DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Counterterrorism in the Lake Chad Basin Commission and Its Effects on Tenure

  • Received : 2019.07.30
  • Accepted : 2019.09.17
  • Published : 2019.09.30

Abstract

This essay examines the relationship between counterterrorism within the Lake Chad Basin Commission hereinafter referred to as LCBC and its effects on leaders' tenure in office. The countries of the LCBC, an intergovernmental institution promoting regional integration in the sub-region, established the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) primarily to maintain peace and security. In April 2012 the mandate of this structure was reinvigorated and broadened to manage the ongoing menace perpetrated by the Islamist terrorist group, Boko Haram in the sub-region. The political consequences, however, has not been identical for leaders of the member states of the LCBC participating in this counterterrorism operation. This essay primarily relies on secondary data derived from available public data sets in explaining this phenomenon. The phenomenon of leaders in Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger and Chad between 2010 and 2018 is used to examine the relationship between counterterrorism in the Lake Chad Basin Commission and its effects on political survival. Results suggest that leaders of highly democratic countries are more likely to lose office and held accountable for either perceived inaction or failure in the counterterrorism operation than their counterparts in autocratic states.

이 글은 아프리카 지역의 정부조직인 차드 분지 호수위원회(LCBC) 회원국이 테러조직인 보코하람의 테러 행위에 맞서기 위해 형성한 다국적군의 활동이 참여국 정치지도자들의 권력 유지에 어떤 영향을 행사하는지 조사했다. 2010년에서 2018년 기간 나이지리아, 카메룬, 니제르, 차드의 정치지도자들과 관련된 데이터를 조사한 결과 이 지역에서 독재국가의 지도자들보다 민주주의 국가의 정치지도자들이 반테러주의 활동의 실패에 대해 더 많은 정치적 비판에 직면한 결과 권력 유지에 실패했음을 파악했다.

Keywords

References

  1. African Union. 2007. "African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance." https://www.refworld.org/docid/493fe2332.html (Final search date: 2019/07/26).
  2. Amnesty International. 2017. "AmnestyInternational Report 2016/17-Chad." https://www.refworld.org/docid/58b03410a.html(Final search date: 2019/07/26).
  3. Anderson J.J. 1999. Regional Integration and Democracy: Expanding on the European Experience. Rowman& Littlefield Publishers Inc.
  4. Arthur P. 2010. "ECOWAS and Regional Peacekeeping Integration in West Africa: Lessons for theFuture" Africa Today Indiana University Press. Vol.57. 2-24.
  5. Barry Buzan. 1984. "Economic Structure and International Security: The Limitsof the Liberal Case." International Organization Vol. 38. No.597-624.
  6. Barry R. Posen. 2002. "The Struggle against Terrorism: Grand Strategy, Strategy, and Tactics." International Security Vol. 26, No. 3. 39-55. https://doi.org/10.1162/016228801753399709
  7. BertelsmannStiftung. 2018. "BTI 2018 Country Report-Chad." https://www.btiproject.org/fileadmin/files/BTI/Downloads/Reports/2018/pdf/BTI_2018_Chad.pdf (Final search date: 2019/07/28).
  8. Bruce Buenode Mesquita, Randolph M. Siverson, and Gary WollerSource. 1992. "War and the Fate of Regimes: A Comparative Analysis." American Political Science Review Vol. 86. No. 3. 638-646. https://doi.org/10.2307/1964127
  9. David A. Baldwin. 1995. "Security Studies and the End of the Cold War." World Politics Vol. 48. No. 1. 117-41. https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.1995.0001
  10. David Singer. 1961. "The Levels of Analysis Problem in International Relations." World Politics Vol.1. No.1. 77-92. https://doi.org/10.2307/2009557
  11. Democracy Index. 2018. "2018: Me too? Political participation, protest and democracy." https://www.eiu.com/public/topical_report.aspx?campaignid=Democracy2018 (Final search date: 2019/07/18).
  12. Edward Mansfield & Helen Milner. 2002. "Why Democracies Cooperate More." International Organization Vol. 56. No. 3. 477-513. https://doi.org/10.1162/002081802760199863
  13. Edward Mansfield& Jack Snyder. 2002. "Democratic Transition, Institutional Strength, and War." International Organization Vol. 56. No. 2. 297-337. https://doi.org/10.1162/002081802320005496
  14. Giacomo Chiozza & H.E. Goemans. 2003. "Peace through Insecurity: Tenure and International Conflict." Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 47. No. 4. 443-467. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002703252975
  15. Isaac Olawale Albert. 2017. "Security Regimes in Africa-Prospect and Challenges." Africa Development Vol. 42. No. 3. 119-135.
  16. Jack Levy. 1989. The Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique. Manus I. Midlarsky ed. Handbook of War Studies.
  17. Jack Levy. 1998. "The Causes of War and the Conditions of Peace" Annual Review of Political Science Vol. 1. 139-65. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.1.1.139
  18. James D. Fearon, 1994. "Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes." American Political Science Review. Vol. 88. No. 3. 577-592. https://doi.org/10.2307/2944796
  19. Joseph Nye. 2008. Understanding International Conflicts: An Introduction to Theory and History. London: Pearson 7th edition.
  20. Jurgen Ojalo. 2013. The Effects of Regional Integration on the Prevalence of Conflicts. M.A Thesis. Leiden University.
  21. Keohane Robert and Nye Joseph Jr. 1987. "Power and Interdependence." International Organization Vol. 41. No. 4. 725-753. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818300027661
  22. Keohane Robert. 1984. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. Princeton University Press
  23. Kurt Dasseland Eric Reinhard.1999. "Domestic Strife and the Initiation of Violence at Home and Abroad" American Journal of Political Science. Vol. 43. No. 1. 56-85. https://doi.org/10.2307/2991785
  24. Kydd Andrew and Barbara F. Walter 2006. "The Strategies of Terrorism." International Security Vol. 31. No. 1.49-80. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec.2006.31.1.49
  25. Martin Ewi. 2015. "Was the Nigerian 2015 presidential election a victory for Boko Haram or for democracy?" African Security Review. Vol. 24. 207-231. https://doi.org/10.1080/10246029.2015.1051824
  26. Omale Don. 2013. "Terrorism and counterterrorism in Nigeria: Theoretical paradigms and lessons for public policy." http://www.cscanada.net/index.php/css/article/view/j.css.19236697903.20130(Final search date: 2019/07/25).
  27. Putnam Robert D. 1988. "Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games." International Organization. Vol. 42. No. 3. 427-460. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818300027697
  28. Robert A. Pape. 2003. "The Strategic Logic of Suicide Bombing" American Political Science Review Vol. 97. No. 3. 343-361.
  29. Steven R. David. 1999. "Explaining Third World Alignment." World Politics. Vol.43.No. 2.233-256. https://doi.org/10.2307/2010472
  30. Swanstrom N. 2005. Regional Cooperation and Conflict Prevention, Conflict Prevention and Conflict Management in Northeast Asia. Uppsala & Washington: CACI & SRSP.
  31. U.S. Department of State 2017. "Country Report on Terrorism." https://www.state.gov/reports/country-reports-on-terrorism-2017/(Final search date: 2019/07/29).
  32. UNSG 2016. "Report on Boko Haram." https://news.un.org/en/story/2016/08/536142-ban-hails-eu-donation-african-led-lake-chad-basin-task-force-combating-boko. (Finalsearch date: 2019/07/26).
  33. UNSG 2017. "report on the situation on the lake Chad basin region." https://reliefweb.int/report/nigeria/report-secretary-general-situation-lake-chad-basin-region-s2017764(Final search date: 2019/07/29).
  34. Waltz Kenneth. 1979. "The Emerging Structure of International Politics." International Security Vol. 18. (fall).
  35. Waltz. Kenneth. 2000. "Structural Realism after the Cold War." International Security. Vol. 25. No. 1. 5-41. https://doi.org/10.1162/016228800560372