• 제목/요약/키워드: structural failure probability

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A Comparative Study on ERP performance between Korea and China (한국과 중국 중소기업간의 ERP 성과에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Mi-Young;Chen, Ting Kan;Jung, Byung-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Joo;Lee, Kuk-Hie
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.171-190
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    • 2011
  • As competition has deepened between business institutions, it has been difficult to predict and respond quickly to business environment. Most business firms have started to introduce Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) in order to improve their business environment. However, it increases the probability of failure to implement the systems without considering the structural characterisitcs of the organizations. The paper studies what influence the characteristic variables of organizational structure and management system have on the performance of the ERP systems of small and medium-sized enterprises. Also, since it is important to compare the level of information system of Korea and China in the midst of the rapid growth of Chinese economy, the paper&nbs p;compares the ERP performance of Chinese and Korean small and medium sized enterprises that implemented ERP system.

COLLAPSE PRESSURE ESTIMATES AND THE APPLICATION OF A PARTIAL SAFETY FACTOR TO CYLINDERS SUBJECTED TO EXTERNAL PRESSURE

  • Yoo, Yeon-Sik;Huh, Nam-Su;Choi, Suhn;Kim, Tae-Wan;Kim, Jong-In
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.450-459
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    • 2010
  • The present paper investigates the collapse pressure of cylinders with intermediate thickness subjected to external pressure based on detailed elastic-plastic finite element (FE) analyses. The effect of the initial ovality of the tube on the collapse pressure was explicitly considered in the FE analyses. Based on the present FE results, the analytical yield locus, considering the interaction between the plastic collapse and local instability due to initial ovality, was also proposed. The collapse pressure values based on the proposed yield locus agree well with the present FE results; thus, the validity of the proposed yield locus for the thickness range of interest was verified. Moreover, the partial safety factor concept based on the structural reliability theory was also applied to the proposed collapse pressure estimation model, and, thus, the priority of importance of respective parameter constituting for the collapse of cylinders under external pressure was estimated in this study. From the application of the partial safety factor concept, the yield strength was concluded to be the most sensitive, and the initial ovality of tube was not so effective in the proposed collapse pressure estimation model. The present deterministic and probabilistic results are expected to be utilized in the design and maintenance of cylinders subjected to external pressure with initial ovality, such as the once-through type steam generator.

Development of Snow Load Sensor and Analysis of Warning Criterion for Heavy Snow Disaster Prevention Alarm System in Plastic Greenhouse (비닐온실 폭설 방재 예·경보 시스템을 위한 설하중 센서 개발과 적설 경보 기준 분석)

  • Kim, Dongsu;Jeong, Youngjoon;Lee, Sang-ik;Lee, Jonghyuk;Hwang, Kyuhong;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2021
  • As the weather changes become frequent, weather disasters are increasing, causing more damage to plastic greenhouses. Among the damage caused by various disasters, damage by snow to the greenhouse takes a relatively long time, so if an alarm system is properly prepared, the damage can be reduced. Existing greenhouse design standards and snow warning systems are based on snow depth. However, even in the same depth, the load on the greenhouse varies depending on meteorological characteristics and snow density. Therefore, this study aims to secure the structural safety of greenhouses by developing sensors that can directly measure snow loads, and analysing the warning criteria for load using a stochastic model. Markov chain was applied to estimate the failure probability of various types of greenhouses in various regions, which let users actively cope with heavy snowfall by selecting an appropriate time to respond. Although it was hard to predict the precise snow depth or amounts, it could successfully assess the risk of structures by directly detecting the snow load using the developed sensor.

Evaluation of Chloride Diffusion Behavior and Analysis of Probabilistic Service Life in Long Term Aged GGBFS Concrete (장기 재령 GGBFS 콘크리트의 염화물 확산 거동 평가 및 확률론적 염해 내구수명 해석)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Kim, Tae-Hoon;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • In this study, three levels of W/B(Water to Binder) ratio (0.37, 0.42, 0.47) and substitution ratio of GGBFS (Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag) rate (0 %, 30 %, 50 %) were considered to perform RCPT (Rapid Chloride Diffusion Test) at the 1,095 aged day. Accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient and passed charge of each concrete mixture were assessed according to Tang's method and ASTM C 1202, and improving behaviors of durability performance with increasing aged days are analyzed based on the test results of previous aged days from the preceding study. As the age of concrete increases, the passed charge and diffusion coefficient have been significantly reduced, and especially the concrete specimens containing GGBFS showed a significantly more reduction than OPC(Ordinary Portland Cement) concrete specimen by latent hydraulic activity. In the case of OPC concrete's results of passed charge, at the 1,095 days, two of them were still in the "Moderate" class. So, if only OPC is used as the binder of concrete, the resistance performance for chloride attack is weak. In this study, the time-parameters (m) were derived based on the results of the accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient, and the deterministic and probabilistic analysis for service life were performed by assuming the design variable as a probability function. For probabilistic service life analysis, durability failure probabilities were calculated using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) to evaluate service life. The service life of probabilistic method were lower than that of deterministic method, since the target value of PDF (Probability of Durability Failure) was set very low at 10 %. If the target value of PDF suitable for the purpose of using structure can be set and proper variability can be considered for each design variable, it is believed that more economical durability design can be made.

Reliability Assessment Based on an Improved Response Surface Method (개선된 응답면기법에 의한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Cho, Tae Jun;Kim, Lee Hyeon;Cho, Hyo Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2008
  • response surface method (RSM) is widely used to evaluate th e extremely smal probability of ocurence or toanalyze the reliability of very complicated structures. Althoug h Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique can evaluate any system, the procesing time of MCS dependson the reciprocal num ber of the probability of failure. The stochastic finite element method could solve thislimitation. However, it is limit ed to the specific program, in which the mean and coeficient o f random variables are programed by a perturbation or by a weigh ted integral method. Therefore, it is not aplicable when erequisite programing. In a few number of stage analyses, RSM can construct a regresion model from the response of the c omplicated structural system, thus, saving time and efort significantly. However, the acuracy of RSM depends on the dist ance of the axial points and on the linearity of the limit stat e functions. To improve the convergence in exact solution regardl es of the linearity limit of state functions, an improved adaptive response surface method is developed. The analyzed res ults have ben verified using linear and quadratic forms of response surface functions in two examples. As a result, the be st combination of the improved RSM techniques is determined and programed in a numerical code. The developed linear adapti ve weighted response surface method (LAW-RSM) shows the closest converged reliability indices, compared with quadratic form or non-adaptive or non-weighted RSMs.

Effect of Time-dependent Diffusion and Exterior Conditions on Service Life Considering Deterministic and Probabilistic Method (결정론 및 확률론적 방법에 따라 시간의존성 염화물 확산계수 및 외부 영향인자가 내구수명에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2016
  • Service life evaluation for RC Structures exposed to chloride attack is very important, however the previous two methods(deterministic and probabilistic method) show a big difference. The paper presents a service life simulation using deterministic and probabilistic method with time-dependent diffusion coefficient. Three different cases are considered for diffusion coefficient, concrete cover depth, and surface chloride content respectively, and then the PDF(probability of durability failure) and the related service life are obtained. Through adopting time-dependent diffusion, the discrepancy between the two methods can be reduced, which yields reasonable service life. When diffusion coefficient increases from $2.5{\times}10^{-12}m^2/sec$ to $7.5{\times}10^{-12}m^2/sec$, the service life decreases to 25.5~35.6% level, and cover depth does from 75 mm to 125 mm, it increases to 267~311% level as well. In the case of surface chloride content from $5.0kg/m^3$ to $15.0kg/m^3$, it changes to 40.9~54.5%. The effect of cover depth is higher than the others by 8~10 times and also implies it is a key parameter to service life extension.

The Study of Reliability Based Optimization Design for Connection (불확실성을 고려한 접합부의 최적설계에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Soo-Mi;Yun, Hyug-Gee;Kim, Hye-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2016
  • Usually, there are many uncertainties regarding the error of an assumed load, material properties, member size, and structure analysis in a structure, and it may have a direct influence on the qualities of optimal design of structures. Probabilistic analysis has developed rapidly into a desirable process and structural reliability analysis is an increasingly important tool that assists engineers to consider uncertainties during the design, construction and life of a structure to calculate its probability of failure. This study deals with the applications of two optimization techniques to solve the reliability-based optimization problem of structures. The reliability-based optimization problem was formulated as a minimization of the structural volume subject to the constraints on the values of componential reliability index determined by the AFOSM approach. This presented method may be a useful tool for the reliability-based design optimization of structures.

GEOTECHNICAL DESIGNS OF THE SHIP IMPACT PROTECTION SYSTEM FOR INCHEON BRIDGE

  • Choi, Sung-Min;Oh, Seung-Tak;Park, Sang-Il;Kim, Sung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 추계 학술발표회 3차
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    • pp.72-77
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    • 2010
  • The Incheon Bridge, which was opened to the traffic in October 2009, is an 18.4 km long sea-crossing bridge connecting the Incheon International Airport with the expressway networks around the Seoul metropolitan area by way of Songdo District of Incheon City. This bridge is an integration of several special featured bridges and the major part of the bridge consists of cable-stayed spans. This marine cable-stayed bridge has a main span of 800 m wide to cross the vessel navigation channel in and out of the Incheon Port. In waterways where ship collision is anticipated, bridges shall be designed to resist ship impact forces, and/or, adequately protected by ship impact protection (SIP) systems. For the Incheon Bridge, large diameter circular dolphins as SIP were made at 44 locations of the both side of the main span around the piers of the cable-stayed bridge span. This world's largest dolphin-type SIP system protects the bridge against the collision with 100,000 DWT tanker navigating the channel with speed of 10 knots. Diameter of the dolphin is up to 25 m. Vessel collision risk was assessed by probability based analysis with AASHTO Method-II. The annual frequency of bridge collapse through the risk analysis for 71,370 cases of the impact scenario was less than $0.5{\times}10^{-4}$ and satisfies design requirements. The dolphin is the circular sheet pile structure filled with crushed rock and closed at the top with a robust concrete cap. The structural design was performed with numerical analyses of which constitutional model was verified by the physical model experiment using the geo-centrifugal testing equipment. 3D non-linear finite element models were used to analyze the structural response and energy-dissipating capability of dolphins which were deeply embedded in the seabed. The dolphin structure secures external stability and internal stability for ordinary loads such as wave and current pressure. Considering failure mechanism, stability assessment was performed for the strength limit state and service limit state of the dolphins. The friction angle of the crushed stone as a filling material was reduced to $38^{\circ}$ considering the possibility of contracting behavior as the impact.

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Service Life Variation for RC Structure under Carbonation Considering Korean Design Standard and Design Cover Depth (국내설계기준과 피복두께를 고려한 RC 구조물의 탄산화 내구수명의 변동성)

  • Kim, Yun-Shik;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, service life for RC(Reinforced Concrete) substructure subjective to carbonation was evaluated through deterministic and probabilistic method considering field investigation data and Design Code(KDS 14 20 40). Furthermore changes in service life with increasing COV(Coefficient of Variation) and equivalent safety index meeting the same service life were studied. From the investigation, the mean and its COV of cover depth were evaluated to 70.0 ~ 90.0 mm and 0.2, respectively. With intended failure probability of 10.0 % and 70 mm of cover depth, service life decreased to 137 years, 123 years, and 91 years with increasing COV of 0.05, 0.1, and 0.2, respectively. In the case of 80 mm of cover depth, it changes to 179 years, 161 years, and 120 years with increasing COV. The equivalent safety index meeting the same service life from deterministic method showed 1.66 ~ 3.43 for 70 mm of cover depth and 1.61 ~ 3.24 for 80 mm of cover depth, respectively. The various design parameters covering local environment and quality condition in deterministic method yields a considerable difference of service life, so that determination of design parameters are required for exposure conditions and parameter variation.

Seismic Reliability Analysis of Offshore Wind Turbine with Twisted Tripod Support using Subset Simulation Method (부분집합 시뮬레이션 방법을 이용한 꼬인 삼각대 지지구조를 갖는 해상풍력발전기의 지진 신뢰성 해석)

  • Park, Kwang-Yeun;Park, Wonsuk
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a seismic reliability analysis method for an offshore wind turbine with a twisted tripod support structure under earthquake loading. A three dimensional dynamic finite element model is proposed to consider the nonlinearity of the ground-pile interactions and the geometrical characteristics of the twisted tripod support structure where out-of-plane displacement occurs even under in-plane lateral loadings. For the evaluation of seismic reliability, the failure probability was calculated for the maximum horizontal displacement of the pile head, which is calculated from time history analysis using artificial earthquakes for the design return periods. The application of the subset simulation method using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) sampling is proposed for efficient reliability analysis considering the limit state equation evaluation by the nonlinear time history analysis. The proposed method can be applied to the reliability evaluation and design criteria development of the offshore wind turbine with twisted tripod support structure in which two dimensional models and static analysis can not produce accurate results.