• Title/Summary/Keyword: traffic accident severity

Search Result 155, Processing Time 0.06 seconds

An Analysis of Traffic Accident Injury Severity for Elderly Driver on Goyang-Si using Structural Equation Model (구조방정식을 이용한 고령운전자 교통사고 인적 피해 심각도 분석 (고양시를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Soullam;Yun, Duk Geun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.117-124
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to verify traffic accident injury severity factors for elderly drivers and the relative relationship of these factors. METHODS : To verify the complicated relationship among traffic accident injury severity factors, this study employed a structural equation model (SEM). To develop the SEM structure, only the severity of human injuries was considered; moreover, the observed variables were selected through confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). The number of fatalities, serious injuries, moderate injuries, and minor injuries were selected for observed variables of severity. For latent variables, the accident situation, environment, and vehicle and driver factors were respectively defined. Seven observed variables were selected among the latent variables. RESULTS : This study showed that the vehicle and driver factor was the most influential factor for accident severity among the latent factors. For the observed variable, the type of vehicle, type of accident, and status of day or night for each latent variable were the most relative observed variables for the accident severity factor. To verify the validity of the SEM, several model fitting methods, including ${\chi}^2/df$, GFI, AGFI, CFI, and others, were applied, and the model produced meaningful results. CONCLUSIONS : Based on an analysis of results of traffic accident injury severity for elderly drivers, the vehicle and driver factor was the most influential one for injury severity. Therefore, education tailored to elderly drivers is needed to improve driving behavior of elderly driver.

Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity (고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Jeung, Woo Dong;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.6
    • /
    • pp.133-144
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study focused on estimating influential factors of traffic accidents and analyzing traffic accident severity of elderly and non elderly using traffic accident data. In order to reclassify elderly and non elderly traffic accident by a statistical method from entire traffic accident data, multiple discriminant analysis was applied. Also ordered logit model was applied for analyzing traffic accident severities using traffic accident severities as an independent variable and transportation facilities, road conditions and human characteristics as dependent variables. As results of the comparison between elderly and non elderly traffic accident, the traffic accident severity was affected by the age, types of traffic accidents, human characteristics and road conditions as well. Also, transportation facilities and road conditions affected to more elderly traffic accident than non elderly. Therefore, traffic accident severity would be decreased with the improvement of transportation facilities and road conditions for the elderly.

The Study on Correlation between Traffic Accident Severity with Period and Cost of Treatment in Traffic Accident Outpatients Visiting a Korean Medicine Hospital (한방병원에 내원한 교통사고 외래환자에 있어서 사고규모와 치료기간 및 치료비용 간의 상관관계에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Ji-Yong;Hong, Nam-Jung;Lee, Min-Jung;Ahn, Ji-Hoon;Shin, You-Bin;Kim, Byung-Jung;Shin, Min-Geun;Ha, In-Hyuk;Lee, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-76
    • /
    • 2014
  • Objectives The purpose of this study is to investigate the corelation between traffic accident severity and treatment period and cost by traffic accident. Methods Outpatients who visited Jaseng Korean medicine hospital traffic accident clinic were investigated by hospital computer system about period and cost of treatment. And we requested for repair cost of car, a sort of car groups and agreement date with car insurance company to insurance company. Therefore we could analysis statistical correlation of traffic accident severity (repair cost of car) with period of treatment, cost of treatment, number of treatment in same sort of car groups. For statistics, we used SPSS version 18.0 for windows. Results A significant positive correlation was found between traffic accident severity (repair cost of car) with repair cost of car, cost of treatment and number of treatment in semi-midsize car, midsize car group. But, any significant correlation wasn't found between traffic accident severity (repair cost of car) with repair cost of car, cost of treatment and number of treatment in small car, full-sized car group. In SUV (sport utility vehicle) car group some significant correlation was found, but it isn't between traffic accident severity (repair cost of car) with repair cost of car, cost of treatment and number of treatment. Conclusions It was found that traffic accident severity (repair cost of car) had an effect on cost of car, cost of treatment and number of treatment by statistical analysis. But, it was also suggested strongly that other factors like a cost of car and ages had an effect on them.

Analysis on Comparison of Highway Accident Severity between Weekday and Weekend using Structural Equation Model (구조방정식 모형을 이용한 주중과 주말의 고속도로 사고심각도 비교분석)

  • Bae, Yun Kyung;Ahn, Sunyoung;Chung, Jin-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.6
    • /
    • pp.2483-2491
    • /
    • 2013
  • In order to identify and understand the crucial factors to induce traffic accident, causal relationships between diverse factors and traffic accident occurrence have been investigated continuously. It is one of most important issues all over the world to reduce the number of traffic accidents and deaths by them. Korea government is also stepping up their effort to reduce the number of traffic accidents and mitigate the severity of the accidents by establishing various traffic safety strategies. By introducing the five-day work week and increasing concern of leisure activities, the differences of trip characteristics between weekday and weekend is getting greater. According to this, the patterns and crucial factors of traffic accident occurrence in weekend appear differently from those in weekday. This study aims to understand major different factors affecting accident severity between weekday and weekend using 12,042 incident data occurred on freeways of Korea from 2006 to 2011. The model developed in this study estimated relationships among various exogenous factors of traffic accident by each type using SEM(Structural Equation Model). The result provides that road factors are related to the accident severity for weekday model, while environment factors affects on accident severity for weekend.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on Freeway Climbing Lanes (고속도로 오르막차로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Youn, Seokmin;Joo, Shinhye;Lee, Seolyoung;Oh, Cheol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.6
    • /
    • pp.85-95
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to analyze factors affecting traffic accident severity for determining countermeasures on freeway climbing lanes. METHODS : In this study, an ordered probit model, which is a widely used discrete choice model for categorizing crash severity, was employed. RESULTS : Results suggest that factors affecting traffic accident severity on climbing lanes include speed, drowsy driving, grade of uphill 3%, gender (male offender and male victim), and cloud weather. CONCLUSIONS : Several countermeasures are proposed for improving traffic safety on freeway climbing lanes based on the analysis of crash severity. More extensive analysis with a larger data set and various modeling techniques are required for generalizing the results.

Comparative Study of PSO-ANN in Estimating Traffic Accident Severity

  • Md. Ashikuzzaman;Wasim Akram;Md. Mydul Islam Anik;Taskeed Jabid;Mahamudul Hasan;Md. Sawkat Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.23 no.8
    • /
    • pp.95-100
    • /
    • 2023
  • Due to Traffic accidents people faces health and economical casualties around the world. As the population increases vehicles on road increase which leads to congestion in cities. Congestion can lead to increasing accident risks due to the expansion in transportation systems. Modern cities are adopting various technologies to minimize traffic accidents by predicting mathematically. Traffic accidents cause economical casualties and potential death. Therefore, to ensure people's safety, the concept of the smart city makes sense. In a smart city, traffic accident factors like road condition, light condition, weather condition etcetera are important to consider to predict traffic accident severity. Several machine learning models can significantly be employed to determine and predict traffic accident severity. This research paper illustrated the performance of a hybridized neural network and compared it with other machine learning models in order to measure the accuracy of predicting traffic accident severity. Dataset of city Leeds, UK is being used to train and test the model. Then the results are being compared with each other. Particle Swarm optimization with artificial neural network (PSO-ANN) gave promising results compared to other machine learning models like Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Nearest Centroid, K Nearest Neighbor Classification. PSO- ANN model can be adopted in the transportation system to counter traffic accident issues. The nearest centroid model gave the lowest accuracy score whereas PSO-ANN gave the highest accuracy score. All the test results and findings obtained in our study can provide valuable information on reducing traffic accidents.

Prediction Models for the Severity of Traffic Accidents on Expressway On- and Off-Ramps (유입·유출특성을 고려한 고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 심각도 예측모형)

  • Yun, Il-Soo;Park, Sung-Ho;Yoon, Jung-Eun;Choi, Jin-Hyung;Han, Eum
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.101-111
    • /
    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: Because expressway ramps are very complex segments where diverse roadway design elements dynamically change within relatively short length, drivers on ramps are required to drive their cars carefully for safety. Especially, ramps on expressways are designed to guarantee driving at high speed so that the risk and severity of traffic accidents on expressway ramps may be higher and more deadly than other facilities on expressways. Safe deceleration maneuvers are required on off-ramps, whereas safe acceleration maneuvers are necessary on onramps. This difference in required maneuvers may contribute to dissimilar patterns and severity of traffic accidents by ramp types. Therefore, this study was aimed at developing prediction models of the severity of traffic accidents on expressway on- and off-ramps separately in order to consider dissimilar patterns and severity of traffic accidents according to types of ramps. METHODS: Four-year-long traffic accident data between 2007 and 2010 were utilized to distinguish contributing design elements in conjunction with AADT and ramp length. The prediction models were built using the negative binomial regression model consisting of the severity of traffic accident as a dependent variable and contributing design elements as in independent variables. RESULTS: The developed regression models were evaluated using the traffic accident data of the ramps which was not used in building the models by comparing actual and estimated severity of traffic accidents. Conclusively, the average prediction error rates of on-ramps and offramps were 30.5% and 30.8% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction models for the severity of traffic accidents on expressway on- and off-ramps will be useful in enhancing the safety on expressway ramps as well as developing design guidelines for expressway ramps.

A Development of Models for Analyzing Traffic Accident Injury Severity for Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 안전성 향상을 위한 사고심각도 모형개발)

  • Ha, Oh-Keun;Hu, Ec;Won, Jai-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.65-71
    • /
    • 2008
  • As the interest in traffic safety has been increasing recently, social movement is being made to reduce the number of traffic accidents and the view on improving the mobility of the existing roads is being converted into on establishing traffic safety as a priority. The increase of traffic accidents related to an intersection in a state that traffic accidents are decreasing overall may suggests the necessity to investigate the specific causes. In addition, we have to consider them when establishing the measures against traffic accidents in a intersection by investigating and analyzing the influences and factors that may affect traffic accidents. To induce the accident severity model, we collected the factors that affect accidents and then applied the Poisson Regression Model among nonlinear regression analysis by verifying the distribution of variables. As a result of the analysis, it turned out that the volume of traffic on main roads, the right turn ratio on sub-roads, the number of ways out on sub-roads, the number of exclusive roads for a left turn, the signals for a right turn on main roads, and an intersect angle were the factors that affect the accident severity.

Analysis of Road Cross Section Component Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on National Highway (국도상 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 횡단구성 요소 분석)

  • Park, Jaehong;Yun, Dukgeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.143-149
    • /
    • 2017
  • According to traffic accidents statistics, the number of fatalities, injuries and the rate of increase of traffic accidents have been decreasing over last 5-years. The fatality rate is 1.9 for total accidents but the fatality rate for single vehicle accidents shows a 7.9, which is 4 times greater than the average for all accidents. Single vehicle accidents, usually occur as a vehicle impacts a fixed objects on the roadside as the vehicle runs-off from the road. However, few researches have been conducted considering the accident severity of single vehicle accidents which impact to the fixed objects on the road. The single vehicle accident is directly related to the composition of road cross section, (since it is the required the minimum width of a road for all run-off-the-road vehicles to recover or come to a safe stop). Therefore, this study analyzes the influence of road cross section on traffic accidents to find out the severity of single vehicle accident. To analyze the road elements which are related to the accident severity, the Ordered Probit Model was used. As variables, the element of road cross section such as the radius(m), vertical curve(%), cross sectional grade(%), road width(m). number of climbing lane, median, and curb, were used (as was the 3-years of accidents data). This study found out that cross slope(%), road width(m), and the number of climbing lane are related to the severity of accident. The result of this study could be expected to improve the road safety and to be used as the base data for further road safety research.

Developing the Accident Injury Severity on a Field of Construction Work Using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 적용한 공사장 교통 사고심각도 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Lee, Soo-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.89-98
    • /
    • 2011
  • The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.