• 제목/요약/키워드: underestimation

검색결과 353건 처리시간 0.022초

수돗물에서의 대장균군 재생장과 손상 대장균군 (Coliform Regrowth and Injured Coliforms in Public Water Supply)

  • 박성주;조재창;김상종
    • 환경위생공학
    • /
    • 제9권2호
    • /
    • pp.50-57
    • /
    • 1994
  • Densities of total and injured coliforms in treated water( TW ) and three tap water salt pies( Taps Kl, K2 and K3) of Ku- eui water treatment plant and one tap water sample( Tap T) of Tuk- do water treatment plant were measured 23 times from 1991 to 1992. Coliform regrowth in the water distribution system occurred three times during the study period. When the regrowth episode occurred, injured coliforms were always but total coliforms were not always detected in treated water. Mean densities of total coliforms in TW, and Taps Kl, K2, K3 and T were 0.8, 2.3, 1.9, 1.4 and 2.1 cfu/100mℓ by membrane filtration method using m- TF agar and those of injured coliforms were 3.4, 2.8, 2.5, 2.7 and 2.9 c1u/100mℓ using mondo- LES agar. The injury rates of TW and Taps Kl, K2, K3 and T were 89.5,77.4,67.9, 82.8 and 75.9%, respectively. The high injury rate of coliform bacteria in Seoul water supply can cause regrowth problems in distribution systems due to the repair of injured cells under an appropriate condition. It is recommended the injured coliforms should be measured in drinking water since they can lead to a significant underestimation of total coliforms and result in an inaccurate evaluation of the potential health risks.

  • PDF

고속도로의 용량산정 방법론 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of New Freeway Capacity Estimation Method)

  • 김영선;이상수
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제17권5호
    • /
    • pp.123-133
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study aimed to develop a new highway capacity estimation method and provide comparative results among traditional capacity estimation methods and the recommended values in the latest version of KHCM. METHODS : The limitations of the existing methods, such as inconsistency and underestimation of the capacity value, are summarized through an extensive literature review. To overcome these limitations, a new method is introduced by adopting a definition of capacity and traffic flow characteristics at or near breakdown points. This method can produce the capacity value by searching a point corresponding to the maximum traffic flow through analysis of gradient changes (point of inflection) of the traffic flow and speed distribution. Comparative results of capacity values from each method are also presented to validate the new method by using data collected from detectors on freeways. RESULTS: From the analysis results, it is shown that a consistent capacity value can be estimated by applying the new method. In addition, the resulting capacity values are 3%-4% higher than those recommended in KHCM. CONCLUSIONS : The capacity values listed in the current KHCM tend to produce underestimated results. The new method presented in this paper may be included in the future edition of KHCM.

동아시아 및 남한 지역에서의 Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) 일강수량의 지상관측 검증 (Evaluation of Daily Precipitation Estimate from Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) Data over South Korea and East Asia)

  • 이주원;이은희
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제28권3호
    • /
    • pp.273-289
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper evaluates daily precipitation products from Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multisatellite (TRMM) Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), and the Climate Prediction Center Morphing Method (CMORPH), validated against gauge observation over South Korea and gauge-based analysis data East Asia during one year from June 2014 to May 2015. It is found that the three products effectively capture the seasonal variation of mean precipitation with relatively good correlation from spring to fall. Among them, IMERG and TMPA show quite similar precipitation characteristics but overall underestimation is found from all precipitation products during winter compared with observation. IMERG shows reliably high performance in precipitation for all seasons, showing the most unbiased and accurate precipitation estimation. However, it is also noticed that IMERG reveals overestimated precipitation for heavier precipitation thresholds. This assessment work suggests the validity of the IMERG product for not only seasonal precipitation but also daily precipitation, which has the potential to be used as reference precipitation data.

항공 라이다 자료를 이용한 영역 기반 차폐율 지도 제작 (Region-based Canopy Cover Mapping Using Airborne Lidar Data)

  • 김용민;어양담;전민철;김형태;김창재
    • 대한공간정보학회지
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-36
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 항공 라이다 자료를 이용하여 영역 기반 차폐율 지도를 제작하는데 목적이 있다. 영역 기반 차폐율을 산정하기 위하여 대표적인 영역 분할 기법인 유역 분할(Watershed) 기법을 라이다 자료의 고도값에 적용하였으며, 추출된 영역들을 기반으로 차폐율을 산정하였다. 포인트 기반의 라이다 분류 자료를 래스터 자료로 변환하는 과정에서 빈도수 방법을 사용함으로써 포인트 기반의 차폐율 산정법에서 발생하는 과소 과대 추정 문제를 해결하였다. 또한, 분할의 정도를 달리함으로써 필요에 따라 다양한 축척의 차폐율 지도를 작성할 수 있었다. 제안 기법을 통해 제작된 차폐율 지도는 기존 임상도에서 제공하는 소밀도에 비해 보다 정확하고 세밀한 정보를 제공함을 확인할 수 있었다.

불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정 (Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty)

  • 김형수;김유진;이지원
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.41-52
    • /
    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

  • PDF

콘크리트 크리프의 확률론적 거동 해석 (The Analysis of Statistical Behavior in Concrete Creep)

  • 김두환;박종철
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.237-246
    • /
    • 2001
  • This study is to measure the creep coefficient by 3 days, 7 days and 28 days in the age when loading for the quality assessment of $350kgf/cm^2$ in the high-strength concrete. And it is to analyze the behavior of creep coefficient by applying the experimental data though the compressive strength test, the elastic modulus test and the dry shrinkage test to the ACI-209, AASHTO-94 and CEB/FIP-90, the prediction mode, and the basis of concrete structural design. Also it is to analyze the behavior of short-term creep coefficient during 91 days in the age when loading through the experiment by using the regression analysis, the statistical theory. As applying it to the long-term behavior during 365 days and comparing with the creep prediction mode and examining it, the result from the analysis of the quality of the concrete is as follows. As the result of comparison and analysis about the ACI-209, AASHTO-94 and CEB/FIP-90, the prediction mode, and the basis of concrete structural design, the normal Portland cement class 1 shows the approximate value with the prediction of GEE/PIP-90 and the basis of concrete structural design, but in case of the prediction of ACI-209 and AASHTO-94, there would be worry of underestimation in the application.

  • PDF

Extraction of the atmospheric path radiance in relation to retrieval of ocean color information from the TM and SeaWiFS imageries

  • Ahn, Yu-Hwan;Shanmugam, P.
    • 한국GIS학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국GIS학회 2004년도 GIS/RS 공동 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.241-246
    • /
    • 2004
  • The ocean signal that reaches the detector of an imaging system after multiple interactions with the atmospheric molecules and aerosols was retrieved from the total signal recorded at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). A simple method referred to as 'Path Extraction' applied to the Landsat-TM ocean imagery of turbid coastal water was compared with the conventional dark-pixel subtraction technique. The shape of the path-extracted water-leaving radiance spectrum resembled the radiance spectrum measured in-situ. The path-extraction was also extended to the SeaWiFS ocean color imagery and compared with the standard SeaWiFS atmospheric correction algorithm, which relays on the assumption of zero water leaving radiance at the two NIR wavebands (765 and 865nm). The path-extracted water-leaving radiance was good agreement with the measured radiance spectrum. In contrast, the standard SeaWiFS atmospheric correction algorithm led to essential underestimation of the water-leaving radiance in the blue-green part of the spectrum. The reason is that the assumption of zero water-leaving radiance at 755 and 865nm fails due to backscattering by suspended mineral particles. Therefore, the near infrared channels 765 and 865nm used fur deriving the aerosol information are no longer valid for turbid coastal waters. The path-extraction is identified as a simple and efficient method of extracting the path radiance largely introduced due to light interaction through the complex atmosphere carried several aerosol and gaseous components and at the air-sea interface.interface.

  • PDF

New Ballard Scale(NBS)의 확장 적용 (Application of the New Ballard Scale with Extended Scoring System in Full-term Newborns)

  • 안영미;김남희
    • Child Health Nursing Research
    • /
    • 제13권4호
    • /
    • pp.436-443
    • /
    • 2007
  • Purpose: An exploratory study was done to examine the validity of the new Ballard scale with extended scoring system(eNBS) in estimating gestational age(AG) in full-term newborns. Method: The eNBS scoring system was extended to include all numbers of total score of NBS and GA to allow a 3-days variation in GA estimatio compared to the original scale which has a 2-week variation due to the application of a 5-score interval for the total NBS score and only even numbers for GA. GA by eNBS(GA-eNBS) was compared with GA by LMP(GA-LMP) and GA by standard NBS(GA-sNBS) in 133 full-term newborns. Difference between GA-LMP and GA-eNBS was analyzed for each GA. Results: Positive correlations were observed in GA-sNBS and GA-eNBS with GA-LMP. There was no difference between GA-LMP and GA-eNBS at 39GA and 40GA. At 37GA and 38GA, GA-eNBS overestimated GA-LMP up to 1 week, while underestimating up to 1 week at 41GA. Conclusions: The accuracy of eNBS was validated within 3 days of variation in GA estimation at 39-40GA. Overestimation by eNBS suggests the possible acceleration of fetal maturity in premature newborns, while underestimation, of the deceleration of fetal maturity in postterm newborns.

  • PDF

무응답 대체 방법과 대체 효과 (Imputation Methods for Nonresponse and Their Effect)

  • 김규성
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
    • /
    • 제1권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2000
  • 사회${\cdot}$경제조사에서 흔히 발생하는 무응답에 대한 통계적 대처 방안을 고찰하였다. 항목 무응답이 발생했을 때 무응답 데이터를 포함하지 않는 완전 데이터를 만드는 방법으로 무응답 대체 방법이 널리 이용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 여러 가지 대체 방법을 소개하고 각 방법의 장${\cdot}$단점을 비교${\cdot}$설명하였다. 또한 대체된 데이터를 응답 데이터인 것처럼 활용했을 때 발생하는 문제점들을 지적하였다. 무응답을 대체하면 대체된 값들 때문에 대체 후 추정량의 분산은 대체 분산만큼 증가하는 반면, 대체된 데이터에 기초한 통상적인 분산추정량은 대체 분산을 추정하지 못하므로 결과적으로 대체 후 추정량의 분산을 과소추정하게 된다. 이러한 분산의 과소추정의 원인을 이론적으로 고찰하였고, 모의실험을 통하여 그 결과의 심각성을 설명하였다. 마지막으로 분산의 과소추정 문제를 해결하는 몇 가지 수정된 분산추정 방법을 소개하고 토의하였다.

  • PDF

서해안 준설토의 침강 및 자중압밀 특성에 관한 연구 (The Characteristics of Sedimentation and Self-weight Consolidation for Dredged Soils of the Westcoast)

  • 김민규;임종철;권정근;주인곤
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 세계 도시지반공학 심포지엄
    • /
    • pp.1147-1157
    • /
    • 2009
  • Recently this country has carried out the coast reclamation centering on the west and south coast for effective practical use of a country, considering purchase of materials and environmental problem, and carrying into effort the reclamation method after dredging the ground in the ocean. In this large scale ocean dredging reclaiming work, prediction the ground subsidence after reclaiming is very important for not only expense lose by overestimation or underestimation but also hereafter the best suited project establishment. this study carries out sedimentation and self weight consolidation in each cases and searches the features to analyze effect on kinds of soil of ground before dredging, abandonment height when it abandons momentary, void ratio, difference of abandonment height when it abandons by stages and difference of particle content of spoil.

  • PDF