• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격결정모형

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Estimation of Crude Oil Price Dynamics and Option Valuation (원유가격의 동태성 추정과 옵션가치 산정)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.943-964
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    • 2005
  • This study estimated a wide range of stochastic process models using the frameworks of CKLS (1992) and Nowman and Wang (2001). For empirical analysis, the GMM estimation procedure is adopted for the monthly Brent crude oil prices from January 1996 to January 2005. Using the simulated price series, European call option premiums were calculated and compared each other. The empirical results suggest that the crude oil price has a strong dependency of volatility on the price level. Contrary to the results of previous related studies, it shows a weak tendency of mean reversion. In addition, the models provide different implications for pricing derivatives on crude oil.

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Equilibrium Model in Price Behavior and Agricultural Production (농업 생산과 농작물 가격에 관한 균형 모델)

  • Lee, Sang-Yool
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.748-756
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    • 2006
  • This study mainly deals with price behavior developed in a agricultural location model (or closed model) considering the production and demand aspects. The short-run situation of price and output is associated with the yearly fluctuation of yield from agricultural production. Demand is generally regarded as constant in the short-run because of being inelastic over short time. The long-run situation is associated with a period in which all related variables can be varied. Then a price behaviors from the two contrasting closed models have been further explored in the long-run economy. Agricultural price for each activity in the closed model is affected by change in agricultural production. Also, falling agricultural price is connected with lower rents and lower land values.

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An Analysis for Price Determinants of Small and Medium-sized Office Buildings Using Data Mining Method in Gangnam-gu (데이터마이닝기법을 활용한 강남구 중소형 오피스빌딩의 매매가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Mun, Keun-Sik;Choi, Jae-Gyu;Lee, Hyun-seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.414-427
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    • 2015
  • Most Studies for office market have focused on large-scale office buildings. There is, if any, a little research for small and medium-sized office buildings due to the lack of data. This study uses the self-searched and established 1,056 data in Gangnam-Gu, and estimates the data by not only linear regression model, but also data mining methods. The results provide investors with various information of price determinants, for small and medium-sized office buildings, comparing with large-scale office buildings. The important variables are street frontage condition, zoning of commercial area, distance to subway station, and so on.

Can Idiosyncratic Volatility Factor be a Risk Factor? (고유변동성 요인에 대한 위험평가)

  • Kim, Sookyung;Byun, Youngtae;Kim, Woohyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we examined whether common idiosyncratic volatility(CIV), a risk factor for idiosyncratic volatility, can be evaluated as a pricing factor. The sample is listed on the Korea Exchange. The analysis period is 288 months from July 1992 to June 2016. The main results of this study are as follows. First, in the empirical verification of the market excess returns of the testing portfolios, the difference in the return on the CIV factor sensitivity difference was statistically significant. In other words, we confirmed that there is a risk premium for CIV factors. Second, CAPM, FF3 factor model, and FF5 factor model do not explain the risk premium for CIV factors, whereas factor models that add CIV factors explain the risk premium for CIV factors. In other words, the CIV factor can be evaluated in terms of pricing factors.

시계열분석(時系列分析)에 의한 주식수익율(株式收益率) 변동성(變動性)의 예측(豫測)

  • Park, Dong-Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.343-367
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    • 1992
  • 이 연구는 시계열분석(時系列分析)에 의해 주식수익율(株式收益率)의 변동성(變動性)을 예측하는 모델을 개발하고 그것에 의해 도출된 예측치(豫測値)의 실제변동성(實際變動性)에 대한 예측력(豫測力)을 미국의 주식시장자료를 사용하여 검증 비교하였다. 구체적으로 수익률변동성에 대한 (1) 역사적(歷史的) 변동성(變動性), (2) ARMAX 예측치(豫測値), (3) GARCH 예측치(豫測値) 등이 도출되고 그것들의 예측력이 통계적 비교와 회귀분석 등의 여러차원의 평가기준에 의해서 비교된다. 실증결과에 따르면 선택된 독립변수들에 근거한 ARMAX 예측치가 다른 예측치들 보다 모든 평가기준에서 우수한 예측력을 보였다. GARCH 예측치는 기대와는 달리 만족스러운 예측력을 보여주지 못했다. 본 연구에서 예측력이 실증된 ARMAX 예측치를 다양한 옵션가격결정모형의 변동성투입요소로 사용하는 것은 보다 정확한 옵션의 이론가격을 도출하는 데 크게 기여할 것이다. 또한, 이 논문의 실증결과는 각종의 자산가격결정이론, 수익률분포이론 등의 학문적 분야 뿐만 아니라 주식수익률 변동성의 동향이 일반투자자들의 투자전략에 결정적 영향을 미친다는 점에서 실무적인 관점에서도 시사하는 바가 크다고 할 것이다.

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Livestock Industry Odor Reduces the Property Value - Spatial Hedonic Model - (축산농가의 악취가 주택가격에 미치는 영향 - 공간헤도닉모형 -)

  • Park, Dooho
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.923-941
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    • 2005
  • Odor problem of livestock operation is important issue in a local community. I quantified the property price impact of 199 livestock operations for 3,355 housing sales in the U.S (Colorado). Spatial hedonic model was adopted to deal with spatial autocorrelation in housing market. Small beef and dairy operations, which are the traditional agricultural sector, seem to create a positive rural lifestyle amenity effect. However, the impact of livestock operation on rural residential sales turns to negative if the operation is over a certain size and species. Large hog and sheep operation seems to bring fatal economic loss from the local community perspective if it close to residential area. Livestock odor is one of the negative externality, the results provide the potential social cost of the livestock sector in the region. Policy makers may incorporate this social cost in the regional planning to minimize the social and maximize the development effect. Therefore, local officials and private individuals should carefully consider the location and characteristics of new residential properties and livestock operations alike.

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An Analysis on the pass-through of Korean export prices of Exchange rate changes (글로벌 금융위기 이후 환률변동과 수출가격)

  • Choi, Chang-Yeoul;Ham, Hyung-Bum
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.229-249
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    • 2011
  • The exchange rate change has been increased since the time when the floating exchange rate system was introduced in Korea. As a result, the increase of the exchange rate changes raised the risk in international trades in Korea. Also after Bretton Woods System broke down, the increasing exchange rate fluctuation raised the risk in international trade. The purpose of this dissertation is to study whether this incomplete pass-through exists in Korean export industry and furthermore to measure the markup rate of the export price using real data since Global Financial Crisis. The estimation results of the export price determination model by Error Correction Model shows that the export price of Korea has been greatly influenced by the export prices and exchange rates against U.S. Dollar of rival countries, domestic producer price as well as the Korean Won-U.S. Dollar exchange rate and also business coincidence index of U.S. in demand. Particularly, the pass-through rate of Korean Won-U.S. Dollar exchange rate to export price is estimated to be incomplete, which contrasts with the propositions of traditional exchange rate determination approach, e. g. elasticity approach, monetary approach, etc.

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An Implication of Korean Renewable Energy Policy Through the Review of a Foreign Renewable Energy Policy (외국의 신.재생에너지 정책의 검토를 통한 신.재생에너지 발전차액지원제도의 개선방향)

  • Kim, Yu-Jin;Kim, Su-Duk
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.618-627
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 신 재생에너지 보급제도 중 하나인 발전차액지원제도가 중유발전설비의 회피비용으로 기준가격을 책정하여 신 재생에너지원의 적정구매가치를 적절히 반영하지 못하고 있고, 발전차액의 보전은 소비자의 직접적인 부담 대신 전력기반기금을 통해 지원됨에 따라 보급제도의 지속가능성 문제가 있음에 주목하여, 그 대안으로 도입을 검토 중인 RPS와 독일, 프랑스의 FITs제도를 검토하여 보았다. RPS는 시장기능을 이용한 가격결정 등 많은 장점에도 불구하고 시행 상 예상되는 여러 가지 제도적 장치 마련의 필요성 등의 문제를 간과할 수 없다. 독일의 FITs는 시장을 통한 가격결정이 아닌 정책적으로 가격이 책정된다는 문제가 지적되고 있으나 신 재생에너지의 현장조건 등을 고려한 차별적인 가격산정방식과 기간별, 에너지산출량별 가격조정방식으로 문제를 보완하고 있다. 독일의 FITs제도와 프랑스의 가격산정모형을 국내 기준가격산정방식에 관련된 연구들과 비교 검토를 통해 궁극적으로는 해당에너지의 소비자가 직접 비용을 부담하게 함으로써 신 재생에너지보급정책이 지속 가능한 대안을 가질 수 있음을 보여준다.

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전환사채(轉煥社債) 발행기업(發行企業)의 재무적(財務的) 특성(特性) 및 발행동기(發行動機)에 대한 연구(硏究)

  • Yang, Seong-Guk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.83-107
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    • 1994
  • 전환사채에 대한 연구는 전환사채의 가치와 최적상환정책에 대한 연구, 기업의 재무의사결정에 있어서 전환사채의 역할 및 기능, 그리고 전환사채의 발행이 주식가격에 미치는 영향을 분석하는데 중점이 주어져 왔다. 전환사채의 가격결정모형에 대한 연구와 전환사채 발행이 주식가격에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구는 많지만, 전환사채를 발행한 기업의 재무적 특성과 발행동기에 대한 연구는 상대적으로 적다. 본 연구는 이러한 점에 착안하여 1987년 이후 발행이 증가하고 있는 국내전환사채를 연구대상으로, 전환사채 발행기업과 전환사채 비발행기업의 재무비율을 변수로 선택하여 전환사채를 발행한 기업의 채무적특성을 분석한다. 그리고 기업들이 실제로 어떤 동기에서 전환사채를 발행하고 있는가를 설문조사를 이용하여 살펴본다.

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A Study of Consumer Purchase Decision and Determinants of Local Food in Anseong (안성 로컬푸드에 대한 소비자 구매의사 및 구매결정요인)

  • Jeon, Young-Gil
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to provide basic information for future Anseong local food policy and local food activation by finding the key factor determining consumer purchasing for Anseong local food. First, we conducted a survey and derived consumer purchasing attributes for the local food. Logistic regression analysis was performed to find the main factors that determine the consumers' purchase intention for Anseong local food out of such seven attributes as 'excellent quality', 'safety', 'good for health', 'activation of local economy', 'low price', 'accessibility', 'variety of items'. The results showed that the most influencing attributes on consumers' purchase decisions for Anseong local food were 'excellent quality' and 'low price' followed by 'accessibility' and 'activation of local economy'.