• 제목/요약/키워드: time-series observation

검색결과 292건 처리시간 0.032초

서울의 연 강수량 (Statistical nature of the dry and wet periods defined in the time series of annual precipitations (1771-1990) of seoul)

  • 임규호
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 1992
  • 측우기와 근대 우량계로 관측한 서울의 연강수량 시계열을 분석하였다. 측우기로 관측된 1771년부터 1907년 사이의 강수량과 1908년 이후부터 1990년까지의 근대 우량계에 의한 강 수량 시계열을 특별한 보정없이 연결하여 사용하였다. 근대 우량계에 의한 후반부 자료는 기상청 발표자료이며 전반부의 고대 관측 자료는 와다가 측우기 자료를 이용하여 계산한 월 별 강수량을 단위 환산후 수록한 그의 저서 내부의 표1을 이용하였다. 전 분석기간을 3 부 분으로 분리가능하였으며 이를 객관화하기 위하여 원시 계열을 9년 이동평균하여 구한 시계 열과 년강수량 1050mm를 기준으로 사용하였다. 우리는 분석기간의 대부분을 습윤시기1, 건 조시기, 습윤시기2 로 분리 명명하였다. 통계적인 특성상 습윤시기1 과 2는 동일집단으로 간 주 가능하나 습윤시기와 건조시기는 그렇지 못하다. 통계적인 특성상 습윤시기 1과 2의 강 한 동질성은 측우기 자료의 신빙성을 높이는 것으로 해석할 수 있다. 이러한 결과는 고대 측우기 관측에 동반 되었을지 모르는 여러 가지 제약들, 예를 들면 관측 장소와 측정단위의 불명확성 그리고 서울의 도시화와 관련된 제반 기후 변화등을 고려하면 더욱 더 그러하다. 그러나 건조시기와 습윤시기의 강수 변동성을 정확하게 파악하기 위하여는 승정원 일기와 같은 고 문서에 산재하는 측우기로 관측된 일 강수량을 재 발굴하여 분석하는 것이 시급하다.

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이어도 해양과학기지 수온 시계열 자료의 이상값 검출을 위한 국제 품질검사의 성능 평가 (Evaluation of International Quality Control Procedures for Detecting Outliers in Water Temperature Time-series at Ieodo Ocean Research Station)

  • 민용침;전현정;정진용;박숭환;이재익;정종민;민인기;김용선
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.229-243
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    • 2021
  • Quality control (QC) to process observed time series has become more critical as the types and amount of observed data have increased along with the development of ocean observing sensors and communication technology. International ocean observing institutions have developed and operated automatic QC procedures for these observed time series. In this study, the performance of automated QC procedures proposed by U.S. IOOS (Integrated Ocean Observing System), NDBC (National Data Buy Center), and OOI (Ocean Observatory Initiative) were evaluated for observed time-series particularly from the Yellow and East China Seas by taking advantage of a confusion matrix. We focused on detecting additive outliers (AO) and temporary change outliers (TCO) based on ocean temperature observation from the Ieodo Ocean Research Station (I-ORS) in 2013. Our results present that the IOOS variability check procedure tends to classify normal data as AO or TCO. The NDBC variability check tracks outliers well but also tends to classify a lot of normal data as abnormal, particularly in the case of rapidly fluctuating time-series. The OOI procedure seems to detect the AO and TCO most effectively and the rate of classifying normal data as abnormal is also the lowest among the international checks. However, all three checks need additional scrutiny because they often fail to classify outliers when intermittent observations are performed or as a result of systematic errors, as well as tending to classify normal data as outliers in the case where there is abrupt change in the observed data due to a sensor being located within a sharp boundary between two water masses, which is a common feature in shallow water observations. Therefore, this study underlines the necessity of developing a new QC algorithm for time-series occurring in a shallow sea.

이중합성 박스 거더의 재령종속적 거동실험 및 해석 (Experimental Observation of Double Composite Box Girders subjected to Concrete Creep and Shrinkage)

  • 강병수;김정현;곽동석;홍인택;이용학
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2003년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 2003
  • Time dependent deflections of double composite box girders are investigated based on the on going laboratory experiments scheduled for 3months long. Two of 2-span double composite box girders with 2.5m each span length are cast and time dependent behaviors are measured using 30 strain gages and 2 LVDTs after 5 days' curing. The measured experimental results are compared with the numerical predictions performed based on the one dimensional finite element method adopting beam element. The FEM formulation adopts the time dependent concrete constitutive model which is derived in an incremental format by expanding the total form of stress-strain relation by the first order Taylor series with respect to the reference time. A good agreement between the measured and predicted results are observed and the effects of the bottom concrete placed at the negative moment region of the bridge girder are discussed.

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인공위성 추적자료의 미분보정에 의한 궤도결정 (Orbit Determination from Tracking Data of Artificial Satellite Using the Method of Differential Correction)

  • 이병선;조중현;박상영;최규홍;김천휘
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 1988
  • 인공위성의 추적자료로부터 예비궤도를 결정하고 이것을 초기값으로 해서 계산한 관측치 (C) 와 실제의 관측치(O)의 차이가 최소가 될때까지 반복계산함으로써, 어떤 시각에 있어서 실제의 궤도에 가장 가까운 접융궤도 요소를 얻어내는 미분보정의 과정을 수행했다. 추적한 인공 위성은 TIROS-N계열 위성인 NOAA - 9이고 추척자료는 컴퓨터에 의한 프로그랭 추척을 위해서 TBUS의 평균궤도요소로부터 미리 계산한 예측자료와 위성으후부터 송신되는 1.707GHz의 HRPT신호를 전파연구소의 직경 5m인 자동추적안테나로 추적해서 얻은 실제 자료를 이용했다. 예비궤도의 결정은 추적 자료에 따라 Gauss 방법과 Herrick -Gibbs 방법을 사용했고 미분보정의 과정에 있어서 미분보정행렬의 각 원소들은 Escobal(1975)의 해석적인 방법과 f, g급수를 이용한 수치적인 방법으로 각각 구해서 그 결과를 비교해 보았다. 해석적인 방법파 수치적인 방법의 결과는 거의 일치하였고 각 시간간격에 따른 예비궤도가 다름에도 불구하고 미분보정된 궤도는 같은 값으로 수령했다.

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연직강우레이더와 광학우적계 관측자료를 이용한 2012년 여름철 남해안 강우사례 분석 (Analysis of Summer Rainfall Case over Southern Coast Using MRR and PARSIVEL Disdrometer Measurements in 2012)

  • 문지영;김동균;김연희;하종철;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.265-273
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    • 2013
  • To investigate properties of cloud and rainfall occurred at Boseong on 10 July 2012, Raindrop Size distributions (RSDs) and other parameters were analyzed using observation data collected by Micro Rain Radar (MRR) and PARticle SIze and VELocity (PARSIVEL) disdrometer located in the National center for intensive observation of severe weather at Boseong in the southwest of the Korean peninsula. In addition, time series of RSD parameters, relationship between reflectivity-rain rate, and vertical variation of rain rates-fall velocities below melting layer were examined. As a result, good agreements were found in the reflectivity-rain rate time series as well as their power relationships between MRR and PARSIVEL disdrometer. The rain rate was proportional to reflectivity, mean diameter, and inversely proportional to shape (${\mu}$), slope (${\Lambda}$), intercept ($N_0$) parameter of RSD. In comparison of the RSD, as rain rate was increased, the slope of RSD became less steep and the mean diameter became larger. Also, it was verified that reflectivities are classified in three categories (Category 1: Z (reflectivity) > 40 dBZ, Category 2: 30 dBZ < Z < 40 dBZ, Category 3: Z < 30 dBZ). As reflectivity was increased, rain rate was intensified and larger raindrops were existed, while reflectivity was decreased, shape (${\mu}$), slope (${\Lambda}$), intercept ($N_0$) parameter of RSD were increased. We expected that these results will lead to better understanding of microphysical process in convective rainfall system occurred during short-term period over Korean peninsula.

차분 간섭도로부터 지표변위의 시계열 관측을 위한 개선된 Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) 알고리즘 (Improvement of Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) Algorithm for Measuring Time-series Surface Deformations from Differential SAR Interferograms)

  • 정형섭;이창욱;박정원;김기동;원중선
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 2008
  • 최근 spatial decorrelation을 극복하기 위하여 비교적 짧은 기선(baseline)을 지니는 여러 시기의 차분간섭도(differential interferogram)로부터 시계열 지표변위(time-series surface deformation)를 관측할 수 있는 small baseline subset(SBAS) 알고리즘이 개발되었다. 이 SBAS 알고리즘은 singluar value decomposition(SVD)을 이용하여 시간별로 완벽하게 연결되지 않는 차분간섭도로부터 시계열 지표변위를 관측하였을 뿐 아니라 공간적으로 저주파 필터와 시간적으로 고주파 필터를 이용하여 대기효과를 보정하였다. 그러나 이 알고리즘은 초기 관측시 시계열 지표변위를 선형으로 가정하였기 때문에 각 차분간섭도의 phase unwrapping 오차를 정확하게 보정하기 어려웠을 뿐 아니라 시계열의 지표변위에 존재하는 노이즈 성분을 완화시키지 못했다. 이와 같은 단점을 보완하기 위하여 이 연구에서는 기존의 SBAS 알고리즘을 개선하였다. 이 개선된 SBAS 알고리즘은 각 차분간섭도의 phase unwrapping 오차를 최소화하기 위하여 반복적으로 시계열 지표면 변위를 개선하였고, 시계열 지표변위의 노이즈를 제거하기 위하여 유한차분근사법(finite difference approximation)을 이용하였다. 서로 다른 지역의 26개의 ERS-12자료와 21개의 RADARSAT-1 fine beam (F5) 자료를 이용하여 개선된 SBAS 알고리즘을 실험하고 분석하였다. ERS-1/2자료에서는 LOS(line-of-sight) 지표변위가 약 13년 동안 최대 -40cm가 관측되었고, RADARSAT-1 fine beam 자료에서는 약 2년 동안 최대 -3cm의 LOS 지표변위가 관측되었다.

Application of X-band polarimetric radar observation for flood forecasting in Japan

  • Kim, Sun-Min;Yorozu, Kazuaki;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Shiiba, Michiharu
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.15-15
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    • 2011
  • The radar observation system in Japan is operated by two governmental groups: Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) of Japan. The JMA radar observation network is comprised of 20 C-band radars (with a wavelength of 5.6 cm), which cover most of the Japan Islands and observe rainfall intensity and distribution. And the MLIT's radar observation system is composed of 26 C-band radars throughout Japan. The observed radar echo from each radar unit is first modified, and then sent to the National Bureau of Synthesis Process within the MLIT. Through several steps for homogenizing observation accuracy, including distance and elevation correction, synthesized rainfall intensity maps for the entire nation of Japan are generated every 5 minutes. The MLIT has recently launched a new radar observation network system designed for flash flood observation and forecasting in small river basins within urban areas. It is called the X-band multi parameter radar network, and is distinguished by its dual polarimetric wave pulses of short length (3cm). Attenuation problems resulting from the short wave length of radar echo are strengthened by polarimetric wavelengths and very dense radar networks. Currently, the network is established within four areas. Each area is observed using 3-4 X-band radars with very fine resolution in spatial (250 m) and temporal (1 minute intervals). This study provides a series of utilization procedures for the new input data into a real-time forecasting system. First of all, the accuracy of the X-band radar observation was determined by comparing its results with the rainfall intensities as observed by ground gauge stations. It was also compared with conventional C-band radar observation. The rainfall information from the new radar network was then provided to a distributed hydrologic model to simulate river discharges. The simulated river discharges were evaluated again using the observed river discharge to estimate the applicability of the new observation network in the context of operations regarding flood forecasting. It was able to determine that the newly equipped X-band polarimetric radar network shows somewhat improved observation accuracy compared to conventional C-band radar observation. However, it has a tendency to underestimate the rainfall, and the accuracy is not always superior to that of the C-band radar. The accuracy evaluation of the X-band radar observation in this study was conducted using only limited rainfall events, and more cases should be examined for developing a broader understanding of the general behavior of the X-band radar and for improving observation accuracy.

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차량용 강우센서와 강우관측소 관측자료 비교분석 (Comparison and Analysis of Observation Data of Rainfall Sensor for Vehicle and Rainfall Station)

  • 이충대;이병현;조형제;김병식
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.783-791
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    • 2018
  • 낮은 밀도의 강우관측망과 레이더 강우의 편향적인 추정은 좁은 지역에서 발생하는 돌발홍수에 대한 적용에는 한계가 있다. 이를 개선하기 위해서는 더 많은 강우정보의 생산이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 최근에 개발되어 활용되고 있는 차량용 강우센서를 이용하여 적용성을 분석하였다. 개발된 강우센서를 차량에 부착하여 차량의 이동에 따른 강우 관측을 수행하였다. 분석 방법은 강우센서와 인근 강우관측소의 관측값에 대하여 시계열 및 평균 강수량을 이용하였다. 차량별로 부착된 센서(1~10번)의 관측 강우를 분석한 결과 전체적으로 센서별로 상대적으로 차이가 발생하고 있으나 강우 사상에 따른 관측값의 경향은 일정한 패턴을 나타내고 있는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이는 강우센서의 관측위치와 인근 강우관측소와의 거리 차이, 차량의 이동 속도, 강우관측 방법 등 다양한 원인에 의해 발생하는 것으로 분석되었다. 이 결과는 차량용 강우센서를 이용한 강우관측의 가능성을 보여주었으며 향후 다양한 조건에서의 실험 및 강우센서 개선을 통하여 보다 정밀한 강우관측이 가능할 것으로 검토되었다.

재유화형 분말수지계와 규산질계 혼합형 구체방수재의 방수효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on Watertightness Effect of Waterproofing Admixture Mixed Redispersible)

  • 김무한;오상근;배기선;박선규;김용로
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2000
  • This study is to investigate the watertightness properties of waterproofing admixture mixed redispersible polymer and siliceous powder. Series I deals with change in micro-structure of mortar by waterproofing admixture according to the water/cement ratios of 0.5, 0.6, 0.7 and 0.8 Crystal growth in micro-structure was observed through SEM to estimate on the watertightness effect of it. SeriesII deals with watertightness properties of waterproofing admixture on water permeability coefficient, crack restoration capacity and carbonation depth. SeriesII deals with watertightness properties of waterproofing admixture on water permeability coefficient, crack restoration capacity and carbonation depth. The result of this study can be summarized as follows. 1) Fluidity of mortar and concrete was increased by adding waterproofing admixture. 2) From observation through SEM. Crystals grew larger and denser in micro-structure as fiberic crystalization. 3) Waterproofing admixture is good watertightness properties in a level of high water/cement ratios and long limit of time. 4) Crack restoration capacity was appeared and durability was progressed by waterproofing admixture.

Usability of inclinometers as a complementary measurement tool in structural monitoring

  • Pehlivan, Huseyin;Bayata, Halim Ferit
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제58권6호
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    • pp.1077-1085
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    • 2016
  • In the last few years, many structural monitoring studies have been performed using different techniques to measure structures of different scales such as buildings, dams or bridges. One of the mostly used tools are GPS instruments, which have been utilized in various combinations with accelerometers and some other conventional sensors. In the current study, observation series were recorded for 8 hours with GPS receivers (NovAtel) and Inclination Measurement Sensors mounted on a television tower in Istanbul, Turkey. Each series of observations collected from two different sensors were transformed into a single coordinate system (Local Topocentric Coordinates System). The positional changes of the tower were calculated from the GPS and the inclination data. These changes were plotted in two dimensions (2D) on the same graphic. Thus, the possibility of comparison and analysis were found using the data from both the GPS and the Inclinometer complement each other, in the real test area. The positional changes of the tower were modeled for further examination. As a result, the movement of the tower within an area of $1{\times}1cm^2$ was observed. Based on the results, it can be concluded that inclinometers can be used for monitoring the structural behavior of the tower.