Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management (한국건설관리학회논문집)

Korea Institute of Construction Engineering and Management (한국건설관리학회)
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PSM based Price Estimating for Local Mixed-Use Apartment Development

PSM기반 중소도시 주상복합 아파트의 분양가 추정에 관한 연구

  • Received : 2014.03.03
  • Accepted : 2014.05.14
  • Published : 2014.07.31
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Abstract

Since the late 1990s, mixed-use apartment, armed with high qualities and large scales with a high ratio of TFA(Total Floor Area) have been continuously provided accommodating exclusive community facilities along with high-tech securities, not to mention excellent skyline view. However, especially in mid-small cities, there have been only a few supplies. As a result, none of the mixed-use housing provided by high-end brands has ever been built in non-metropolitan area. But constructors couldn't plan the projects which aims to build the mixed-use apartment in local city, because they couldn't get the basic data or advanced research for feasibility analysis. Therefore, to suggest the useful price for mixed-use apartment supply project of local city, the PSM(Price Sensitivity Method) widely used for determining the price preferences as a market research tools has been applied. As analysis results, the estimated price of mixed-use apartment is 10.8% higher than general apartment, and mixed-use apartment has lower price sensitivity than general apartment. As price determinants, the age, education level and family size influence on UTP in significant level. It is expected that these research findings can be applied for establishing the solid marketing strategy of mixed-use apartment development project in local city.

주상복합 아파트는 고급화와 다양한 장점으로 꾸준히 수요가 증가하여 수도권을 중심으로 지속적으로 공급되어 왔다. 지방중소도시의 경우에는 선례도 부족하고 성공을 담보할 수 없어 주상복합 아파트의 공급이 거의 이루어지고 있지 않았다. 현재에는 소득수준이 높아진 지방중소도시에 주상복합 수요가 있으며, 수도권 주택 공급이 포화된 현실에서 새로운 사업으로써 지방중소도시 주상복합 아파트의 공급 사업을 고려할 수 있다. 그러나 사업성의 타당성 분석을 위한 지방중소도시 주택 시장의 기본적인 자료나 관련한 연구가 거의 없는 실정이다. 이에 타당성 분석의 기초가 되는 적정 분양가격을 과거 시장가격이 없는 경우에도 적정가격을 추정할 수 있는 PSM 모델을 활용하여 추정하였다. 더불어 이러한 분양가격과, UTP를 통한 가격의 수요 탄력성, 가격결정 요인을 일반 아파트와 주상복합 아파트의 두 경우로 구분하여 각각 도출하고 시사점을 제공하고자 하였다. 분석결과 OPP 기준으로 봤을 때 주상복합 아파트의 분양가가 일반 아파트의 분양가에 비해 10.8% 높게 추정되었다. UTP도 주상복합 아파트가 높은 것으로 나타났으며 일반아파트 보다 주상복합 아파트의 가격민감도가 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 가격결정 요인 분석 결과는 일반 아파트와 주상복합 아파트 모두 응답자 연령, 교육수준이 유의한 것으로 나타났으며 주상복합 아파트의 경우 가족 수도 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 연구의 결과를 통해 실무적으로 활용이 가능한 분양가 추정 방법의 제시 뿐만 아니라, 지방중소도시에 주상복합 아파트를 공급할 경우 기존의 일반 아파트에 비해 높은 가격으로 분양가를 산정할 수 있다는 사실을 확인하였다. 더불어 수요탄력성이나 가격결정 요인 등의 결과를 주택 상품 기획을 위한 마케팅 분야에도 활용을 기대할 수 있다.

Keywords

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  2. Using Ridge Regression to Improve the Accuracy and Interpretation of the Hedonic Pricing Model : Focusing on apartments in Guro-gu, Seoul vol.16, pp.5, 2015, https://doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2015.16.5.077