• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격변동성

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A Study on the Blockchain as the Core Technology of Bitcoin (가상화폐 비트코인의 핵심기술인 블록체인에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Soo-tai;Kim, Do-goan;Jin, Chan-yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.114-115
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    • 2018
  • Recently in Bitcoin raising a social issue is sometimes called a horizontal and decentralized digital virtual currency utilizing the Blockchain technology such as a type of password currency. On the other hand, the Blockchain, which is a distributed ledger shared on P2P networks and it was first used in Bitcoin. These technologies are regarded as technologies that can be applied diversely in other fields, and are attracting high social interest. Looking at recent trends in the virtual currency market such as Bitcoin, price movements have increased since the Japanese government approved the virtual currency as a means of settlement last year. Therefore, we try to present theoretical practical suggestion through the viewpoint of the Blockchain technology which is core technology of Bitcoin based on innovative technology.

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Margin and Funding Liquidity: An Empirical Analysis on the Covered Interest Parity in Korea (우리나라 외환시장의 차익거래 유인에 대한 분석)

  • Jeong, Daehee
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.29-52
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    • 2012
  • During the global financial turmoil in 2007-2008, deviation from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the Korean won and US dollar through the foreign exchange swap has escalated in its magnitude beyond 1,000bp in November 2008, and it still persists around 100bp level. In this paper, we examine a newly developed margin based asset pricing model using Kalman filter approach and show that the escalation of the CIP deviation is found to be significantly related to the global dollar funding illiquidity and country-specific funding conditions. Furthermore, we find evidence that the poor funding conditions (or higher margins) are driven by the general money market illiquidity and may lead to higher funding illiquidity, which suggests the reinforcing effects of the liquidity spiral. We also show that the supply of dollar liquidity and improved funding conditions help alleviate the deviations from the parity, however the persistent anomaly is found to be related to the high level of volatility in the FX swap market.

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Stock-based Managerial Compensation and Risk-taking in Bank (은행 임원의 주식기준 보상과 위험추구)

  • Yeo, Eunjung;Yoon, Kyoung-Soo;Lee, Hojun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.41-79
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    • 2011
  • This study examines the compensation scheme for the executives and risk-taking behavior in the Korean banks. Theoretically, shareholders prefer risky asset choice to the optimal one due to the limited liability feature of reward, and stock-based executive compensation may induce choices favorable to the shareholder. We empirically test this risk-taking hypothesis using Korean banks' data. Since only the stock option data is available under the current disclosure system, we limit our analysis to examine the relationship between the compensation through stock option and the risk of banks. The result provides no evidence that stock option compensations increase the risk of banks, which is contrary to the theoretical prediction and preceding studies in the US. This may be due to any factor that the executive reward data omit, or regulation effects on the bank management.

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Design of a AC driver with constant current and negative temperature resistance for a LED lamp (정전류와 부 열저항 특성을 갖는 AC Direct Driver를 이용한 LED 형광등 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-jo;Son, Kyung-min;Kim, Min;Kim, Gwan-Hyung;Byun, Gi-sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.382-384
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    • 2013
  • LED is much brighter than the traditional incandescent, and low power consumption. Development and commercialization of LED fluorescent lamp is made in order to improve efficient fluorescent lamps with this existing and environmental problems. Because, unlike fluorescent lamps, it is not possible to directly use AC power to the unidirectional element having a polarity, LED requires a power supply. The power supply function is lowered as compared with the fluorescent lamp common in terms of maintenance costs because of the high price large. In this study, we constructed a circuit that can be controlled with a constant current in order to eliminate a phenomenon that brightness of the light which rectifies the AC power supply easy to place in the power supply due to the current change due to the voltage fluctuation is changed, in maintenance, I would like to propose how to develop a device which can be easily replaced less expensive composed of interchangeable modules of Plug in / out method to distinguish the LED module this.

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Bayesian inference on multivariate asymmetric jump-diffusion models (다변량 비대칭 라플라스 점프확산 모형의 베이지안 추론)

  • Lee, Youngeun;Park, Taeyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2016
  • Asymmetric jump-diffusion models are effectively used to model the dynamic behavior of asset prices with abrupt asymmetric upward and downward changes. However, the estimation of their extension to the multivariate asymmetric jump-diffusion model has been hampered by the analytically intractable likelihood function. This article confronts the problem using a data augmentation method and proposes a new Bayesian method for a multivariate asymmetric Laplace jump-diffusion model. Unlike the previous models, the proposed model is rich enough to incorporate all possible correlated jumps as well as mention individual and common jumps. The proposed model and methodology are illustrated with a simulation study and applied to daily returns for the KOSPI, S&P500, and Nikkei225 indices data from January 2005 to September 2015.

Is There a Stochastic Non-fundamental Trend in Korean Stock Price?: Inference under Transformed Error Correction Model (우리나라 주가에는 펀더멘털과 무관한 비정상 추세가 존재하는가?: 공적분 및 베버리지-넬슨 분해 접근)

  • Kim, Yun-Yeong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.107-131
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we test and estimate the stochastic non-fundamental trend in Korean stock market. For this, following Kim (2011), we exploit that the long-run equilibrium stock price may be decomposed into fundamental and stochastic non-fundamental trends (i.e., the sum of dividend innovations and a part that are orthogonal with the dividend innovations) by using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and projections. In this VAR construction, there is an error correction mechanism through which stock prices converge to their long-run equilibrium, which also contain the stated stochastic non-fundamental trend as well as fundamental trend. The estimation and test results using yearly data from the Korea (1976-2012) indicated that fluctuations in stock prices during that period can be explained mainly not by the stochastic non-fundamental trend but by the dividend trend. However, during some periods like after Seoul Olympic Games, we may observe the non-fundamental trend affected to the stock price variation.

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주식수익률(株式收益率)의 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果) 분석(分析)

  • Jeong, Beom-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.233-262
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    • 1994
  • 본 연구는 주식시장(株式市場)의 이상현상(異狀現象)중의 하나인 요일효과(曜日效果)(day of the week effect)를 전통적인 회귀분석(回歸分析)이 아닌 ARCH 또는 GARCH 모형을 사용하여 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(기대수익률)(平均收益率(期待收益率)) 뿐만아니라 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에도 나타나는지에 대하여 분석하였으며, 규모별(規模別)에 따라 요일효과(曜日效果)에 어떠한 차이가 나타나는지를 분석하였다. 본 연구의 추정결과를 요약하면, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(기대수익률)(平均收益率(期待收益率)) 및 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散) 모두에 있어 요일효과(曜日效果)가 뚜렷하게 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대해서는 월요일(月曜日)은 부(負)의 효과, 토요일(土曜日)은 정(正)의 효과가 나타났으며, 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대해서는 월요일(月曜日)은 정(正)의 효과가, 토요일(土曜日)은 부(負)의 효과가 발견되었다. 그러나 한국(韓國)의 주식시장의 본격적인 성장기이면서 주식가격의 등락이 심했던 $86\sim92$년(年)간의 표본기간 동안에는 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果)는 존재하였으나, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果)는 존재하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 소형지수(小型指數)가 중(中) 대형지수(大型指數)와는 다른 주가행태를 보이는 것으로 나타났으며, 다음과 같은 몇 가지의 규모별(規模別) 차이(差異)를 보였다. 첫째, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대한 분석에서 중(中) 대형지수수익률(大型指數收益率)을 사용하였을 경우에는 요일효과(曜日效果)가 나타난 반면에, 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 화요효과(火曜效果)가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 분석에서 정(正)의 공휴일효과(公休日效果)가 다른 규모별 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 나타나지 많았지만 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 세째, 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우 모형 추정후의 정규잔차(定規殘差)(normalized residuals) 및 정규자승잔차(定規自乘殘差)(normalized squared residuals)에 대한 시계열상관(時系列相關) 검정결과 모형의 부적합성(不適合性)이 나타났다. 본 연구는 기존의 기대수익률(期待收益率) 위주의 요일효과(曜日效果) 분석에서 주식수익률(株式收益率)의 분산(分散) 즉, 변동성(變動性)에 촛점을 두어 분석하였으며, 이는 투자자의 정확한 위험측정(危險測定)수단의 제공이라는 면에서 의의(意義)가 있을 것으로 생각된다.

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An analysis of the causality between international oil price and skipjack tuna price (국제 유가 변동과 원양선망어업 가다랑어 가격 간의 인과성 분석)

  • JO, Heon-Ju;KIM, Do-Hoon;KIM, Doo-Nam;LEE, Sung-Il;LEE, Mi-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2019
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between international oil price as a fuel cost in overseas fisheries and skipjack tuna price as a part of main products in overseas fisheries using monthly time series data from 2008 to 2017. The study also tried to analyze the change of fishing profits by fuel cost. For a time series analysis, this study conducted both the unit-root test for stability of data and the Johansen cointegration test for long-term equilibrium relations among variables. In addition, it used not only the Granger causality test to examine interactions among variables, but also the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) model to estimate statistical impacts among variables used in the model. Results of this study are as follows. First, each data on variables was not found to be stationary from the ADF unit-root test and long-term equilibrium relations among variables were not found from a Johansen cointegration test. Second, the Granger causality test showed that the international oil prices would directly cause changes in skipjack tuna prices. Third, the VAR model indicated that the posterior t-2 period change of international oil price would have an statistically significant effect on changes of skipjack tuna prices. Finally, fishing profits from skipjack would be decreased by 0.06% if the fuel cost increases by 1%.

The Analysis and Comparison of the Hedging Effectiveness for Currency Futures Markets : Emerging Currency versus Advanced Currency (통화선물시장의 헤징유효성 비교 : 신흥통화 대 선진통화)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.155-180
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    • 2009
  • This study is to estimate and compare hedging effectiveness in emerging currency and advanced currency futures markets. Emerging currency futures includes Korea won, Mexico peso, and Brazil real and advanced currency futures is Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Hedging effectiveness is measured by comparing hedging performance of the naive hedge model, OLS model, error correction model and constant condintional correlation bivariate GARCH(1, 1) hedge model based on rolling windows. Analysis data is used daily spot and futures rates from January, 2, 2001 to March. 10, 2006. The empirical results are summarized as follows : First, irrespective of hedging period and model, hedging using Korea won/dollar futures reduces spot rate's volatility risk by 97%. Second, Korea won/dollar futures market produces the best hedging performance in emerging and advanced currency futures markets, i.e. Mexico peso, Brazil real, Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Third, there are no difference of hedging effectiveness among hedging models.

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Competency Assessment of Korean Construction Firms on International Plant Projects (국내 기업의 경쟁력 및 업무역량 분석 - 해외 플랜트 사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Jang, Hyoun-Seung;Lee, Bok-Nam;Choi, Seok-In;Koo, Bon-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2008
  • Last decade, Korea's export scale has resulted in remarkably increasing tendency, and the Korean construction firms(KCFs)' activities on the global markets also have been revitalized. Therefore, this paper analyze a correlation between changes in the oversee market conditions and firms' competitiveness focused on plant business. The aim of this paper is to analyze the internal competency change of the KCFs on the global markets in the past 5 years and to find gap of internal competencies between KCFs and outstanding foreign firms. From a survey analysis this paper found that the external impacts on the global markets(changes of exchange rates, raw materials prices, supply-demand conditions, etc.) have highly influenced the sales amount of the KCFs. But the impacts to change the operating profit have been analyzed as not important. So it is necessary to reinforce the KCF's internal competencies rater than expecting an improvement of the external conditions. Also, the KCFs should strengthen the design engineering as a core competency.