• 제목/요약/키워드: susceptible population

검색결과 205건 처리시간 0.024초

Estimation of the time-dependent AUC for cure rate model with covariate dependent censoring

  • Yang-Jin Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.365-375
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    • 2024
  • Diverse methods to evaluate the prediction model of a time to event have been proposed in the context of right censored data where all subjects are subject to be susceptible. A time-dependent AUC (area under curve) measures the predictive ability of a marker based on case group and control one which are varying over time. When a substantial portion of subjects are event-free, a population consists of a susceptible group and a cured one. An uncertain curability of censored subjects makes it difficult to define both case group and control one. In this paper, our goal is to propose a time-dependent AUC for a cure rate model when a censoring distribution is related with covariates. A class of inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW) AUC estimators is proposed to adjust the possible sampling bias. We evaluate the finite sample performance of the suggested methods with diverse simulation schemes and the application to the melanoma dataset is presented to compare with other methods.

Sex-related demographics in two remnant populations of a dioecious tree Ilex cornuta (Aquifoliaceae): implications for conservation

  • Shin, Sookyung;Lee, Hakbong;Lee, Jei-Wan;Kang, Hyesoon
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.320-331
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    • 2019
  • Background: Dioecious plant species having both male and female plants have been investigated regarding sex-related characteristics such as sex ratio, sex-differential resource requirements, and spatial segregation of the sexes. Habitat loss and fragmentation are major threats to the survival of plant populations, but dioecious species are particularly more prone to such habitat degradation than non-dioecious species because of their dimorphic sexual system. We examined the sex-related demographics of two Ilex cornuta populations being different regarding land use history. Methods: During 2016-2017, we examined I. cornuta trees with a basal diameter ${\geq}1.5cm$ in the Yongsu-ri population (YS population) and the Gotjawal Provincial Park population (GP population). Plant sex (male, female, or unsexed) was identified. The tree size (basal diameter and height of the main stem), clonal production (the ramet numbers per genet), and vitality for each clone were measured. The associations between population, sex, tree size, clonal production, and vitality were examined using ANOVAs and contingency table analyses. Finally, point pattern analyses using O-ring statistics were conducted to assess spatial patterns. Results: Upon excluding unsexed trees, the YS population with 74 trees was significantly male-biased (0.66), while the GP population with only 26 trees had a 1:1 sex ratio. In both populations, males and females did not differ in tree size. Although the mean number of ramets differed significantly between populations, females tended to produce more ramets than males. The proportion of weak trees was significantly higher in the YS than in the GP population. Neither population showed evidence of spatial segregation of the sexes. Conclusions: The two populations of dioecious I. cornuta are characterized by the small number of trees and relatively high frequencies of non-reproductive trees. Both indicate that these populations are quite susceptible to environmental and genetic stochasticity. On the other hand, the differences between populations in sex ratio, clonal production, and vitality suggest that conservation efforts for I. cornuta need to be population-specific. In order to help recover and enable this vulnerable species to persist, it is necessary to find ways to enhance their sexual reproduction and simultaneously reduce habitat disturbances due to anthropogenic activities.

인공사육장에서 패혈증으로 집단폐사한 북방산개구리의 증례 보고 (Case Report: Mass death of frogs (Rana dybowskii) caused by septicemia in artificial raising farm)

  • 정여진;김종택;서국현
    • 한국동물위생학회지
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2014
  • Frog culture industry is not yet familiar but has much potential. Generally, in farm, the population density is higher than that of in nature and frog farm is not the exception. But when population density is high, it can easily leads to stressful condition, poor sanitation. When a disease occur, it is a primary factor that makes the population more susceptible and the results more grave. Because of severe Rhabditoidea- helminth infection and subsequent bacterial septicemia, 50~70% of the total population had been died in a farm in Jeong-sun in Gangwon-do and Chungju in Chungcheongbuk-do from late June, 2012 to September, 2012. Diseased frogs showed ruptured lung, bloody ascites, liver discoloration, myocardium weakness, congested kidney, microcytic anemia and so on. Enterobacteriacea, Citrobacter.sp, Cupriavidus metallidurans, Acinetobacter.sp were isolated as major bacterium that had caused septicemia in frogs. Among isolated bacterium, Cupriavidus metallidurans, Ewingella americana, Shewanella aquimarina and Pseudoalteromonas sp. have not reported as potential pathogens in frogs before. It is a good example that severe helminth infection in frogs can lead to secondary infection of bacteria.

아열대성 콩명나방의 국내 집단에 대한 유전적 특성과 살충제 감수성 분석 (Genetic Character and Insecticide Susceptibility on a Korean Population of a Subtropical Species, Maruca vitrata)

  • 김용균;엠디 사데쿠자만;김민현;김규순;박영진;정진교
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2016
  • 지구 기후변화에 따라 아열대성 해충이 온대지역으로 이주를 통해 서식지를 넓히고 있다. 아열대성 해충인 콩명나방(Maruca vitrata)이 국내에서 팥을 비롯한 콩과작물에 경제적 피해를 일으키고 있다. 비교적 유전적 변이가 큰 곤충으로 알려진 콩명나방에 대해서 국내 집단의 기원에 대해서 의문을 갖게 되었다. 국내 콩명나방 집단의 유전적 특성을 이해하기 위해 cytochrome oxidase subunit 1 (cox 1) 유전자의 염기서열을 판독하였고, 이를 다른 지역 집단들과 분자계통학적으로 분석하였다. 전 세계에 분포하고 있는 콩명나방은 크게 3 그룹(아시아-아프리카, 아메리카, 오세아니아)으로 분류되었다. 이 가운데 국내 콩명나방은 아시아-아프리카 그룹에 속했다. 국내 집단의 살충제 감수성을 분석하기 위해 작용기작이 서로 다른 7 가지(4 종류의 신경독 약제, 1 종류의 곤충성장조절제, 2 종류의 생물농약)의 약제로 평가하였다. 콩명나방의 어린 유충은 분석된 모든 약제에 비교적 감수성이 높았다. 그러나 노숙 유충의 경우는 어린 유충에 비해 감수성이 현저하게 저하되었다. 처리 후 7 일간 분석된 살충력 조사에서 조사된 어느 약제도 콩명나방의 최종령 유충을 효과적(> 50% 방제가)으로 방제하지 못하였다.

점박이응애의 설비제정항성 발달과 교차저항성에 관한 연구 (Development of Acaricide Resistance and Cross-Resistance in Tetranychus urticae(Acarina: Tetranychidae))

  • 김상수;이승찬
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.146-153
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    • 1989
  • 정박이응애(Tetranychus urticae koch)의 감수성계통에 대하여 유기찬계 살충제인 carbophenothion, ethion과 유기소계인 dicofol, 유기주석계인 cyhexatin 및 합성 pyrethroid계인 biphenthrin등으로 단제루대도태를 실시하여 각 살충제의 저항성발달 차이와 약제상호간의 교우저항성의 유무 및 정도를 시험.조사하였다. carbophenothion과 ethion은 22세대와 24세대 도태에 서 각각 156배와 64.1배의 높은 저항성을 나타내었다. dicofol은 28세대 도태에서 39.7배로 biphenthrin은 24세대도태에서 13배로 화학적계통이나 동일계통내에서도 약종에 따라 저항성유발 정도에 차이가 있었다. Carbophenothion 도태계통은 도태에 관치하지 않은 ethion에 대하여 높은 수준의 교우저항성을 나타내었으나 dicofol과 biphenthrin에는 낮은 수준의 교우저항성을 나타내었고, ethion 도태계통은 carbophenothion에 대해서 고도의 교우저항성을 나타내었다. Dicofol이과 biphenthrin 도태계통들은 모두 carbophenothion과 ethion에 대해서 중도의 교우저항성을 보였으며, cyhexatin 도태계통은 ethion과 carbophenothion에 대하여 고도의 교우저항성을 나타내 었다.

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N. africana의 감자바이러스Y 엽맥괴저 계통에 대한 저항성의 유전 (Inheritance of Resistance to Potato Virus Y Vein- necrosis Strain of N. africana)

  • 금완수;정윤화;정석훈;최상주;이승철
    • 한국연초학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.48-51
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    • 1991
  • A program was initiated to transfer potato virus Y vein-necrosis strain resistance from N. africana to N. tabacum The Fl plants between the above species were self-sterile, but all amphidiploid plants from the Fl plants and backcrossed flowers, that is, the N. tabacum flowers crossed with amphidiploid were self-fertile. The parent, amphidiploid plants of Fl, F2 population of the amphidiploid and the backcrossed generation were screened for a resistance of potato virus Y vein-necrosis strain isolated in Korea. The Chi-square values for the F2 population of the amphidiploid and the backcrossed generation fitted 35: 1 and 5 : 1 ratios of resistant to susceptible for the potato virus Y vein-necrosis strain, respectively. Therefore, it was found that the resistance of N. tabacum for the potato virus Y vein-necrosis strain was controlled by a single dominant gene.

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Prevalence of Hepatitis B Virus Infection in Kaifeng, China: A 5-year Observation

  • Zhang, Jinli;Ma, Chunyan;Li, Hang;Steele, Michael;Idris, Adi
    • 한국미생물·생명공학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.430-433
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    • 2018
  • Hepatitis B is a major health problem in China. However, little is known about the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in Kaifeng, the major urban capital of Henan province, China. We found that HBV prevalence increased with age and that chronic HBV was predominant in adult males in Kaifeng. The HBV prevalence remained unchanged over a 5-year period for all age groups. Alarmingly, 25% of the population remained unvaccinated and potentially susceptible to future HBV infection. HBV immunization and health education initiatives should be carried out in this population to further reduce the overall prevalence of HBV.

COVID-19 유행 시기의 조현병 환자 지원 (Supporting Patients With Schizophrenia in the Era of COVID-19)

  • 김성완
    • 대한조현병학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2021
  • The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has drastically impacted our society and health care system. People with schizophrenia are more vulnerable to this burden of illness and related societal changes. In addition, they are more susceptible to the transmission of COVID-19 and have a significantly higher mortality rate compared to the general population. In a recent study, vaccinated patients with schizophrenia showed a greatly decreased mortality level similar to that of the general population. However, patients with schizophrenia were less likely to be vaccinated. Mental health professionals should provide them with appropriate information on prevention strategies against COVID-19 and vaccination. Long-lasting social distancing and social disconnection can make people with schizophrenia more vulnerable to loneliness and depression. Furthermore, patients with schizophrenia may face challenges continuing psychiatric treatment due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Social support and suitable mental health services using novel technologies should be developed and provided to patients with schizophrenia.

Strategy for Insecticide Resistance Management Approach to IPM

  • Motoyama, Naoki;Dauterman, W.C.
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.314-327
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    • 1992
  • Insecticide resistance is a serious is a serious threat to IPM, resulting in various adverse effects not to mention the loss of yield in agriculture. One approach to counter the problem is the disruption of resistance mechanisms. This can be achieved by (1) compounds which show a negative correlation with resistance at the site of action, (2) specific metabolic inhibitors which serve as synergists, or (3) a certain combination of two insecticides producing a joint action. This approach, however, requires certain precautions for the side effects may cause an increase in toxicity to mammals. Owing to the recent advances in theoretical studies on resistance management employing computer simulation and mathematical models, a few principles to reduce the risk of development of resistance have been clarified. They are helpful in designing operational strategies with regard to, for instance, insecticide doses to be applied, mode of application, and choice and nature of the insecticide(s) to be used. For restoration of insecticide susceptibility of a resistant population, reintroduction of susceptible individuals to the resistant population is feasible when certain conditions are met. Natural enemies which developed resistance to insecticides can be an important component of IPM as has been shown in the pest management in apple orchards. After all, the implementation of a successful resistance management program depends upon cooperation between different sigments of the agricutural community. Although resistance is a preadaptive phenomenon, in some cases spontaneous loss of resistance does occur without contamination by susceptible individuals. The instability of resistance in these insects implies the possible existence of a switch machanism controlling the expression of resistance gene(s). Elucidation of such a mechanism may eventually provide us with a new technical approach with which we can combat the problem of insecticide resistance.

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수도 흰잎마름병 저항성 유전자 발현에 관한 연구 I. 흰잎마름병균의 증식 및 이동과 저항성과의 관계 (Studies on Manifestation of Bacterial Leaf Blight Resistant Gene I. Relationship Between the Resistance of Rice to Bacterial Leaf Blight and the Multiplication and Spread of the Xanthomonas campestris pv. oryzae)

  • 김한용;최재을
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.132-136
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    • 1990
  • 수도 흰잎마름병(Xanthomonas campestris pv. oryzae) 병원세균(K1)의 조직내에서의 증식과 이동 그리고 수공을 통해 추출되는 병원세균의 농도를 조사한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 저항성 품종에서는 접종 3일후에 약 $10^3$cfu/$\textrm{cm}^2$로 12일까지 큰 변화가 없었으나 리병성 품종에서는 접종 6일에 약 $10^4$cfu/$\textrm{cm}^2$에서 접종 12일에는 약 $10^{8}$-$10^{9}$cfu/$\textrm{cm}^2$로 계속 증식하였다. 2. 병원세균의 접종부위로부터 상, 하향 이동속도 및 증식속도는 상향이동이 약간 빠른 경향이었으며 리병성 품종에서 빠른 증식과 이동속도를 보여 저항성과 밀접한 관계가 있었다. 3. 병원세균의 증식 및 이동은 생육시기에 따른 차이는 없었다. 4. 감염된 잎의 수공을 통해 나오는 병원세균의 농도는 조직내에서 병원세균의 증식 및 이동과 일치하였으며 저항성과도 밀접한 관계가 있었다.

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