• 제목/요약/키워드: trade risk

검색결과 432건 처리시간 0.022초

금융위기 이후 정유산업의 외화자산 레버리지효과 분석 (The Foreign Asset Leverage Effect of Oil & Gas Companies after the Financial Crisis)

  • 김동균
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.19-38
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to analyze the foreign asset leverage effect on Korean oil & gas companies' foreign profits and to maintain the appropriate foreign asset volume for reducing exchange risk. For a long time, large Korean companies, including oil companies, overheld foreign currency liabilities. For this reason, most large companies have been burdened to hedge exchange risk and this excess limit holding deteriorated total profit and reduced foreign currency asset management efficiency. Our paper proceeds in presenting a three-stage analysis considering diversified exchange risk factors through estimation on transformation of foreign transactions a/c including annual trends of foreign asset and industry specifics. We also supplement incomplete the estimation method through a practical hedging case investigation. Our research parts are differentiated on the analyzing four periods considering period-specifics The FER value of the oil firms ranged from -0.3 to +2.3 over the entire period. The results of the FER Value are volatile and irregular; those results do not represent the industry standard comparative index. The Korean oil firms are over the credit limit without accurate prediction and finance high interest rate funds from foreign-owned banks on the basis on a biased relationship. Since the IMF crisis, liabilities of global firms have decreased. Above all, oil firms need to finance a minimum limit without opportunity losses on the demand forecast and prepare for uncertainty in the market. To reduce exchange risk from the over-the-limit position, we must consider factors that affect the corporate exchange risk on the entire business process, including the contract phase.

Market Risk Management 관점에서 본 Product Life Cycle (Product Life Cycle in view of Market Risk Management)

  • 신언명;김영이
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구의 목적은 제품수명주기(PLC)와 시장 리스크 관리(MRM)의 상관관계를 규명하는 데 있다. PLC는 기업이 경영성과를 증진시키기 위하여 마케팅적인 시각에서 소비자의 구매행동과 가격 및 판매변동성을 분석한다. 따라서 이 연구에서는 MRM을 활용하여 PLC를 포괄적이고 통합적인 시각에서 분석하고자 한다. 두 이론 간의 관련성을 규명하기 위하여 본 연구는 PLC와 MRM의 경영성과에 공통적으로 영향을 미치는 요인들을 추출한다. 그리고 MRM의 관점에서 PLC의 요인들을 분석한다. 연구결과 PLC와 MRM은 가격변동성과 거래 리스크 및 시장점유율면에서 관련이 있음을 보여준다.

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IoT Makes Life Simpler: How to Improve the Chinese Consumer's Intention to Use of LG HomNet Smart Home

  • Xiangdong Shen;Xi Chen;Yuting Jiang;Haixin Ji
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권8호
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The paper aims to develop the theory of TAM and perceived risk through a more comprehensive and rigorous understanding of the influencing factors of the consumer's adoption of LG HomNet smart home from the perspective of trade-offs. Design/methodology - Based on the TAM and perceived risk theory, combined with the individual characteristics of consumers in the context of information technology as the external factors of the technology acceptance model, this paper constructs a theoretical model of the factors affecting the use intention of the consumer. It was empirically tested by using SEM, and survey data was collected from 458 respondents. Findings - The research results show that 9 hypotheses of the research model are supported and have reliable prediction accuracy. Consumers' perceived interest, perceived connectivity and perceived controllability have a significant positive impact on their intention to use. In addition, this paper also confirmed the mediating effect of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use. Originality/value - Consumers are very concerned about gains and losses. Low-level performance risks, security risks, and financial risks will drive the consumer to have a stronger intention to use, and financial risks have the strongest impact. This research provides a useful implication and guidance for smart home equipment manufacturers and service providers in product and service innovation and marketing and promotion strategies.

BPO·공급망금융의 이용을 통한 중소수출기업의 경쟁력 제고방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Competitive Power of Small and Medium Export Business through using the BPO and SCF)

  • 장은희;황지현
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.233-252
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    • 2017
  • 국제무역의 대금결제방식이 기존에는 신용장방식, 추심방식 등이 많이 이용되었지만 최근에는 오픈어카운트 방식으로 그 이용이 증가하고 있다. 이러한 오픈어카운트 방식의 증가추세에 금융권이 대응하고, 정보화 시대에 발맞추고자 새로이 등장한 BPO 제도는 신용장의 지급보장은 물론 전자거래의 편리성을 결제제도에 유용하게 접목시켰다고 할 수 있다. 한편 공급망금융은 기업이 물품을 생산 및 공급하는 과정에서 필요한 운전자금을 보다 신속하게 제공하기 위하여 사용하는 금융으로 특히 자본여력이 충분하지 않은 중소수출기업이 이용함으로써 효율성을 보다 극대화할 수 있다. 이에 본 연구는 중소수출기업이 국제무역거래에서 필요한 자금운용을 적절하게 이용하고, 다국적 기업과 경쟁하여 도태되지 않기 위하여 BPO 제도 및 공급망금융의 효율적 이용을 도모하고자 연구를 진행하였다.

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A Study on Improvement of Import Insurance for Importers

  • Kim, Jae Seong
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제60권
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    • pp.195-209
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    • 2013
  • South Korea, despite the financial turbulences has marked the trade volume of USD 1 trillion and marked $7^{th}$ largest exporter in 2013. Approximately 40% of the entire import of Korea was for export. In the South Korean trade structure, import and export are closely related, requiring proactive import financial assistance policies. Recognizing this, K-sure has made import insurance policy available on the market since July 2010. The K-sure insurance policy targets both financial institutions and importers. This is the reason why this research seeks to review the import insurance terms for importers and compare with foreign import insurance products to find out ways to improve. K-sure's import insurance for importers is to cover a loss of a policyholder when the policyholder or importer domestically addressed made a prepayment but cannot receive goods. The import insurance is applied to import transactions of goods or resources. K-sure's import insurance coverage needs to be expanded to intermediary trade and consignment processing trade, etc. In this sense, a more systematic educational program should be introduced about K-sure's import insurance.

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클라우드 서비스를 활용한 디지털무역 사용자의 혁신저항에 관한 연구 (A Study on Innovation Resistance of Digital Trade Based On Cloud Services)

  • 이인성;김석태
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.313-329
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - Digital trade, which started in the early 2000s, is showing a sharp increase due to the recent pandemic. However, despite this proliferation, users' acceptance of innovation is very slow. Cloud services are at the center of digital trade activation. This study aims to contribute to the spread of digital trade through empirical analysis of the resistance factors that hinder the use of cloud service-based digital trade using the innovation resistance theory and the status quo bias theory. Design/Methodology/Approach - In order to achieve the research purpose, this study was conducted with 171 entrepreneurs using cloud service-based digital trade. Structural equation model(SEM) was used through empirical analysis. Findings - As a result of the study, it was found that the complexity of technology, perceived risk, compatibility, and trust in service providers had a significant effect on innovation resistance, and policy trust did not affect innovation resistance. Also, security concerns and institutional trust were analyzed to have a significant effect on the trust of service providers. Research Implications - This study is meaningful to help the rapid diffusion of innovative technologies through empirical analysis of factors that lower the intention to accept cloud service-based digital trade.

4차산업혁명 대응 기술로서 로봇이 노동 시장과 무역에 미치는 영향 (The effects of Robot as 4th industry revolution Technology on Labor Market and Trade)

  • 유정호;임병호
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2022
  • As a 4th industrial revolution technology, robots are changing the form of labor market and trade in Korea. In the future, changes in the international trade order are expected to move in the direction of shortening global supply chains and restricting trade between countries. Accordingly, reshoring of relocating overseas production facilities to Korea or near-shoring of relocating overseas production facilities to neighboring allies may expand. In this context, this study analyzed the impact of robot introduction on the domestic labor market and trade based on firm-level data. As a result of analysis based on the 'business activity data' accumulated from 2017 to 2019, the introduction of robot technology was analyzed to expand low-wage, low-skilled employment. Analysis on trade shows that the introduction of robots decreases exports and increases imports. In order to expand exports through the technology of the 4th industrial revolution, employment expansion and robot introduction should occur at the same time, rather than replacing the labor force with robots. In addition, it is thought that reshoring's goal of risk management can be achieved when a stable supply chain for imports of raw materials or essential goods, which are difficult to transfer to Korea, is established together.

Push-Pull-Mooring 모델을 이용한 전기자동차로의 사용자 전환의도에 관한 연구 (A Study on User Conversion Intention to Electric Vehicle Using Push-Pull-Mooring Model)

  • 우징원;김석태
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.71-96
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    • 2022
  • This research will study the conversion intention of the users in China from fuel vehicle to new energy vehicles through the empirical methods. To this end, a questionnaire survey was conducted with car users as the object, combined with the theory of user migration and the PPM model to analyze the impact of fuel vehicle users' conversion intention to new-energy vehicles factor. The results showed that purchase experience contains the moderating effect, in which perceived risk and switching costs had a greater impact on the groups without purchase experience, whereas social identity, perceived value, personal attitude, and willingness to switch had a greater impact on groups with the purchase experience. Among all five factors, perceived risk had no discernible impact on the switching intention, but social identity, perceived value, attitude toward switching, and switching costs all had discernible impact on the switching intention. This study expects to come out with sustainable advises for the future growth of new energy vehicles from the study of car users' switching intention and the collective difference test of purchasing experience.

무역보험과 환위험이 수출에 미치는 영향 (Effects of the Trade Insurance and Exchange Risk on Export: The Experience of Korea)

  • 김창범
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.77-95
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    • 2011
  • 본고에서는 무역보험과 환위험이 우리나라의 수출에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 먼저 공적분 검정을 통해 적어도 하나의 공적분 벡터가 존재하는 것을 확인하였고, CCR, DOLS, FMOLS와 같은 공적분 벡터식과 오차수정모형을 추정하였다. 설정된 모형 내 변수들이 수출에 미치는 영향의 방향이 무역보험, 세계경기, 상대가격, 는 양(+)으로, 환위험과 실업률은 음(-)으로 나타났다. 또한 모형1의 오차수정 모형의 경우 단기 불균형에서 균형으로의 조정역할은 세계경기와 상대가격이 하고 있으며, 모형2의 오차수정모형의 경우 단기 불균형에서 균형으로의 조정역할은 환율변동성이 수행하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 다음으로 충격반응분석 결과 모형 1과 모형 2에서 무역보험 충격에 대한 수출의 반응은 충격을 받은 시점에서 2개월까지는 상승하고, 이후에는 상승세가 둔화되면서 상승효과가 소멸되는 것으로 나타났다. 모형 2에서 환율변동성 충격에 대한 수출의 반응은 충격을 받은 시점에서 4개월이 되는 시점에서 가장 큰 폭으로 하락하고 빠른 속도로 감소하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 결과적으로 우리나라의 경우 무역보험은 수출촉진을 위한 무역정책의 역할을 수행하며, 환율변동성 확대는 환위험을 증가시켜 수출을 위축시키는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 무역보험의 정책적 지원이 확대되어야 하며, 외환시장의 다변화와 거래 규모 확대가 필요하다.

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베스팅계약 전력시장에서 선물 최적헷지전략 연구 (Optimal Hedge Strategy Using Future Contract in the Vesting Contract Electricity Market)

  • 맹근호;송광재;박종근
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.414-419
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    • 2004
  • In TWBP new uncertainty will be increased. Risk management is risen to a important problem. Vesting contract makes market Players trade at fixed price in TWBP early stages. In the case of advanced country, market players manage risk with a future contract. When a risk management method moves from vesting contract to future contract, it may have to use together two contracts for schedule period. In this paper, risk management strategy that use vesting contract and forward contract at the same time is proposed.