• 제목/요약/키워드: underestimation

검색결과 347건 처리시간 0.029초

Malignant Mesothelioma in Eastern Asia

  • Bianchi, Claudio;Bianchi, Tommaso
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.4849-4853
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    • 2012
  • Relatively low numbers of malignant mesotheliomas have been reported from Eastern Asia. In order to explore the causes of this fact, the available data on mesothelioma incidence/mortality in five countries (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore) were reviewed. Data on the industrial histories of the above countries were also examined. Mesothelioma incidence was low, despite a history of high shipbuilding and port activities, in which heavy exposure to asbestos generally has occurred. Underestimation of mesothelioma could partly explain the above discrepancy. Moreover, in some areas a sufficient latency period for mesothelioma development may have not yet elapsed, due to recent industrialization. However, other possibilities have to be considered. The cancer epidemiology in Eastern Asia differs deeply from that seen in Western countries, an indication of differences in etiologic factors of cancer as well as in co-factors. In addition, the oncogenic spectrum of asbestos is wide, and not completely defined. In a very different milieu from that of Western countries, asbestos could preferentially hit targets other than serosal membranes.

Estimating Reorder Points for ARMA Demand with Arbitrary Variable Lead Time

  • An, Bong-Geun;Hong, Kwan-Soo
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 1992
  • It an inventory control system, the demand over time are often assumed to be independently identically distributed (i. i. d.). However, the demands may well be correlated over time in many situations. The estimation of reorder points is not simple for correlated demands with variable lead time. In this paper, a general class of autoregressive and moving average processes is considered for modeling the demands of an inventory item. The first four moments of the lead-time demand (L) are derived and used to approximate the distribution of L. The reorder points at given service level are then estimated by the three approximation methods : normal approximation, Charlier series and Pearson system. Numerical investigation shows that the Pearson system and the Charlier series performs extremely well for various situations whereas the normal approximation show consistent underestimation and sensitive to the distribution of lead time. The same conclusion can be reached when the parameters are estimated from the sample based on the simulation study.

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Bayesian Inference for Censored Panel Regression Model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Choi, Byongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2014
  • It was recognized by some researchers that the disturbance variance in a censored regression model is frequently underestimated by the maximum likelihood method. This underestimation has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard errors. For instance, the actual coverage probability of the confidence interval based on a maximum likelihood estimate can be significantly smaller than the nominal confidence level; consequently, a Bayesian estimation is considered to overcome this difficulty. The behaviors of the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators of disturbance variance are examined in a fixed effects panel regression model with a limited dependent variable, which is known to have the incidental parameter problem. Behavior under random effect assumption is also investigated.

Application of Weibull Distribution Function to Analysis of Breakthrough Curves from Push Pull Tracer Test

  • Hyun-Tae, Hwang;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2003년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.217-220
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    • 2003
  • In the case of the remediation studies, push pull test is a more time and cost effective mettled than multi-well tracer test. It also gives Just as much or more information than the traditionally used methods. But the data analysis for the hydraulic parameters, there have been some defections such as underestimation of dispersivity, requirement for effective porosity, and calculation of recovery of center of mass to estimate linear velocity. In this research, Weibull distribution function is proposed to estimate the center of mass of breakthrough curve for Push pull test. The hydraulic parameter estimation using Weibull function showed more exact values of center of mass than those of exponential regression for field test data.

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담수호 저층배수시설 방류구 위치선정을 위한 저층방류수 해양수중 혼합특성해석

  • 박영욱;구본충;권순국
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2005
  • Initial mixing characteristics in near field regions were analyzed by FLOW-3D, for analyzing mixing behavior of submerged discharge from freshwater lake in sea water. FLOW-3D model was applied to the region near Geum-ho dike for its verification. Simulation results from FLOW-3D were compared to the observed data for the verification periods. FLOW-3D showed resonable prediction results compared to the observed data, except underestimation in area near outfall. Particularly, FLOW-3D showed a good prediction for movement of buoyancy jets. In addition, FLOW-3D model was applied to the region near Saemangeum dike, which is to be constructed in near future. It was expected that the results of model application to Saemangeum area could provide substantial information in planning submerged discharge facilities. Based on the model applications to Saemangeum area, it was recommended that outfall should be located to the distance which gave an enough depth of outfall from water surface.

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대기업 첨단기술 연구소의 핵심인재 이직인식에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Turnover Awareness of Key Member In Research Institute of High Technology Company)

  • 이재하
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2005
  • This study is to investigate empirically the turnover awareness of key member working in Research & Development Division in high technology electronic R&D institute. Through the analysis of 106 questionnaires and individual depth interview with key member who is evaluated as core researcher and developer in their working project or has good results in the last 2-3 years, this study obtains the practical informations on the understandings of their professional consciousness and extend of turnover awareness etc. The findings are as follows. Two-thirds of the researcher has the mind of turnover to improve job stability and develop their career. They have an self-awareness that they are key member as a core competent person in working project and their organization, but are dissatisfied with the underestimation of their performances that are not recognized by the organization as they expected level. And the result indicates that many of them haven't find their visions in their organization.

DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF COUPLED DYNAMICS CODE 'TRIKIN' FOR VVER REACTORS

  • Obaidurrahman, K.;Doshi, J.B.;Jain, R.P.;Jagannathan, V.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.259-270
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    • 2010
  • New generation nuclear reactors are designed using advanced safety analysis methods. A thorough understanding of different interacting physical phenomena is necessary to avoid underestimation and overestimation of consequences of off-normal transients in the reactor safety analysis results. This feature requires a multiphysics reactor simulation model. In this context, a coupled dynamics model based on a multiphysics formulation is developed indigenously for the transient analysis of large pressurized VVER reactors. Major simplifications are employed in the model by making several assumptions based on the physics of individual phenomenon. Space and time grids are optimized to minimize the computational bulk. The capability of the model is demonstrated by solving a series of international (AER) benchmark problems for VVER reactors. The developed model was used to analyze a number of reactivity transients that are likely to occur in VVER reactors.

Evaluation of coolant density history effect in RBMK type fuel modelling

  • Tonkunas, Aurimas;Pabarcius, Raimоndas;Slavickas, Andrius
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권11호
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    • pp.2415-2421
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    • 2020
  • The axial heterogeneous void distribution in a fuel channel is a relevant and important issue during nuclear reactor analysis for LWR, especially for boiling water channel-type reactors. Variation of the coolant density in fuel channel has an effect on the neutron spectrum that will in turn have an impact on the values of absolute reactivity, the void reactivity coefficient, and the fuel isotopic compositions during irradiation. This effect is referring to as the history effect in light water reactor calculations. As the void reactivity effect is positive in RBMK type reactors, the underestimation of water density heterogeneity in 3D reactor core numerical calculations could cause an uncertainty during assessment of safe operation of nuclear reactor. Thus, this issue is analysed with different cross-section libraries which were generated with WIMS8 code at different reference water densities. The libraries were applied in single fuel model of the nodal code of QUABOX-CUBBOX/HYCA. The thermohydraulic part of HYCA allowed to simulate axial water distribution along fuel assembly model and to estimate water density history effect for RBMK type fuel.

고유동콘크리트의 거푸집측압 예측을 위한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study on Extimation for Formwork Pressures with High Flowable Concrete)

  • 김종우;이대근;김기수;강지훈;이영욱
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1996년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1996
  • The design of formwork system for vertical form faces is controlled by pressures predicted to act against the formwork by fresh concrete. An overestimation of pressure results in heavy, and ex-pensive formwork. An underestimation results in malformed structure, of in some cases, it causes the failure of the formwork. This study is a preliminary step in determination lateral pressures with High folwable concrete. To estimate lateral formwork pressures, we measured tensile strain of formtie in the movable part of the form. From the experimental results maximum lateral pressure and the location at which maximum pressures occurs, were determined. The experimental results are compared with the results predicted by the Gardner & Qureshi's proposed equation and the accepted Korean Standard Specification for concrete and ACI equation.

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다결정 자화곡선을 이용한 콘이방성물질의 스핀재배열각 결정법 : $Nd_2Fe_{14}B$에의 적용 (A New Method to Determine the Spin Rorientation Angle of Cone Anisotropy from Polcrystalline Magnetization Curves: Anisotropy from Polycrystalline Magnetization Curves Application to $Nd_2Fe_{14}B$)

  • 감윤배;;김만중;김택기
    • 한국자기학회지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.144-149
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    • 1998
  • 자장중에서 정렬시킨 다결정 분말의 자화곡선을 이용하여 콘이방성의 스핀재배열각을 결정할 수 있는 새로운 방법을 제시하였다. 이방법을 이용하여 Nd2Fe14B 다결정시료의 스핀재배열각을 구한 결과 단결정과 일치하는 결과를 얻었다. 4.2K에서의 Nd2Fe14B의 스핀재배열각을 결정함에 있어서 저면이방성효과가 무시될 경우 약 9%의 낮은 값이 얻어질 것으로 예상된다.

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