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Deterrent Strategy in the era of North Korea's WMD and Missile Threats : Challenges and the Ways to go (북 핵·미사일 시대의 억제전략 : 도전과 나아갈 방향)

  • Lee, Sang-Yup
    • Strategy21
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    • s.41
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    • pp.232-260
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    • 2017

  • The purpose of this paper is to open a debate about what kind of deterrent strategy the ROK military should pursue in the era of NK's weapons of mass destruction and missile threats. I argue that the ROK military needs a comprehensive deterrent strategy that reflects the international security situations and trends and that builds on clear understanding of the basic concepts and how deterrence operates. The paper starts with surveying the basic knowledge of deterrence from the perspectives of both theory and practice. Then, it provides explanations on why deterrence against NK can be particularly difficult given the security environment in and around the Korean peninsula. For example, South Korea and North Korea hardly share 'common knowledge' that serves as a basic element for the operation of deterrence. Deterrence against North Korea involves complex situations in that both deterrence and compellence strategies may be relevant particularly to North Korea's WMD and missile threats. It also involves both immediate and general deterrence. Based on the discussion, I suggest several ideas that may serve as guidelines for establishing a deterrent strategy against NK. First, our threats for deterrence should be the ones that can be realized, particularly in terms of the international norms. In other words, they must be considered appropriate among other nations in the international community. Second, there should be separate plans for the different kinds of threats: one is conventional, local provocations and the other is WMD/missile related provocations. Third, we should pursue much closer cooperative relations with the U.S. military to enhance the effectiveness of immediate deterrence in the Korean peninsula. Fourth, the ROK military should aim to accomplish 'smart deterrence' maximizing the benefits of technological superiority. Fifth, the ROK military readiness and structure should be able to deny emerging North Korean military threats such as the submarine-launched ballistic missiles and intercontinental ballistic missiles. Lastly, in executing threats, we should consider that the current action influences credibility and reputation of the ROK, which in turn affect the decisions for future provocations. North Korea's WMD/missile threats may soon become critical strategic-level threats to South Korea. In retrospect, the first debate on building a missile defense system in South Korea dates back to the 1980s. Mostly the debate has centered on whether or not South Korea's system should be integrated into the U.S. missile defense system. In the meantime, North Korea has become a small nuclear power that can threaten the United States with the ballistic missiles capability. If North Korea completes the SLBM program and loads the missiles on a submarine with improved underwater operation capability, then, South Korea may have to face the reality of power politics demonstrated by Thucydides through the Athenians: "The strong do what they have the power to do, the weak accept what they have to accept."

  • https://doi.org/10.22803/strategy21.2017.s41.232 인용 PDF

The Formation and Ratification of ISDS in International FTA and Its Characteristics -with a special emphasis on KORUS FTA, NAFTA & AUSFTA- (국제자유무역협약에서 ISDS의 생성과 비준에 관한 연구 -KORUS FTA, NAFTA 및 AUSFTA를 중심으로-)

  • Hahn, Jae-Phil
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.409-431
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    • 2012

  • This article deals with the nature of ISDS along with the admissibility thereof, for the settlement of investment disputes between states and nationals of other states. ICSID as an organization of World Bank Group, has been established in 1966 and as of May in 2011, 157 nations ratified its convention. As for the Republic of Korea(ROK) it has been involved in the problematic situation with regard to ISDS of the KORUS FTA in negotiation with the United States. The ruling Grand National Party is pushing the FTA for ratification including ISDS. However, the opposition party, the Unified Democratic Party rejected the ISDS with a view to a toxin infringing on its judiciary sovereignty. The ROK has invested in the US 3.5 times more than the US did in Korea up to now. As a result, it seems that the ROK is more concerned about ISDS than the US is, considering that exhausting local remedy through the US local courts, applying even a municipal ordinance in their decisions which will be unsatisfactory toward the ROK side. The ROK is now struggling with the ISDS as a political issue between the ruling party and the opposition party mostly based on sovereignty with a reference on AUSFTA which excluded the ISDS. Australian model about ISDS has been impacted by the experience from the NAFTA which allowes direct claims against each other(the US against Canada and Canada against the US). It seems not to be much sympathy for developed countries because it has long been held to standards for pressing on developing countries. Australia is also struggling with ISDS from the political point of view likewise the ROK. And the ISDS is destined to the political situations established within the domestic countries among the political parties in relation with the acceptance or rejection of thereof.

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Linear Matrix Inequality based Fuzzy Modeling for PEM Fuel Cells (수소이온교환막 연료전지의 선형행렬부등식 기반 TS 퍼지 모델링)

  • Kim, Moon-Hwan;Park, Han-Woong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.10c
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    • pp.185-188
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    • 2007

  • 본 논문에서는 수소이온교환막 연료전지의 퍼지 모델링 기법을 제안하였다. 수소이온교환막 연료전지는 가정용으로 공급이 적합한 연료전지로서 최근들어 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 연료전지 특성 모델은 이러한 연구에 중요한 역할을 하고 있으면 이 때문에 다양한 연료 전지 모델링 기법들이 제안되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 선형 행렬부등식 최적화기법을 기반 새로운 형태의 퍼지 모델링 기법이 제안되었다. 최종적으로 시뮬레이션을 통해 제안된 기법의 우수성을 확인하였다.

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뉴스초점 - 한.미 FTA발효와 국제기술사 역할 증대 방안

  • Shim, Soon-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2012

  • IntPE-APEC Engineer and EMF-IRPE are the key role of Cross-Border Trade in Services at the Korea-U.S.A FTA. KPEA is the Representatives of ROK's registration for the IntPE(APEC Eng., EMF-IRPE). KPEA and IntPE(ROK) are actively promoting to get consulting/engineering services in the U.S.A within Korea-U.S.A FTA frame for the mutual benefit.

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