• Title/Summary/Keyword: tree-based models

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Development of Risk Evaluation Models for Railway Casualty Accidents (철도사상 사고위험도 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Kim, Min-Su;Wang, Jong-Bae;Choi, Don-Bum
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1499-1504
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    • 2008
  • This study shows risk-based evaluation results of casualty accidents for passengers, railway staffs and MOP(Member of public) on the national railway in South Korea. To evaluate risk of these accidents, the hazardous events and the hazardous factors were identified by the review of the accident history and engineering interpretation of the accident behavior. A probability evaluation model for each hazardous event which was based on the accident appearance scenario was developed by using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique. The probability for each hazardous event was evaluated from the historical data and structured expert judgment. In addition, the severity assessment model utilized by the Event Tree Analysis (ETA) technique was composed of the accident progress scenarios. And the severity for the hazardous events was estimated using fatalities and weighted injuries. The risk assessment model developed can be effectively utilized in defining the risk reduction measures in connection with the option analysis.

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Remote Fault Diagnosis Method of Wind Power Generation Equipment Based on Internet of Things

  • Bing, Chen;Ding, Liu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.822-829
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    • 2022
  • According to existing study into the remote fault diagnosis procedure, the current diagnostic approach has an imperfect decision model, which only supports communication in a close distance. An Internet of Things (IoT)-based remote fault diagnostic approach for wind power equipment is created to address this issue and expand the communication distance of fault diagnosis. Specifically, a decision model for active power coordination is built with the mechanical energy storage of power generation equipment with a remote diagnosis mode set by decision tree algorithms. These models help calculate the failure frequency of bearings in power generation equipment, summarize the characteristics of failure types and detect the operation status of wind power equipment through IoT. In addition, they can also generate the point inspection data and evaluate the equipment status. The findings demonstrate that the average communication distances of the designed remote diagnosis method and the other two remote diagnosis methods are 587.46 m, 435.61 m, and 454.32 m, respectively, indicating its application value.

Data Modeling using Cluster Based Fuzzy Model Tree (클러스터 기반 퍼지 모델트리를 이용한 데이터 모델링)

  • Lee, Dae-Jong;Park, Jin-Il;Park, Sang-Young;Jung, Nahm-Chung;Chun, Meung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.608-615
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a fuzzy model tree consisting of local linear models using fuzzy cluster for data modeling. First, cluster centers are calculated by fuzzy clustering method using all input and output attributes. And then, linear models are constructed at internal nodes with fuzzy membership values between centers and input attributes. The expansion of internal node is determined by comparing errors calculated in parent node with ones in child node, respectively. As a final step, data prediction is performed with a linear model having the highest fuzzy membership value between input attributes and cluster centers in leaf nodes. To show the effectiveness of the proposed method, we have applied our method to various dataset. Under various experiments, our proposed method shows better performance than conventional model tree and artificial neural networks.

Machine Learning-Based Prediction Technology for Medical Treatment Period of Automobile Insurance Accident Patients (머신러닝 기반의 자동차보험 사고 환자의 진료 기간 예측 기술)

  • Kyung-Keun Byun;Doeg-Gyu Lee;Hyung-Dong Lee
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2023
  • In order to help reduce the medical expenses of patients with auto insurance accidents, this study predicted the treatment period, which is the most important factor in the medical expenses of patients in their 40s and 50s, and analyzed the factors affecting the treatment period. To this end, a mechine learning model using five algorithms such as Decision Tree was created, and its performance was compared and analyzed between models. There were three algorithms that showed good performance including Decison Tree, Gradient Boost, and XGBoost. In addition, as a result of analyzing the factors affecting the prediction of the treatment period, the type of hospital, the treatment area, age, and gender were found. Through these studies, easy research methods such as the use of AutoML were presented, and we hope that the results of this study will help policies to reduce medical expenses for automobile insurance accidents.

The origins and evolution of cement hydration models

  • Xie, Tiantian;Biernacki, Joseph J.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.647-675
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    • 2011
  • Our ability to predict hydration behavior is becoming increasingly relevant to the concrete community as modelers begin to link material performance to the dynamics of material properties and chemistry. At early ages, the properties of concrete are changing rapidly due to chemical transformations that affect mechanical, thermal and transport responses of the composite. At later ages, the resulting, nano-, micro-, meso- and macroscopic structure generated by hydration will control the life-cycle performance of the material in the field. Ultimately, creep, shrinkage, chemical and physical durability, and all manner of mechanical response are linked to hydration. As a way to enable the modeling community to better understand hydration, a review of hydration models is presented offering insights into their mathematical origins and relationships one-to-the-other. The quest for a universal model begins in the 1920's and continues to the present, and is marked by a number of critical milestones. Unfortunately, the origins and physical interpretation of many of the most commonly used models have been lost in their overuse and the trail of citations that vaguely lead to the original manuscripts. To help restore some organization, models were sorted into four categories based primarily on their mathematical and theoretical basis: (1) mass continuity-based, (2) nucleation-based, (3) particle ensembles, and (4) complex multi-physical and simulation environments. This review provides a concise catalogue of models and in most cases enough detail to derive their mathematical form. Furthermore, classes of models are unified by linking them to their theoretical origins, thereby making their derivations and physical interpretations more transparent. Models are also used to fit experimental data so that their characteristics and ability to predict hydration calorimetry curves can be compared. A sort of evolutionary tree showing the progression of models is given along with some insights into the nature of future work yet needed to develop the next generation of cement hydration models.

An Intelligent Game Theoretic Model With Machine Learning For Online Cybersecurity Risk Management

  • Alharbi, Talal
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.390-399
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    • 2022
  • Cyber security and resilience are phrases that describe safeguards of ICTs (information and communication technologies) from cyber-attacks or mitigations of cyber event impacts. The sole purpose of Risk models are detections, analyses, and handling by considering all relevant perceptions of risks. The current research effort has resulted in the development of a new paradigm for safeguarding services offered online which can be utilized by both service providers and users. customers. However, rather of relying on detailed studies, this approach emphasizes task selection and execution that leads to successful risk treatment outcomes. Modelling intelligent CSGs (Cyber Security Games) using MLTs (machine learning techniques) was the focus of this research. By limiting mission risk, CSGs maximize ability of systems to operate unhindered in cyber environments. The suggested framework's main components are the Threat and Risk models. These models are tailored to meet the special characteristics of online services as well as the cyberspace environment. A risk management procedure is included in the framework. Risk scores are computed by combining probabilities of successful attacks with findings of impact models that predict cyber catastrophe consequences. To assess successful attacks, models emulating defense against threats can be used in topologies. CSGs consider widespread interconnectivity of cyber systems which forces defending all multi-step attack paths. In contrast, attackers just need one of the paths to succeed. CSGs are game-theoretic methods for identifying defense measures and reducing risks for systems and probe for maximum cyber risks using game formulations (MiniMax). To detect the impacts, the attacker player creates an attack tree for each state of the game using a modified Extreme Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (that sees numerous compromises ahead). Based on the findings, the proposed model has a high level of security for the web sources used in the experiment.

Data-Driven Modeling of Freshwater Aquatic Systems: Status and Prospects (자료기반 물환경 모델의 현황 및 발전 방향)

  • Cha, YoonKyung;Shin, Jihoon;Kim, YoungWoo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2020
  • Although process-based models have been a preferred approach for modeling freshwater aquatic systems over extended time intervals, the increasing utility of data-driven models in a big data environment has made the data-driven models increasingly popular in recent decades. In this study, international peer-reviewed journals for the relevant fields were searched in the Web of Science Core Collection, and an extensive literature review, which included total 2,984 articles published during the last two decades (2000-2020), was performed. The review results indicated that the rate of increase in the number of published studies using data-driven models exceeded those using process-based models since 2010. The increase in the use of data-driven models was partly attributable to the increasing availability of data from new data sources, e.g., remotely sensed hyperspectral or multispectral data. Consistently throughout the past two decades, South Korea has been one of the top ten countries in which the greatest number of studies using the data-driven models were published. Among the major data-driven approaches, i.e., artificial neural network, decision tree, and Bayesian model, were illustrated with case studies. Based on the review, this study aimed to inform the current state of knowledge regarding the biogeochemical water quality and ecological models using data-driven approaches, and provide the remaining challenges and future prospects.

A comparison of three design tree based search algorithms for the detection of engineering parts constructed with CATIA V5 in large databases

  • Roj, Robin
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents three different search engines for the detection of CAD-parts in large databases. The analysis of the contained information is performed by the export of the data that is stored in the structure trees of the CAD-models. A preparation program generates one XML-file for every model, which in addition to including the data of the structure tree, also owns certain physical properties of each part. The first search engine is specializes in the discovery of standard parts, like screws or washers. The second program uses certain user input as search parameters, and therefore has the ability to perform personalized queries. The third one compares one given reference part with all parts in the database, and locates files that are identical, or similar to, the reference part. All approaches run automatically, and have the analysis of the structure tree in common. Files constructed with CATIA V5, and search engines written with Python have been used for the implementation. The paper also includes a short comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of each program, as well as a performance test.

Multibody Dynamics in Arterial System

  • Shin Sang-Hoon;Park Young-Bae;Rhim Hye-Whon;Yoo Wan-Suk;Park Young-Jae;Park Dae-Hun
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.spc1
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2005
  • There are many things in common between hemodynamics in arterial systems and multibody dynamics in mechanical systems. Hemodynamics is concerned with the forces generated by the heart and the resulting motion of blood through the multi-branched vascular system. The conventional hemodynamics model has been intended to show the general behavior of the body arterial system with the frequency domain based linear model. The need for detailed models to analyze the local part like coronary arterial tree and cerebral arterial tree has been required recently. Non-linear analysis techniques are well-developed in multibody dynamics. In this paper, the studies of hemodynamics are summarized from the view of multibody dynamics. Computational algorithms of arterial tree analysis is derived, and proved by experiments on animals. The flow and pressure of each branch are calculated from the measured flow data at the ascending aorta. The simulated results of the carotid artery and the iliac artery show in good accordance with the measured results.

Decision Tree State Tying Modeling Using Parameter Estimation of Bayesian Method (Bayesian 기법의 모수 추정을 이용한 결정트리 상태 공유 모델링)

  • Oh, SangYeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • Recognition model is not defined when you configure a model, Been added to the model after model building awareness, Model a model of the clustering due to lack of recognition models are generated by modeling is causes the degradation of the recognition rate. In order to improve decision tree state tying modeling using parameter estimation of Bayesian method. The parameter estimation method is proposed Bayesian method to navigate through the model from the results of the decision tree based on the tying state according to the maximum probability method to determine the recognition model. According to our experiments on the simulation data generated by adding noise to clean speech, the proposed clustering method error rate reduction of 1.29% compared with baseline model, which is slightly better performance than the existing approach.