• Title/Summary/Keyword: sunspot

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On the Relation Between the Sun and Climate Change with the Solar North-South Asymmetry (태양의 북-남 비대칭성을 고려한 태양활동과 기후변화와의 관계)

  • Cho, I.H.;Kwak, Y.S.;Cho, K.S.;Choi, H.S.;Chang, H.Y.
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2009
  • We report the relation between the solar activity and terrestrial climate change with the solar north-south asymmetry. For this purpose, we calculate sliding correlation coefficients between sunspot numbers and earth's mean annual temperature anomalies. Then, we compare the epoch that the sign of correlation changes with the epoch that the sign of the solar north-south asymmetry changes. We obtain that corresponding times are 1907 and 1985, respectively. Further more, these two epoches are well consistent with those of signs of the solar north-south asymmetry changes. We also obtain that the plot between sunspot numbers and temperature anomalies could be classified by 1907 and 1985. We conclude that temperature anomalies are shown to be negatively correlated with sunspot numbers when the southern solar hemisphere is more active: and vice versa.

"핼리"혜성과 태양흑점은 농작물 생산에 어떤 영향을 미치는가

  • 백선기
    • The Bimonthly Magazine for Agrochemicals and Plant Protection
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 1986
  • 올해는 천문학상으로 볼 때 두 개의 큰 의미가 부여되는 해이다. 그 하나는 대략 ''76년 주기로 다시 돌아오는 핼리혜성(Halley''s comet)이 지구와 태양에 가깝게 접근하는 것이고, 다른 하나는 약11년 주기로 반복되는 태양흑점상대수(Wolf relative sunspot number)가 극소기에 이르는 것이다.

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Development of daily solar flare peak flux forecast models for strong flares

  • Shin, Seulki;Lee, Jin-Yi;Chu, Hyoung-Seok;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, JongYeob
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.64.3-64.3
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    • 2015
  • We have developed a set of daily solar flare peak flux forecast models for strong flares using multiple linear regression and artificial neural network methods. We consider input parameters as solar activity data from January 1996 to December 2013 such as sunspot area, X-ray flare peak flux and weighted total flux of previous day, and mean flare rates of McIntosh sunspot group (Zpc) and Mount Wilson magnetic classification. For a training data set, we use the same number of 61 events for each C-, M-, and X-class from Jan. 1996 to Dec. 2004, while other previous models use all flares. For a testing data set, we use all flares from Jan. 2005 to Nov. 2013. The best three parameters related to the observed flare peak flux are weighted total flare flux of previous day (r = 0.51), X-ray flare peak flux (r = 0.48), and Mount Wilson magnetic classification (r = 0.47). A comparison between our neural network models and the previous models based on Heidke Skill Score (HSS) shows that our model for X-class flare is much better than the models and that for M-class flares is similar to them. Since all input parameters for our models are easily available, the models can be operated steadily and automatically in near-real time for space weather service.

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Cosmic Ray Flux Variation Estimated from the Raw Solar Images

  • Oh, Suyeon;Park, Hyungmin;Park, Keunchan;Chae, Jongchul;Yi, Yu
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.96.2-96.2
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    • 2013
  • The solar images are taken by the CCD detectors of the Sun monitoring satellites. The solar images are constructed after removing the traces of cosmic rays on the raw CCD data files. Thus, while applying the method of removing the cosmic rays traces, we can estimate the cosmic rays flux by counting the number of traces. The cosmic ray flux in the steady state might be the sum of the solar and galactic cosmic rays. However, the abrupt change in the flux could be assumed to be originated from the Sun. Therefore, we can identify the solar origins of the sudden solar cosmic ray flux changes from the phenomena shown in the processed solar images taken by SOHO/EIT. As the results, the estimated cosmic ray flux in the steady state is the anti-correlated with sunspot numbers, which shows the minima in cosmic ray flux at the solar cycle maxima defined by the sunspot numbers. The profiles of estimated solar cosmic ray associated with the ground level enhancements have the significant increase in the cosmic ray flux with good correlation. Thus, the solar images are valuable data useful in estimating the solar cosmic ray long term and transient flux variations.

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Statistical Studies on the Physical Parameters and Oscillations of Sunspots and Flares

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.41.2-41.2
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    • 2016
  • We perform three statistical studies on the physical properties and oscillations in the confined plasma such as a photospheric sunspot and confined coronal loop. From the statistical studies on the sunspot umbra and its oscillation, we find that (1) the total magnetic flux inside the umbra for the three groups increases proportionally with the powers of the umbral area and the power indices in the three groups significantly differ from each other; (2) the three groups have different characteristics in their umbral area, intensity, magnetic field strength, and Doppler velocity as well as their relationships; (3) the mean frequency of the umbral oscillations increases with the umbral mean magnetic field strength and height; (4) the time delay of the core intensity of Fe I absorption line relative to the continuum which are de-convolved with the frequency range higher than 3.5 mHz is mostly positive, implying that the photospheric umbral oscillations are likely upwardly propagating; (5) the umbral mean plasma beta ranges approximately 0.6-1.1 and does not vary significantly from pores to mature sunspots. From the comparative study on the quasi-periodic pulsations (QPPs) in the solar and stellar flares, (6) we find that the power index of the periods scaling the damping times observed in the stellar QPPs is consistent with that observed in the solar QPPs, suggesting that physical mechanisms responsible for the stellar QPPs are likely the magneto-hydrodynamic oscillation of solar coronal loops.

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Evolutionary Neural Network based on DNA coding method for Time series prediction (시계열 예측을 위한 DNA코딩 기반의 신경망 진화)

  • 이기열;이동욱;심귀보
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.315-323
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose a method of constructing neural networks using bio-inpired emergent and evolutionary concepts. This method is algorithm that is based on the characteristics of the biological DNA and growth of plants, Here is, we propose a constructing method to make a DNA coding method for production rule of L-system. L-system is based on so-called the parallel rewriting nechanism. The DNA coding method has no limitation in expressing the produlation the rule of L-system. Evolutionary algotithms motivated by Darwinaian natural selection are population based searching methods and the high performance of which is highly dependent on the representation of solution space. In order to verify the effectiveness of our scheme, we apply it one step ahead prediction of Mackey-Glass time series, Sunspot data and KOSPI data.

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