• Title/Summary/Keyword: time-series change

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Exploratory data analysis for Korean daily exchange rate data with recurrence plots (재현그림을 통한 우리나라 환율 자료에 대한 탐색적 자료분석)

  • Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1103-1112
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    • 2013
  • Exploratory data analysis focuses mostly on data exploration instead of model fitting. We can use the recurrence plot as a graphical exploratory data analysis tool. With the recurrence plot, we can obtain the structural pattern of the time series and recognize the structural change points in time series at a glance.

Study on Transient Temperature Distribution in Annular Fin of Uniform Thickness (均一두께 의 원통핀 에서 過渡溫度 分布 에 관한 硏究)

  • 손병진;박희용;이흥주
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 1982
  • The heat diffusion equation for an annular fin is analyzed by Laplace transformation. The fin has a uniform thickness, with its end insulated, and three different temperature profiles at the base such as step change, harmonic and exponential functions. The exact solutions for the temperature and heat flux of the fins are obtained with the infinite series. The series solutions converge rapidly for large values of dimensionless time, but slowly for small values. Therefore some approximate solutions are presented here to fine the temperature distribution and heat flux for small values of dimensionless time. Furthermore a simple approximate heat flux, .OMEGA.=1.13c.tau.$^{1}$2/ is found in the range of .tau. .leg. o.1/c for the exponential function at the base.

A Relative Atomspheric Correction Methods for Water Quality Factors Extraction from Landsat TM data (Landsat TM data로부터 수질인자 추출을 위한 상대적 대기 보정 방법)

  • Yang, In-Tae;Kim, Eung-Nam;Choi, Youn-Kwan
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.18
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 1998
  • Recently, there are a lot of studies to use a satellite image data in order to investigate a simultaneous change of a wide range area as a lake. However, many cases of a water quality research occur as problem when we try to extract the water quality factors from the satellite image data, because of the atmosphere scattering exert as bad influence on a result of analysis. In this study, and attempt was made to select the relative atmospheric correction method for the water quality factors extraction from the satellite image data. And also, the time-series analysis of the water quality factors extraction from the satellite image data. And also, the time-series analysis of the water quality factors was performed by using the multi-temporal image data.

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A Study on Supplied Forecasting of Short-term Electrical Power using Fuzzy Compensative Algorithm

  • Choo Yeon-Gyu;Lee Kwang-Seok;Kim Hyun-Duck
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.779-783
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    • 2006
  • A The estimation of electrical power consumption is becoming more important to supply stabilized electrical power recently. In this paper, we propose a supplied forecasting system of electrical power using Fuzzy Compensative Algorithm to estimate electrical load accurately than the previous. We evaluate a time series of supplied electrical power have the chaotic character using quantitative and qualitative analysis, compose a forecasting system by the maximum change $rate(\alpha)$ of Fuzzy Algorithm and compensative parameter. Simulating it for obtained time series, we can obtain more accurate results than the previous proposed system.

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Vegetation Classification Using Seasonal Variation MODIS Data

  • Choi, Hyun-Ah;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Son, Yo-Whan;Kojima, Toshiharu;Muraoka, Hiroyuki
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.665-673
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    • 2010
  • The role of remote sensing in phenological studies is increasingly regarded as a key in understanding large area seasonal phenomena. This paper describes the application of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) time series data for vegetation classification using seasonal variation patterns. The vegetation seasonal variation phase of Seoul and provinces in Korea was inferred using 8 day composite MODIS NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) dataset of 2006. The seasonal vegetation classification approach is performed with reclassification of 4 categories as urban, crop land, broad-leaf and needle-leaf forest area. The BISE (Best Index Slope Extraction) filtering algorithm was applied for a smoothing processing of MODIS NDVI time series data and fuzzy classification method was used for vegetation classification. The overall accuracy of classification was 77.5% and the kappa coefficient was 0.61%, thus suggesting overall high classification accuracy.

Interdecadal Changes in the Number of Days on Which Temperatures are not Higher Than -5℃ in Winter in Seoul (서울에서 겨울철 기온이 -5℃ 이하인 날 수의 십년간 변동 특성)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Cha, Yumi;Kim, Jeoung-Yun;Park, Cheol-Hong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2016
  • In the present study, the time series of the number of days on which temperatures were not higher than $-5^{\circ}C$ in winter in Seoul was analyzed. The results showed a decreasing tendency until recently. Statistical change-point analysis was conducted to examine whether climate regime shifts existed in this time series. According to the results, the number of days on which temperatures were not higher than $-5^{\circ}C$ in winter in Seoul drastically decreased since 1988. Therefore, to find out the reason for the recent decrease in the number of days, differences between the means of large-scale environments in winder during 1988~2010 and those during 1974~1987 were analyzed. In all layers of the troposphere, anomalous anticyclones developed in regions around the Korean Peninsula and thus the Korean Peninsula was affected by westerlies or south-westerlies. This was associated with the recent a little further northward development of western North Pacific subtropical high. Therefore, environments good for warm and humid air to flow into the Korean Peninsula were formed. To examine whether relatively warm and humid air actually flowed into the Korean Peninsula recently, temperatures and specific humidity in all layers in the troposphere were analyzed and according to the results the Korean Peninsula showed warm and humid anomalies. In the analyses of sensible heat net flux and maximum temperatures at a height of 2 m that can be felt by humans, the East Asia Continent including the Korean Peninsula showed positive anomalies.

Analysis of Long-term Changes of Days with 25℃ or Higher Air Temperatures in Jeju (제주의 여름철 기온이 25℃ 이상인 날수의 장기변화 분석)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Cha, Yumi;Kim, Jeoung-Yun;Park, Cheol-Hong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the time series of the number of days with $25^{\circ}C$ or higher temperatures in the Jeju region were analyzed and they showed a strong trend of increase until recently. To determine the existence of a climate regime shift in this time series, the statistical change-point analysis was applied and it was found that the number of days with $25^{\circ}C$ or higher temperatures in the Jeju region increased sharply since 1993. Therefore, in order to examine the cause of the sharp increase of the days with $25^{\circ}C$ or higher temperatures in the Jeju region, the differences between the averages of 1994~2013 and the averages of 1974~1993 were analyzed for the large-scale environment. In the Korean Peninsula including the Jeju region, precipitable water and total cloud cover decreased recently due to the intensification of strong anomalous anticyclones near the Korean Peninsula in the top, middle and bottom layers of the troposphere. As a result of this, the number of days with $25^{\circ}C$ or higher temperatures in the Jeju region could increase sharply in recent years. Furthermore, in the analysis of sensible heat net flux and daily maximum temperatures at 2 m, which is the height that can be felt by people, the Korean Peninsula was included in the positive anomaly region. In addition, the frequency of typhoons affecting the Korean Peninsula decreased recently, which reduced the opportunities for air temperature drops in the Jeju region.

A study on the planted system of agricultural crops using non-stationary transition probability model (Non-Stationary 추이확률 모형에 의한 농작물의 체계에 관한 연구)

  • 강정혁;김여근
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 1991
  • Non-Stationary transition probabilities models which is incorporated into a Markov framework with exogenous variables to account for some of variability are discussed, and extended for alternative procedure. Also as an application of the methodology, the size change of aggregate time-series data on the planted system of agricultural crops is estimated, and evaluated for the precision of time-varying evolution statistically.

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Asymptotic Properties of Variance Change-point in the Long-memory Process

  • Chu Minjeong;Cho Sinsup
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2000
  • It is noted that many econometric time series have long-memory properties. A long-memory process, or strongly dependent process, is characterized by hyperbolic decaying autocorrelations and unbounded spectral density at the origin. Since the long-memory property can be observed by data obtained from rather a long period, there is some possibility of parameter change in the process. In this paper, we consider the estimation of change-point when there is a change in the variance of a long-memory process. The estimator is based on some reasonable statistic and the consistency is shown using Taqqu's strong reduction theorem

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AN ADAPTED METHOD FOR REDUCING CHANGE DETECTION ERRORS DUE TO POINTING DIRECTION SHIFTS OF A SATELLITE SENSOR

  • Jeong, Jong-Hyeok;Takagi, Masataka
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.126-129
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    • 2005
  • Change detections is carried out under the assumption that pixel boundaries of geometrically corrected time series satellite images cover the same location. However that assumption can be wrong when shifts in the pointing direction of a satellite sensor occurs. Currently, although the influence of misregistration on landcover change detection has been investigated, there has been little research on the influence of pointing direction shifts of a satellite sensor. In this study, a simple method for reducing the effects of pointing direction shifts of a satellite sensor is proposed: the classification of two ASTER images was carried out using the linear spectral mixture analysis, the two classification results were resampled into a geometrically fixed grid, and then the change detection of the two ASTER images was carried out by comparing the resampled classification results of the two images. The proposed method showed high performance in discriminating between changed areas and unchanged areas by removing the pointing direction shifts of a satellite sensor.

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