• Title/Summary/Keyword: target uncertainties

Search Result 147, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

A Practical Application and Development of Carbon Emission Factors for 4 Major Species of Warm Temperate Forest in Korea (난대지역 주요 4개 수종의 탄소배출계수 개발 및 적용)

  • Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Rae Hyun;Kang, Jin Taek;Lee, Kwang Su;Kim, So Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.103 no.4
    • /
    • pp.593-598
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, we developed the carbon emission factors for 4 major species of warm-temperate region in Korea, and tried to provide their carbon emissions and removals estimates using these carbon emission factors. We selected Castanopsis cuspidata, Camellia japonica, Quercus acuta and Quercus glauca as target species and derived their carbon emission factors. The basic wood density that serve as one of the carbon emission factors were 0.583 for Castanopsis cuspidata, 0.657 for Camellia japonica, 0.833 for Quercus acuta and 0.763 for Quercus glauca and their uncertainties ranged from 5.3 to 17.9%. Biomass expansion factors were calculated as well: 1.386 for Castanopsis cuspidata, 2.621 for Camellia japonica, 1.701 for Quercus acuta and 2.123 for Quercus glauca and associated uncertainties varied from 14.7 to 30.5%. Lastly root-shoot ratios for each species were also determined: 0.454 for Castanopsis cuspidata, 0.356 for Camellia japonica, 0.191 for Quercus acuta and 0.299 for Quercus glauca with the uncertainties lying within a range from 19.8 to 35.7%. These three carbon emission factors including basic wood density had the uncertainties of less than 40% recommended by FAO. Therefore the application of country-specific emission factors seemed to provide quite accurate estimates of carbon emissions and removals. The estimation of the carbon stored in the 4 species were also conducted which amounted to $186.10tCO_2/ha$ for Castanopsis cuspidata, $280.63tCO_2/ha$ for Camellia japonica, $344.04tCO_2/ha$ for Quercus acuta and $278.91tCO_2/ha$ for Quercus glauca and their annual carbon removals were $6.65tCO_2/ha/yr$, $6.25tCO_2/ha/yr$, $11.70tCO_2/ha/yr$ and $12.29tCO_2/ha/yr$, respectively. This systematic assessment of forest resources can be a reliable source of information for managing evergreen broadleaved forest in warm temperate regions and thus serve as useful data for effective decision-making to address vegetation zone shifts due to climate change.

Daily Setup Uncertainties and Organ Motion Based on the Tomoimages in Prostatic Radiotherapy (전립선암 치료 시 Tomoimage에 기초한 Setup 오차에 관한 고찰)

  • Cho, Jeong-Hee;Lee, Sang-Kyu;Kim, Sei-Joon;Na, Soo-Kyung
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.99-106
    • /
    • 2007
  • Purpose: The patient's position and anatomy during the treatment course little bit varies to some extend due to setup uncertainties and organ motions. These factors could affected to not only the dose coverage of the gross tumor but over dosage of normal tissue. Setup uncertainties and organ motions can be minimized by precise patient positioning and rigid immobilization device but some anatomical site such as prostate, the internal organ motion due to physiological processes are challenge. In planning procedure, the clinical target volume is a little bit enlarged to create a planning target volume that accounts for setup uncertainties and organ motion as well. These uncertainties lead to differences between the calculated dose by treatment planning system and the actually delivered dose. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the differences of interfractional displacement of organ and GTV based on the tomoimages. Materials and Methods: Over the course of 3 months, 3 patients, those who has applied rectal balloon, treated for prostatic cancer patient's tomoimage were studied. During the treatment sessions 26 tomoimages per patient, Total 76 tomoimages were collected. Tomoimage had been taken everyday after initial setup with lead marker attached on the patient's skin center to comparing with C-T simulation images. Tomoimage was taken after rectal balloon inflated with 60 cc of air for prostate gland immobilization for daily treatment just before treatment and it was used routinely in each case. The intrarectal balloon was inserted to a depth of 6 cm from the anal verge. MVCT image was taken with 5 mm slice thickness after the intrarectal balloon in place and inflated. For this study, lead balls are used to guide the registration between the MVCT and CT simulation images. There are three image fusion methods in the tomotherapy, bone technique, bone/tissue technique, and full image technique. We used all this 3 methods to analysis the setup errors. Initially, image fusions were based on the visual alignment of lead ball, CT anatomy and CT simulation contours and then the radiation therapist registered the MVCT images with the CT simulation images based on the bone based, rectal balloon based and GTV based respectively and registered image was compared with each others. The average and standard deviation of each X, Y, Z and rotation from the initial planning center was calculated for each patient. The image fusions were based on the visual alignment of lead ball, CT anatomy and CT simulation contours. Results: There was a significant difference in the mean variations of the rectal balloon among the methods. Statistical results based on the bone fusion shows that maximum x-direction shift was 8 mm and 4.2 mm to the y-direction. It was statistically significant (P=<0.0001) in balloon based fusion, maximum X and Y shift was 6 mm, 16mm respectively. One patient's result was more than 16 mm shift and that was derived from the rectal expansions due to the bowl gas and stool. GTV based fusion results ranging from 2.7 to 6.6 mm to the x-direction and 4.3$\sim$7.8 mm to the y-direction respectively. We have checked rotational error in this study but there are no significant differences among fusion methods and the result was 0.37$\pm$0.36 in bone based fusion and 0.34$\pm$0.38 in GTV based fusion.

  • PDF

Resistance Factor Calculation of Driven Piles of Long Span Bridges (장대교량 타입말뚝에 대한 저항계수 산정)

  • Kim, Dong-Wook;Park, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joon-Yong;Kwak, Ki-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.57-65
    • /
    • 2013
  • Assessment of uncertainties of loads and resistances is prerequisite for the development of load and resistance factor design (LRFD). Many previous studies related to resistance factor calculations of piles were conducted for short or medium span bridges (span lengths less than 200m) reflecting the live load uncertainty for ordinary span bridges. In this study, by using a revised live load model and its uncertainty for long span bridges (span lengths longer than 200m and shorter than 1500m), resistance factors are recalibrated. For the estimation of nominal pile capacity (both base and shaft capacities), the Imperial College Pile (ICP) design method is used. For clayey and sandy foundation, uncertainty of resistance is assessed based on the ICP database. As long span bridges are typically considered as more important structures than short or medium span bridges, higher target reliability indices are assigned in the reliability analysis. Finally, resistance factors are calculated and proposed for the use of LRFD of driven piles for ordinary span and long span bridges.

Reliability-based Design Method of Concrete Armour Units with Structural Stability (구조적 안정성을 고려한 콘크리트 피복재의 신뢰성 설계)

  • Lee Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.142-151
    • /
    • 2004
  • A method for the determination of concrete armor unit weights with hydraulic stability and structural stability may be formulated in this paper. The hydraulic stability is analyzed by using Hudson's formula, the structural stability is also studied by evaluation of maximum flexural tensile stresses in armor unit induced by the impact loads and by comparison of those with the tensile resistance strength directly. The applicable criteria for concrete armor units can be represented as a function of design wave heights with return period, armor weights, and tensile strengths for the practical uses. In addition, reliability analyses for two failure modes are carried out to take into account some uncertainties. Finally, a series system for two-failure mode analysis can be made up straightforwardly, by which the optimal weights of armor units can be estimated with the various relative breakages, given the specific target probability of failure under the concepts of reliability-based design method.

Robust Slewing Control of A Flexible Space Structure using Sliding Surface (슬라이딩 평면을 이용한 유연우주비행체의 강인 선회제어)

  • Kim, Jin Hyeong;Hong, Chang Ho;Seok, Jin Yeong;Bang, Hyo Chung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.63-71
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper presents a robust slewing control of a flexible space structure based on sliding surface design. A sliding surface is designed for a single-axis rest-to-rest slewing in view of target angle, target angular velocity, and root monent of the flexible appendage. In comparison with the Lypunov control law, both controllers guarantee the stability and command tracking capabilities for nominal system. It is also shown that the designed control law provides further robustness to internal/external uncertainties. Extending the results of a single-axis maneuver, a sliding mode control law was sought for an arbitrary three-axis maneuver. Quaternion was used to determine the attitude of a space structure and sliding surfaces were designed for each axis, thereby a robust control law was derived considering the coupling effects between each rotational axis during the maneuver. Several numerical examples were demonstrated to show the effectiveness of the designed control law.

Reliability-based Design Criteria for Reinforced Concrete Structures Based on Partial and Combined Resistance Factor Formats (부분(部分) 및 조합저항계수형식(組合抵抗係數形式)에 의한 철근(鐵筋)콘크리트구조(構造)의 신뢰성(信賴性) 계기준(計基準))

  • Oh, Byung Hwan;Lee, Seong Lo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-97
    • /
    • 1990
  • There is the need to balance safety, economy and serviceability in all phases of society problems. This is especially true in structural code formulation. where a framework is established by which practicing structural engineers can be assured of designing structures that reasonably meet the above three objectives. The existing design codes, which are generally based on the structural theory and certain engineering experience, do not realistically consider the uncertainties of loads and resistances and the basic reliability concepts. The purpose of the present study is therefore to develop the realistic reliability-based design criteria to secure adequate safety arid reliability, and to derive the models for partial and combined resistance factor formats. To this end, the reliability levels of our existing design code for concrete structures are first evaluated and the target reliabilities are determined, the new code formats are evolved from these target reliabilities. The present study indicates that the proposed formats exhibit relatively-uniform reliability and reasonably take into account the different material characteristics of concrete and steel in concrete structures.

  • PDF

Development of Dual Sensor for Prognosticating Fatigue Failure of Mechanical Structures (구조물의 피로파괴 예지를 위한 이중센서 개발)

  • Baek, Dong-Cheon;Park, Jong-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.40 no.8
    • /
    • pp.721-724
    • /
    • 2016
  • Because of the inherent uncertainties caused by the manufacturing process variations, future loading conditions, and incomplete damage models, the lifetimes of mechanical structures under field conditions are significantly different from the results obtained in the laboratories. In this study, a dual sensor was developed to prognosticate the fatigue failure of structures under these uncertain conditions, and its effectiveness was demonstrated on a rectangular columnar structure under repeated uni-axial loading. The dual sensor is a slightly weaker structure embedded in the target structure, so that failure occurs in the sensor earlier than in the target structure. From the signal differences in the strain gauges in the embedded dual sensor, it is possible to differentiate between the normal status and warning status, even under variable loads.

A New Process for the Requirements Based Aerospace System Design and Optimization (요구도 기반 항공우주 시스템 강건최적설계 기법 연구)

  • Park, Hyeong-Uk;Lee, Jae-Woo;Byun, Yung-Hwan;Chung, Joon;Behdinan, Karman
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.37 no.3
    • /
    • pp.255-266
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, a robust aerospace system design process for the aerospace system is developed by considering the uncertainties of user requirements, manufacturing errors, and operational environment variation. User requirements are analyzed and quantified by decision making models and system engineering methods to select alternative concepts which satisfies the various requirements. Robust design and optimization method is applied to derive the robust solution of the selected system. First, a variance of objective function is calculated, and a mean value and a variance of target value are determined by the deterministic design optimization results of the system. A robust optimum design formulation is then needed to derive the robust solution that minimizes the variance of the response and moves the mean values to the target value. It is applied to Very Light Jet (VLJ) aircraft to which much attention is paid recently in civil aerospace market.

The Effect of the Project Plan Variance on Customer Satisfaction: Focus on IT Project Results (프로젝트 계획의 변동이 고객만족도에 미치는 영향: IT 프로젝트 결과 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Hyeong-Seok;Lee, Seouk-Joo;Kim, Seung-Chul;Park, So-Hyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
    • /
    • v.21 no.5
    • /
    • pp.51-64
    • /
    • 2022
  • Companies are planning and executing IT projects using information technology as a means to secure external competitiveness. However, IT projects have high risks and uncertainties due to the invisibility of outputs (systems, services, products), and changes in plans frequently occur during project execution. As a result, most IT projects are closed without achieving the target performance. This can lead to a waste of resources and money for the company, which in turn leads to the loss of opportunities to enter new markets. This study intends to analyze the effect of changes in the project plan on customer satisfaction, which is the project performance. Also, we want to find the importance of project planning so that the target performance of the IT project can be achieved. For the empirical analysis of this study, about 500 actual project data were collected. As for the analysis method, statistical analysis such as simple and multiple regression analysis and control effect was performed. Looking at the results of the analysis, it was found that the scope change affects the cost change and the schedule change. Also, changes in scope and cost were found to affect project performance. The theoretical performance of this study proved the theoretical fact that good project performance comes out if the IT project is executed as planned. The practical performance suggested the need for a change in project management by proving that thorough execution of the project planning stage can improve the project performance in the Korean project management culture, where the project planning stage is poorly performed for the rapid implementation of the IT project.

Observational Arc-Length Effect on Orbit Determination for Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter in the Earth-Moon Transfer Phase Using a Sequential Estimation

  • Kim, Young-Rok;Song, Young-Joo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.293-306
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this study, the observational arc-length effect on orbit determination (OD) for the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) in the Earth-Moon Transfer phase was investigated. For the OD, we employed a sequential estimation using the extended Kalman filter and a fixed-point smoother. The mission periods, comprised between the perigee maneuvers (PM) and the lunar orbit insertion (LOI) maneuver in a 3.5 phasing loop of the KPLO, was the primary target. The total period was divided into three phases: launch-PM1, PM1-PM3, and PM3-LOI. The Doppler and range data obtained from three tracking stations [included in the deep space network (DSN) and Korea Deep Space Antenna (KDSA)] were utilized for the OD. Six arc-length cases (24 hrs, 48 hrs, 60 hrs, 3 days, 4 days, and 5 days) were considered for the arc-length effect investigation. In order to evaluate the OD accuracy, we analyzed the position uncertainties, the precision of orbit overlaps, and the position differences between true and estimated trajectories. The maximum performance of 3-day OD approach was observed in the case of stable flight dynamics operations and robust navigation capability. This study provides a guideline for the flight dynamics operations of the KPLO in the trans-lunar phase.