• Title/Summary/Keyword: time effect

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Stochastic structures of world's death counts after World War II

  • Lee, Jae J.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.353-371
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    • 2022
  • This paper analyzes death counts after World War II of several countries to identify and to compare their stochastic structures. The stochastic structures that this paper entertains are three structural time series models, a local level with a random walk model, a fixed local linear trend model and a local linear trend model. The structural time series models assume that a time series can be formulated directly with the unobserved components such as trend, slope, seasonal, cycle and daily effect. Random effect of each unobserved component is characterized by its own stochastic structure and a distribution of its irregular component. The structural time series models use the Kalman filter to estimate unknown parameters of a stochastic model, to predict future data, and to do filtering data. This paper identifies the best-fitted stochastic model for three types of death counts (Female, Male and Total) of each country. Two diagnostic procedures are used to check the validity of fitted models. Three criteria, AIC, BIC and SSPE are used to select the best-fitted valid stochastic model for each type of death counts of each country.

An Analysis of the Momentum Effect by Students' Characteristics and the Modes of Representation Patterns

  • Kim, Jun-Tae;Kwon, Jae-Sool
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.841-854
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to find the effect of these variables on the duration of the momentum effect. To examine the momentum effect for gravitational field concepts, an intensive time series design was used. We collected data every day except Sundays and holidays for 50 days; 5 days for baseline, 30 days for intervention, and 15 days for the follow up We adopted cognitive levels and styles as students characteristics and two item characteristics(quantity versus quality, and word versus picture) as the item representation patterns. In this study, the momentum effect was influenced by students characteristics and item representation patterns. The results showed that two variables, cognitive style and quantity/quality, were the most influential factors for the duration of momentum effect. Field independent students showed a longer duration than field dependent students did. In addition, students showed a longer duration in quality items than in quantity items. However, students cognitive levels(formal or preformal) and word/picture presentations seemed to have relatively weak effect on the duration of the momentum effect.

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Survey on Effect and Satisfaction of Korean Medicine Distillate Nasal Spray of Patient with Chronic Rhinitis (만성 비염 환자의 한방코분무제에 대한 효과 및 만족도 조사)

  • Kim, Ji-Eun;Hong, Chul-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine Ophthalmology and Otolaryngology and Dermatology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2012
  • Objectives : This study was performed in order to investigate an immediate improvement effect of nasal obstruction after having patient with chronic rhinitis use nasal spray in nasal cavity after distilling Korean medicine, satisfaction for its fragrance and irritation and its effect continuance time. Methods : A questionnaire was performed for an immediate therapeutic effect of nasal spray 1, 2 and 3 weeks later after using spray by targeting 13 patients who used Korean medicine distillate spray for over 3 weeks among the patients who visited Sangji University Korean Medicine Hospital and whose symptoms were determined as chronic rhinitis and for whom Korean medicine distillate spray was prescribed. 3 weeks later after using spray, a questionnaire was performed for fragrance, irritation and continuance effect of Korean medicine. Immediate therapeutic effect being felt right after spraying was also surveyed and symptom scores was expressed from 10 to 0 and on the assumption that nasal obstruction symptom just before spraying was 10 points, symptom score after spraying was surveyed. In case of evaluation of satisfaction, satisfaction for fragrance and irritation of nasal spray was evaluated by scale based on full score of 5 point from 'very satisfied=5', 'satisfied=4', 'average=3', 'unsatisfactory=2' and 'very unsatisfactory=1', respectively. Effect continuance time after spraying was surveyed by dividing it into within 5 minutes, within 5-10 minutes, within 10-30 minutes and over 30 minutes. All the data was statistically analyzed by Friedman Test that is non-parametric test of Paired t-test and descriptive statistics. Results : Total surveyed patients were 13 persons including 6 males and 7 females and total average age was represented to be $27.1{\pm}17.7$ years old. Score of immediate nasal obstruction improvement effect at 1st week was $6.3{\pm}2.4$ points, at 2nd week $5.7{\pm}2.5$ points and at 3rd week $5.5{\pm}2.5$ points and when comparing 1st week, 2nd week and 3rd week statistically, p value was 0.047<0.05 and from this, it could be seen that the longer spray was used, the more was improvement effect represented with slight significance. In case of fragrance and irritation, both of its score was represented to be high as average $4.0{\pm}1.08 $points and average $4.4{\pm}0.8$ points, respectively. Effect continuance time below 10 minutes was represented in 8 persons who accounted for 61.5%. Conclusions: Immediate improvement effect of nasal obstruction being felt by the patients by using Korean medicine nasal spray could be confirmed and by having the patients use such spray for 3 weeks continuously, it could be realized that such effect was sustained and satisfaction for fragrance or irritation of Korean medicine nasal spray was significant. However, rather short sustained time was considered to be unsatisfactory and this shortcomings is required to be improved in the future.

The Pressure Pain Threshold's Comparison Following Time Progress After IMS to the Trigger Point (동통 유발점에 대한 Intramuscular Stimulation(IMS) 후 시간 경과에 따른 압통 역치에 대한 비교)

  • Hong, Soon-Il;Lee, Hae-Deok
    • Journal of Korean Physical Therapy Science
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to help understand the pressure pain threshold's comparison following time progress after IMS to the trigger point and recognize this methode' effect for treating these kind of myofascial pain syndrome in clinic. Resently, myofascial pain syndrome is a disease that keeps the highest rate of patients visiting the Department of Rehabilitation Medicine. and so one should understand the change of IMS'effect following time progress for patients to be dealt rightly in clinic. In addition, the theory and treatment of myofascial pain syndrome needs to be understood or to be dealt rightly for therapists to treat and to approach to the right moment in right mode for the patients with myofascial pain syndrome. Therefore, one should know where to stimulate and why one stimulate trigger point and what effect one obtain after IMS.

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Effect of Particle Aggregation on Dynamic Response of An Electrorheological Fluid in Shear Mode (전단 유동을 하는 전기유변 유체의 동적 응답에 입자 응집이 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Byung-Ha;Nam, Yun-Joo;Park, Myeong-Kwan
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05b
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    • pp.2885-2889
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the effect of particle aggregation on dynamic response time of Electrorheological (ER) fluid is investigated. The particle aggregation time is defined as the time interval between the application of the field and the formation of the first chain bridging the two electrodes. The dynamic response times of an ER fluid sheared between two concentric cylinders have been obtained under two different experimental conditions: the one is that the electric field is induced before shearing, and the other is that the electric field is induced after shearing. From the difference between two response times, the particle aggregation times are determined under various electric fields and shear rates. The experimental results show that the aggregation rate is decreased with an increase of shear rate, while electric field has little effect on it. Therefore, it is verified that the hydrodynamic force hinders the formation of chain-like structures.

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Time Domain Analysis of Spar Platform in Waves (파랑 중 스파 플랫폼의 시간영역 해석)

  • LEE Ho-Young;LIM Choon-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.167-171
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    • 2004
  • The Spar platform with deep draft is characterized as effective structure in extreme wave condition, which has larger natural period than that of waves in sea. In this paper, the time simulation of motion responses of Spar with catenary mooring line is presented in irregular waves. The memory effect is modeled by added mass at infinite frequency and convolution integrals in terms of wave damping coefficients. The added mass, wave damping coefficients and wave exciting forces are obtained from three-dimensional panel method in the frequency domain. The motion equations are consisted of forces for inetia, memory effect, hydrostatic restoring, wave exciting and mooring line. The forces of mooring line are modeled as quasi-static catenary cable.

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Histopathological Observation and Effect of DL-α-Tocopherol on Hyperbaric Oxygen Toxicity (고압산소(高壓酸素)가 폐조직(肺組織)에 미치는 영향(影響)과 DL-α-Tocopherol의 내성효과(耐性效果)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Won Chang;Yoon, Wha Joong
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.47-50
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    • 1975
  • Experimental studies were performed to observe the effect of exposure to 100% oxygen in 2 atmospheres on the lung tissue of rats, and to examine the resistant effect of DL-${\alpha}$-tocopherol. The following results were made through this experiment: 1. Half-lethal time by oxygen poisoning was longer in tocopherol treated group than not treated group. 2. Ratio of lung weight to body weight was significantly higher in fatal group within half-lethal time than survival group (p<0.01). 3. Histopathological changes of the lung by oxygen toxicity were vascular congestion, pulmonary edema, hemorrhage and emphysematous change. The degree of changes were rather marked in experimental group than tocopherol untreated group. Those were regard as the changes being occurred during tolerance process by prolonging half-lethal time.

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SOME MECHANICAL FACTORS AFFECTING MACHINE MILKING CHARACTERISTICS UNDER SEMI-ARID CONDITION

  • Ali, A.K.A.;Farah, D.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 1992
  • The effect of mechanical factors and season of the year on milking characteristics (milk yield, time of milking, rate of milk flow, stripping time and tripping milk) were studied on 26 Holstein Friesian cows, raised under Saudi Arabia environmental conditions. Cows were in the third and fourth lactation and reached the peak. Cows milked twice a day with equal intervals. Three vacuum levels (34, 38 and 42 cfm) and two pulsation ratios were used to form six vacuum-pulsation combinations. The study was carried during two seasons Autumn-Winter (S1) and Spring-Summer (S2). After absorbing the cow equations least square analysis was used to analyze the data. Vacuum level 38 cfm and pulsation ratio 70:30 was the best among all combinations of vacuum level-pulsation ratio. No significant effect (p < .01) for season, up to the seventh half minute, on the rate of milk flow. However, season of the year has a significant effect on total milk yield, stripping time and stripping milk.

Effect of Uncooked Food on the Hyperlipidemic Rats (생식이 고지혈증 흰쥐에 미치는 영향)

  • 양병근;정상철;박준보;조성필;최영선;임상규;송치현
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.298-303
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    • 2001
  • The hypolipidemic effect of the diet containing uncooked food was evaluated in hyperlipidemic rats. Body weightgain, food intake and food efficiency ratio were not significantly different among the diet groups examined. Significant decrease in plasma total cholesterol(8.8%), triglyceride(10.0%) and LCL-cholesterol(34.8%) were observed in uncooked food diet groups, and the liver total cholesterol and triglyceride level to the extent of 8.7% and 16.7%, respectively. Uncooked food groups substantially increased the plasma HDL to total cholesterol ratio(47.2%) and decreased the atherogenic index(37.6%) as well. Gut transit time for uncooked food was significantly higher, up to 104 minutes, compared to that of control diet group. These results suggest that uncooked food may have beneficial effects on blood lipid level and gut transit time in hyperlipidemc rats.

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The Effects of Lift-Off from Wall Thinning Signal in Pulsed Eddy Current Testing

  • Park, Duck-Gun;Angani, C.S.;Kishore, M.B.;Kim, C.G.;Lee, D.H.
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.298-301
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    • 2012
  • In order to know the effect of surface irregularity in the detection of local wall thinning of pipeline using pulsed eddy current (PEC), the lift-off effects on PEC signal have been investigated. Three kinds of parameters in the PEC signal, which is "peak amplitude", "time to peak amplitude" and "time to zero crossing" are analyzed to separate the lift-off effects in the PEC signal. The distance from sensor to the bottom of sample which is the total thickness of combined insulator and sample is kept constant. The magnitude of the differential peak amplitude is increased with increasing sample thickness, the time to peak amplitude is increased with increasing the sample thickness. To determine the effect of lift-off, a number of balanced transient responses combining wall thinning locations and lift-off distances were plotted.