• 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.26-33
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• 2014

Uncertainty associated with a sampling method is very high in evaluating the degree of site contamination; therefore, such uncertainty affects the reliability of precise investigation and remediation verification. In particular, in evaluating a site for a small-sized filling station, underground utilities, such as connection pipes and oil storage tanks, make grid-unit sampling impossible and the resulting increase in uncertainty is inevitable. Accordingly, this study quantified the uncertainty related to the evaluation of the degree of contamination by total petroleum hydrocarbon and by benzene, toluene, ethylene, and xylene. When planning a grid aimed at detecting a hot spot, major factors that influence the increase in uncertainty include grid interval and the size and shape of the hot spot. The current guideline for soil sampling prescribes that the grid interval increase in proportion to the area of the evaluated site, but this heightens the possibility that a hot spot will not be detected. In evaluating a site, therefore, it is crucial to estimate the size and shape of the hot spot in advance and to establish a sampling plan considering a diversity of scenarios.

• 대한환경공학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.699-712
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• 2000

주암호는 광주 전남지역의 주민생활이나 공 농업활동에 기반이 되는 중요한 수자원의 역할을 하고 있으나, 주암호에 유입되는 오염물질로 말미암아 호수의 수질은 점점 악화되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 주암호 수질개선 전략은 시급히 마련되어야 할 것이다. 호수의 수질개선 전략으로 하나가 아닌 다수의 대안이 개발될 경우에 대안별 평가 및 최적순위 결정을 위해서는 목표수질의 달성도, 사회 기술적 적용성 및 경제성 측면을 고려한 평가기준들이 선정된다. 그러나 평가기준들의 수가 많고 각 기준이 추구하는 목적이 서로 상충될 때 의사결정은 어려워진다. 특히, 각 평가기준에 대한 대안별 기준값이 불확실성을 내포하는 경우에는 의사결정이 더욱 곤란하게 된다. 이러한 불확실성의 정도가 크면 클수록 의사결정은 점점 어려워지는데, 각 기준값의 불확실성이 발생하는 주요 원인은 활용할 수 있는 정보의 부족, 미래 상황의 불확실 또는 전문가 지식의 한계 때문이다. 본 논문에서는 의사결정권자가 불확실성 하에서도 호수의 수질개선 대안들을 평가하는데 이용할 수 있는 퍼지 의사결정법이 보여질 것이다. 이 방법은 퍼지이론을 응용하여 대안별 평가기준 값의 불확실성 정도를 해석하고, 이를 그대로 의사결정 과정에 반영하기 때문에 불확실성을 고려하지 않는 방법들에 비해 합리적이고 현실성있는 최적의 수질관리 대안이 선정될 수 있다.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.5-10
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• 2015

Purpose: To evaluate the economic performance of grid-connected photovoltaic system in residential house, household electricity bill policy of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) must be applied precisely, and market tendency and uncertainty of system also need to be considered. In this study, to evaluate the economic feasibility of PV system, we measured PV power generation and electricity consumption of six of Green home in Daejeon through web based remote monitoring system. Method: We applied Monte-Carlo simulation based on life cycle cost analysis, to reflect an uncertainty of main factor in economic feasibility evaluation of photovoltaic system. Result: First, with deterministic analysis, the difference of NPV of cumulative financial savings among households varied from -3,310 ~ 24,170 thousand won, portraying notably big range. Also the possibility of getting the same result was 50% when applying uncertainty. Second, the higher electricity consumption is, the more economic feasibility of photovoltaic system increases because KEPCO uses progressive taxation in household electricity bill policy. Third, The contribution to variance of electricity price increases in NPV varied from 98.5% to 99.9%. While the inflation rate and annual degradation contributed very little to none.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1995년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automation Control Conference, 10th (KACC); Seoul, Korea; 23-25 Oct. 1995
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• pp.360-363
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• 1995

In this paper, we describe the composition of frequency response bands based on experimental data of plants (controlled systems) with uncertainty and nonlinearity, and the robust stability evaluation of feedback control systems. Analysis and design of control systems using the upper and lower bounds of such experimental data would be effective as a practicable method which is not heavily dependent upon mathematical models such as the transfer function. First, we present a method to composite gain characteristic bands of frequency response of cascade connected plants with uncertainty and a recurrent inequality for the composition. Next, evaluation methods of the robust stability of multi-loop control systems obtained through feedback from the output terminals and multi-loop control systems obtained through feedback into the input terminals are described. In actual control systems, experimental data of frequency responses often depends on the amplitude of input. Therefore, we present the evaluation method of the nominal value and the width of the frequency response band in such a case, and finally give numerical examples based on virtual experimental data.

• 한국생산제조학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.118-126
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• 2014

In this paper, a new method is proposed for the five-degree-of-freedom precision alignment and stitching of three-dimensional surface-profile data sets. The control parameters for correcting thealignment error are calculated from the surface profile data for overlapped areas among the adjacent measuring areas by using the "least squares method" and "maximum lag position of cross correlation function." To ensure the alignment and stitching reliability, the relationships betweenthe alignment uncertainty, overlapped area, and signal-to-noise level of the measured profile data are investigated. Based on the results of this uncertainty analysis, an appropriate size is proposed for the overlapped area according to the specimen's surface texture and noise level.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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• pp.111-112
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• 2008

Although two types of uncertainty such as randomness and fuzziness simultaneously exist in power systems, yet they have been treated as distinct fields to evaluate the power system reliability. Thus, this paper presents a reliability assessment method based on a combined concept of fuzzy and probability. To reflect the two-fold uncertainty, a modified load duration curve(MLDC) is proposed using the probability distribution of historical load data in which a fuzzy model for the peak load forecast is embedded. IEEE RTS system was used to demonstrate the usefulness and applicability of the proposed method, and the reliability indices were obtained using the proposed MLDC. The results show a wider insight into impact of load fuzziness on uncertainties of reliability indices for power systems.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.57-71
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• 1988

Checklist method is rapid and comprehensive to evaluate in practice. Check items are commonly rated by subjective utility function; i.e., evaluator's significant judgment. Since human judgment includes fuzziness (vagueness) inherently in spite of its significance, fuzzy set theory is useful in this case. The paper illustrates a evaluation method using fuzzy checklist where check items are rated as fuzzy numbers. Pairwise comparison data is used to determine the weights of check items, since it has comparative advantage for human's fuzzy judgment. Sample of BASIC program is provided for microcomputer. When uncertainty is due to subjectivity or imprecision of data, this method can be applied to practical problems widely.

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 2004년도 요약집 춘계학술발표대회
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• pp.125.1-125.1
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• 2004

• International Journal of Safety
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.26-32
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• 2012

This paper introduces a feasibility evaluation method for prognosis systems based on an empirical model in nuclear power plants. By exploiting the dynamical signature characterized by abnormal phenomena, the prognosis technique can be applied to detect the plant abnormal states prior to an unexpected plant trip. Early $operator^{\circ}{\emptyset}s$ awareness can extend available time for operation action; therefore, unexpected plant trip and time-consuming maintenance can be reduced. For the practical application in nuclear power plant, it is important not only to enhance the advantages of prognosis systems, but also to quantify the negative impact in prognosis, e.g., uncertainty. In order to apply these prognosis systems to real nuclear power plants, it is necessary to conduct a feasibility evaluation; the evaluation consists of 4 steps (: the development of an evaluation method, the development of selection criteria for the abnormal state, acquisition and signal processing, and an evaluation experiment). In this paper, we introduce the feasibility evaluation method and propose further study points for applying prognosis systems from KHNP's experiences in testing some prognosis technologies available in the market.

• 한국식품영양과학회지
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.342-351
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• 2016

본 연구는 한국에서 식용색소로 지정되지 않은 keto-carotenoid계의 canthaxanthin에 대한 최적 분석방법을 확보하기 위해 수행되었다. HPLC-UVD를 이용한 외국의 canthaxanthin 공인분석법을 검토하여 직선성, 분리능, 민감도, 검출한계(LOD), 정랑한계(LOQ)를 도출하고, 각 실험 데이터를 비교하여 최적의 canthaxanthin 분석방법을 확보하였다. 또한 확보된 최적 분석방법에 대한 정밀도, 정확도, 회수율, 실험실 간 교차검증, 측정불확도를 산출하여 canthaxanthin 최적 분석법에 대한 타당성을 검증하였다. AOAC법, 일본 및 영국의 공인분석법을 이용하여 canthaxanthin 표준용액을 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, $300{\mu}g/mL$의 6 point로 희석한 후 얻은 검량선의 상관계수는 모두 $R^2=0.999$ 이상으로 나타나 우수한 직선성을 보였으나 분리능, 민감도, LOD, LOQ는 일본의 공인분석법이 가장 우수하였다. 일본 공인분석법의 LOD와 LOQ는 각각 0.084 mg/kg, 0.254 mg/kg으로 나타났으며, 1보다 낮은 정밀도, 100%에 가까운 정확도, $100{\pm}10%$ 사이의 회수율, 교차검증 시 세 기관의 변동계수가 5이하로 나타나 canthaxanthin 분석을 위해 가장 최적화된 방법으로 확인되었다. 또한 측정하는 중에 나타나는 불확실성을 알아보기 위하여 canthaxanthin이 함유된 가공식품을 분석하여 측정불확도를 산출한 결과 $39.5{\pm}5.29mg/kg$(95% 신뢰구간, k=2.78)으로 나타났다. 확장불확도는 측정 농도의 13.4%로 나타나 유럽연합의 기준(16% 이하)에 적합한 결과를 보였다.