• 제목/요약/키워드: variance

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ONNEGATIVE MINIMUM BIASED ESTIMATION IN VARIANCE COMPONENT MODELS

  • Lee, Jong-Hoo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.95-110
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    • 1989
  • In a general variance component model, nonnegative quadratic estimators of the components of variance are considered which are invariant with respect to mean value translaion and have minimum bias (analogously to estimation theory of mean value parameters). Here the minimum is taken over an appropriate cone of positive semidefinite matrices, after having made a reduction by invariance. Among these estimators, which always exist the one of minimum norm is characterized. This characterization is achieved by systems of necessary and sufficient condition, and by a cone restricted pseudoinverse. In models where the decomposing covariance matrices span a commutative quadratic subspace, a representation of the considered estimator is derived that requires merely to solve an ordinary convex quadratic optimization problem. As an example, we present the two way nested classification random model. An unbiased estimator is derived for the mean squared error of any unbiased or biased estimator that is expressible as a linear combination of independent sums of squares. Further, it is shown that, for the classical balanced variance component models, this estimator is the best invariant unbiased estimator, for the variance of the ANOVA estimator and for the mean squared error of the nonnegative minimum biased estimator. As an example, the balanced two way nested classification model with ramdom effects if considered.

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Multivariate EWMA control charts for monitoring the variance-covariance matrix

  • Jeong, Jeong-Im;Cho, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.807-814
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    • 2012
  • We know that the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are sensitive to detecting relatively small shifts. Multivariate EWMA control charts are considered for monitoring of variance-covariance matrix when the distribution of process variables is multivariate normal. The performances of the proposed EWMA control charts are evaluated in term of average run length (ARL). The performance is investigated in three types of shifts in the variance-covariance matrix, that is, the variances, covariances, and variances and covariances are changed respectively. Numerical results show that all multivariate EWMA control charts considered in this paper are effective in detecting several kinds of shifts in the variance-covariance matrix.

Variance Estimation for Imputed Survey Data using Balanced Repeated Replication Method

  • Lee, Jun-Suk;Hong, Tae-Kyong;Namkung, Pyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.365-379
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    • 2005
  • Balanced Repeated Replication(BRR) is widely used to estimate the variance of linear or nonlinear estimators from complex sampling surveys. Most of survey data sets include imputed missing values and treat the imputed values as observed data. But applying the standard BRR variance estimation formula for imputed data does not produce valid variance estimators. Shao, Chen and Chen(1998) proposed an adjusted BRR method by adjusting the imputed data to produce more accurate variance estimators. In this paper, another adjusted BRR method is proposed with examples of real data.

Analysis of inconsistent source sampling in monte carlo weight-window variance reduction methods

  • Griesheimer, David P.;Sandhu, Virinder S.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.1172-1180
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    • 2017
  • The application of Monte Carlo (MC) to large-scale fixed-source problems has recently become possible with new hybrid methods that automate generation of parameters for variance reduction techniques. Two common variance reduction techniques, weight windows and source biasing, have been automated and popularized by the consistent adjoint-driven importance sampling (CADIS) method. This method uses the adjoint solution from an inexpensive deterministic calculation to define a consistent set of weight windows and source particles for a subsequent MC calculation. One of the motivations for source consistency is to avoid the splitting or rouletting of particles at birth, which requires computational resources. However, it is not always possible or desirable to implement such consistency, which results in inconsistent source biasing. This paper develops an original framework that mathematically expresses the coupling of the weight window and source biasing techniques, allowing the authors to explore the impact of inconsistent source sampling on the variance of MC results. A numerical experiment supports this new framework and suggests that certain classes of problems may be relatively insensitive to inconsistent source sampling schemes with moderate levels of splitting and rouletting.

A new approach to determine batch size for the batch method in the Monte Carlo Eigenvalue calculation

  • Lee, Jae Yong;Kim, Do Hyun;Yim, Che Wook;Kim, Jae Chang;Kim, Jong Kyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.954-962
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    • 2019
  • It is well known that the variance of tally is biased in a Monte Carlo calculation based on the power iteration method. Several studies have been conducted to estimate the real variance. Among them, the batch method, which was proposed by Gelbard and Prael, has been utilized actively in many Monte Carlo codes because the method is straightforward, and it is easy to implement the method in the codes. However, there is a problem when utilizing the batch method because the estimated variance varies depending on batch size. Often, the appropriate batch size is not realized before the completion of several Monte Carlo calculations. This study recognizes this shortcoming and addresses it by permitting selection of an appropriate batch size.

DPCM 음성 부호화기의 부정합현상에 관한 연구 (On the Mismatch Phenomena in DPCM Coding of Speech)

  • 유득수;조동호;은종관
    • 대한전자공학회논문지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 1986
  • This paper describes various mismatch phenomena in differential pulse code modulation (DPCM) coding, such as the mismatch effects of probability density functin(pdf), signal variance, and correlation. At a high transmission rate(i.e., above 32 kbits/s), the performance of DPCM can be improved by matching the pdf shape between the input signal and the quantizer. However, the same gain cannot be obtained at a lower transmission rate. Also, it is shown that the gamma quantizer is realtively robust to the variation of pdf shaper and signal variance. Moreover, as the transmission rate increases, the performance of DPCM for the input signal with large variance is worse than that of DPCM for the signal with small variance due to the increase of overload noise. According to our simuladiton results, the mismatch effects of pdf shape and variance appear to yield more degradatin than that of correlation in a DPCM system.

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Real variance estimation in iDTMC-based depletion analysis

  • Inyup Kim;Yonghee Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권11호
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    • pp.4228-4237
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    • 2023
  • The Improved Deterministic Truncation of Monte Carlo (iDTMC) is a powerful acceleration and variance reduction scheme in the Monte Carlo analysis. The concept of the iDTMC method and correlated sampling-based real variance estimation are briefly introduced. Moreover, the application of the iterative scheme to the correlated sampling is discussed. The iDTMC method is utilized in a 3-dimensional small modular reactor (SMR) model problem. The real variances of burnup-dependent criticality and power distribution are evaluated and compared with the ones obtained from 30 independent iDTMC calculations. The impact of the inactive cycles on the correlated sampling is also evaluated to investigate the consistency of the correlated sample scheme. In addition, numerical performances and sensitivity analysis on the real variance estimation are performed in view of the figure of merit of the iDTMC method. The numerical results show that the correlated sampling accurately estimates the real variances with high computational efficiencies.

패널요원 수행능력 평가에 사용된 분산분석, 상관분석, 주성분분석 결과의 비교 (Evaluation of Panel Performance by Analysis of Variance, Correlation Analysis and Principal Component Analysis)

  • 김상숙;홍성희;민봉기;신명곤
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.57-61
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    • 1994
  • Performance of panelists trained for cooked rice quality was evaluated using analysis of variance, correlation analysis, and principal component analysis. Each method offered different information. Results showed that panleists with high F ratios (p=0.05) did not always have high correlation coefficient (p=0.05) with mean values pooled from whole panel. The results of analysis of variance for the panelists whose performance were extremely good or extremely poor were consistent with those of correlation analysis. Outliers designated by principal component analysis were different from the panelists whose performance was defined as extremely good or extremely poor by analysis of variance and correlation analysis. The results of principal component analysis descriminated the panelists with different scoring range more than different scoring trends depending on the treatments. Our study suggested combination of analysis of variance and correlation analysis provided valid basis for screening panelists.

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포함확률비례추출에서 회귀계수 최소제곱추정량의 근사분산 (Approximate Variance of Least Square Estimators for Regression Coefficient under Inclusion Probability Proportional to Size Sampling)

  • 김규성
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문은 유한모집단에서 회귀계수추정량의 근사편향과 근사분산을 다루고 있다. 유한모집단에서 고정크기 포함확률비례표본을 추출하고 이 표본에서 조사된 데이터에 기초하여 회귀계수를 일반최소제곱추정량과 가중최소제곱추정량으로 추정할 때 두 추정량의 편향, 분산 그리고 평균제곱오차의 근사식을 유도하였다. 그리고 두 추정량의 효율을 비교하기 위하여 두 추정량의 분산을 비교하는 필요충분조건을 제시하였다. 또한 수치적인 비교를 위하여 간단한 예제를 소개하였다.

가능도함수를 이용한 로그분산함수의 불연속점 검정 (Testing of a discontinuity point in the log-variance function based on likelihood)

  • 허집
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2009
  • 회귀모형의 분산함수가 알려져 있지 않은 한 점에서 불연속이라 가정하자. Yu와 Jones (2004)는 음이 아닌 값을 취하는 분산함수를 실수 값을 취하도록 하기 위하여 로그 변환하였고, 변환된 로그분산함수를 국소다항적합으로 추정하였다. 로그분산함수의 국소다항적합을 이용하여, Huh (2008)는 분산함수의 불연속점의 추정하는 대신 로그분산함수의 불연속점을 추정하였다. 본 연구는 Huh의 점프의 크기 추정량의 점근분포를 이용하여 로그분산함수의 불연속점의 존재여부에 대한 가설검정을 제안하고, 제안한 방법에 대한 모의실험 결과를 제시하고자 한다.

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