• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertainty management

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Fuzzy AHP Approach to TQM Strategy Evaluation

  • Tseng, Ming-Lang;Lin, Yuan-Hsu;Chiu, Anthony SF;Chen, Chia Yi
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.34-43
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    • 2008
  • In recent years, many electronics producing firms have looked upon total quality management (TQM) strategy as a means by which they could maintain competitive advantage. This empirical research evaluates TQM strategic factors in order to determine the critical success factors in environmental uncertainty. Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is the proposed research methodology to discuss and tackle the different decision criteria like effective leadership, people management, customer focus, strategic plan and process management, being involved in identifying the TQM strategic critical success factors with uncertainty. The result shows that effective leadership is the most critical success factor in TQM strategy.

Development of Advanced Vehicle Tracking System Using the Uncertainty Processing of Past and Future Locations

  • Kim Dong Ho;Kim Jin Suk
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2004.08c
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    • pp.729-734
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    • 2004
  • The e-Logistics means the virtual business activity and service architecture among the logistics companies based on the Internet technology. The management of vehicles' location in most conventional vehicle tracking system has some critical defects when it deals with data which are continuously changed. It means the conventional vehicle tracking system based on the conventional database is unable eventually to cope with the environment that should manage the frequently changed location of vehicles. The important things in the evaluation of the vehicle tracking system is to determine the threshold of cost of database ,update period and communication period between vehicles and the system. In other words, the difference between the reallocation of vehicle and the data in database can evaluate the overall performance of vehicle tracking systems. Most of the previous works considers only the information that is valid at the current time, and is hard to manage efficiently the past and future information. To overcome this problem, the efforts on moving objects management system(MOMS) and uncertainty processing have been started from a few years ago. In this paper, we propose an uncertainty processing model and system implementation of moving object that tracks the location of the vehicles. We adopted both linear-interpolation method and trigonometric function to chase up the location of vehicles for the past time as well as future time, respectively. We also explain the comprehensive examples of MOMS and uncertainty processing in parcel application that is one of major application of e-Logistics domain.

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Optimal Routing and Uncertainty Processing using Geographical Information for e-Logistics Chain Execution

  • Kim, Jin Suk;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2004
  • The integrated supply chain of business partners for e-Commerce in cyber space is defined as Logistics Chain if the cooperative activities are logistics-related. Logistics Chain could be managed effectively and efficiently by cooperative technologies of logistics chain execution. In this paper, we propose a routing and scheduling algorithm based on the Tabu search by adding geographical information into existing constraint for pick-up and delivery process to minimize service time and cost in logistics chain. And, we also consider an uncertainty processing for the tracing of moving object to control pick-up and delivery vehicles based on GPS/GIS/ITS. Uncertainty processing is required to minimize amount of telecommunication and database on vehicles tracing. Finally, we describe the Logistics Chain Execution (LCE) system to perform plan and control activities for postal logistics chain. To evaluate practical effects of the routing and scheduling system, we perform a pretest for the performance of the tabu search algorithm. And then we compare our result with the result of the pick-up and delivery routing plan generated manually by postmen.

Uncertainty Study: Information Seeking Behaviors of Doctoral Students in Business Management (정보행태 불확신성에 관한 연구 - 경영학분야 박사과정 연구자들을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Yang-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.65-89
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    • 2012
  • Using grounded theory, this study investigated users' information seeking behaviors associated with their perceptions of uncertainty. Based on a theoretical sampling, 17 doctoral students in the field of business management were recruited. Data was collected through the methods of questionnaire, interviewing, and think-aloud descriptions. The results identified user perceptions of uncertainty in the following stages: identification of information needs, selection of information systems, selection of search terms, actual use of systems, and evaluation of search results. In addition, positive aspects of uncertainties were presented. Major implications relate to information system and service improvements.

Evaluation of a Land Use Change Matrix in the IPCC's Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry Area Sector Using National Spatial Information

  • Park, Jeongmook;Yim, Jongsu;Lee, Jungsoo
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2017
  • This study compared and analyzed the construction of a land use change matrix for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) land use, land use change, and forestry area (LULUCF). We used National Forest Inventory (NFI) permanent sample plots (with a sample intensity of 4 km) and permanent sample plots with 500 m sampling intensity. The land use change matrix was formed using the point sampling method, Level-2 Land Cover Maps, and forest aerial photographs (3rd and 4th series). The land use change matrix using the land cover map indicated that the annual change in area was the highest for forests and cropland; the cropland area decreased over time. We evaluated the uncertainty of the land use change matrix. Our results indicated that the forest land use, which had the most sampling, had the lowest uncertainty, while the grassland and wetlands had the highest uncertainty and the least sampling. The uncertainty was higher for the 4 km sampling intensity than for the 500 m sampling intensity, which indicates the importance of selecting the appropriate sample size when constructing a national land use change matrix.

A Study on the Capital Budgeting under Risk and Uncertainty (위험하(危險下)의 투자결정(投資決定)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Tae-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 1986
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the risk and uncertainty involved in the capital budgeting which is executed in long periods and requires massive capital expenditure. Under risk and uncertainty conditions, the estimates in the capital budgeting are random variables rather than known constants. Two approaches have emerged in performing economic analysis that explicitly incorporate risk and uncertainty conditions in the analysis. One approach is to develop a descriptive model which describes the economic performance of an individual investment alternative. But no recomendation would be forthcoming from the model. Rather, the decision-maker would be furnished descriptive information concerning each alternative; the final choice among the alternatives would required a separate action. The second approach is to develop a normative model which includes an objective function to be maximized or minimized. The output from the model prescribes the course of action to be taken. Owing to the fact that the normative approach considers the fitness of criteria for decision-making its reasonableness looks better. But it is almost imposible that we correctly and easily derive the individuals' utility function. So within we recognize the limits of the descriptive methods, it is more practicle to analyse the investment alternatives by sensitivity analysis.

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Uncertainty of Online TOC Analyzer in Water Quality Monitoring System (수질자동측정시스템에서 온라인 TOC 자동측정장치의 불확도 산출)

  • Lee, Chung-Yul;Lee, Yong-Woon;Lee, Jun-Hung;Lim, Boung-Jin;Kwon, Young-Jin;Khang, Bum-Ju;Hong, Young-Min
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study was to estimate uncertainty of online TOC analyzer in water quality monitoring system. A procedure for the estimation of measurement uncertainty of total organic compounds (TOC) based on the ISO approach is presented. It is based on a mathematical model that involves 4 input parameters (standardization, sensitivity, solute effect and representativeness). In this study, a major problem in estimating the uncertainty of online TOC analyzer was the solute effect. It was strongly depends on organic materials. So homogeneity of the sample is the most important consideration. Modified concentration and combined standard uncertainty was $4.71{\pm}0.36$ mg $L^{-1}$ by model modified in this study.

The effects of environment uncertainty, industrial infrastructure and entrepreneurship on innovative capability and competitive performance - Case on Daegu Kyoung-Buk inno-biz SMEs - (환경 불확실성, 산업인프라, 기업가 정신이 혁신역량 및 경쟁적 성과에 미치는 영향 - 대구경북 기술혁신형 중소기업을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jang-Ho;Ju, Ki-Jung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2015
  • Under the environment uncertainty, inno-biz firms are likely to enter into new market with their manager's enthusiasm, know-how, and innovative idea. Therefore, the environment uncertainty would be a new opportunity for their managers with entrepreneurship. The inno-biz firms have limitation on resources that they can utilize, but the industrial infrastructure of the regions that they are located in can be a factor overcoming the limitation of utilizing resources. Using inno-biz firms, this study presents a research model with the effects of environment uncertainty, industrial infra structure, and entrepreneurship on competitive performance. This study examined the relationship showed by the research model, and found the significant relationship by using SEM. And this study found the mediating effect of environment uncertainty, industrial infrastructure, and entrepreneurship on innovative capability. Research results, implications and limitations of this study are provided in conclusion of this study.

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Uncertainty Evaluation of the Analysis of 11-Nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol in Human Urine by GC/MS (GC/MS를 이용한 소변 중 대마 대사체 분석의 측정불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Jeong, Jae-Chul;Suh, Sung-Ill;Suh, Yong-Jun;Lee, Jeong-Jik;Kim, Jong-Sang;In, Moon-Kyo
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.480-487
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    • 2008
  • We described an estimation of measurement uncertainty in quantitative analysis of 11-nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol (THCCOOH), the major metabolite of ${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol, in urine sample by solid-phase extraction (SPE) and GC/MS detection. The analytical results were compared and the different contributions to the uncertainty were evaluated. Inter-day and inter-person validation were performed using statistical analysis of several indicative factors. Measurement uncertainty associated with target analyte in real forensic samples was estimated using quality control (QC) data. Traceability of measurement was established through traceable standards, calibrated volumetric glassware and volume measuring device. The major factors of contribution to combined standard uncertainty, were calibration linearity, inter-day repeatability and inter-person reproducibility, while those associated with preparation of analytical standards and sampling volume were not so important considering the degree of contribution. Relative combined standard uncertainties associated with the described method was 12.05% for THCCOOH.