• 제목/요약/키워드: sunspot

검색결과 157건 처리시간 0.023초

Abnormality of GCR intensities measured by ground NMs in solar minimum of solar cycles 23/24

  • Lee, Eo-Jin;Yi, Yu
    • 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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    • 한국우주과학회 2009년도 한국우주과학회보 제18권2호
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    • pp.26.1-26.1
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    • 2009
  • Many solar, interplanetary and geomagnetic activity parameters have 11-year cycle on the average in sync with solar sunspot number. The galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity measured by ground Neutron Monitor (NM) is one of those parameters showing the unprecedented activity levels in the current solar minimum (2008-2009) of solar cycles 23/24. We defined abnormality as the ratio of deviation from long term mean over mean amplitude of solar cycle change. The abnormality distribution map was drawn using all the data of NM stations available online. The implications of those unprecedented levels of GCR intensities of different cutoff rigidities will be discussed.

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태양활동 자료를 이용한 플레어 발생 예보 (THE PREDICTION OF FLARE PRODUCTION USING SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA)

  • 이진이;김갑성
    • 천문학논총
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.263-277
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    • 1996
  • We have intensively carried out numerical calculations on flare predictions from the solar activity data for photospheric sunspots, chromospheric flare and plages, coronal X-ray intensities and 2800MHz radio fluxes, by using multilinear regression method. Intensities of solar flares for the next day have been predicted from the solar data between 1977-1982 and 1993-1996. Firstly, we have calculated flare predictions with the multilinear regression method, by using separate solar data in growth and decay phase of sunspot area and magnetic field strength from the whole data on solar activities. Secondly, the same operations as above have been made for the remaining data after removal of the data with large deviation from the mean calculated by the above prediction method. we have reached a conclusion that average hit ratio of correct predictions to total predictions of flares with class of M5 over has been as high as 70% for the first case and that of correct prediction number to total observation number has been shown as 61%.

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MULTI-WAVELENGTH FIBRIL DYNAMICS AND OSCILLATIONS ABOVE SUNSPOT WAVE PROPAGATION

  • MUMPUNI, EMANUEL S.;HERDIWIJAYA, DHANI;DJAMAL, MITRA;DJAMALUDDIN, THOMAS
    • 천문학논총
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.59-60
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    • 2015
  • High resolution, multi-wavelength images from the Dutch Open Telescope were used to study the detailed mechanisms that might be involved in the multiple layer solar atmosphere observed in high cadence multi-wavelength observations. With the exceptional data observed for active region NOAA 10789 on 2005 July 13th, we study the changing pattern of the fibril using multi-wavelength tomography of the $H{\alpha}$ line center and blue wing, Ca II H, and the G Band. It is believed that a long fibril that is rooted in the umbra, with longer apparent periodicity, may be due to morphological changes. To determine this, we conduct phase difference and coherency analysis between points along the fibril to understand how the wave propagates.

Predictability of the f/g time series

  • 조일현;김연한;조경석;박영득
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.40.1-40.1
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    • 2011
  • Large solar flares are associated with various aspects of space weather effects. Numerous attempts have been made to predict when the solar flare will be occurred mainly based on the configuration of the magnetic field of its flaring site. We analyze the time series of f/g which indicates a representative measure of the sunspot complexity to see whether it shows a possibility to be predicted without huge amounts of observation. Two kinds of analysis results are presented. One is from its power spectrum giving that there's no significantly persistent periodicity within a few days. Its de-trended fluctuation shows the Hurst exponent larger than 0.5 implying that the f/g time series has a long-term memory in time scales less than 10 days.

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MERGING AND FRAGMENTATION IN THE SOLAR ACTIVE REGION 10930 CAUSED BY AN EMERGING MAGNETIC FLUX TUBE WITH ASYMMETRIC FIELD-LINE TWIST DISTRIBUTION ALONG ITS AXIS

  • Magara, Tetsuya
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2019
  • We demonstrate the subsurface origin of the observed evolution of the solar active region 10930 (AR10930) associated with merging and breakup of magnetic polarity regions at the solar surface. We performed a magnetohydrodynamic simulation of an emerging magnetic flux tube whose field-line twist is asymmetrically distributed along its axis, which is a key to merging and fragmentation in this active region. While emerging into the surface, the flux tube is subjected to partial splitting of its weakly twisted portion, forming separate polarity regions at the solar surface. As emergence proceeds, these separate polarity regions start to merge and then break up, while in the corona sigmoidal structures form and a solar eruption occurs. We discuss what physical processes could be involved in the characteristic evolution of an active region magnetic field that leads to the formation of a sunspot surrounded by satellite polarity regions.

Subsurface origin of merging and fragmentation in AR10930

  • Magara, Tetsuya
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.41.2-41.2
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    • 2019
  • The aim of this study is to demonstrate the subsurface origin of the complex observed evolution of the solar active region 10930 (AR10930) associated with merging and breakup of magnetic polarity regions at the solar surface. This is important for a comprehensive understanding of observed properties of the active region, because subsurface magnetic flux and subsurface dynamical processes are seamlessly connected to surface magnetic flux and surface dynamical processes, respectively. In other words, the solar surface does not behave as an impermeable boundary towards magnetic flux and dynamical processes. In this talk, we show a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of merging and fragmentation in AR10930. We then discuss what physical processes could be involved in the characteristic evolution of an active region magnetic field that leads to the formation of a sunspot surrounded by satellite polarity regions.

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Normalized Cross-Correlations of Solar Cycle and Physical Characteristics of Cloud

  • Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2019
  • We explore the associations between the total sunspot area, solar north-south asymmetry, and Southern Oscillation Index and the physical characteristics of clouds by calculating normalized cross-correlations, motivated by the idea that the galactic cosmic ray influx modulated by solar activity may cause changes in cloud coverage, and in turn the Earth's climate. Unlike previous studies based on the relative difference, we have employed cloud data as a whole time-series without detrending. We found that the coverage of high-level and low-level cloud is at a maximum when the solar north-south asymmetry is close to the minimum, and one or two years after the solar north-south asymmetry is at a maximum, respectively. The global surface air temperature is at a maximum five years after the solar north-south asymmetry is at a maximum, and the optical depth is at a minimum when the solar north-south asymmetry is at a maximum. We also found that during the descending period of solar activity, the coverage of low-level cloud is at a maximum, and global surface air temperature and cloud optical depth are at a minimum, and that the total column water vapor is at a maximum one or two years after the solar maximum.

Changes in High Degree p-mode Parameters with Magnetic and Flare Activities

  • Maurya, Ram Ajor
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.89.2-89.2
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    • 2013
  • Solar energetic transients, e.g., flares, CMEs, etc., release large amount of energy which is expected to excite acoustic waves (p-modes) by exerting mechanical impulse of the thermal expansion of the flare on the photosphere. We study the p-mode properties of flaring and dormant active regions (ARs) to find association between flare and p-mode parameters. We compute the magnetic and flare activity indices of ARs using the line-of-sight magnetograms and GOES X-ray fluxes, respectively. The p-mode parameters are computed from the ring-diagram analysis. We correct p-mode parameters for magnetic field, filling factors and foreshortening by multiple linear-regression analysis. Our analysis of several flaring and dormant ARs observed during the Carrington rotations 1980-2109, showed strong association of mode parameters with magnetic and flare activities. We find that the mode parameters are contaminated by the geometrical effect. Mode amplitude decreases with angular distance from the solar disc centre. The mode width increases with magnetic activity while amplitude showed opposite relation due to mode absorption by the sunspot. After correcting modes due to all geometrical effects, magnetic activity and filling factor, we find that the modes amplitude, and mode energy increases with flare energy while width shows opposite relation.

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Chromospheric oscillation signatures observed by the NST FISS

  • Kim, Yeon-Han;Cho, Il-Hyun;Bong, Su-Chan;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Yang, Heesu;Park, Young-Deuk
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.92.1-92.1
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we examined chromospheric oscillation signatures in two solar active regions, a limb active region and a sunspot with a light bridge, observed by the Fast Imaging Solar Spectrograph (FISS) of the 1.6m New Solar Telescope (NST) at Big Bear Solar Observatory. The FISS is a slit spectrograph with a fast imaging capability and can observe the solar chromosphere in $H{\alpha}$ and Ca II $8542{\AA}$ bands simultaneously with high spectral resolutions. After dark and flat correction, we compensated for image rotation at the Coude focus and made image alignment. We estimated Doppler shifts over active regions using the bisector method and investigated the temporal and spatial fluctuations of Doppler shifts for some selected cases. And we obtain the power map by using the Lomb-Scargle periodogram technique to examine the oscillation power at different features. Finally, we will discuss our results and implications.

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Short Periodicities in Latitudinal Variation of Sunspots

  • Kim, Bang-Yeop;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2011
  • The latitudinal variation of sunspots appearing during the period from 1874 to 2009 has been studied in terms of centerof-latitude (COL). The butterfly diagram has been used to study the evolution of the magnetic field and the dynamics at the bottom of the solar convection zone. Short-term periodicities have been of particular interest, in that they are somehow related to the structure and dynamics of the solar interior. We thus have focused our investigation on shortterm periodicities. We first calculated COL by averaging the latitude of sunspots with the weight function in area. Then, we analyzed the time series of COL using the wavelet transform technique. We found that a periodicity of ~5 years is the most dominant feature in the time series of COL, with the exception of the ~11 year solar cycle itself. This periodicity can be easily understood by considering small humps between the minima in the area-weighted butterfly diagram. However, we find that periodicities of ~1.3 (0.064), ~1.5 (0.056), or ~1.8 (0.046) years ($\frac{1}{month}$), month ), which have been previously suggested as evidence of links between the changing structure of the sunspot zone and the tachocline rotation rate oscillations, are insignificant and inconsistent. We therefore conclude that the only existing short-term periodicity is of ~5 years, and that periodicities of ~1.3, ~1.5, or ~1.8 years are likely to be artifacts due to random noise of small sunspots.