• 제목/요약/키워드: weather information

검색결과 1,758건 처리시간 0.031초

Pricing weather derivatives: An application to the electrical utility

  • Zou, Zhixia;Lee, Kwang-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2012
  • Weather derivatives designed to manage casual changes of weather, as opposed to catastrophic risks of weather, are relatively a new class of financial instruments. There are still many theoretical and practical challenges to the effective use of these instruments. The objective of this paper is to develop a pricing approach for valuing weather derivatives and presents a case study that is practical enough to be used by the risk managers of electrical utility firms. Utilizing daily average temperature data of Guangzhou, China from $1^{st}$ January 1978 to $31^{st}$ December 2010, this paper adopted a univariate time series model to describe weather behavior dynamics and calculates equilibrium prices for weather futures and options for an electrical utility firm in the region. The results imply that the risk premium is an important part of derivatives prices and the market price of risk affects option values much more than forward prices. It also demonstrates that weather innovation as well as weather risk management significantly affect the utility's financial outcomes.

Discussions on Availability of Weather Information Data and Painting Effect of Existing 8,600 TEU Container Ship Using Ship Performance Analysis Program

  • Shin, Myung-Soo;Ki, Min Suk;Lee, Gyeong Joong;Park, Beom Jin;Lee, Yeong Yeon;Kim, Yeongseon;Lee, Sang Bong
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.377-386
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    • 2020
  • This paper discusses the effectiveness of onboard measurements and data extracted from weather information for speed-power analysis. Furthermore, validation results of hull and propeller cleaning and painting during dry-docking are discussed. Wind and wave information can be obtained from onboard measurements or weather information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The weather information of a specified position and time is extracted from NOAA weather data and compared with onboard measurements. In addition, to validate the effects of hull cleaning and painting during dry-docking, speed-power analysis results of before and after dry-docking are compared. The results show that both onboard measurements and weather information show acceptable reliability when added resistance and speed-power analysis results are compared with each other. Moreover, the ship performance analysis (SPA) software clearly shows the effects of hull cleaning and painting, and it can provide reliable analysis results with either onboard measurements or weather information. In conclusion, it is confirmed that the analysis method and SPA software used in this study are effective in analyzing the ship's speed-power performance.

비대면 건설사업관리 웹 개발을 위한 날씨 정보 활용 연구 (A Study on Weather Information Utilization for The Development of Untact Construction Management)

  • 김민진;강상찬;장명훈
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2022
  • 많은 국내 건설업계들은 건설관리에 날씨정보를 활용하기 위해 지속적으로 노력하고 있다. 건설업은 옥외작업이 많기 때문에 날씨의 영향이 크게 반영된다. 그러므로 정확한 공사기간을 예측하기 위해서는 분명히 날씨 정보가 필요하며, 이를 고려한 작업 불가능 일수 산정은 매우 중요하다. 하지만 정확한 장기 날씨 예측이 힘들기 때문에 많은 건설 회사들이 정확한 공사기간 산정에 어려움을 갖고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 과거 장기 날씨 정보를 분석한 후 현장 위치 및 일자에 따라 지역별, 계절별 기상정보를 건설관리 시스템에 적용하여 작업가능일과 현장정보, 기상정보를 확인하고자 한다.

기상레이다에서의 비대칭 도플러 모델 (A Skewed Doppler Spectrum Model in a Weather Radar)

  • 이종길
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양정보통신학회 2007년도 추계종합학술대회
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    • pp.853-856
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    • 2007
  • 기상 레이다에서의 반사 신호는 비, 구름 등에 의하여 산란되는 전자파 신호로서 이러한 도플러 신호를 분석함으로서 여러 가지 특징적인 기상정보를 추출하게 된다. 그런데 이러한 기상정보를 정확히 추출하기 위해서는 지표면 클러터 및 레이다에서의 도플러 기상정보들이 어떻게 나타나는지 그 특징을 잘 파악하여야 할 것이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 대칭형 도플러 스펙트럼 모델을 개선할 수 있는 비대칭 도플러 모델을 제안하였다. 제안된 기상 도플러 스펙트럼 모텔은 기상조건, 운영환경 및 시스템 특성에 따라 다양하게 모의될 수 있으므로 기상 레이다 정보추출의 신뢰성 검증 및 성능향상에 많은 도움이 될 수 있을 것이다.

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Estimation of Doppler Spectrum Modes in a Weather Radar for Detection of Hazardous Weather Conditions

  • Lee, Jong-Gil
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제27권3A호
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2002
  • In a Doppler weather radar, high resolution windspeed profile measurements are needed to provide the reliable detection of hazardous weather conditions. For this purpose, the pulse pair method is generally considered to be the most efficient estimator, However, this estimator has some bias errors due to asymmetric spectra and may yield meaningless results in the case of a multimodal return spectrum. Although the poly-pulse pair method can reduce the bias errors of skewed weather spectra, the modes of spectrum may provide more reliable information than the statistical mean for the case of a multimodal or seriously skewed spectrum. Therefore, the idea of relatively simple mode estimator for a weather radar is developed in this paper, Performance simulations show promising results in the detection of hazardous weather conditions.

Weather Recognition Based on 3C-CNN

  • Tan, Ling;Xuan, Dawei;Xia, Jingming;Wang, Chao
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제14권8호
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    • pp.3567-3582
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    • 2020
  • Human activities are often affected by weather conditions. Automatic weather recognition is meaningful to traffic alerting, driving assistance, and intelligent traffic. With the boost of deep learning and AI, deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) are utilized to identify weather situations. In this paper, a three-channel convolutional neural network (3C-CNN) model is proposed on the basis of ResNet50.The model extracts global weather features from the whole image through the ResNet50 branch, and extracts the sky and ground features from the top and bottom regions by two CNN5 branches. Then the global features and the local features are merged by the Concat function. Finally, the weather image is classified by Softmax classifier and the identification result is output. In addition, a medium-scale dataset containing 6,185 outdoor weather images named WeatherDataset-6 is established. 3C-CNN is used to train and test both on the Two-class Weather Images and WeatherDataset-6. The experimental results show that 3C-CNN achieves best on both datasets, with the average recognition accuracy up to 94.35% and 95.81% respectively, which is superior to other classic convolutional neural networks such as AlexNet, VGG16, and ResNet50. It is prospected that our method can also work well for images taken at night with further improvement.

크라우드소싱을 통한 참여형 기상기록정보의 수집과 활용에 관한 연구 (A Study on Collecting and Utilizing Participatory Meteorological Record Information through Crowdsourcing)

  • 이재능;이승휘
    • 한국기록관리학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.109-145
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    • 2019
  • 기상정보를 주로 제공받아온 시민은 인터넷 기술 기반의 크라우드소싱을 통해 기상정보를 제공하는 주체 중 하나로 자리잡아가고 있다. 국내외에서 국가 기상 서비스 기관과 기업은 시민들이 생산한 기상관측정보를 기상예보에 활용하고 있는 추세이다. 최근 기록학계에서 데이터를 포함한 정보 관리의 중요성을 인지하고 있는 만큼 기상 분야에서 일어나고 있는 기상기록정보 생산주체의 변화와 현황에 대해 주목할 필요가 있다. 그리하여 본 논문에서는 첫째, 각 기상정보생산 주체가 구축한 기상관측망의 현황과 문제점에 대해 확인하였다. 둘째, 기상 영역에서 이루어지고 있는 크라우드소싱을 확인하기 위해 크라우드소싱을 통한 기상예보 과정에 직접 참여하여 기상기록정보의 수집, 활용과 그 가능성에 대해 분석하였다. 셋째, 향후 크라우드소싱을 통한 기상정보의 활용에 대한 발전 전망을 제시하였다.

기상·기후 정보 활용이 농가 소득에 미치는 효과 분석 (Effects of Utilizing of Weather and Climate Information on Farmer's Income)

  • 정학균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of useof weather and climate information on farmer income. To accomplish the objective of the study a farm survey was conducted, whose target respondents were local correspondents and reporters of the Korea Rural Economic Institute. The ordered logit model was employed for empirical analysis on determining whether use of weather and climate information affects farmer income. The analysis results show that the greater is farmer use of short-range weather forecasts, the higher is the income. The results also show higher farmers income with use of short-range special weather forecasts. Based upon the empirical results, the dissemination of more precise weather and climate information is suggested to increase farmer income.

도시기상 관측을 위한 메타데이터의 표준화 (Standardization of Metadata for Urban Meteorological Observations)

  • 송윤영;채정훈;최민혁;박문수;최영진
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.600-618
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    • 2014
  • The metadata for urban meteorological observation is standardized through comparison with those established at the World Meteorological Organization and the Korea Meteorological Administration to understand the surrounding environment around the sites exactly and maintain the networks and sites efficiently. It categorizes into metadata for an observational network and observational sites. The latter is again divided into the metadata for station general information, local scale information, micro scale information, and visual information in order to explain urban environment in detail. The metadata also contains the static information such as urban structure, surface cover, metabolism, communication, building density, roof type, moisture/heat sources, and traffic as well as the update information on the environment change, maintenance, replacement, and/or calibration of sensors. The standardized metadata for urban meteorological observation is applied to the Weather Information Service Engine (WISE) integrated meteorological sensor network and sites installed at Incheon area. It will be very useful for site manager as well as researchers in fields of urban meteorology, radiation, surface energy balance, anthropogenic heat, turbulence, heat storage, and boundary layer processes.

The Impact of Severe Weather and Climate Change on Lean Supply Chains

  • 이돈희
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2018
  • This study examines the impact of severe weather on lean supply chains. First, this paper reviewed the literature on the disruptions and damages that severe weather events cause on supply chain. Then, several recent examples of lean supply chain disruptions due to severe weather were discussed. The results of the study indicated that the frequency of weather related disasters is increasing and extreme weather events will increase potential risks to supply chains. First, building organizational resilience will help firms look beyond efficiency and profits in managing lean supply chains. Second, the concept of sole sourcing may need rethinking to maintain a supply chain that is lean and resilient. Third, organizations must plan ahead for supply chains in unpredictable weather. Fifth, communication is a key for anticipating and avoiding the impact of severe weather. This study proposes of a set of strategies, both theoretical and practical, that business firms should develop to effectively prevent and respond to severe weather related disruptions in lean supply chains.