• Title/Summary/Keyword: ungauged watershed

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Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogeologic Parameters by Groundwater Table Fluctuation Model in Jeju Island (지하수위 변동 해석모델을 이용한 제주지역의 수리지질 매개변수 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Kim, Youn Jung;Chung, Il-Moon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1409-1420
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    • 2014
  • In this work, we have carried out a sensitivity analysis of hydrogeologic parameters such as reaction factor and drainable pore space in groundwater table fluctuation model and have found characteristics of parameter distribution according to the altitude. We found that drainable pore space which is hydrogeologic parameter of aquifer didn't show any trend with altitude while reaction factor which is groundwater flow characteristic showed clear trend with altitude. To find a sensitivity of parameters, we compared RMSE of estimated groundwater recharges by using the mean value and linear relationship of parameters. As results, the linear equation derived for entire watersheds could be applied to estimate parameters for ungauged watershed. Furthermore, the features of parameter distribution can be used to predict hydrogeologic parameter in ungauged watersheds and it is expected that those features could be used for a basic data for groundwater modeling.

A Study on Regionalization of Parameters for Sacramento Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Watershed Characteristics (유역특성인자를 활용한 Sacramento 장기유출모형의 매개변수 지역화 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Jeong, Ga-In;Kim, Ki-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.793-806
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    • 2015
  • The simulation of natural streamflow at ungauged basins is one of the fundamental challenges in hydrology community. The key to runoff simulation in ungauged basins is generally involved with a reliable parameter estimation in a rainfall-runoff model. However, the parameter estimation of the rainfall-runoff model is a complex issue due to an insufficient hydrologic data. This study aims to regionalize the parameters of a continuous rainfall-runoff model in conjunction with a Bayesian statistical technique to consider uncertainty more precisely associated with the parameters. First, this study employed Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme for the estimation of the Sacramento rainfall-runoff model. The Sacramento model is calibrated against observed daily runoff data, and finally, the posterior density function of the parameters is derived. Second, we applied a multiple linear regression model to the set of the parameters with watershed characteristics, to obtain a functional relationship between pairs of variables. The proposed model was also validated with gauged watersheds in accordance with the efficiency criteria such as the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, index of agreement and the coefficient of correlation.

Inundation Analysis on the Flood Plain in Ungauged Area Using Satellite Rainfall and Global Geographic Data: In the case of Tumen/Namyang Area in Duman-gang(Riv.) (위성강우와 글로벌 지형 자료를 이용한 미계측 지역 홍수터 침수모의 : 두만강 도문/남양 지역을 중심으로)

  • CHOI, Yun-Seok;KIM, Joo-Hun;KIM, Ji-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to present a method for quantitative analysis of flooding at the flood plain in an ungauged area using satellite rainfall and global geographic data. For this, flooding of the Tumen/Namyang area in the Duman-gang(Riv.) was simulated and the flood conditions were quantitatively analyzed. The IMERG data, a rainfall data derived from satellite images, was used as rainfall data. The GRM model was applied to the watershed runoff simulation, and the G2D model was applied to the flooding simulation of the Tumen/Namyang area. Flood event caused by Typhoon Lionrock in August 2016 was applied. Recorded peak discharge of the Tumen/Namyang region was used to verify the runoff simulation results. To verify the result of the inundation simulation, the flood situation collected through field survey and satellite image data before and after the flood were used. The peak flow rates by the runoff simulation and flood record were 7,639㎥/s and 7,630㎥/s, respectively, with a relative error of about 0.1%. In the flood simulation, the results were similar to the flooding ranges identified in the survey data and satellite images. And the changes of flooding depth and flooding time in the flood plain in Tumen/Namyang area could also be assessed. The methods and results of this study will be useful for the quantitative assessment of floods in the ungauged areas.

Analysis of Effects on SWAT Estimation of Warm-Up Period

  • Lee, Ji-Won;Moon, Jong-Pil;Woo, Won-Hee;Kum, Dong-Hyuk;Kim, Ki-Sung;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.260-260
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    • 2011
  • SWAT is semi-distributed and continuous-time distributed simulation watershed model, which can simulate point and nonpoint source pollutants as well as hydrology and water quality. It was developed to predict the effects of alternative management decisions on water, sediment, and chemical yields with reasonable accuracy. It is able to predict and manage hydrology, sediments, nutrients, and pesticides with Best Management Practices (BMPs) in a watershed. SWAT model also has potential for use in ungauged basins to predict streamflow and baseflow from saturated source area in watersheds. According to various cultivation practices and climate change, SWAT model is available to analyze relative change in hydrology and water quality. In order to establish optimum management of water quality, both monitering and modeling have been conducted actively using SWAT model. As SWAT model is computer program to simulate a lot of natural phenomena, it has limitation to predict and reflect them with on hundred percent accuracy. Thus, it is possible to analyze the effect of BMPs in the watershed where users want to simulate hydrology and water quality only if model accuracy and applicability are assessed first of all and the result of it is well for the study watershed. For assessment of SWAT applicability, most researchers have used $R^2$ and Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE). $R^2$ and NSE are likely to show different results according to a warm up period and sometimes its results are very different. There have been hardly any studies of whether warm up period can affect simulation results in SWAT model. In this study, how warm up period has a effect on SWAT results was analyzed and a appropriate warm up period was suggested. Lots of SWAT results were compared after using measured data of Soyanggang-dam watershed and applying various warm up period (0 ~ 10 year(s)). As a result of this study, when there was no warm up period, $R^2$ and NSE were 0.645, 0.602 respectively, when warm up period was 2 years, $R^2$ and NSE were 0.648, 0.632, and when warm up period was 4 years, $R^2$ and NSE were 0.663, 0.652 separately. Through this study, sensitive analysis of warm up period in SWAT model was conducted, and this study could give a guideline able to simulate hydrology and water quality for more accuracy than before as users change a lot of warm up periods as well as any simulation parameters.

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A Study on Estimate of Sediment Yield Using Tank Model in Oship River Mouth of East Coast (Tank 모형을 이용한 동해안 오십천 하구의 유사량 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sank-Hyeok;Ok, Yong-Sik;Kim, Sang-Ryul;Ji, Jeong-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.268-274
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    • 2011
  • BACKGROUND: A large scale of sediment load delivered from watershed causes substantial waterway damages and water quality degradation. Controlling sediment loading requires the knowledge of the soil erosion and sedimentation. The various factors such as watershed size, slope, climate, land use may affect sediment delivery processes. Traditionally sediment delivery ratio prediction equations have been developed by relating watershed characteristics to measured sediment yield divided by predicted gross erosion. However, sediment prediction equations have been developed for only a few regions because of limited sediment data. Besides, little research has been done on the prediction of sediment delivery ratio for asia monsoon period in mountainous watershed. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study Tank model was expanded and applied for estimating sediment yield to Oship River of east coast. The rainfall-runoff in 2006 was verified using the Tank model and we derived good result between observed and calculated discharge in 2009 at the same conditions. In relation to sediment yield, the sediment delivery rate of 2006 was very high than 2009 regardless of methods for estimating sediment load. It was thought to be affected by heavy rainfall due to the typhoon. CONCLUSION(s): For estimating sediment volume from watershed, long-term monitoring data on discharge and sediment is needed. This model will be able to apply to predict discharge and sediment yield simultaneously in ungauged area. This approach is more effective and less expensive method than the traditional method which needs a lot of data collection.

A STUDY ON THE PARAMETER ESTIMATION OF SNYDER-TYPE SYNTHETIC UNIT-HYDROGRAPH DEVELOPMENT IN KUM RIVER BASIN

  • Jeong, Sang-man;Park, Seok-Chae;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2001
  • Synthetic unit hydrograph equations for rainfall run-off characteristics analysis and estimation of design flood have long and quite frequently been presented, the Snyder and SCS synthetic unit hydrograph. The major inputs to the Snyder and SCS synthetic unit hydrograph are lag time and peak coefficient. In this study, the methods for estimating lag time and peak coefficient for small watersheds proposed by Zhao and McEnroe(1999) were applied to the Kum river basin in Korea. We investigated lag times of relatively small watersheds in the Kum river basin in Korea. For this investigation the recent rainfall and stream flow data for 10 relatively small watersheds with drainage areas ranging from 134 to 902 square kilometers were gathered and used. 250 flood flow events were identified along the way, and the lag time for the flood events was determined by using the rainfall and stream flow data. Lag time is closely related with the basin characteristics of a given drainage area such as channel length, channel slope, and drainage area. A regression analysis was conducted to relate lag time to the watershed characteristics. The resulting regression model is as shown below: ※ see full text (equations) In the model, Tlag is the lag time in hours, Lc is the length of the main river in kilometers and Se is the equivalent channel slope of the main channel. The coefficient of determinations (r$^2$)expressed in the regression equation is 0.846. The peak coefficient is not correlated significantly with any of the watershed characteristics. We recommend a peak coefficient of 0.60 as input to the Snyder unit-hydrograph model for the ungauged Kum river watersheds

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Estimation of Ungauged Watershed Streamflow using Downstream Discharge Data -In the Case of Kumho River Watershed- (하류 유량자료를 이용한 상류 유역의 미계측 유출량 추정 - 금호강 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Park, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Chi-Young;Jung, Sung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.878-878
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    • 2012
  • 도시개발에 따른 인구증가와 강수의 계절적 편중 등으로 인하여 우리나라의 수자원량은 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 이러한 수자원을 효율적으로 이용하기 위해서는 유역의 가용 수자원량의 파악과 이에 따른 최적배분이 필요하다. 이러한 하천유량은 우량이나 수위와 같이 연속관측이 어렵기 때문에 관측치가 한정되어 있는 것이 일반적이며 자연하천에서 실시간으로 유량자료를 생산하는 것은 많은 인력과 장비, 경비가 필요하게 된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 유량자료의 생산에 있어서 시간과 비용의 경제성 등을 고려하고 좀 더 효율적인 방법을 찾기 위하여 낙동강 유역의 제 1지류인 금호강 유역 내에 위치한 동촌 수위관측소의 유량자료를 이용하여 상류에 위치한 금호 단포교 지점을 미계측 유역이라 가정한 후 유량추정방법에 따른 적용성 검토를 위해 강우-유출모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)과 유역면적만을 활용하는 비유량법(Drainage-area ratio method), 유출에 영향을 주는 지형인자를 이용하는 지역회귀방법(Regional regression method)을 적용하여 그 타당성을 비교하였다. 모의된 결과, 동촌 금호 단포교 지점의 연간 상하류 유량비교에서 유량반전은 없었으며 비유량법의 유량추정에서는 높은 상관성을 보였으나 2008년과 2009년의 가뭄으로 인하여 강우-유출모형의 유량추정에서는 낮은 상관성을 보여주었다. 지역회귀방법에서는 수위관측소별 유황자료를 종속변수로 유역면적, 유역평균경사, 유로연장을 독립변수로 하는 회귀식을 산정하여 비교하였으나 본 연구에서는 사용된 자료수가 적고 수리구조물을 이용한 회귀수량 등으로 인하여 갈수량이 실측유량과는 다소 차이가 발생하였다. 미계측 유역의 유량추정시에는 자료의 축척기간과 연도별로 안정된 호우사상, 유역의 적절한 배분에 따라 결과치가 좌우되며 본 연구에서 사용된 유량추정은 관측 자료를 기초로 한 간접적인 방법들이였다. 결과적으로 금호강 유역의 동촌 지점을 이용하여 유량추정방법들을 적용해본 결과 비유량법과 강우-유출모형을 사용하는 것이 적정하였으나 관측 자료의 축적기간이 길고 상하류 간의 유량이 안정된 유역에서는 지역회귀방법의 적용으로도 안정된 유량을 산정할 것이라고 판단된다.

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Development and Application of Total Maximum Daily Loads Simulation System Using Nonpoint Source Pollution Model (비점원오염모델을 이용한 오염총량모의시스템의 개발 및 적용)

  • Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2003
  • The objectives of this study are to develop the total maximum daily loads simulation system, TOLOS that is capable of estimating annual nonpoint source pollution from small watersheds, to monitor the hydrology and water quality of the Balkan HP#6 watershed, and to validate TOLOS with the field data. TOLOS consists of three subsystems: the input data processor based on a geographic information system, the models, and the post processor. Land use pattern at the tested watershed was classified from the Landsat TM data using the artificial neutral network model that adopts an error back propagation algorithm. Paddy field components were added to SWAT model to simulate water balance at irrigated paddy blocks. SWAT model parameters were obtained from the GIS data base, and additional parameters calibrated with field data. TOLOS was then tested with ungauged conditions. The simulated runoff was reasonably good as compared with the observed data. And simulated water quality parameters appear to be reasonably comparable to the field data.

Assessment of Uncertainty for Applying Nash's Model Using the Hydrologic Similarity of Basins (유역의 수문학적 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형의 불확실성 평가)

  • Seong, Kee-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.399-411
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    • 2003
  • An approach determining a confidence interval of Nash's observed mean instantaneous unit hydrograph is developed. In the approach, both two parameters are treated as correlated gaussian random variables based on the theory of Box-Cox transformation and the regional similarity relation, so that linear statistical parameter estimation is possible. A parametric bootstrap method is adopted to give the confidence interval of the mean observed hydrograph. The proposed methodology is also applicable to estimate the parameters of Nash's model for un-gauged basins. An application to a watershed has shown that the proposed approach is adequate to assess the uncertainty of the Nash's hydrograph and to evaluate parameters for un-gauged basins.

Estimation of the Flash Flood Severity using Flash Flood Index (돌발홍수지수를 이용한 돌발홍수심도 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Choi, Hyun-Il;Lee, Dong-Eui;Kang, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this study is to quantify the severity of flash food for a study watershed in Korea by estimation of flash food index using flood runoff hydrograph following Bhaskar et. al (2000). As an extension of the previous research, we examine the relation between flash food index and rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and total runoff, respectively. This study has estimated the flash food index through simulated flood hydrographs to investigate the relative severity of flash flood in an ungauged basin, Megok river basin for 31 flood events.