• Title/Summary/Keyword: the Kriging model

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Spatiotemporal Location Fingerprint Generation Using Extended Signal Propagation Model

  • Kim, Hee-Sung;Li, Binghao;Choi, Wan-Sik;Sung, Sang-Kyung;Lee, Hyung-Keun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.789-796
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    • 2012
  • Fingerprinting is a widely used positioning technology for received signal strength (RSS) based wireless local area network (WLAN) positioning system. Though spatial RSS variation is the key factor of the positioning technology, temporal RSS variation needs to be considered for more accuracy. To deal with the spatial and temporal RSS characteristics within a unified framework, this paper proposes an extended signal propagation mode (ESPM) and a fingerprint generation method. The proposed spatiotemporal fingerprint generation method consists of two algorithms running in parallel; Kalman filtering at several measurement-sampling locations and Kriging to generate location fingerprints at dense reference locations. The two different algorithms are connected by the extended signal propagation model which describes the spatial and temporal measurement characteristics in one frame. An experiment demonstrates that the proposed method provides an improved positioning accuracy.

Statistical Water Quality Monitoring Network Design of Kyung-An Stream (통계적 기법을 이용한 경안천 유역의 수질 측정망 구성)

  • Kyoung, Min Soo;Kim, Sang Dan;Kim, Hung Soo;Park, Seok Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3B
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2006
  • In this study a statistical water quality monitoring network design of Kyung-An stream is proposed. Water quality data for the design is obtained by QUAL2E model simulation. The observed monthly average water quality data from March to November in Kyung-An stream has been applied to this study. HEC-RAS model is also used for QUAL2E hydrauric parameter estimation. Before QUAL2E water quality parameter estimation, FORA is performed to reduce the number of parameters to be estimated, and then water quality parameters are calibrated with a observed monthly average data. Using these simulated water quality data, the number of gage station and its location are estimated by kriging theory and branch & boundary method. Such a network design is based on two case; average flow and low flow case, respectively. Next, proportional sampling method is applied to estimate the sampling frequency.

Development of Spatial Statistical Downscaling Method for KMA-RCM by Using GIS (GIS를 활용한 KMA-RCM의 규모 상세화 기법 개발 및 검증)

  • Baek, Gyoung-Hye;Lee, Moun-Gjin;Kang, Byung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.136-149
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study is to develop future climate scenario by downscaling the regional climate model (RCM) from global climate model (GCM) based on IPCC A1B scenario. To this end, the study first resampled the KMA-RCM(Korea meteorological administration-regional climate model) from spatial resolution of 27km to 1km. Second, observed climatic data of temperature and rainfall through 1971-2000 were processed to reflect the temperature lapse rate with respect to the altitude of each meteorological observation station. To optimize the downscaled results, Co-kriging was used to calculate temperature lapse-rate; and IDW was used to calculate rainfall lapse rate. Fourth, to verify results of the study we performed correlation analysis between future climate change projection data and observation data through the years 2001-2010. In this study the past climate data (1971-2000), future climate change scenarios(A1B), KMA-RCM(Korea meteorological administration-regional climate model) results and the 1km DEM were used. The research area is entire South Korea and the study period is from 1971 to 2100. Monthly mean temperatures and rainfall with spatial resolution of 1km * 1km were produced as a result of research. Annual average temperature and precipitation had increased by $1.39^{\circ}C$ and 271.23mm during 1971 to 2100. The development of downscaling method using GIS and verification with observed data could reduce the uncertainty of future climate change projection.

An ensemble learning based Bayesian model updating approach for structural damage identification

  • Guangwei Lin;Yi Zhang;Enjian Cai;Taisen Zhao;Zhaoyan Li
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-81
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    • 2023
  • This study presents an ensemble learning based Bayesian model updating approach for structural damage diagnosis. In the developed framework, the structure is initially decomposed into a set of substructures. The autoregressive moving average (ARMAX) model is established first for structural damage localization based structural motion equation. The wavelet packet decomposition is utilized to extract the damage-sensitive node energy in different frequency bands for constructing structural surrogate models. Four methods, including Kriging predictor (KRG), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), support vector regression (SVR), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), are selected as candidate structural surrogate models. These models are then resampled by bootstrapping and combined to obtain an ensemble model by probabilistic ensemble. Meanwhile, the maximum entropy principal is adopted to search for new design points for sample space updating, yielding a more robust ensemble model. Through the iterations, a framework of surrogate ensemble learning based model updating with high model construction efficiency and accuracy is proposed. The specificities of the method are discussed and investigated in a case study.

Pre-swirl Nozzle Geometry Optimization to Increase Discharge Coefficient Using CFD Analysis (Pre-swirl system의 유량계수 향상을 위한 Pre-swirl nozzle의 형상 최적화 전산해석 연구)

  • Lee, Hyungyu;Lee, Jungsoo;Kim, Donghwa;Cho, Jinsoo
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2017
  • Optimization process of pre-swirl nozzle geometry was conducted to improve the discharge coefficient of pre-swirl system by using CFD. The optimization of pre-swirl nozzle shape covered the converging angle and the location of the converging nozzle. Optimization process included Optimal Latin Hyper-cube Design method to get the experimental points and the Kriging method to create the response surface which gives candidate points. The process was finished when the difference between the predicted value and CFD value of candidate point was less than 0.1 %. This paper compared the Reference model, Initial model which is the first model of optimization and Optimized model to study flow characteristics. Finally, the discharge coefficient of Optimized model is improved about 17 % to the Reference model.

Model selection algorithm in Gaussian process regression for computer experiments

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2017
  • The model in our approach assumes that computer responses are a realization of a Gaussian processes superimposed on a regression model called a Gaussian process regression model (GPRM). Selecting a subset of variables or building a good reduced model in classical regression is an important process to identify variables influential to responses and for further analysis such as prediction or classification. One reason to select some variables in the prediction aspect is to prevent the over-fitting or under-fitting to data. The same reasoning and approach can be applicable to GPRM. However, only a few works on the variable selection in GPRM were done. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to build a good prediction model among some GPRMs. It is a post-work of the algorithm that includes the Welch method suggested by previous researchers. The proposed algorithms select some non-zero regression coefficients (${\beta}^{\prime}s$) using forward and backward methods along with the Lasso guided approach. During this process, the fixed were covariance parameters (${\theta}^{\prime}s$) that were pre-selected by the Welch algorithm. We illustrated the superiority of our proposed models over the Welch method and non-selection models using four test functions and one real data example. Future extensions are also discussed.

Parameter Estimation of VfloTM Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model by Areal Rainfall Calculation Methods - For Dongchon Watershed of Geumho River - (유역 공간 강우 산정방법에 따른 VfloTM 분포형 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수 평가 - 금호강 동촌 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Si Soo;Jung, Chung Gil;Park, Jong Yoon;Jung, Sung Won;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2013
  • This study is to evaluate the parameter behavior of VfloTM distributed rainfall-runoff model by applying 3 kinds of rainfall interpolation methods viz. Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Kriging (KRI), and Thiessen network (THI). For the 1,544 $km^2$ Dongcheon watershed of Nakdong river, the model was calibrated using 4 storm events in 2007 and 2009, and validated using 2 storm events in 2010. The model was calibrated with Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency of 0.97 for IDW, 0.94 for KRI, and 0.95 for THI respectively. For the sensitive parameters, the saturated hydraulic conductivity ($K_{sat}$) for IDW, KRI, and THI were 0.33, 0.31, and 0.43 cm/hr, and the soil suction head at the wetting front (${\Psi}_f$) were 4.10, 3.96, and 5.19 cm $H_2O$ respectively. These parameters affected the infiltration process by the spatial distribution of antecedent moisture condition before a storm.

Geostatistics for Bayesian interpretation of geophysical data

  • Oh Seokhoon;Lee Duk Kee;Yang Junmo;Youn Yong-Hoon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.340-343
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    • 2003
  • This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and geostatistics. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, and then the MCMC method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter. This approach provides an effective way to treat Bayesian inversion of geophysical data and reduce the non-uniqueness by incorporating various prior information.

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The Analysis of 3 Dimensional hydraulic experiment model (근접수치사진측량을 이용한 3차원 수리모형의 분석)

  • 최현;홍순헌;김민화;강인준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2004
  • Recently. the number of the use of Digital Photogrammetry is increasing, and photogrammetry instruments are developing rapidly and the pression is improving continuously. In this study, using the Rollei d7 metric that is a measurement digital camera which has capacity of keeping numerial value by itself and easy carrying, we analyze the 3 dimensional hydraulic experiment model. First, we calculated RMSE by carrying out bundle adjustment. Second, we try to find a effective 3D DEM with the Kriging Interpolation, Third make a comparative study the DEM of the Triangulation with the DEM of the close-range digital photogrammetry.

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Optimization of Butterfly Valve's Disc Using the DACE Model Based on CAE (CAE에 기반한 DACE 모델을 이용한 버터플라이밸브 디스크의 최적설계)

  • Park Young-Chul;Kang Jung-Ho;Lee Jong-Moon;Kang Jin
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.3 s.70
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    • pp.96-102
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    • 2006
  • The butterfly valve has been used to control the switch and flux of fluid. While research about the characteristics of butterfly valve fluid have been done, study of the optimum design, considering structural safety, must keep pace with it. Thus, a method is proposed for an optimum butterfly valve. Initially, the stability of the butterfly valve, using FEM and CFD, is evaluated, and a variable is selected using the initial analysis results. Also, the shape optimization design is accomplished using the DACE model. In terms of research results, the experiment satisfied the objective and limitation functions.