산업공학 (IE interfaces)

  • 제17권3호
  • /
  • Pages.269-281
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  • 2004
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  • 1225-0996(pISSN)
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  • 2234-6465(eISSN)
대한산업공학회 (Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers)
권호 표지

전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구

A Study on Forecast of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market

  • 투고 : 2003.11.23
  • 심사 : 2004.05.27
  • 발행 : 2004.09.30
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초록

How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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