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국방획득사업의 집행우선순위 결정요인 연구

Influential Factors on Prioritization of Weapon Systems

  • Song, Bang-weon (Department of Management of Technology for Defense, Korea University) ;
  • Song, Byeong-gyu (Department of Management of Technology for Defense, Korea University) ;
  • Kang, Seok-joong (Department of Management of Technology for Defense, Korea University)
  • 투고 : 2016.04.01
  • 심사 : 2016.05.30
  • 발행 : 2016.08.31

초록

국방기획관리 제도(PPBEES)에서 기획단계(P)의 전력증강소요가 국방 예산을 초과하기 때문에 계획단계(P)나 예산편성 단계(B)에서 예산을 고려한 우선순위 결정이 필요하다. 본 논문의 목적은 한정된 예산범위 내에서 기 결정된 소요의 우선순위 결정에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하여 도출하는 것이다. 이를 위해 2014년 방위력개선사업 중 신규 착수 및 계약사업 20개를 쌍대비교하여 소요 우선순위 결정 이유를 도출하고, EFA(Exploratory Factor Analysis)를 통해 6개의 대표 요인을 추출하였다. 6개의 요인에 대한 KMO는 0.779로 요인분석하기에 적절하다고 할 수 있고, 총 분산은 79.590%로 받아들이기에 적절하고, Cronbach's Alpha계수도 모두 0.7 이상을 얻었다. 본 논문은 지금까지 연구가 제한적이던 전력 소요 기획에 있어 실제 업무 유관자를 대상으로 실제 무기체계간 비교를 통해 집행 우선순위 영향 요인을 도출했다는 데에 의미가 있다. 이 같은 집행우선순위 영향요인은 전력소요 우선순위를 결정하고자 할 때 AHP 또는 델파이 등의 다양한 의사결정 방법에 활용될 수 있을 것이며 궁극적으로 한정된 재원 내에서 군사전략목표 달성을 위한 합리적 전력소요 판단에 기여할 수 있다.

Because required weapon systems in the planning stage exceed the extent of defense budget, we should consider the priorities of them in the programming and budget stage. The purpose of this paper is to find out the factors that affect the prioritization of required weapon systems limited by budget. For this purpose, we analyse statistically major 20 defense projects launched in 2014. We derived the reasons for prioritization through the pairwise comparisons and also extracted six representative factors through the Exploratory Factor Analysis(EFA). The KMO was 0.779 and the total variance explained was 79.59%, Cronbach's Alpha was above 0.7 which means EFA was appropriate to accept. The significance of this paper is that influencing factors on prioritization was derived by the comparisons using the present weapon systems and people in charge of defense acquisition. The factors can be utilized in AHP or Delphi to determine the priority and ultimately contribute to rational judgement for the military strategy objectives within the limited resources.

키워드

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