• 제목/요약/키워드: time based risk level

검색결과 332건 처리시간 0.026초

신종감염병의 양적 및 질적 혼합 위험 평가 모델 개발 (Development of a Risk Assessment Tool for Emerging Infectious Diseases)

  • 우다래;최은미;최영준;예정용;박상신
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.356-367
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    • 2022
  • Background: The emergence of new infectious diseases threatens public health, increasing socioeconomic damage, and national risks. This study aimed to develop an evidence-based risk assessment tool to quickly respond to new infectious diseases. Methods: The risk elements were extracted by reviewing the risk assessment methods of the World Health Organization, United States, Europe, United Kingdom, and Germany, and the validity and priority of elements were determined through expert meetings and Delphi surveys. Then, the scale and level for each risk element were defined and a final score calculation method according to the risk evaluation result was derived. The developed risk assessment tool was verified using data at the time of domestic transmission of an emerging infectious disease. Results: In case of spread of actual infectious diseases, priority is determined based on the criticality of the elements in each area of transmissibility and severity, from which the weighted score of the risk assessment is derived. Then, the risk score for each element was calculated by multiplying the average value of the risk evaluation by its weight and the evaluation risk assessment score for the two areas was calculated. At last, the final score is plotted in a matrix where the x-axis indicates the transmissibility and the y-axis the severity and plotted on the coordinate plane for time series use. Conclusion: With respect to transmissibility and severity, this risk assessment method to respond to new and re-emerging infectious diseases enables rapid and evidence-based evaluation by quantitatively and qualitatively assessing various risk elements.

An Improved Group Sampling Plan Based on Time-Truncated Life Tests

  • Aslam, Muhammad;Pervaiz, Muhammad Khalid;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a new group sampling plan for the lot acceptance is proposed for the time truncated life test, which can be utilized when multi-item testers are implemented. The design parameters are found using the two-point approach such that the producer's and consumer's risks are satisfied simultaneously at the acceptable reliability level and the lot tolerance reliability level, respectively. The case of Weibull distribution is described to illustrate the procedure that can be used when the quality level is expressed by a multiple of the specified life. The advantage of the proposed plan is demonstrated by comparing with the existing plan in terms of the sample size required. The tables are constructed and some examples are given to illustrate the procedure developed here.

A Study on Health Risk Behavior Factors and Chronic Disease Risk Factors

  • SHIM, Su Jeong;LEE, Ji Hee;PAIK, Jean Kyung
    • 식품보건융합연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • This study classified subjects aged 30 to 64 into normal group, impaired fasting glucose group, and diabetes mellitus patient group based on data from the 6th period of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2013-2015). Skipping breakfast, lack of physical activity, inadequate sleep time, inadequate weight, excessive drinking, and current smoking are classified as a low health risk group when three or less items are present, and a high health risk group when three or more items are included. By classification, each item included in the physical measurement and biochemical analysis factors and health risk behavior factors was comparatively analyzed. As a result, in the normal group, impaired fasting glucose group, and diabetes group, the average age was higher in the group with high health risk factors than the group with low risk factors, and the male ratio was higher. Body mass index, waist circumference, blood pressure, triglyceride showed a significantly higher result. In the normal group, the fasting blood glucose level and total cholesterol level were also higher in group 2. Therefore, it is thought that it is necessary to control health risk behaviors through lifestyle changes in the normal group, fasting glucose disorder group, and diabetes group.

AHP를 이용한 건축건설공사 공종별 위험도 분석 (Risk Level Analysis of Architectural Work using AHP)

  • 김정민;이종빈;장성록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.96-102
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    • 2017
  • The highest fatal accident ratio was recorded in the construction industry. According to the industrial insurance premium rate & business type example, among the construction industry, the architectural work has the highest fatal and loss time accident ratio. Previous literature has investigated various aspects of accident occurrence and prevention in architectural work. However, those studied were limited in that they only focused on the fatal accident without considering the loss time accident. But non fatal accidents were recorded more than 50 times of fatal accidents. Therefore non fatal accidents must be controlled to lessen industrial accidents. Based on this, the goal of this study was to investigate the nature of the loss time accident and derive the risk index of work type in architectural work. In this study, opinions of safety experts were gathered and the risk index of work type was derived using AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). And verification was accomplished by comparing the results of this study with the risk index derived by analysis of accident records. Results showed that the risk index of work type was significantly higher in steel frame work, temporary installation work, earth & foundation work, facilities work, concrete work. And statistical analysis for verification showed that coefficient of Pearson correlation was 0.686 and P-value was 0.001.

RBI 절차의 석유화학 플랜트 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on Implementation of Risk Based Inspection Procedures to a Petrochemical Plant)

  • 송정수;심상훈;김지윤;윤기봉
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.416-423
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    • 2003
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBl for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed. This software has modules for evaluating qualitative and semi-quantitative risk level, analyzing quantitative risks using the potential consequences of a failure of the pressure boundary, and assessing the likelihood of failure. A quantitative analysis was performed for 16 columns in a domestic NCC (Naphtha Cracking Center) plant whose operating time reaches about 12 years. Each column was considered as two equipment parts by dividing into top and bottom. Generic column failure frequencies were adjusted based on likelihood data. After determining release rate, release duration and release mass for each failure scenario, flammable/explosive and toxic consequences were assessed. Current risks for 32 equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a final result.

생선회전문점의 물리적 환경이 이용고객의 지각된 위험에 미치는 영향 - 강원영동지역권역 위주 - (Effects of Physical Environment on Risk Perception in Customers at Raw-fish Restaurants - focused on Northeastern Area of Kangwon Province -)

  • 윤태환
    • 한국식생활문화학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.585-592
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this article was to research the effects of physical environment on risk perception in customers at raw-fish restaurants in the Northeastern area of Kangwon province, South Korea. In this research, reliability analysis, factor analysis and path analysis were carried out. Physical environments were divided into four factors and risk perception into three factors. 'Exterior facility' had a negative influence on performance (p<0.001) and financial risk (p<0.001). 'Interior facility' negatively affected performance risk (p<0.001), financial risk (p<0.001) and time risk (p<0.001). 'The others' negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05). Lastly, 'press copy' negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.001). Based on these results, various physical environments affected the risk perception in customers at raw-fish restaurants, and satisfaction level of customers was based on risk perceptions. As a result, food-service companies need to manage the physical environment as a marketing strategy, as well as reduce risk perception to increase customers loyalty.

경영자의 자기과신적 어조 및 이익조정에 대한 감사인의 반응 (The Auditors' Responses to Management's Overconfident Tone Depending on the Level of Earnings Management)

  • 선우희연;신혜정
    • Journal of East Asia Management
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.23-51
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    • 2023
  • We investigate whether the association between management overconfident tone and the level of audit effort measured by audit fees and hours differs depending on the level of earnings management. Prior studies suggest that firms led by overconfident managers are likely to initiate risky investments, report low quality financial statements, and have material weaknesses in internal control system. These characteristics, combined together, result in higher audit risk. At the same time, auditors assess audit risk based on the quality of financial reporting, measured by level of earnings management. As a result, the assess audit risk is likely to reflect the combined effect of management overconfidence and the level of earnings management. In this paper, we investigate whether auditors differentiate the effects of real earnings management (REM) and accrual-based earnings management (AEM) when they assess the audit risk related management overconfident. Using the CEO's letter published in 2018, we measure the CEO's tone representing the degree of overconfidence (i.e., activity). Based on this measure, we find that the positive association between managerial overconfident tone and audit effort is more pronounced as the level of REM is higher. However, we find that the baseline association does not vary depending on the level of AEM. These results suggest that auditors consider the managerial overconfident severer when such characteristic accompany the higher level of REM, which can be outcome of aggressive business decisions possibly leading to the higher audit risks. We further find that these results are stronger for Big 4 auditors and continuing auditors. This paper contributes to the literature and practice as follows. First, we provide contextual evidence on how auditors reflect managerial characteristics in the audit process by documenting that auditors actively increase their audit efforts only when overconfident managerial characteristics are highly likely to lead to audit risk. This result suggests that auditors conduct external auditing considering both the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process. Second, we suggest that auditors use information obtained from a wide range of sources to identify audit risks. Our results provide evidence of how the auditing standards, which do not provide detailed guidelines for audit risk assessment, are being applied in practice. Finally, our results also enhance the understanding of how audit fees are determined. Combined with the studies related to audit pricing, we provide the important reference for discussion between the auditor and the auditee about the audit fee that has created acute tension after the enforcement of the new External Audit Act.

아토피피부염 청소년의 우울감에 영향을 미치는 요인분석 - 2014 청소년건강행태온라인조사를 바탕으로 - (The Analysis of Risk Factors Influencing Adolescent Depression in a Atopic Dermatitis - Based on the 2014 Korean Youth Health Risk Behavior On-line Survey -)

  • 이수정;정현정;손태용
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The study recognizes the seriousness of depression in youth with atopic dermatitis, and tries to identify factors that affect depression. Methods: Data were obtained from the 2014 Korean Youth Health Behavior Risk Behavior On-line Survey. In this study, 17,232 people who were Atopic dermatitis without missing variables were included in the final analysis. It conducted frequency, chi-square and logistic regression analysis by SPSS 20.0. Results: An analysis of factors affecting depression showed that subjective health level, subjective happiness satisfaction, subjective sleep satisfaction, subjective stress level, smoking, and drinking had an effect. Conclusions: The factors affecting youth depression with atopic dermatitis revealed health status, life behavior. These results are thought to require attention and research on youth with atopic dermatitis, along with the development of practical treatment programs and systematic management by applying them to teenagers in an appropriate time and method.

A Time Truncated Two-Stage Group Sampling Plan for Weibull Distribution

  • Aslam, Muhammad;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Rasool, Mujahid;Ahmad, Munir
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a two-stage group sampling plan based on the time truncated life test is proposed for the Weibull distribution. The design parameters such as the number of groups and the acceptance number in each stage are determined by satisfying the producer's and consumer's risks simultaneously when the group size and the test duration are specified. The acceptable reliability level is expressed by the ratio of the true mean life to the specified life. It was demonstrated from the comparison with single-stage group sampling plans that the proposed plan can reduce the average sample number or improve the operating characteristics.

Development of Workplace Risk Assessment System Based on AI Video Analysis

  • Jeong-In Park
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2024
  • 이 논문에서는 제조공장 사업장 현장 내 각 공정을 촬영한 영상을 인공지능(AI)으로 분석하여 위험·유해 요인을 파악할 수 있도록 작업장 위험지도(Danger Map)를 개발하고 이 Danger Map 에서 도출된 빈도·강도에 기반한 위험도와 안전도를 실제 현장상황에 맞추어 자동으로 도출하여 유사 제조 업종에 적용할 수 있는 시스템을 제시히였다. 특히, 사업장의 안전도(위험도)를 엑셀 등 수동으로 평가하던 종래의 평가방식에서 영상으로부터 취득된 유해·위험 요인별 위험성 수준을 자동으로 산정 평가하여 시스템에 의한 안전 확보와 안전도(위험도)를 계산함으로써 이에 따라 기업에서 적절한 활동 및 조치를 마련할 수 있도록 하였다. 안전도(위험도) 산출 및 평가 자동화를 위해 '하인리히의 법칙(Heinrich's law)'을 모델로 하였으며, 위험한 행동 패턴에 대해 5X4점 평가척도를 계산하였다. 이 시스템을 실증적용하기 위해 금속주물주조공장에 적용하였으며 매월 안전도(위험도) 계산에 추가되는 시간적 비용 및 노동력을 2명 절감할 수 있었다.