• 제목/요약/키워드: time series clustering

검색결과 185건 처리시간 0.027초

FCM 알고리즘을 이용한 퍼지-뉴럴 네트워크 설계 (The Design of Fuzzy-Neural Networks using FCM Algorithms)

  • 윤기찬;박병준;오성권;이성환
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 D
    • /
    • pp.803-805
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose fuzzy-neural Networks(FNN) which is useful for identification algorithms. The proposed FNN model consists of two steps: the first step, which determines premise and consequent parameters approximately using FCM_RI method, the second step, which adjusts the premise and consequent parameters more precisely by gradient descent algorithm. The FCM_RI algorithm consists FCM clustering algorithm and Recursive least squared(RLS) method, this divides the input space more efficiently than convention methods by taking into consideration correlations between components of sample data. To evaluate the performance of the proposed FNN model, we use the time series data for gas furnace.

  • PDF

퍼지추론 방법에 의한 퍼지동정 (Fuzzy identification by means of fuzzy inference method)

  • 안태천;황형수;오성권;김현기;우광방
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
    • /
    • pp.200-205
    • /
    • 1993
  • A design method of rule-based fuzzy modeling is presented for the model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. Three kinds of method for fuzzy modeling presented in this paper include simplified inference (type 1), linear inference (type 2), and modified linear inference (type 3). The fuzzy c-means clustering and modified complex methods are used in order to identify the preise structure and parameter of fuzzy implication rules, respectively and the least square method is utilized for the identification of optimal consequence parameters. Time series data for gas funace and sewage treatment processes are used to evaluate the performances of the proposed rule-based fuzzy modeling.

  • PDF

Stochastic procedures for extreme wave induced responses in flexible ships

  • Jensen, Jorgen Juncher;Andersen, Ingrid Marie Vincent;Seng, Sopheak
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
    • /
    • 제6권4호
    • /
    • pp.1148-1159
    • /
    • 2014
  • Different procedures for estimation of the extreme global wave hydroelastic responses in ships are discussed. Firstly, stochastic procedures for application in detailed numerical studies (CFD) are outlined. The use of the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) to generate critical wave episodes of short duration, less than 1 minute, with prescribed probability content is discussed for use in extreme response predictions including hydroelastic behaviour and slamming load events. The possibility of combining FORM results with Monte Carlo simulations is discussed for faster but still very accurate estimation of extreme responses. Secondly, stochastic procedures using measured time series of responses as input are considered. The Peak-over-Threshold procedure and the Weibull fitting are applied and discussed for the extreme value predictions including possible corrections for clustering effects.

Winbugs를 이용한 우리나라 주가지수의 변동성에 대한 추정 (Estimation of Volatility of Korea Stock Price Index Using Winbugs)

  • 김형민;장인홍;이승우
    • 통합자연과학논문집
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.121-129
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the fluctuation of an earning rate and risk management using the price index of Korea stocks. After an observation of conception of fluctuation, we can show volatility clustering and fluctuation phenomenon in the Korea stock price index using GARCH model with heteroscedasticity. In addition, the effects of fluctuation on the time-series was evaluated, which showed the heteroscedasticity. MCMC method and Winbugs as Bayesian computation were used for analysis.

병렬구조 FNN과 비선형 시스템으로의 응용 (Fuzzy-Neural Networks with Parallel Structure and Its Application to Nonlinear Systems)

  • 박호성;윤기찬;오성권
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
    • /
    • pp.3004-3006
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose an optimal design method of Fuzzy-Neural Networks model with parallel structure for complex and nonlinear systems. The proposed model is consists of a multiple number of FNN connected in parallel. The proposed FNNs with parallel structure is based on Yamakawa's FNN and it uses simplified inference as fuzzy inference method and Error Back Propagation Algorithm as learning rules. We use a HCM clustering and GAs to identify the structure and the parameters of the proposed model. Also, a performance index with a weighting factor is presented to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model. we use the time series data for gas furnace and the numerical data of nonlinear function.

  • PDF

최적 알고리즘과 합성 성능지수에 의한 퍼지-뉴럴네트워크구조의 설계 (Design of Fuzzy-Neural Networks Structure using Optimization Algorithm and an Aggregate Weighted Performance Index)

  • 윤기찬;오성권;박종진
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 G
    • /
    • pp.2911-2913
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper suggest an optimal identification method to complex and nonlinear system modeling that is based on Fuzzy-Neural Network(FNN). The FNN modeling implements parameter identification using HCM algorithm and optimal identification algorithm structure combined with two types of optimization theories for nonlinear systems, we use a HCM Clustering Algorithm to find initial parameters of membership function. The parameters such as parameters of membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using optimal identification algorithm. The proposed optimal identification algorithm is carried out using both a genetic algorithm and the improved complex method. Also, an aggregate objective function(performance index) with weighted value is proposed to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, we use the time series data for gas furnace, the data of sewage treatment process and traffic route choice process.

  • PDF

지역 군집화를 위한 CNN-GRU 기반 다변량 시계열 데이터의 특성 추출 (Feature Extraction of CNN-GRU based Multivariate Time Series Data for Regional Clustering)

  • 김진아;이지훈;최동욱;문남미
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정보처리학회 2019년도 추계학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.950-951
    • /
    • 2019
  • 시계열 데이터에 대한 군집화 관련 연구는 주로 통계 분석을 통해 이뤄지기 때문에 데이터가 갖는 특성을 완전히 반영하는 데 한계를 갖는다. 본 논문에서는 다변량 데이터에서의 군집화를 위하여 변수별로 시간에 따른 변화와 특징을 추출하기 위한 CNN-GRU(Convolutional Neural Network - Gated Recurrent Unit) 기반의 신경망 모델을 제안한다. CNN을 활용하여 변수별로 갖는 특성을 파악하고자 하였으며, GRU을 통해 전체 시간에 따른 소비 추세를 도출하고자 하였다. 지역별로 업종에 따라 사용된 2년 치의 실제 카드 데이터를 활용하였으며, 유사한 소비 추세를 보이는 지역을 군집화하는데 이를 적용하였다. 결과적으로, 다변량 시계열 데이터를 통해 전체적인 흐름을 반영하여 패턴화했다는 점에서 의의를 갖는다.

시계열 모델을 활용한 위치 데이터의 시간적 패턴 분석 (Analysis on Temporal Pattern of Location Data with Time Series Model)

  • 송하윤;정준우;이다솜
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정보처리학회 2021년도 추계학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.768-771
    • /
    • 2021
  • 시계열 분석은 이전 시점들의 데이터를 기반으로 미래 시점의 데이터를 예측하는 기술을 제공하며, SARIMA는 이러한 시계열 분석에서 활용되는 통계 모델의 일종이다. 본 연구는 직접 수집한 실시간 위치 데이터에 SARIMA를 적용하여 개인의 이동 패턴을 추출하고 이를 예측에 활용하는 전반적인 프로세스를 제작하였다. 첫째, DB에 업로드된 위치 데이터를 비지도 학습의 일종인 EM-clustering을 활용해 핵심 방문 장소들로부터의 거리에 따라 군집화했다. 둘째, 해당 장소에 입장하고 퇴장하는 시간 간격에 SARIMA를 적용해 주기성을 추출했다. 마지막으로, 이 주기성들을 군집의 중요도에 따라 순차적으로 분석하여 유의미한 예측 결과를 도출해냈다.

Impact of Hull Condition and Propeller Surface Maintenance on Fuel Efficiency of Ocean-Going Vessels

  • Tien Anh Tran;Do Kyun Kim
    • 한국해양공학회지
    • /
    • 제37권5호
    • /
    • pp.181-189
    • /
    • 2023
  • The fuel consumption of marine diesel engines holds paramount importance in contemporary maritime transportation and shapes energy efficiency strategies of ocean-going vessels. Nonetheless, a noticeable gap in knowledge prevails concerning the influence of ship hull conditions and propeller roughness on fuel consumption. This study bridges this gap by utilizing artificial intelligence techniques in Matlab, particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to comprehensively investigate these factors. We propose a time-series prediction model that was built on numerical simulations and aimed at forecasting ship hull and propeller conditions. The model's accuracy was validated through a meticulous comparison of predictions with actual ship-hull and propeller conditions. Furthermore, we executed a comparative analysis juxtaposing predictive outcomes with navigational environmental factors encompassing wind speed, wave height, and ship loading conditions by the fuzzy clustering method. This research's significance lies in its pivotal role as a foundation for fostering a more intricate understanding of energy consumption within the realm of maritime transport.

DETECTION OF FRUITS ON NATURAL BACKGROUND

  • Limsiroratana, Somchai;Ikeda, Yoshio;Morio, Yoshinari
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국농업기계학회 2000년도 THE THIRD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURAL MACHINERY ENGINEERING. V.II
    • /
    • pp.279-286
    • /
    • 2000
  • The objective of this research is to detect the papaya fruits on tree in an orchard. The detection of papaya on natural background is difficult because colors of fruits and background such as leaves are similarly green. We cannot separate it from leaves by color information. Therefore, this research will use shape information instead. First, we detect an interested object by detecting its boundary using edge detection technique. However, the edge detection will detect every objects boundary in the image. Therefore, shape description technique will be used to describe which one is the interested object boundary. The good shape description should be invariant in scaling, rotating, and translating. The successful concept is to use Fourier series, which is called "Fourier Descriptors". Elliptic Fourier Descriptors can completely represent any shape, which is selected to describe the shape of papaya. From the edge detection image, it takes a long time to match every boundary directly. The pre-processing task will reduce non-papaya edge to speed up matching time. The deformable template is used to optimize the matching. Then, clustering the similar shapes by the distance between each centroid, papaya can be completely detected from the background.

  • PDF