• 제목/요약/키워드: success period

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ANALYZING THE DURATION OF SUCCESS AND FAILURE IN MARKOV-MODULATED BERNOULLI PROCESSES

  • Yoora Kim
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.693-711
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    • 2024
  • A Markov-modulated Bernoulli process is a generalization of a Bernoulli process in which the success probability evolves over time according to a Markov chain. It has been widely applied in various disciplines for modeling and analysis of systems in random environments. This paper focuses on providing analytical characterizations of the Markovmodulated Bernoulli process by introducing key metrics, including success period, failure period, and cycle. We derive expressions for the distributions and the moments of these metrics in terms of the model parameters.

남해 연안의 홍도에서 집단 번식하는 괭이갈매기의 한배 알 수와 번식 성공률 (Clutch Size and Breeding Success of Black-tailed Gulls (Larus crassirostris) at Hongdo Island, Southeast Coast of South Korea)

  • 권영수;이후승;유정칠
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2006
  • We studied variation in clutch size, hatching, fledging and breeding success of the Black-tailed Gull (larus crassirostris) at Hongdo Island, which supported the largest breeding colony of the species, in South Korea in 1997 and 2000 to 2003. Cluck size was recorded in 1,388 nests and breeding success was estimated in 83 nests. Mean clutch size was 1.89 t 0.65. A total of 63.9% of the eggs hatched and 53.5% of the chicks survived until fledged. Breeding success was 34.2%. Causes of breeding failure were eggs missing (14.9%), rotten eggs (15.5%) and predation (2.4%) during the incubation period and chicks missing(35.8%), starvation (7.4%) and pecked chicks (3.2%) during the chick rearing period. In 2002, the main causes of breeding failure were eggs missing (17.2%) and rotten eggs (6.9%) during the incubation period and missing chicks (15.5%), starvation (3.5%) and pecked chicks (6.9%) during the chick rearing period. Most chick mortality occurred within three days after hatching.

Treatment Outcomes of Patients with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: Comparison of Pre- and Post-Public-Private Mix Periods

  • Kang, Yewon;Jo, Eun-Jung;Eom, Jung Seop;Kim, Mi-Hyun;Lee, Kwangha;Kim, Ki Uk;Park, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Min Ki;Mok, Jeongha
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제84권1호
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    • pp.74-83
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    • 2021
  • Background: This study compared the treatment outcomes of patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) before and after the implementation of public-private mix (PPM). Factors affecting treatment success were also investigated. Methods: Data from culture-confirmed pulmonary MDR-TB patients who commenced MDR-TB treatment at Pusan National University Hospital between January 2003 and December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into two groups in terms of PPM status: pre-PPM period, patients who commenced MDR-TB treatment between 2003 and 2010; and post-PPM period, patients treated between 2011 and 2017. Results: A total of 176 patients were included (64 and 112 in the pre- and post-PPM periods, respectively). 36.9% of the patients were resistant to a fluoroquinolone or a second-line injectable drug, or both. The overall treatment success rate was 72.7%. The success rate of post-PPM patients was higher than that of pre-PPM patients (79.5% vs. 60.9%, p=0.008). Also, loss to follow-up was lower in the post-PPM period (5.4% vs. 15.6%, p=0.023). In multivariate regression analysis, age ≥65 years, body mass index ≤18.5 kg/m2, previous TB treatment, bilateral lung involvement, and extensively drug-resistant (XDR)- or pre-XDR-TB were associated with poorer treatment outcomes. However, the use of bedaquiline or delamanid for ≥1 month increased the treatment success. Conclusion: The treatment success rate in MDR-TB patients was higher in the post-PPM period than in the pre-PPM period, particularly because of the low rate of loss to follow-up. To ensure comprehensive patient-centered PPM in South Korea, investment and other support must be adequate.

Effects of Acute Acid Stress on Hatching and Mortality of Hermaphroditic Teleost, Rivulus marmoratus(Cyprinodontiformes; Rivulidae)

  • Kim, Ae-Ri;Lee, Meoung-Sook;Park, Eun-Ho
    • Animal cells and systems
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.345-348
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    • 2003
  • The effects of acute acid stress on hatching success and hatching period of laboratory-reared hermaphroditic fish Rivulus marmoratus were examined. The effects of acute acid toxicity on mortality was also determined in three life stages of this fish. There was a significant negative effect of acid stress on hatching performance in the R. marmoratus embryos. The hatching success was only 5% at pH 3.5 compared to over 78% at pH higher than 4.0. The hatching period was also delayed by low pH treatments. The larval and juvenile stages were more sensitive to acid toxicity on mortality than the adult stage, but larvae and juveniles showed similar sensitivity. The 96-h LC50 value was pH 3.8 in larval and juvenile stages and pH 3.3 in adult stage.

임플란트의 즉시 기능에 관한 최신 지견 (Immediate Loading of Implants ; Recent Review)

  • 김윤상
    • 구강회복응용과학지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2005
  • Traditionally, the implant treatment require load-free healing period of at least 3 months in the mandible and 6 months in the maxilla. But this long healing period provides patients with the discomfort and economical trouble. Many experiments has been attempted for the outcome of such disadvantage, so recently the immediate loaded implant is getting popularity. Several literature has been published for clinical success of immediate loaded implant. The studies for the success rate of immediate loaded implant in multi-way has been reporting, nevertheless, we don't have yet a probable success. Various studies have been practiced that the advantages and disadvantages associated with immediate loaded implant, and factors that may influence the success of immediate implant, including patient selection, type of bone quality, required implant length, structure of the implant, surgical skill, need for achieving primary stability, control of occlusal force, peri-implant bone activity. The objective of this study is to review the literature related to immediate loading of implants and to discuss factors that may influence this treatment modality, based on scientific evidence.

Retrospective Clinical Study on Flapless Implant Placement

  • Kim, Jong-Hee;Kim, Young-Kyun;Yi, Yang-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Dental Science
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognosis (clinical outcomes) of one-stage flapless implant surgery based on success and survival rate and marginal alveolar bone loss. Materials and Methods: Ninety dental implants were placed according flapless surgical procedure in forty-one patients at Hospital between April 2004 and May 2009. The mean age of the patients was 54, and the patients were comprised of 24 men and 17 women. Each patient was investigated radiographically and clinically being with average follow up 49.7 period. Result: Average healing period is 4.45 month (maxilla: 5.31 month, mandible: 3.20 month) after installation and survival rate is 95.7% in this period. The survival rate and success rate at 1 year after function (prosthodontics setting) are 92.4% and 88.0%. At final observation, the survival rate and success rate are 90.2% (maxilla: 89.1%, mandible: 92.9%) and 84.8% (maxilla: 82.8%, mandible: 89.3%). The mean residual alveolar bone resorption at 1-year after function and final observation are 0.8 mm and 1.07 mm. Conclusion: Our study suggest that if appropriate surgical technique with proper patients selection, flapless implants surgery is predictable simple and safety technique.

A Multicenter Clinical Study on the Survival and Success Rates of Two Commercial Implants of Korea according to Loading Period

  • Yoon, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Myung-In;Chung, Kwang;Jung, Seunggon;Kook, Min-Suk;Park, Hong-Ju;Oh, Hee-Kyun;Kim, Su-Gwan;Kim, Young-Kyun;Cho, Yong-Seok;Kim, Woo-Cheoul;Yang, Choon-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Dental Science
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the survival and success rates of Korean Osstem implants US II Plus, GS II following loading period. Materials and Methods: Dental records were obtained in total 201 patients who were treated with Korean Osstem implants US II Plus, GS II on both maxillary and mandibular anterior and posterior areas in six different clinics for 2 years from January 2007 to December 2008. Total 430 implants were evaluated clinically and radiographically using predefined success criteria prospectively and following results were obtained. Result: US II Plus, GS II implants showed high survival rates of more than 99% and high success rates more than 90% independent of loading period. As a result of cross analysis to evaluate clinical significance between implant loading period and success rate, the P-value of US II Plus was 0.10 (P>0.05), and the P-value of GS II was 0.17 (P>0.05), which showed no statistical significance. Bone quality, smoking, and edentulous state are factors that can affect the survival and success rates following differently loaded implants, but did not significantly affect in this study. Conclusion: These results suggest that selection of loading period of Korean Osstem implants US II Plus, GS II would be done carefully considering implant install area, the quality alveolar bone, the state of edentulous ridge and experience of operator, though they showed clinically good results on both maxillary and mandibular anterior and posterior areas.

패널자료를 활용한 종단적 금연 성공요인 분석 (Longitudinal Analysis on Success Factors of Smoking Cessation Using Panel Data)

  • 송태민;이주열
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2009
  • Objectives: This study has longitudinally analyzed male smokers in order to find out the trend rate of re-smoking after smoking cessation. Methods: The study was conducted with 800 male smokers who were provided with smoking cessation services for 3 years at public health centers from July 16, 2005 to July 15, 2008. Results: The results can be summarized as follows: First, the success rate of smoking cessation for at least 6 months during 3-year period was 54.4%. The failure rate of smoking cessation at the second year was 47.5% and the third 27.2%, which indicates that the failure rate diminishes as the period of smoking cessation extends. Second, the success rate of smoking cessation at the first trial was 35.0%, the second 24.3%, and the third 16.4%. The success rate diminished as the number of trial increased. Third, the continuation rate of smoking cessation for a year was 18.3%, for 2 years 13.4%. For the success group, the continuation rate of smoking cessation for a year was 52.5%, for 2 years 38.2%. For the failure group, the rate for a year was 21.5%. Fourth, in this longitudinal analysis, the most crucial variables that affect the success rate of smoking cessation are total number of consultation and the past experience of successful smoking cessation. Conclusion: This study shows that success of smoking cessation and the continuance of smoking cessation are both difficult, and that the past experience of smoking cessation plays an important role determining the present success of smoking cessation and continuance of smoking cessation. Thus, it is necessary to divide people into success group and failure group based on the results of the past experience of smoking cessation when they consult at smoking cessation clinics at public health centers. Further, in order to increase the continuation rate of smoking cessation, this study suggests that we need to consider ways to take care of those who successfully abstained from smoking for 6 months.

애니메이션 영화의 흥행에 관한 탐색적 연구 (The Success of Animation in Korean Film Industry: An Exploratory Analysis)

  • 김효동
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권12호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 애니메이션 영화의 흥행성적과 관련 된 요인들에 대한 탐색적인 연구방법을 제안한다. 2004-2013년 동안 흥행성적 상위 100위권에 들었던 애니메이션(104)을 선정한 후, (1) 개봉스크린 규모가 어떻게 변모하였으며; (2) 애니메이션 흥행 성적에 영향을 미치는 요소가 무엇인지; (3) 수입 애니메이션의 주류인 미국과 일본 애니메이션의 차이점; 그리고 (4) 미국 애니메이션이 갖는 특성의 미국시장, 세계시장, 그리고 한국시장의 성적에 대한 효과가 어떻게 비교되는지를 살펴보았다. 분석 결과, 스크린 규모는 10년 동안 꾸준히 증가하였으며, 애니메이션의 흥행실적에 영향을 미치는 요인은 연도(FTA직후 시기), 월시기(여름과 겨울방학시기)와 스크린 규모라고 파악이 되었다. 미국과 일본 애니메이션은 자국의 애니메이션 산업에서 파생된 각각의 특징이 장르와 플롯에 존재한다고 분석하였다. 또한 미국, 세계, 한국 시장에서의 흥행성적에 모두 영향을 주는 요인은 점수주기에 참여한 사용자 숫자였으며, 한국시장의 흥행성적에만 영향을 준 요소는 연도(FTA)였고, 미국 내에서의 성공과 관련된 변인은 배우자지수와 예산을 꼽을 수 있었다. 애니메이션에 강점을 나타내는 미국, 일본 모두 애니메이션 문화의 역사성과 사회성이 존재하며, 자국에서의 관련 콘텐츠 소비가 해외시장에서의 선전과 관련이 있다고 분석하였다.

불확실한 탐험을 촉진하는 방법 : 사례연구 (Promoting Uncertain Exploration : A Case Study)

  • 하성욱
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.53-70
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    • 2009
  • This study empirically explored what promotes exploration, through a case analysis of a Korean SME (small and medium sized enterprise), based on the research framework which focuses on the identification and the selection of exploratory NPD (new product development) alternatives, and the accumulation of novel capabilities in new technology domains. The learning process of the exploratory NPD project described is as follows. The identification barrier of exploratory NPD project is relatively low. Constructive crisis is germane to selecting exploratory NPD alternatives and to enduring the long payback period. New separated R&D unit is likely to implement the exploratory NPD project. The length of the gestation period of the exploratory NPD project is related with the level of the conflict between old members and new members. This study identified several antecedents of the exploratory NPD project. Prior success promotes the identification process of the exploratory NPD projects. Constructive crisis is related with CEO's personal characteristics such as future oriented and proactive personality. The proactive involvement and persuasion of CEO are germane to reducing the conflict between old and new members and to the success of the exploratory NPD project. Based on the results, this study discusses several implications and future research directions.

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