• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격 예측

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The Status of e-Business in Korea Forest Product Industries (한국목재산업에 있어 e-Business의 활용)

  • Kim, Se-Bin;Kwak, Kyung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.20-30
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    • 2003
  • This study was carried out to examine the e-Business status of Korea Forest Product Industries and to propose the development. The use level of e-Business in korea forest product industries have stayed in internal company information network integration stages. But lots of companies located in the insufficient of e-Business models, the lack of qualified staffs, and the shortage of e-Business operating technology and implementation. As the result of this study, the followings must be considered; 1. For the promotion of e-Business use, it is needed to maintain price competitiveness, quality competitiveness, and market correspondence capacity. 2. For the settlement of e-Business models, it is important to connect information network among cooperation companies as like forest products standardize, common database, and standard electronic catalogue. Also, it needed developing program to strengthen the competitiveness of forest product industries, expanding to outsourcing and affiliated companies.

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Application of Laser Distance Measurer to measure ground surface displacement in slopes (사면의 지표변위 측정을 위한 레이저 거리측정기의 활용)

  • Cho, Yong-Chan;Song, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the method to measure effectively the ground surface displacement of slope was proposed using the Laser Distance Measurer (LDM). Applying the proposed technique is more simple and easier than the complicated and high-priced instrument to measure the ground surface displacement. LDM is an instrument that the red laser aimed at the target and then the reflected laser used for calculating the distance. The advantages of LDM are easy operating method, high measurement precision and lower in price. To check the feasibility, the proposed method applied to the real site that the ground surface displacement of slope was occurred continuously. The ground surface displacements were occurred in various points of the natural and cut slopes located at the lower part of coal mine waste heap due to the load of waste heap. To measure directly the ground surface displacement in this site, 6 measurement sections and 26 measurement points were selected. As the result of the displacement measured by the proposed technique within a certain period time, the accumulative ground surface displacement could be measured as well as the velocity of displacement could be estimated. Also, the progress direction of ground surface displacement can be confirmed and predicted through the analysis of all measured result.

A Study on the Effect of Forest Resources Management Policies on the Domestic Timber Supply in the Republic of Korea (산림자원관리정책(山林資源管理政策)이 국내재공급(國內材供給)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Youn, Yeo Chang;Yum, Sang Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.81 no.4
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 1992
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts on the domestic timber supply potential of forest resources management policies such as the extention of forest management infrastruture and setting aside more forest lands for the provision of environmental goods. To this end, the domestic timber supply functions were estimated using time series data for the period 1970-1990 and were used to predict the future trends in timber production in the Republic of Korea. For this purpose, a set of scenarios based on the forest road density and forest inventory growth were designed for the next 40 years. The timber supply behavior in Korea was found to be different by species group : domestic supply of softwood roundwood is inelastic with respect to its ovum price while that of hardwood elastic. The effect of forest road construction on the domestic timber production seems to be insignificant yet. The model simulation aided by policy scenarios revealed that the future timber supply potential will be largely restricted if the policy option with emphasis on the provision of environmental goods from the forest resources were adopted.

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Portfolio Analysis on the New Power Generation Sources of the Sixth Basic Plan for Long Term Electricity Demand and Supply (포트폴리오 이론을 활용한 제6차 전력수급기본계획의 신규전원구성 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Juhan;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.583-615
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    • 2014
  • Including the rolling black out in 2011, Korea has suffered from rapid increase of electricity consumption and demand forecasting failure for last five years. In addition, because of the Fukushima disaster, high fuel prices, and introduction of new generation sources such as renewables, the uncertainty on a power supply strategy increases. Consequently, a stable power supply becomes the new agenda and a revisino of strategy for new power generation sources is needed. In the light of this, we appraises the sixth basic plan for long term electricity demand and supply considering the changes of foreign and domestic conditions. We also simulate a strategy for the new power generation sources using a portfolio analysis method. As results, a diversity of power generation sources will increase and the share of renewable power generation will be surged on the assumptions of a cost reduction of renewable power sources and an increase of fuel costs. Particularly, on the range of a risk level(standard deviation) from 0.06 and 0.09, the efficient frontier has the most various power sources. Besides, the existing power plan is not efficient so that an improvement is needed. Lastly, the development of an electricity storage system and energy management system is necessary to make a stable and efficient power supply condition.

Modeling of the charge and discharge behavior of the 2S2P(2 series-2 parallel) AGM battery system for commercial vehicles (상용자동차용 직·병렬 AGM 배터리 시스템의 충·방전 거동 모델링)

  • Lee, Jeongbin;Kim, Ui Seong;Yi, Jae-Shin;Shin, Chee Burm
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.346-355
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    • 2012
  • Recent in the world environmental issues and energy depletion problems have been received attention. One way to solve these problems is to use hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs). Therefore, the interest in HEV technology is higher than ever before. Viable candidates for the energy-storage systems in HEV applications may be absorbent glass mat (AGM) lead-acid, nickel-metal-hydride (Ni-MH) and rechargeable lithium batteries. The AGM battery has advantages in terms of relatively low cost, high charge efficiency, low self-discharge, low maintenance requirements and safety as compared to the other batteries. In order to implement HEV system in required more electric power commercial vehicles AGM batteries was connected to 2 series-2 parallels (2S2P). In this study, a one-dimensional modeling is carried-out to predict the behaviors of 2S2P AGM batteries system during charge and discharge. The model accounts for electrochemical reaction rates, charge conservation and mass transport. In order to validate the model, modeling results are compared with the experimentally measured data in various conditions.

Empirical Analysis on the Disparity between Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept for Drinking Water Risks : Using Experimental Market Method (비시장재에 대한 WTP와 WTA 격차에 대한 실증분석 : 실험시장접근법을 이용한 음용수 건강위험을 사례로)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.135-166
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    • 2008
  • This paper reports the empirical results of comparing the willingness to pay(WTP) for health risk reductions and the willingness to accept(WTA) for risk increases using experimental market methods in the first time in Korea. Health risks were defined as probabilities of premature death from exposure to one of As, Pb, and THM in tap water. A total of six experimental markets with 15 participants in each experiments were held using 20 repetitive Vickrey second-price sealed-bid auctions. To compare the effects of market experiences, trading a marketed good, candy bar, was introduced before the trading the non-marketed good, drinking water risks. Moreover, an objective risk information was provided after the first 10 trials to incorporate learning processes. Regardless of marketed or non-marketed goods, the mean of WTA exceeded the mean of WTP at the first auction trial. As experimental trials proceeded, the disparity between WTA and WTP for marketed goods disappeared. However results for non-marketed goods were rather mixed to the extent that WTA for health risks from As (relatively high risk leves) were significantly larger than WTP, while there were no significant difference between WTA and WTP for health risks fro Pb and THM (relatively low risk levels). On the other hand, participants seemed to respond in a 'rational' manner to the objective risk information provided, with positive learning effects of market-like experience(especially in the WTA experiments).

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Embedded System Reliability Measurement Use Markov Chain Model (마르코프 체인 모델을 이용한 임베디드 시스템 신뢰도 측정)

  • Kawk Dong-Gyu;Cho Yong-Yoon;Park Ho-Byung;Yoo Chea-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.07b
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    • pp.433-435
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    • 2005
  • 임베디드 시스템은 다수의 디바이스를 컨트롤하여 시스템의 목적을 수행한다. 최근 임베디드 시스템의 요구사항이 증가함에 따라 하나의 임베디드 소프트웨어가 컨트롤하는 디바이스의 종류가 다양해지고 수도 증가하는 추세이다. 다수의 디바이스를 가지고 있는 임베디드 시스템에서 시스템의 신뢰도는 각 디바이스의 신뢰도에 많은 영향을 받는다. 본 논문은 임베디드 시스템의 신뢰도를 측정하기 위해서 통계적 신뢰도 측정 방법 중 한 가지인 마르코프 체인을 이용한 방법을 제안한다. 마르코프 체인은 여러 분야에서 복잡한 시스템을 단순화하여 모델링하고 과거의 변화를 토대로 미래를 예측할 수 있는 방법을 제공한다. 또한 전체 시스템의 확률을 행렬로 계측할 수 있는 방법을 가지고 있어 특정 부분의 확률이 전체 시스템의 확률에 미치는 영향을 산술적으로 계산할 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 임베디드 소프트웨어 마르코프 체인은 테스트 대상 소스를 분석하여 디바이스를 컨트롤하는 루틴과 에러를 핸들링하는 루틴, 일반적인 루틴으로 나누어 각각을 상태로 정의한다. 정의한 각 상태간의 전이는 통계적으로 측정한 디바이스 신뢰도를 확률로 표현한다. 마르코프 체인을 이용하여 임베디드 시스템의 신뢰도를 측정하기 위한 시스템은 소스 분석기와 신뢰도 측정기로 나누어 설계한다. 소스 분석기는 테스트 대상이 되는 소스와 디바이스 드라이버 라이블러리 테이블을 입력으로 하고 소프트웨어의 마르코프 체인을 출력으로 한다 마르코프 체인은 행렬로 표현하고 연산하여 시스템의 신뢰도를 측정한다. 제안하는 시스템의 신뢰도 측정 방법은 부분이 가지고 있는 신뢰도가 전체 신뢰도에 미치는 영향을 산술적으로 측정할 수 있어 시스템이 요구하는 신뢰도에 접근할 수 있는 방법과 근거를 제공하는 장점이 있다.소시키는 장점을 갖는다.것으로 조사되었으며 40대 이상의 연령층은 점심비용으로 더 많은 지출을 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 4) 끼니별 한식에 대한 선호도는 아침식사의 경우가 가장 높았으며, 이는 40대와 50대에서 높게 나타났다. 점심 식사로 가장 선호되는 음식은 중식, 일식이었으며 저녁 식사에서 가장 선호되는 메뉴는 전 연령층에서 일식, 분식류 이었으며, 한식에 대한 선택 정도는 전 연령층에서 매우 낮게 나타났다. 5) 각 연령층에서 선호하는 한식에 대한 조사에서는 된장찌개가 전 연령층에서 가장 높은 선호도를 나타내었고, 김치는 40대 이상의 선호도가 30대보다 높게 나타났으며, 흥미롭게도 30세 이하의 선호도는 30대보다 높게 나타났다. 그 외에도 떡과 죽에 대한 선호도는 전 연령층에서 낮게 조사되었다. 장아찌류의 선호도는 전 연령대에서 낮았으며 특히 30세 이하에서 매우 낮게 조사되었다. 한식의 맛에 대한 만족도 조사에서는 연령이 올라갈수록 한식의 맛에 대한 만족도는 낮아지고 있었으나, 한식의 맛에 대한 만족도가 높을수록 양과 가격에 대한 만족도는 높은 경향을 나타내었다. 전반적으로 한식에 대한 선호도는 식사 때와 식사 목적에 따라 연령대 별로 다르게 나타나고 있으나, 선호도는 성별이나 세대에 관계없이 폭 넓은 선호도를 반영하고 있으며, 이는 대학생들을 대상으로 하는 연구 등에서도 나타난바 같다. 주 5일 근무제의 확산과 초 중 고생들의 토요일 휴무와 더불어 여행과 엔터테인먼트산업은 더욱 더 발전을 거듭하고 있으며, 외식은 여행과 여가 활동의 필수적인 요소로써 그 역할을 일조하고 있다. 이와 같은 여가시간의 증가는 독신자들에게는 좀더 많은 여유시간을 가족을 이루고 있는 가족구성원들에게는 가족과의 유대를 강화하는 휴식과 오락의 소비 트렌드를 창출시켰

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Measuring the Maximum Social Welfare Effects of Outlook Information Service for Fruits Sector in Korea (과일류 관측의 최대 사회후생 효과 계측)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.6646-6651
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    • 2014
  • This study was carried out to find the social welfare effects of agricultural outlook information service for fruit in Korea. The goals of an agricultural outlook information service are to improve the efficiency of the agricultural product market, and stabilize the farmer's income and consumer price. This paper introduces the results of econometric analysis for the effects of social welfare benefits. According to the results of econometric analysis for the citrus industry, the effects of the social welfare benefits were estimated to be 15,228 million KRW on apples (ratio of the total revenue, 1.5%), 3,154 million KRW on pears (ratio of the total revenue, 1.8%), 1,936 million KRW on peaches (ratio of the total revenue, 0.9%), 5,211 million KRW on grapes (ratio of the total revenue, 1.0%), 44,976 million KRW on citrus (ratio of the total revenue, 5.4%), and 2,590 million KRW on sweet persimmon (ratio of the total revenue, 0.8%) in 2012.

Evaluation of Soil Carbon Storages in the Organic Farming Paddy Fields (유기 논토양의 토양탄소 저장효과 평가)

  • Han, Yangsoo;Nam, Hong-shik;Park, Kwang-lai;Lee, Youngmi;Lee, Byung-mo;Park, Kee-choon
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to investigate the differences in carbon storage capacity of soil between the conventional and the organic agricultural cultivation followed by the assessment of their economic values. An analysis of 107 samples in the organic and the conventional rice cultivation soils in six regions across South Korea showed that the five regions, Buyeo-II, Gimhae, Sancheong-I, II and Suncheon, had higher organic soil carbon contents than those of values observed on the conventional soils with the exception of the Buyeo-I areas. Based on the results from soil carbon contents, the carbon storage were estimated to be 36.1 megagram carbon (MgC) per ha in the organic paddy soils, while its conventional paddy soils were 29.4 MgC per ha. It showed that the organic paddy soils were 23 % greater than that of its conventional paddy soils. It was estimated that the carbon trading price for economic assessment was ₩758,100 per ha in the organic paddy soil and ₩617,400 per ha in the conventional paddy soil.

A Study on Customer Satisfaction for Courier Companies based on SNS Big data (소셜 네트워크 빅데이터 기반 택배업체 고객만족도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, DongJun;Won, JongUn;Kwon, YongJang;Kim, MiRye
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2016
  • Global courier companies have been devoting to get more customers and profits with different service because of the worse profits from price competition. So, the effort of improving satisfaction of customers through improving courier service qualities is more important than any other time. However, the previous way to measure courier service has limitation that costs lots of time and money from off-line survey. This limitation could be overcome with less effort and costs if utilizing on-line social big data analysis and it is so helpful to improve competitiveness of courier companies. Therefore, I have collected comments from domestic and international courier companies from big data on social network service, analyzed the satisfaction of customers by R and verified the result by comparing with American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) and Korea National Customer Index (NCSI) in this research. I found out the result depicts clear correlation between SNS analysis and customer satisfaction. This study can be the foundation to predict customer satisfaction easily by utilizing real time SNS information.