• 제목/요약/키워드: total cloud cover

검색결과 21건 처리시간 0.02초

운량 비측정 지역을 위한 수평면전일사량 예측 상관식의 수정모델 제안 (Proposal of Modified Correlation to Calculate the Horizontal Global Solar Irradiance for non-Measuring Cloud-cover Regions)

  • 조민철;김정배
    • 융복합기술연구소 논문집
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the authors of this paper proposed newly the correlation model to calculate the horizontal global solar radiation in Korea based the Zhang-Huang (ZH) model proposed in 2002 for China. Previous study was pronounced the correlation with a new term of the duration of sunshine proved as being closely related with the hourly solar radiation in Korea into ZH model. And then another modified correlation for the regions without measuring cloud cover was proposed and evaluated the accuracy and validity for those regions. So, this study was performed to propose modified correlation to calculate the horizontal global solar irradiance of non-measuring cloud-cover regions. Finally, this study proposed the new correlation that could well predict hourly and daily total solar radiation for all regions, various seasons, and various weather conditions including overcast and clear, with higher accuracy and lower error than other models proposed ever before in Korea for non-measuring cloud-cover regions.

강릉 지역에서 자동 전운량 장비와 GWNU 태양 복사 모델을 이용한 지표면 일사량 분석 (An Analysis of Global Solar Radiation using the GWNU Solar Radiation Model and Automated Total Cloud Cover Instrument in Gangneung Region)

  • 박혜인;조일성;김부요;지준범;이규태
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2017
  • 이 연구에서는 지표 관측 자료와 위성 자료 그리고 GWNU 단층 복사 모델을 이용하여 맑은 상태의 전천 일사량을 계산하였으며, 전운량에 따라 관측 및 모델의 일사량 값을 비교 분석하였다. 연구 자료는 2012년 강릉원주대학교 복사 관측소의 전천 일사량, 기온, 기압, 습도, 에어로졸 등의 관측 자료와 OMI 센서의 오존전량 자료 그리고 구름의 유무 및 전운량을 판단하기 위하여 자동 전운량 장비인 Skyview 자료를 이용하였다. 전운량이 0 할인 맑은 날의 경우 관측 값과 모델 값이 0.98로 높은 상관계수를 나타내었으나 RMSE가 $36.62Wm^{-2}$로 비교적 높게 나타났다. 이는 Skyview 장비가 얇은 구름이나 박무 및 연무 등의 기상상태를 판단하지 못하였기 때문이다. 흐린 날의 경우 구름의 영향을 보정하기 위해 전운량과 두 값의 차에 대한 비율을 이용한 회귀식을 복사 모델에 적용하였으며, 장비의 오탐지를 제외한 경우 상관계수가 0.92로 높은 상관성을 보였으나 RMSE가 $99.50Wm^{-2}$으로 높은 값을 보였다. 더 정확한 분석을 위해서는 직달 성분의 차폐 유무 및 구름 광학 두께를 포함한 다양한 구름 요소의 추가적인 분석이 요구된다. 이 연구결과는 분 또는 시간에 따른 일사량을 산출하여 일사량이 관측되지 않는 지역에서 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

서울의 최근 자외선 복사의 변화 2004~2010 (Recent Variations of UV Irradiance at Seoul 2004~2010)

  • 김준;박상서;조나영;김우경;조희구
    • 대기
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2011
  • The climatology of surface UV radiation for Seoul, presented in Cho et al. (1998; 2001), has been updated using measurement of surface erythemal ultraviolet (EUV) and total ultraviolet (TUV) irradiance (wavelength 286.5~363.0 nm) by a Brewer Spectrophotometer (MK-IV) for the period 2004~2010. The analysis was also carried out together with the broadband total (global) solar irradiance (TR ; 305~2800 nm) and cloud amount to compare with the UV variations, measured by Seoul meteorological station of Korean Meteorological Agency located near the present study site. Under all-sky conditions, the day-to-day variability of EUV exhibits annual mean of 98% in increase and 31% in decrease. It has been also shown that the EUV variability is 17 times as high as the total ozone in positive change, whereas this is 6 times higher in negative change. Thus, the day to day variability is dominantly caused rather by the daily synoptic situations than by the ozone variability. Annual mean value of daily EUV and TUV shows $1.62kJm^{-2}$ and $0.63MJm^{-2}$ respectively, whereas mean value of TR is $12.4MJm^{-2}$ ($143.1Wm^{-2}$). The yearly maximum in noon-time UV Index (UVI) varies between 9 and 11 depending on time of year. The highest UVI shows 11 on 20 July, 2008 during the period 2004~2010, but for the period 1994~2000, the index of 12 was recorded on 13 July, 1994 (Cho et al., 2001). A 40% of daily maximum UVI belongs to "low (UVI < 2)", whereas the UVI less than 5% of the maximum show "very high (8 < UVI < 10)". On average, the maximum UVI exceeded 8 on 9 days per year. The values of Tropospheric Emission Monitoring Internet Service (TEMIS) EUV and UVI under cloud-free conditions are 1.8 times and 1.5 times, respectively, higher than the all-sky measurements by the Brewer. The trend analysis in fractional deviation of monthly UV from the reference value shows a decrease of -0.83% and -0.90% $decade^{-1}$ in the EUV and TUV, respectively, whereas the TR trend is near zero (+0.11% $decade^{-1}$). The trend is statistically significant except for TR trend (p = 0.279). It is possible that the recent UV decrease is mainly associated with increase in total ozone, but the trend in TR can be attributed to the other parameters such as clouds except the ozone. Certainly, the cloud effects suggest that the reason for the differences between UV and TR trends can be explained. In order to estimate cloud effects, the EUV, TUV and TR irradiances have been also evaluated for clear skies (cloud cover < 25%) and cloudy skies (cloud cover ${\geq}$ 75%). Annual mean values show that EUV, TUV and TR are $2.15kJm^{-2}$, $0.83MJm^{-2}$, and $17.9MJm^{-2}$ for clear skies, and $1.24kJm^{-2}$, $0.46MJm^{-2}$, and $7.2MJm^{-2}$ for cloudy skies, respectively. As results, the transmission of radiation through clouds under cloudy-sky conditions is observed to be 58%, 55% and 40% for EUV, TUV and TR, respectively. Consequently, it is clear that the cloud effects on EUV and TUV are 18% and 15%, respectively lower than the effects on TR under cloudy-sky conditions. Clouds under all-sky conditions (average of cloud cover is 5 tenths) reduced the EUV and TUV to about 25% of the clear-sky (cloud cover < 25%) values, whereas for TR, this was 31%. As a result, it is noted that the UV radiation is attenuated less than TR by clouds under all weather conditions.

지표 자외선 복사 변화에 미치는 오존 전량, 구름 및 적설 효과 (Effects of Ozone, Cloud and Snow on Surface UV Irradiance)

  • 이윤곤;김준;이방용;조희구
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.439-451
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    • 2004
  • Total solar irradiance (750), total UV irradiunce (TUV) and erythemal UV irradiance (EUV) measured at King Sejong station $(62.22^{\circ}S,\;58.78^{\circ}W)$ in west Antarctica have been used together with total ozone, cloud amount and snow cover to examine the effects of ozone, cloud and snow surface on these surface solar inadiunce over the period of 1998-2003. The data of three solar components for each scan were grouped by cloud amount, n in oktas $(0{\leq}n<3,\;3{\leq}n<4,\;4{\leq}n<5,\;5{\leq}n<6,\;6{\leq}n<7\;and\;7{\leq}n<8)$ and plotted against solar zenith angle (SZA) over the range of $45^{\circ}\;to\;75^{\circ}$. The radiation amplification factor (RAE) is used to quantify ozone effect on EUV. RAF of EUV decreases from 1.51 to 0.94 under clear skies but increases from 0.94 to 1.85 under cloudy skies as SZA increases, and decreases from 1.51 to 1.01 as cloud amount increases. The effects of cloud amount and snow surface on EUV are estimated as a function of SZA and cloud amount after normalization of the data to the reference total ozone of 300 DU. In order to analyse the transmission of solar radiation by cloud, regression analyses have been performed for the maximum values of solar irradiance on clear sky conditions $(0{\leq}n<3)$ and the mean values on cloudy conditions, respectively. The maximum regression values for the clear sky cases were taken to represent minimum aerosol conditions fur the site and thus appropriate for use as a normalization (reference) factor for the other regressions. The overall features for the transmission of the three solar components show a relatively high values around SZAs of $55^{\circ}\;and\;60^{\circ}$ under all sky conditions and cloud amounts $4{\leq}n<5$ and $5{\leq}n<6$. The transmission is, in general, the largest in TUV and the smallest in EUV among the three components of the solar irradiance. If the ground is covered with snow on partly cloudy days $(6{\leq}n<7)$, EUV increases by 20 to 26% compared to snow-free surface around SZA $60^{\circ}-65^{\circ}$, due to multiple reflections and scattering between the surface and the clouds. The relative difference between snow surface and snow-free surface slowly increases from 9% to 20% as total ozone increases from 100 DU to 400 DU under partly cloud conditions $(3{\leq}n<6)$ at SZA $60^{\circ}$. The snow effects on TUV and TSO are relatively high with 32% and 34%, respectively, under clear sky conditions, while the effects changes to 36% and 20% for TUV and TSO, respectively, as cloud amount increases.

1985년부터 2014년까지의 측정 수평면전일사량과 기상데이터 간의 경향 및 상관성 분석 (Analysis of Trends and Correlations between Measured Horizontal Surface Insolation and Weather Data from 1985 to 2014)

  • 김정배
    • 융복합기술연구소 논문집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2019
  • After 30 years of KKP model analysis and extended 30 years of accuracy analysis, the unique correlation and various problems between measured horizontal surface insolation and measured weather data are found in this paper. The KKP model's 10yrs daily total horizontal surface insolation forecasting was averaged about 97.7% on average, and the forecasting accuracy at peak times per day was about 92.1%, which is highly applicable regardless of location and weather conditions nationwide. The daily total solar radiation forecasting accuracy of the modified KKP cloud model was 98.9%, similar to the KKP model, and 93.0% of the forecasting accuracy at the peak time per day. And the results of evaluating the accuracy of calculation for 30 years of KKP model were cloud model 107.6% and cloud model 95.1%. During the accuracy analysis evaluation, this study found that inaccuracies in measurement data of cloud cover should be clearly assessed by the Meteorological Administration.

구름에 의한 지표 일사량의 증가 (The effects of clouds on enhancing surface solar irradiance)

  • 정연진;조희구;김준;김영준;김윤미
    • 대기
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2011
  • Spectral solar irradiances were observed using a visible and UV Multi-Filter Rotating Shadowband Radiometer on the rooftop of the Science Building at Yonsei University, Seoul ($37.57^{\circ}N$, $126.98^{\circ}E$, 86 m) during one year period in 2006. 1-min measurements of global(total) and diffuse solar irradiances over the solar zenith angle (SZA) ranges from $20^{\circ}$ to $70^{\circ}$ were used to examine the effects of clouds and total optical depth (TOD) on enhancing four solar irradiance components (broadband 395-955 nm, UV channel 304.5 nm, visible channel 495.2 nm, and infrared channel 869.2 nm) together with the sky camera images for the assessment of cloud conditions at the time of each measurement. The obtained clear-sky irradiance measurements were used for empirical model of clear-sky irradiance with the cosine of the solar zenith angle (SZA) as an independent variable. These developed models produce continuous estimates of global and diffuse solar irradiances for clear sky. Then, the clear-sky irradiances are used to estimate the effects of clouds and TOD on the enhancement of surface solar irradiance as a difference between the measured and the estimated clear-sky values. It was found that the enhancements occur at TODs less than 1.0 (i.e. transmissivity greater than 37%) when solar disk was not obscured or obscured by optically thin clouds. Although the TOD is less than 1.0, the probability of the occurrence for the enhancements shows 50~65% depending on four different solar radiation components with the low UV irradiance. The cumulus types such as stratoculmus and altoculumus were found to produce localized enhancement of broadband global solar irradiance of up to 36.0% at TOD of 0.43 under overcast skies (cloud cover 90%) when direct solar beam was unobstructed through the broken clouds. However, those same type clouds were found to attenuate up to 80% of the incoming global solar irradiance at TOD of about 7.0. The maximum global UV enhancement was only 3.8% which is much lower than those of other three solar components because of the light scattering efficiency of cloud drops. It was shown that the most of the enhancements occurred under cloud cover from 40 to 90%. The broadband global enhancement greater than 20% occurred for SZAs ranging from 28 to $62^{\circ}$. The broadband diffuse irradiance has been increased up to 467.8% (TOD 0.34) by clouds. In the case of channel 869.0 nm, the maximum diffuse enhancement was 609.5%. Thus, it is required to measure irradiance for various cloud conditions in order to obtain climatological values, to trace the differences among cloud types, and to eventually estimate the influence on solar irradiance by cloud characteristics.

외규장각 의궤 책의 문양을 통한 운보문 편년 설정 방법 (A Method for Establishing Chronology of Cloud Patterns Based on the Cover Patterns of Oegyujanggak Uigwe Books in the Late Joseon Period)

  • 이은주
    • 헤리티지:역사와 과학
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.18-37
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    • 2019
  • 국립중앙박물관의 외규장각 의궤 중 운보문단(雲寶紋緞) 책의(冊衣)를 대상으로 운보문의 편년 설정 방법을 도출한 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 외규장각 의궤 중 운보문단 책의는 현종 즉위년(1659) 『효종국장도감의궤(상·하)』부터 영조 20년(1744) 『사도세자가례도감의궤』까지 86년간 89책(冊)에서 사용되었다. 둘째, 의궤 책의에 사용된 보문 종류는 14종으로 파악되었는데 잡보(雜寶)인 금정(金錠), 만자(卍字), 방승(方勝), 방승(쌍), 보주(寶珠), 산호(珊瑚), 서각(犀角), 서보(書寶), 애엽(艾葉), 여의두(如意頭), 전보(錢寶), 전보(쌍), 특경(特磬), 화보(畵寶)이다. 셋째, 운보문 판독 방법은 다음과 같다. (1)보문의 명칭을 결정한다. (2)운두(雲頭) 꼭지점을 기준으로 운두가 일방향(一方向)으로 배열되었는지 양방향(兩方向)으로 배열되었는지를 확인한다. (3)운두에 연결된 만자꼬리 중 상하꼬리 방향이 좌향인지 우향인지 파악한다. (4)운두를 중심으로 사분면에 배열된 보문 조합이 '1조(組) 보문형'인지 '2조 보문형'인지 확인하고 운두 꼭지점을 기준으로 좌향꼬리는 좌상(左上) 면에서 시계 역방향으로 보문을 판독하고 우향꼬리 운보문은 우상(右上) 면에서 시계 순방향으로 보문을 판독한다. 2조 보문인 경우는 첫 보문의 명칭을 가나다 순으로 따져 '제1조 보문'과 '제2조 보문'을 결정한다. (4)운보문에서 판독한 내용을 유물명부터 유물번호, 소장처, 왕조, 연도, 1-1면, 1-2면, 1-3면, 1-4면, 방향, 2-1면, 2-2면, 2-3면, 2-4면, 운두 크기, 단위문 크기 등 16항목으로 정리한다. 이러한 판독법의 활용을 용이하게 하기 위하여 운보문의 연대 파악을 위한 '정하 운보문 판독법'으로 명명하였다. 넷째, 현종 즉위년(1659)부터 영조 20년(1744)까지 86년간의 의궤 89책 책의에서 28종의 운보문단을 확인하였다. 그리고 운보문에 사용된 보문은 단독보문과 조합보문을 포함하여 45종으로 확인되었는데, 특히 보주(85건), 산호(84건), 서보(42건), 방승(쌍)(41건) 등이 많이 사용되었음을 알 수 있었다. 다섯째, 운보문 판독법을 연대가 정확한 초상화와 출토복식, 전세유물 등에 운보문 판독법을 적용해본 결과, 유물의 연대 파악에 도움이 될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

SYNOP 지상관측자료를 활용한 수치모델 전구 예측성 검증 (Verification of the Global Numerical Weather Prediction Using SYNOP Surface Observation Data)

  • 이은희;최인진;김기병;강전호;이주원;이은정;설경희
    • 대기
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.235-249
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes methodology verifying near-surface predictability of numerical weather prediction models against the surface synoptic weather station network (SYNOP) observation. As verification variables, temperature, wind, humidity-related variables, total cloud cover, and surface pressure are included in this tool. Quality controlled SYNOP observation through the pre-processing for data assimilation is used. To consider the difference of topographic height between observation and model grid points, vertical inter/extrapolation is applied for temperature, humidity, and surface pressure verification. This verification algorithm is applied for verifying medium-range forecasts by a global forecasting model developed by Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems to measure the near-surface predictability of the model and to evaluate the capability of the developed verification tool. It is found that the verification of near-surface prediction against SYNOP observation shows consistency with verification of upper atmosphere against global radiosonde observation, suggesting reliability of those data and demonstrating importance of verification against in-situ measurement as well. Although verifying modeled total cloud cover with observation might have limitation due to the different definition between the model and observation, it is also capable to diagnose the relative bias of model predictability such as a regional reliability and diurnal evolution of the bias.

구름과 에어로솔의 혼재시 에어로솔의 광학특성이 상향 단파 복사에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Aerosol Optical Properties on Upward Shortwave Flux in the Presence of Aerosol and Cloud layers)

  • 이권호
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2017
  • 에어로솔의 광학특성과 연직고도는 태양 복사의 반사와 흡수과정을 통하여 지구복사수지에 영향을 미치게 된다. 본 연구에서는 복사전달모델과 위성관측자료를 이용하여 동북아시아 지역에서 구름의 존재 시 에어로솔 층에 의한 복사특성을 분석하였다. 복사전달 모의 결과는 구름이 하부에 존재하는 경우에 에어로솔 층의 고도가 높아짐에 따라 대기 온난화 효과가 증가하였다. 이러한 관계는 에어로솔의 광 흡수성이 커질수록, 지표 반사도가 증가할수록 비례하는 경향을 나타내었다. 그리고 연구대상지역 ($20-50^{\circ}N$, $110-140^{\circ}E$)에서 주요 에어로솔 이벤트 사례에 대하여, UV Absorbing Aerosol Index (AAI) derived from Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS), cloud parameters derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS), with Upward Shortwave Flux (USF) Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) 위성관측자료를 이용하여 광 흡수성 에어로솔에 의한 영향을 정량적으로 분석하였다. 각 사례에 대한 평균적인 복사효과는 약 6 - 26 %에 해당하는 상향 단파 복사량의 감쇄효과가 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 에어로솔에 의한 직접효과와 간접효과를 정량화 하기 위한 중요성을 설명해 준다.

국내 기상 측정결과를 이용한 일사량 예측 방법 기초 연구 (A Basic Study to Predict Solar Insolation using Meteorological Observation Data in Korea)

  • 황보성;김하양;김정배
    • 융복합기술연구소 논문집
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2014
  • To well design the solar energy system using solar energy, the correlation to calculate solar irradiation is basically needed. So, this study was performed to reveal the relationships between the solar irradiation and four meteorological observation data(dry bulb temperature, relative humidity, sunshine duration, and cloud cover) which are different from previous other researches. And then, we finally proposed the first order non-linear correlation from the measured solar irradiation using four meteorological observation data with MINITAB. To show the deviation of the solar irradiation between measured and calculated, this study compared using the daily total solar irradiance and the maximum peak value. From those results, the calculation error was estimated about maximum 25.4% for the daily total solar irradiance. The error of the solar irradiation between measured and calculated was made from the curve fitting error. So, solar irradiation prediction correlation with higher accuracy can be obtained using 2nd or higher order terms with four meteorological observation data.