• Title/Summary/Keyword: use demand

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Future Domestic Water Demand, Surface Water Availability and Vulnerability Across Rapidly Growing Asian Megacities

  • Panda, Manas Ranjan;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.144-144
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    • 2021
  • The rapid urbanization in many Asian countries has taken millions of people from the rural countryside to concentrated megacities, which eventually putting pressure on the existing water resources. The over-growing population and increasing living standard of people in the urban region of developed as well as developing countries such as Korea, China, Japan and India have witnessed a drastic change in terms of domestic water demand for the past few decades. In this study, we used the concept of potential surface water availability in the form of surface runoff for future vulnerability assessment. We focused on 42 megacities having population more than 5 million as per the United Nations (UN) census data 2020. The study shows that 30 out of 42 cities having more than 180L/p/d demand for domestic use based on various references. We have predicted the domestic water demand for all the cities on the basis of current per capita demand up to 2035 using UN projected population data. We found that the projected water demand in megacities such as Seoul, Busan, Shanghai, Ghuanzou are increasing because of high population as well as GDP growth rate. On the contrary, megacities of Japan considered in our stud shows less water demand in future due to decreasing trend of population. As per the past records provided by the local municipalities/authorities, we projected different scenarios based on the future supply for various megacities such as Chennai, Delhi, Karachi, Mumbai, Shanghai, Wuhan, etc. We found that the supply to demand ratio of these cities would be below 75% for future period and if such trend continues then the inhabitants will face serious water stress conditions. Outcomes of this study would help the local policy makers to adopt sustainable initiatives on urban water governance to avoid the severe water stress conditions in the vulnerable megacities.

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A Study on Use Behavior and Demand Forecasting of Legislative Information Service for the Member of the National Assembly (국회의원의 입법정보 이용행태와 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jeong-Kwon;Bae, Kyung-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.155-169
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to find a policy and to predict the needs of legislative information service of the 20th National Assembly. For this purpose, It is critical to understand the use behavior of legislative information service according to the attribute for the member of the 19th National Assembly. Thus, this study examined the results of reference service of National Assembly Library of Korea using the politics attribute and the relation attribute as independent variables for the member of the National Assembly in the First Half of the 19th National Assembly. Consequently, there were meaningful differences in the use of legislative information service between users by party affiliation, method of an election and introversion. Also, the increased demand of legislative information service was predicted in that the 20th National Assembly is the status of the opposition majority and the three major parties.

A Study on Effect in Demand by a Discounted Charge for Continuous Use on Toll Roads (유료도로 연계이용에 있어서 요금할인이 이용수요에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Heon-Yeong;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Kim, Jang-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2009
  • With an increasing number of cars in Korea, the government is constantly providing roads and their related facilities. However the fundamental problems of cities like the structure of cities and the environment of roads make the traffic congestion of downtowns. To solve this problem the construction of toll roads such as tunnels and bridges is increasing but use rates of drivers is low. With more tolls required, less persons will use the roads. Thus this study is to consider offering discounted charges when using the two or more toll roads together. This study analyzes the impact that discounted charges would bring to the demand. In the meantime we looks into what the proper range should be for the discount. The results of this study are expected to be used as basis for the introduction of a discount system in the future.

Baseline Demand Forecast Model by End-Use in Commercial Buildings (건물용도별 End-Use 기준수요 예측기법)

  • Rhee Chang Ho;Park Jong Jin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.680-682
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    • 2004
  • 수요관리 프로그램의 개발과 시행을 위해 서는 End-Use별로 수요예측과 잠재량 평가가 필수적이다. 업무용 전력수요는 건물용도에 따라 수요패턴이 상이하다. 여기서는 건물용도별 기준수요 예측을 위한 알고리즘과 절차를 제시하였으며, 이를 토대로 시산분석을 하였다. 용도별 전력수요는 사무실, 호텔, 병원, 도소매, 학교, 창고, 식당, 식료품, 체육시설 둥 건물용도로 구분하였으며, End-Use는 이중 6개 용도에 대해 조명, 동력, 공조, 사무, 기타 등 5개로 나누어 추정하였다.

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The Changes of Oriental Medicine and Medical Market in Korea (한국의료 시장의 변화와 한의학)

  • Lee Hyun ji;Kwon Young Kyu
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.52-54
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    • 2002
  • We investigated the changes in oriental medical market based on supply and demand of market in Korea. It is shown that the supply of western medical doctors is 6.6 times as large as that of oriental medical doctors(醫師) in 1998. The supply of western medical doctors(韓醫師) showed the greater increasing rate than that of oriental medical doctors in 1975. However, the supply of western medical doctors was almost the same as that of oriental medical doctors in the increasing rate between 1985 and 1995. Similar trends was observed in the number of hospitals and clinics. From of viewpoint of demand, the use of oriental medicine was remarkably increasing from 1990 to 1997. Oriental medical institution showed a marked increase of 48.1 % in the total medical institution showed an increase of 21.6%. These results provided a strong evidence that oriental medicine had greater increasing rate than western medicine in the supply and demand of medical market and suggest that the use of oriental medicine may play a role in the specialization of oriental medicine.

A Study on Daily Water Demand Prediction Model (급수량(給水量) 단기(短期) 수요예측(需要豫測)에 대한 연구(硏究))

  • Koo, Jayoug;Koizwui, Akirau;Inakazu, Toyono
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 1997
  • In this study, we examined the structural analysis of water demand fluctuation for water distribution control of water supply network. In order to analyze for the length of stationary time series, we calculate autocorrelation coefficient of each case equally divided data size. As a result, it was found that, with the data size of around three months, any case could be used as stationary time series. we analyze cross-correlation coefficient between the daily water consumption's data and primary influence factors. As a result, we have decided to use weather conditions and maximum temperature as natural primary factors and holidays as a social factor. Applying the multiple ARIMA model, we obtains an effective model to describe the daily water demand prediction. From the forecasting result, even though we forecast water distribution quantity of the following year, estimated values well express the flctuations of measurements. Thus, the suitability of the model for practical use can be confirmed. When this model is used for practical water distribution control, water distribution quantity for the following day should be found by inputting maximum temperature and weather conditions obtained from weather forecast, and water purification plants and service reservoirs should be operated based on this information while operation of pumps and valves should be set up. Consequently, we will be able to devise a rational water management system.

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Analysis of Domestic Water Consumption Characteristics for Water Usage Purpose (가정용수의 사용 목적별 소비경향 특성분석)

  • Choi, Sun-hee;Son, Mi-na;Kim, Sang-hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • Throughout the analysis of field data from water distribution system, valid parameters were determined that can be included in the water service and design plan. This study investigates water consumption patterns to understand the variation of water-demand structures utilizing the pattern analysis of domestic purpose water. Water use data were collected by a public water resources management firm in Korea, Kwater, for 140 houses monitored during three years. Flow meters were installed at the faucet for drinking water, the shower booth, the laundry machine, bathroom sink, toilet, and garden faucet. Data was filtered using multiple physically meaningful criteria to improve analysis credibility. Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho tests were used to carry out the analysis. Distinct factors of water consumption patterns can be determined for both increasing and decreasing trends of water use. Throughout the data analysis, the characterization of terms was classified and analyzed by the condition of the location of water-demand. Analysis of this data provide a physical basis for the parameter configuration of a reasonable design for a domestic water demand prediction model.

A simulation study of container size based on the variance of demand and interarrival time in Kanban systems (칸반시스템에서 수요와 도착간격 변동에 따른 컨테이너 크기에 관한 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Sohn, Kwon-Ik;Ham, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.19
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the effects of container size with multi-stage and multi-item on average inventory and customer service level in Kanban systems. We use the different distributions of demand and interarrival time for each item to show that we had better to change the container size depending on different type of item for this simulation study. The small lot size can be used for container size of a single item if there is no setup time. The container size should be identical with average order size as setup time increases. The fill rate increases if the container size is large with multi-item. However, it is difficult to establish the effective container size because the effects of the container size on the order queue time are not clear. It is suitable to use the average order size as the container size for each item if the variance of demand and interarrival time of each item is relatively small. It is effective to sue the average container size if the variance of them is relatively large.

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A Study on Car Ownership Forecasting Model using Category Analysis at High Density Mixed Use District in Subway Area

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2011
  • The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

Eurasian Economic Union: Asymmetries of Growth Factors

  • Khusainov, Bulat D.;Kireyeva, Anel A.;Sultanov, Ruslan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2017
  • The aim of the study is to assess the asymmetry of influence of factors of economic growth of national economies, which are included in the integration. Unlike previous research, the scientific significance of the obtained results consists in the use of a new method of study - external demand as a factor of economic growth, disaggregated into two components. The first is net exports mutual trade in goods within integration associations. The second is net exports of foreign trade in goods outside the integration. By use of these methods we have evaluated the contribution of these factors on economic growth of the Customs Union and the Common Economic Space (CU/CES), as well as Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus. In the conducted analysis of scientific research was based on the fact that the economies of the member (CU/CES) are very different in scale, economic potential and volume of foreign trade. Based on this research we conclude: integration is developing successfully and efficiently only with the rise of the national economies of the member countries; to enhance economic growth and competitiveness of the countries of the Eurasian integration it is necessary to increase the volume of mutual trade of member countries of this integration.