependency and the spatial heterogeneity of the small business in Cheonan-si, Asan-si with $100m{\times}100m$ grids based on global and local spatial autocorrelation. First, we confirmed positive spatial autocorrelation of small business in the research area using Moran's I Index, which is ESDA(Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis). And then, through Getis-Ord $GI{\ast}$, one kind of LISA(Local Indicators of Spatial Association), local patterns of spatial autocorrelation were visualized. These verified that Spatial Regression Model is valid for the location factor analysis on small business commercial buildings. Next, GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) was used to analyze the spatial relations between the distribution of small business, hourly mobile traffic-based floating population, land use attributes index, residence, commercial building, road networks, and the node of traffic networks. Final six variables were applied and the accessibility to bus stops, afternoon time floating population, and evening time floating population were excluded due to multicollinearity. By this, we demonstrated that GWR is statistically improved compared to OLS. We visualized the spatial influence of the individual variables using the regression coefficients and local coefficients of determinant of the six variables. This research applied the measured population information in a practical way. Reflecting the dynamic information of the urban people using the commercial area. It is different from other studies that performed commercial analysis. Finally, this research has a differentiated advantage over the existing commercial area analysis in that it employed hourly changing commercial service population data and it applied spatial statistical models to micro spatial units. This research proposed new framework for the commercial analysis area analysis.

A Basic Study on Disaster Mapping Techniques in Mountainous Watershed (산지유역 재해지도 작성 기법에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun Chae;Jun, Kye Won;Oh, Chae Yeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.179-179
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    • 2017
  • 우리나라는 국토면적의 약 64%가 산지로 이루어져 있으며 동고서저의 지형을 이루고 있다. 강원도 영동지방의 경우는 고도가 높으며 경사가 급한 특징을 지니고 있으며 이러한 지형적 특징으로 태풍 및 집중호우 시, 산지재해에 취약할 수밖에 없다. 더욱이 최근, 기후변화로 인한 이상기후 현상에 의해 태풍 및 집중호우가 빈번해 산지재해의 발생빈도도 높아지고 있는 실정이다. 그에 따라 대규모의 인적, 물적 등의 피해 또한 증가하고 있다. 산지재해 같은 경우, 예측이 어려우나 그러한 피해를 줄이기 위해서는 산지재해의 발생예상 지역, 피해정도 및 규모에 대한 예측 자료가 필요하다. 재해지도는 그에 따른 예측 자료로써 대상 지역의 위험요인과 잠재적인 영향 등을 표시하여 재해를 예방하는 데에 목적을 두고 있다. 이러한 재해지도를 작성하기 위해 사용되는 기법으로는 정량적 기법의 대표적인 방법으로 결정론적 기법(SHALATAB, SINMAP, GEOtop-FS), 확률론적 기법(빈도비분석법, 우도비, 증거가중법 등), 통계적 기법(로지스틱 회귀분석, 인공신경망 기법)을 사용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 정량적 기법 중 하나인 결정론적 기법을 활용하여 위험지역을 분석하고 실제 위험지역과 비교하였다. 추후에 확률론적 기법과 통계적인 기법을 활용하여 위험지역을 분석하고자 한다.

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Suggestion of starting pitcher ability index in Korea baseball - Focusing on the sabermetrics statistics WAR (한국프로야구에서 선발투수의 투수능력지수 제안 - 대체선수대비승수 (WAR)을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gyu;Lee, Jea-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.863-874
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    • 2017
  • Wins above replacement (WAR) is the most commonly used statistics of the many sabermetrics that measure baseball players' abilities. The advantage of a WAR is that it enables to compare performances of players even though they have different roles such as pitcher and hitter. However, WAR is difficult to obtain with common records. Thus, in this paper, we have calculated the sabermetrics variable based on Korean professional baseball records for the past three years (2014-2016). Using these variables, we suggest starting pitcher ability index that can replace WAR. Starting pitcher ability index was calculated by means of arithmetic mean, weighted average and principal component regression. Then, compared to the WAR, the most relevant method was selected, which would be useful to identify for the starting pitcher ability.

The Effects of Enterprise Size and Industry on the Employment Rate of People with Disabilities -Focusing on the Enterprises with Disability Employment Obligation That Hire at Least One Person with Disabilities- (기업의 규모와 산업이 장애인 고용률에 미치는 영향 -장애인 1인 이상 의무고용기업체를 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Keedon;Kim, Hojin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.251-276
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    • 2014
  • This study scrutinizes the common sense in the field of disability employment that the bigger the size of a firm, the lower the employment rate of people with disabilities. This common sense has been established by conventional cross-tabulation and multiple regression analyses without taking into account possible interactions between the sizes of firms and the industries in which they operate. This study shows that the distribution of the disability employment rate violates the linearity and homoscedasticity assumptions of the OLS. In an effort to find models that explain the data better, this study fits the OLS model, the weighted linear regression model, and the multinomial logit model as well as the path analysis which is meant to examine the relationships between firm size and other variables relevant to disability employment. The result shows that, when an interaction term between firm size and industry is added to the model, firm size does not have any significant effect on disability employment rate for those firms with 100 or more regular employees, to the contrary of the findings of prior studies. It also demonstrates that other factors such as job setting, the extent of helpfulness of disability employment employers perceive, employers' care for disability, and employers' awareness of disability policies may matter more than does firm size. This study proposes that future research and policy implementation for disability employment should pay no less attention to industry and other factors mentioned above than to firm size.

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Image Noise Reduction Filter Based on Robust Regression Model (로버스트 회귀모형에 근거한 영상 잡음 제거 필터)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Park, Youngho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.991-1001
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    • 2015
  • Digital images acquired by digital devices are used in many fields. Applying statistical methods to the processing of images will increase speed and efficiency. Methods to remove noise and image quality have been researched as a basic operation of image processing. This paper proposes a novel reduction method that considers the direction and magnitude of the edge to remove image noise effectively using statistical methods. The proposed method estimates the brightness of pixels relative to pixels in the same direction based on a robust regression model. An estimate of pixel brightness is obtained by weighting the magnitude of the edge that improves the performance of the average filter. As a result of the simulation study, the proposed method retains pixels that are well-characterized and confirms that noise reduction performance is improved over conventional methods.

Modeling Traffic Accident Characteristics and Severity Related to Drinking-Driving (음주교통사고 영향요인과 심각도 분석을 위한 모형설정)

  • Jang, Taeyoun;Park, Hyunchun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2010
  • Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.

A Study on the PRC Generation Algorithms for Virtual Reference Stations Using a Network of DGNSS Reference Stations (DGNSS 기준국 네트워크를 활용한 가상기준국 보정정보 생성 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hye-In;Park, Kwan-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2011
  • For service-area-widening and commercialization of DGNSS service, Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs is developing a DGNSS service based on VRS using T-DMB. In this study, three PRC generation algorithms are developed for VRS DGNSS and their accuracies were evaluated. Three DGNSS correction generation algorithms are based on inverse distance weighting, 1st- and 2nd- multiple linear regression, and their positioning accuracies were compared in terms of the number of reference stations used for network composition and the algorithm type. As a result, the positioning accuracy of the case of using 16 sites is better than that of 6 sites. And the algorithm using the multiple linear regression showed the best performance. When the positioning accuracy of VRS DGNSS was compared with the traditional single-reference DGNSS, the improvement ratio was 20-23% and 20-36% for the horizontal and vertical directions, respectively.

Mixed effects least squares support vector machine for survival data analysis (생존자료분석을 위한 혼합효과 최소제곱 서포트벡터기계)

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.739-748
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    • 2012
  • In this paper we propose a mixed effects least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) for the censored data which are observed from different groups. We use weights by which the randomly right censoring is taken into account in the nonlinear regression. The weights are formed with Kaplan-Meier estimates of censoring distribution. In the proposed model a random effects term representing inter-group variation is included. Furthermore generalized cross validation function is proposed for the selection of the optimal values of hyper-parameters. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of the proposed LS-SVM by comparing with a standard LS-SVM for the censored data.

Developing a Quantitative Evaluation Model for Screening the Research Grant Applications (연구지원 대상자 선정을 위한 정량평가 모형개발)

  • Yoo, Jin-Man;Han, In-Soo;Oh, Keun-Yeob
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2017
  • This research investigates the quantitative screening methods for the Grant Funding system and seeks for the efficient evaluation of a number of proposals. We search foreign cases of Grand Funding, but we found no appropriate model for using in Korea. Thus, we had to develope our own model for better screening. First, we analyse the existing evaluation system and find some problems and challenges. Second, we suggest a quantitative screening system for Grant Funding with a numeric model, and operates a tedious simulation by using the previous data and our suggested model. Third, we test the suggested model and find the optimal model by using simulation method The number of data analysed for simulation is larger than 200 thousands. Last, we suggest some brief policy implications based on the results in the paper.