• Title/Summary/Keyword: surrogate machine learning

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Predicting the compressive strength of SCC containing nano silica using surrogate machine learning algorithms

  • Neeraj Kumar Shukla;Aman Garg;Javed Bhutto;Mona Aggarwal;Mohamed Abbas;Hany S. Hussein;Rajesh Verma;T.M. Yunus Khan
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.373-381
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    • 2023
  • Fly ash, granulated blast furnace slag, marble waste powder, etc. are just some of the by-products of other sectors that the construction industry is looking to include into the many types of concrete they produce. This research seeks to use surrogate machine learning methods to forecast the compressive strength of self-compacting concrete. The surrogate models were developed using Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) techniques. Compressive strength is used as the output variable, with nano silica content, cement content, coarse aggregate content, fine aggregate content, superplasticizer, curing duration, and water-binder ratio as input variables. Of the four models, GBM had the highest accuracy in determining the compressive strength of SCC. The concrete's compressive strength is worst predicted by GPR. Compressive strength of SCC with nano silica is found to be most affected by curing time and least by fine aggregate.

A Study on the Prediction of Ship's Roll Motion using Machine Learning-Based Surrogate Model (기계학습기반의 근사모델을 이용한 선박 횡동요 운동특성 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Rong;Park, Jun-Bum;Moon, Serng-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.41-42
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    • 2018
  • This study is about the prediction of ship's roll motion characteristic which has been used for evaluating ship's seakeeping performance. In order to obtain the ship's roll RAO during voyage, this paper utilized machine learning-based surrogate model. By comparing the prediction result data of surrogate model with test data, we suggest the best approximation technique and data sampling interval of the surrogate model appropriate for predicting the ships' roll motion characteristic.

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Evaluation of Surrogate Monitoring Parameters for SS and T-P Using Multiple Linear Regression and Random Forest (다중 선형 회귀 분석과 랜덤 포레스트를 이용한 SS, T-P 대리모니터링 기법 평가)

  • Jeung, Minhyuk;Beom, Jina;Choi, Dongho;Kim, Young-joo;Her, Younggu;Yoon, Kwangsik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2021
  • Effective nonpoint source (NPS) pollution management requires frequent water quality monitoring, which is, however, often costly to be implemented in practice. Statistical techniques and machine learning methods allow us to identify and focus on fundamental environmental variables that have close relationships with NPS pollutants of interest. This study developed surrogate models to predict the concentrations of suspended sediment (SS) and total phosphorus (T-P) from turbidity and runoff discharge rates using multiple linear regression (MLR) and random forest (RF) methods. The RF models provided acceptable performance in predicting SS and T-P, especially when runoff discharge rates were high. The RF models outperformed the MLR models in all the cases. Such finding highlights the potential of RF techniques and models as a tool to identify fundamental environmental variables that are measured in relatively inexpensive ways or freely available but still able to provide information required to quantify the concentrations of NP S pollutants. The analysis of relative importance rates showed that the temporal variations of SS and T-P concentrations could be more effectively explained by that of turbidity than runoff discharge rate. This study demonstrated that the advanced statistical techniques such as machine learning could help to improve the efficiency of NPS pollutants monitoring.

Comparative studies of different machine learning algorithms in predicting the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete

  • Sagar Paruthi;Ibadur Rahman;Asif Husain
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.607-613
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this work is to determine the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete utilizing four distinct machine learning approaches. These techniques are known as gradient boosting machine (GBM), generalized linear model (GLM), extremely randomized trees (XRT), and deep learning (DL). Experimentation is performed to collect the data that is then utilized for training the models. Compressive strength is the response variable, whereas curing days, curing temperature, silica fume, and nanosilica concentration are the different input parameters that are taken into consideration. Several kinds of errors, including root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of correlation (CC), variance account for (VAF), RMSE to observation's standard deviation ratio (RSR), and Nash-Sutcliffe effectiveness (NSE), were computed to determine the effectiveness of each algorithm. It was observed that, among all the models that were investigated, the GBM is the surrogate model that can predict the compressive strength of the geopolymer concrete with the highest degree of precision.

Machine learning models for predicting the compressive strength of concrete containing nano silica

  • Garg, Aman;Aggarwal, Paratibha;Aggarwal, Yogesh;Belarbi, M.O.;Chalak, H.D.;Tounsi, Abdelouahed;Gulia, Reeta
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2022
  • Experimentally predicting the compressive strength (CS) of concrete (for a mix design) is a time-consuming and laborious process. The present study aims to propose surrogate models based on Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) machine learning techniques, which can predict the CS of concrete containing nano-silica. Content of cement, aggregates, nano-silica and its fineness, water-binder ratio, and the days at which strength has to be predicted are the input variables. The efficiency of the models is compared in terms of Correlation Coefficient (CC), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Variance Account For (VAF), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), and RMSE to observation's standard deviation ratio (RSR). It has been observed that the SVM outperforms GPR in predicting the CS of the concrete containing nano-silica.

Prediction of Ship Roll Motion using Machine Learning-based Surrogate Model (기계학습기반의 근사모델을 이용한 선박 횡동요 운동 예측)

  • Kim, Young-Rong;Park, Jun-Bum;Moon, Serng-Bae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.395-405
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    • 2018
  • Seakeeping safety module in Korean e-Navigation system is one of the ship remote monitoring services that is employed to ensure the safety of ships by monitoring the ship's real time performance and providing a warning in advance when the abnormal conditions are encountered in seakeeping performance. In general, seakeeping performance has been evaluated by simulating ship motion analysis under specific conditions for its design. However, due to restriction of computation time, it is not realistic to perform simulations to evaluate seakeeping performance under real-time operation conditions. This study aims to introduce a reasonable and faster method to predict a ship's roll motion which is one of the factors used to evaluate a ship's seakeeping performance by using a machine learning-based surrogate model. Through the application of various learning techniques and sampling conditions on training data, it was observed that the difference of roll motion between a given surrogate model and motion analysis was within 1%. Therefore, it can be concluded that this method can be useful to evaluate the seakeeping performance of a ship in real-time operation.

L1-penalized AUC-optimization with a surrogate loss

  • Hyungwoo Kim;Seung Jun Shin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2024
  • The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is one of the most common criteria used to measure the overall performance of binary classifiers for a wide range of machine learning problems. In this article, we propose a L1-penalized AUC-optimization classifier that directly maximizes the AUC for high-dimensional data. Toward this, we employ the AUC-consistent surrogate loss function and combine the L1-norm penalty which enables us to estimate coefficients and select informative variables simultaneously. In addition, we develop an efficient optimization algorithm by adopting k-means clustering and proximal gradient descent which enjoys computational advantages to obtain solutions for the proposed method. Numerical simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method shows promising performance in terms of prediction accuracy, variable selectivity, and computational costs.

Rapid Estimation of the Aerodynamic Coefficients of a Missile via Co-Kriging (코크리깅을 활용한 신속한 유도무기 공력계수 추정)

  • Kang, Shinseong;Lee, Kyunghoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2020
  • Surrogate models have been used for the rapid estimation of six-DOF aerodynamic coefficients in the context of the design and control of a missile. For this end, we may generate highly accurate surrogate models with a multitude of aerodynamic data obtained from wind tunnel tests (WTTs); however, this approach is time-consuming and expensive. Thus, we aim to swiftly predict aerodynamic coefficients via co-Kriging using a few WTT data along with plenty of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. To demonstrate the excellence of co-Kriging models based on both WTT and CFD data, we first generated two surrogate models: co-Kriging models with CFD data and Kriging models without the CFD data. Afterwards, we carried out numerical validation and examined predictive trends to compare the two different surrogate models. As a result, we found that the co-Kriging models produced more accurate aerodynamic coefficients than the Kriging models thanks to the assistance of CFD data.

Strain demand prediction of buried steel pipeline at strike-slip fault crossings: A surrogate model approach

  • Xie, Junyao;Zhang, Lu;Zheng, Qian;Liu, Xiaoben;Dubljevic, Stevan;Zhang, Hong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2021
  • Significant progress in the oil and gas industry advances the application of pipeline into an intelligent era, which poses rigorous requirements on pipeline safety, reliability, and maintainability, especially when crossing seismic zones. In general, strike-slip faults are prone to induce large deformation leading to local buckling and global rupture eventually. To evaluate the performance and safety of pipelines in this situation, numerical simulations are proved to be a relatively accurate and reliable technique based on the built-in physical models and advanced grid technology. However, the computational cost is prohibitive, so one has to wait for a long time to attain a calculation result for complex large-scale pipelines. In this manuscript, an efficient and accurate surrogate model based on machine learning is proposed for strain demand prediction of buried X80 pipelines subjected to strike-slip faults. Specifically, the support vector regression model serves as a surrogate model to learn the high-dimensional nonlinear relationship which maps multiple input variables, including pipe geometries, internal pressures, and strike-slip displacements, to output variables (namely tensile strains and compressive strains). The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method are validated by numerical studies considering different effects caused by structural sizes, internal pressure, and strike-slip movements.

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) Surrogate Models for Chemical Process Design and Analysis (화학 공정 설계 및 분석을 위한 설명 가능한 인공지능 대안 모델)

  • Yuna Ko;Jonggeol Na
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.542-549
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    • 2023
  • Since the growing interest in surrogate modeling, there has been continuous research aimed at simulating nonlinear chemical processes using data-driven machine learning. However, the opaque nature of machine learning models, which limits their interpretability, poses a challenge for their practical application in industry. Therefore, this study aims to analyze chemical processes using Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), a concept that improves interpretability while ensuring model accuracy. While conventional sensitivity analysis of chemical processes has been limited to calculating and ranking the sensitivity indices of variables, we propose a methodology that utilizes XAI to not only perform global and local sensitivity analysis, but also examine the interactions among variables to gain physical insights from the data. For the ammonia synthesis process, which is the target process of the case study, we set the temperature of the preheater leading to the first reactor and the split ratio of the cold shot to the three reactors as process variables. By integrating Matlab and Aspen Plus, we obtained data on ammonia production and the maximum temperatures of the three reactors while systematically varying the process variables. We then trained tree-based models and performed sensitivity analysis using the SHAP technique, one of the XAI methods, on the most accurate model. The global sensitivity analysis showed that the preheater temperature had the greatest effect, and the local sensitivity analysis provided insights for defining the ranges of process variables to improve productivity and prevent overheating. By constructing alternative models for chemical processes and using XAI for sensitivity analysis, this work contributes to providing both quantitative and qualitative feedback for process optimization.