• Title/Summary/Keyword: time-series change

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Detection of Low-Level Human Action Change for Reducing Repetitive Tasks in Human Action Recognition (사람 행동 인식에서 반복 감소를 위한 저수준 사람 행동 변화 감지 방법)

  • Noh, Yohwan;Kim, Min-Jung;Lee, DoHoon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.432-442
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    • 2019
  • Most current human action recognition methods based on deep learning methods. It is required, however, a very high computational cost. In this paper, we propose an action change detection method to reduce repetitive human action recognition tasks. In reality, simple actions are often repeated and it is time consuming process to apply high cost action recognition methods on repeated actions. The proposed method decides whether action has changed. The action recognition is executed only when it has detected action change. The action change detection process is as follows. First, extract the number of non-zero pixel from motion history image and generate one-dimensional time-series data. Second, detecting action change by comparison of difference between current time trend and local extremum of time-series data and threshold. Experiments on the proposed method achieved 89% balanced accuracy on action change data and 61% reduced action recognition repetition.

A detection procedure for a variance change points in AR(1) models (AR(1) 모형에서 분산변화점의 탐지절차)

  • 류귀열;조신섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1987
  • In time series analysis, we usually require the assumption that time series are stationary. But we may often encounter time series whose parameter values subject to change. Inthis paper w propose a method which can detect the variance change point in anAR(1) model which is subjct to changesat non-predictable time points. Proposed method is compared with other methods using the simulated and real data.

Method of Monitoring Forest Vegetation Change based on Change of MODIS NDVI Time Series Pattern (MODIS NDVI 시계열 패턴 변화를 이용한 산림식생변화 모니터링 방법론)

  • Jung, Myung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Hoon;Chang, Eun-Mi;Hong, Sung-Wook
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2012
  • Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) has been used to measure and monitor plant growth, vegetation cover, and biomass from multispectral satellite data. It is also a valuable index in forest applications, providing forest resource information. In this research, an approach for monitoring forest change using MODIS NDVI time series data is explored. NDVI difference-based approaches for a specific point in time have possible accuracy problems and are lacking in monitoring long-term forest cover change. It means that a multi-time NDVI pattern change needs to be considered. In this study, an efficient methodology to consider long-term NDVI pattern is suggested using a harmonic model. The suggested method reconstructs MODIS NDVI time series data through application of the harmonic model, which corrects missing and erroneous data. Then NDVI pattern is analyzed based on estimated values of the harmonic model. The suggested method was applied to 49 NDVI time series data from Aug. 21, 2009 to Sep. 6, 2011 and its usefulness was shown through an experiment.

A Study on Quick Detection of Variance Change Point of Time Series under Harsh Conditions

  • Choi, Hyun-Seok;Choi, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1091-1098
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    • 2006
  • Park et al.(2005) and Choi et al.(2006) studied quick detection of variance change point for time series data in progress. For efficient detection they used moving variance ratio equipped with two tuning parameters; information tuning parameter p and lag tuning parameter q. In this paper, the moving variance ratio is studied under harsh conditions.

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STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODEL

  • Jun, Duk B.
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 1991
  • The author is currently assistant professor of Management Science at Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, following a few years as assistant professor of Industrial Engineering at Kyung Hee University, Korea. He received his doctorate from the department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, University of California, Berkeley. His research interests are time series and forecasting modelling, Bayesian forecasting and the related software development. He is now teaching time series analysis and econometrics at the graduate level.

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Trends in the Climate Change of Surface Temperature using Structural Time Series Model (구조적 시계열 모형을 이용한 기온 자료에 대한 기후변화 추세 분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hyeong;Sohn, Keon-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2008
  • This study employs a structural time series method in order to model and estimate stochastic trend of surface temperatures of the globe, Northern Hemisphere, and Northeast Asia ($20^{\circ}N{\sim}60^{\circ}N$, $100^{\circ}E{\sim}150^{\circ}E$). For this study the reanalysis data CRUTEM3 (CRU/Hadley Centre gridded land-surface air temperature Version 3) is used. The results show that in these three regions range from $0.268^{\circ}C$ to $0.336^{\circ}C$ in 1997, whereas these vary from $0.423^{\circ}C$ to $0.583^{\circ}C$ in 2007. The annual mean temperature over Northeast Asia has increased by $0.031^{\circ}C$ in 2007 compared to 1997. The climate change in surface temperatures over Northeast Asia is slightly higher than that over the Northern Hemisphere.

Discontinuity in GNSS Coordinate Time Series due to Equipment Replacement

  • Sohn, Dong-Hyo;Choi, Byung-Kyu;Kim, Hyunho;Yoon, Hasu;Park, Sul Gee;Park, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2022
  • The GNSS coordinate time series is used as important data for geophysical analysis such as terrestrial reference frame establishment, crustal deformation, Earth orientation parameter estimation, etc. However, various factors may cause discontinuity in the coordinate time series, which may lead to errors in the interpretation. In this paper, we describe the discontinuity in the coordinate time series due to the equipment replacement for domestic GNSS stations and discuss the change in movement magnitude and velocity vector difference in each direction before and after discontinuity correction. To do this, we used three years (2017-2019) of data from 40 GNSS stations. The average magnitude of the velocity vector in the north-south, east-west, and vertical directions before correction is -12.9±1.5, 28.0±1.9, and 4.2±7.6 mm/yr, respectively. After correction, the average moving speed in each direction was -13.0±1.0, 28.2±0.8, and 0.7±2.1 mm/yr, respectively. The average magnitudes of the horizontal GNSS velocity vectors before and after discontinuous correction was similar, but the deviation in movement size of stations decreased after correction. After equipment replacement, the change in the vertical movement occurred more than the horizontal movement variation. Moreover, the change in the magnitude of movement in each direction may also cause a change in the velocity vector, which may lead to errors in geophysical analysis.

Online condition assessment of high-speed trains based on Bayesian forecasting approach and time series analysis

  • Zhang, Lin-Hao;Wang, You-Wu;Ni, Yi-Qing;Lai, Siu-Kai
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.705-713
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    • 2018
  • High-speed rail (HSR) has been in operation and development in many countries worldwide. The explosive growth of HSR has posed great challenges for operation safety and ride comfort. Among various technological demands on high-speed trains, vibration is an inevitable problem caused by rail/wheel imperfections, vehicle dynamics, and aerodynamic instability. Ride comfort is a key factor in evaluating the operational performance of high-speed trains. In this study, online monitoring data have been acquired from an in-service high-speed train for condition assessment. The measured dynamic response signals at the floor level of a train cabin are processed by the Sperling operator, in which the ride comfort index sequence is used to identify the train's operation condition. In addition, a novel technique that incorporates salient features of Bayesian inference and time series analysis is proposed for outlier detection and change detection. The Bayesian forecasting approach enables the prediction of conditional probabilities. By integrating the Bayesian forecasting approach with time series analysis, one-step forecasting probability density functions (PDFs) can be obtained before proceeding to the next observation. The change detection is conducted by comparing the current model and the alternative model (whose mean value is shifted by a prescribed offset) to determine which one can well fit the actual observation. When the comparison results indicate that the alternative model performs better, then a potential change is detected. If the current observation is a potential outlier or change, Bayes factor and cumulative Bayes factor are derived for further identification. A significant change, if identified, implies that there is a great alteration in the train operation performance due to defects. In this study, two illustrative cases are provided to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method for condition assessment of high-speed trains.

Time Series Models for Daily Exchange Rate Data (일별 환율데이터에 대한 시계열 모형 적합 및 비교분석)

  • Kim, Bomi;Kim, Jaehee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • ARIMA and ARIMA+IGARCH models are fitted and compared for daily Korean won/US dollar exchange rate data over 17 years. A linear structural change model and an autoregressive structural change model are fitted for multiple change-point estimation since there seems to be structural change with this data.

NDVI time series analysis over central China and Mongolia

  • Park, Youn-Young;Lee, Ga-Lam;Yeom, Jong-Min;Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.224-227
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    • 2008
  • Land cover and its changes, affecting multiple aspects of the environmental system such as energy balance, biogeochemical cycles, hydrological cycles and the climate system, are regarded as critical elements in global change studies. Especially in arid and semiarid regions, the observation of ecosystem that is sensitive to climate change can improve an understanding of the relationships between climate and ecosystem dynamics. The purpose of this research is analyzing the ecosystem surrounding the Gobi desert in North Asia quantitatively as well as qualitatively more concretely. We used Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) derived from SPOT-VEGETATION (VGT) sensor during 1999${\sim}$2007. Ecosystem monitoring of this area is necessary because it is a hot spot in global environment change. This study will allow predicting areas, which are prone to the rapid environmental change. Eight classes were classified and compare with MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) global land cover. The time-series analysis was carried out for these 8 classes. Class-1 and -2 have least amplitude variation with low NDVI as barren areas, while other vegetated classes increase in May and decrease in October (maximum value occurs in July and August). Although the several classes have the similar features of NDVI time-series, we detected a slight difference of inter-annual variation among these classes.

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