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순서형 프로빗 모형을 적용한 공사장 교통 사고심각도 분석

Developing the Accident Injury Severity on a Field of Construction Work Using Ordered Probit Model

  • 홍지연 (서울시립대학교 교통공학과) ;
  • 김경태 (서울시립대학교 교통공학과) ;
  • 이수범 (서울시립대학교 교통공학과)
  • Hong, Ji-Yeon (Department of Transportation Engineering, University of Seoul) ;
  • Kim, Kyung-Tae (Department of Transportation Engineering, University of Seoul) ;
  • Lee, Soo-Beom (Department of Transportation Engineering, University of Seoul)
  • 투고 : 2010.08.24
  • 심사 : 2011.03.22
  • 발행 : 2011.04.30

초록

The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.

키워드

참고문헌

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