• 제목/요약/키워드: the multiple regression analysis

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다중회귀분석을 통한 대구지역 오존농도 예측 (Prediction of Ozone Concentration by Multiple Regression Analysis in Daegu area)

  • 최성우;최상기;도상현
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2002
  • Air quality monitoring data and meteorology data which had collected from 1995. 1. to 1999. 2. in six areas of Daegu, Manchondong, Bokhyundong, Deamyungdong, Samdukdong, Leehyundong and Nowondong, were investigated to determine the distribution and characteristic of ozone. A equation of multiple regression was suggested after time series analysis of contribution factor and meteorology factor were investigated during the day which had high concentration of ozone. The results show the following; First, 63.6% of high ozone concentration days, more than 60 ppb of ozone concentration, were in May, June and September. The percentage of each area showed that; Manchondong 14.4%, Bokhyundong 15.4%, Deamyungdong 15.6%, Samdukdong 15.6%, Leehyundong 17.3% and Nowondong 21.6%. Second, correlation coefficients of ozone, $SO_2$, TSP, $NO_2$ and CO showed negative relationship; the results were respectively -0.229, -0.074, -0.387, -0.190(p<0.01), and humidity were -0.677. but temperature, amount of radiation and wind speed had positive relationship; the results were respectively 0.515, 0.509, 0.400(p<0.01). Third, $R^2$ of equation of multiple regression at each area showed that; Nowondong 45.4%, Lee hyundong 77.9%, Samdukdong 69.9%, Daemyungdong 78.8%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 77.6%. Including 1 hour prior ozone concentration, $R^2$ of each area was significantly increased; Nowondong 75.2%, Leehyundong 89.3%, Samdukdong 86.4%, Daemyungdong 88.6%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 88.0%. Using equation of multiple regression, There were some different $R^2$ between predicted value and observed value; Nowondong 48%, Leehyundong 77.5%, Samdukdong 58%, Daemyungdong 73.4%, Manchondong 77.7%, Bokhyundong 75.1%. $R^2$ of model including 1 hour prior ozone concentration was higher than equation of current day; Nowondong 82.5%, Leehyundong 88.3%, Samdukdong 80.7%, Daemyungdong 82.4%, Manchondong 87.6%, Bokhyundong 88.5%.

대학생들의 캠퍼스 벚꽃터널 산책로 이용 만족도와 이미지 선호도 평가 (Evaluation of User Satisfaction and Image Preference of University Students for Cherry Blossom Campus Trail)

  • 이인규;엄붕훈
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권12호
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    • pp.1101-1110
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    • 2019
  • This study investigated Post-Occupancy Evaluation (POE) of cherry blossom trails 'Cherry Road' in Daegu Catholic Univ. campus, at Gyeonsan-city, Korea. The evaluation focused on image preference and satisfaction of users i.e., students, using questionnaire surveys. A total 201 questionnaire samples were analyzed and most of the respondents were in the age group of 20. Frequency analysis was conducted on demographics, use behavior, reliability, and means. Factor analysis and multiple regression analysis were conducted for user satisfaction and image preference. Over 80% of visitors came with companions during daytime. The most common motives for use were strolling and walking, event and meeting, passing. For user satisfaction the mean scores were highest for landscape beauty (4.22), image improvement (4.14), campus image (4.08). Night lighting facility received the lowest score (3.32). Factor analysis concerning user satisfaction was categorized into environment-human behavior and physical factors. Multiple regression analysis showed that the overall satisfaction of user was significantly influenced by five independent variables: 'harmonious' (β=.214), 'night lighting facility' (β=.173), 'landscape beauty' (β=.208), 'lawn care' (β=.154), and 'walking trails' (β=.123). The mean scores of image variables were highest for 'beautiful' (5.81), 'bright' (5.67), and 'open' (5.64). The lowest scores was for 'quiet' (4.47). Exploratory factor analysis led to three factors being categorized: aesthetics, comforts, and simplicity. Result of multiple regression analysis indicated that the preference of space image was significantly influenced by five variables: 'bright' (β=.397), 'refreshing' (β=.211), 'cool' (β=.219), 'clean' (β=.182), and 'natural' (β=.-142). Hence, Cherry Road has a high level of user satisfaction and image evaluation, which is interpreted as having various cultural events and value for students on campus. To improve the satisfaction of Cherry Road in the future, it is necessary to secure night lighting, to manage trash cans, and to secure rest space.

초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상 (Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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Estimation of peak wind response of building using regression analysis

  • Payan-Serrano, Omar;Bojorquez, Eden;Reyes-Salazar, Alfredo;Ruiz-Garcia, Jorge
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2019
  • The maximum along-wind displacement of a considerable amount of building under simulated wind loads is computed with the aim to produce a simple prediction model using multiple regression analysis with variables transformation. The Shinozuka and Newmark methods are used to simulate the turbulent wind and to calculate the dynamic response, respectively. In order to evaluate the prediction performance of the regression model with longer degree of determination, two complex structural models were analyzed dynamically. In addition, the prediction model proposed is used to estimate and compare the maximum response of two test buildings studied with wind loads by other authors. Finally, it was proved that the prediction model is reliable to estimate the maximum displacements of structures subjected to the wind loads.

회귀 모델을 활용한 철강 기업의 에너지 소비 예측 (Forecasting Energy Consumption of Steel Industry Using Regression Model)

  • Sung-Ho KANG;Hyun-Ki KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the performance using multiple regression models to predict the energy consumption of steel industry. Specific independent variables were selected in consideration of correlation among various attributes such as CO2 concentration, NSM, Week Status, Day of week, and Load Type, and preprocessing was performed to solve the multicollinearity problem. In data preprocessing, we evaluated linear and nonlinear relationships between each attribute through correlation analysis. In particular, we decided to select variables with high correlation and include appropriate variables in the final model to prevent multicollinearity problems. Among the many regression models learned, Boosted Decision Tree Regression showed the best predictive performance. Ensemble learning in this model was able to effectively learn complex patterns while preventing overfitting by combining multiple decision trees. Consequently, these predictive models are expected to provide important information for improving energy efficiency and management decision-making at steel industry. In the future, we plan to improve the performance of the model by collecting more data and extending variables, and the application of the model considering interactions with external factors will also be considered.

방화 발생에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Factors Affecting the Arson)

  • 김영철;박우성;이수경
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 방화발생에 영향을 미치는 요인을 도출하기 위하여 발생건수를 종속변수로 하고 경제 인구 사회적 요인을 독립변수로 하는 다중회귀분석을 실시하였다. 다중회귀분석은 선형함수, 준로그함수, 역준로그함수, 이중로그함수 4가지 함수형태에 대해 적용하였으며, 각 단계별로 변수의 선택과 제외를 고려하는 단계적선택 방식을 적용하였다. 다중공선성 문제와 자기상관 문제를 해결하기 위하여 분산확대지수(VIF)와 Durbin-Watson 계수 이용하였으며, 4가지 함수모형에 대하여 수정된 R 제곱(설명력) 값이 0.935 (93.5%)로 가장 값이 높고 통계적으로 유의한 선형함수모형을 최적의 모형으로 결정하고 모형에 대한 해석을 진행하였다. 선형함수모형 결과 방화발생에 영향을 미치는 요인은 범죄발생건수(0.829), 일반이혼율(0.151), 재정자주도(0.149), 소비자물가상승률(0.099) 순으로 도출되었다.

통계적 방법에 근거한 AMSU-A 복사자료의 전처리 및 편향보정 (Pre-processing and Bias Correction for AMSU-A Radiance Data Based on Statistical Methods)

  • 이시혜;김상일;전형욱;김주혜;강전호
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As a part of the KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems) Package for Observation Processing (KPOP), we have developed the modules for Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) pre-processing and its bias correction. The KPOP system calculates the airmass bias correction coefficients via the method of multiple linear regression in which the scan-corrected innovation and the thicknesses of 850~300, 200~50, 50~5, and 10~1 hPa are respectively used for dependent and independent variables. Among the four airmass predictors, the multicollinearity has been shown by the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) that quantifies the severity of multicollinearity in a least square regression. To resolve the multicollinearity, we adopted simple linear regression and Principal Component Regression (PCR) to calculate the airmass bias correction coefficients and compared the results with those from the multiple linear regression. The analysis shows that the order of performances is multiple linear, principal component, and simple linear regressions. For bias correction for the AMSU-A channel 4 which is the most sensitive to the lower troposphere, the multiple linear regression with all four airmass predictors is superior to the simple linear regression with one airmass predictor of 850~300 hPa. The results of PCR with 95% accumulated variances accounted for eigenvalues showed the similar results of the multiple linear regression.

디스플레이 FAB 생산능력 예측 개선 사례 연구 (A Case Study on the Improvement of Display FAB Production Capacity Prediction)

  • 길준필;최진영
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2020
  • Various elements of Fabrication (FAB), mass production of existing products, new product development and process improvement evaluation might increase the complexity of production process when products are produced at the same time. As a result, complex production operation makes it difficult to predict production capacity of facilities. In this environment, production forecasting is the basic information used for production plan, preventive maintenance, yield management, and new product development. In this paper, we tried to develop a multiple linear regression analysis model in order to improve the existing production capacity forecasting method, which is to estimate production capacity by using a simple trend analysis during short time periods. Specifically, we defined overall equipment effectiveness of facility as a performance measure to represent production capacity. Then, we considered the production capacities of interrelated facilities in the FAB production process during past several weeks as independent regression variables in order to reflect the impact of facility maintenance cycles and production sequences. By applying variable selection methods and selecting only some significant variables, we developed a multiple linear regression forecasting model. Through a numerical experiment, we showed the superiority of the proposed method by obtaining the mean residual error of 3.98%, and improving the previous one by 7.9%.