• Title/Summary/Keyword: streamflow simulation

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Stochastic Simulation of Monthly Streamflow by Gamma Distribution Model (Gamma 분포모델에 의한 하천유량의 Simulation에 관한 연구)

  • 이중석;이순택
    • Water for future
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1980
  • The prupose of this study are the theoretical examination of Gamma distribution function and its application to hydraulic engineering, that is studying the simulation of monthly streamflow by the Gamma distribtution function model(Gamma Model) based on Monte Carlo technique. In the analysis, monthly streamflow data in the Nak Dong River, the Han River, and the Keum River were used and the data were changed to modular coefficient in order to make the analysis convenient. At first, the fitness of monthly streamflow to 2-Parameter Gamma distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogrov-Smironov test, by which it was found the monthly streamflow were fit well to this Gamma distribution function. Then, the Gamma Model based on the Gamma distribution and Monte Carlo Method was used in the simulation of monthly streamflow, and simulateddata showed that all their stastical characteristics were preserved well in the simulation. Consequently, it can be concluded that the Gamma Model is suitable for the simulation of monthly streamflow series directly by using the Mote Carlo technique.

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Stochastic simulation based on copula model for intermittent monthly streamflows in arid regions

  • Lee, Taesam;Jeong, Changsam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.488-488
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    • 2015
  • Intermittent streamflow is common phenomenon in arid and semi-arid regions. To manage water resources of intermittent streamflows, stochactic simulation data is essential; however the seasonally stochastic modeling for intermittent streamflow is a difficult task. In this study, using the periodic Markov chain model, we simulate intermittent monthly streamflow for occurrence and the periodic gamma autoregressive and copula models for amount. The copula models were tested in a previous study for the simulation of yearly streamflow, resulting in successful replication of the key and operational statistics of historical data; however, the copula models have never been tested on a monthly time scale. The intermittent models were applied to the Colorado River system in the present study. A few drawbacks of the PGAR model were identified, such as significant underestimation of minimum values on an aggregated yearly time scale and restrictions of the parameter boundaries. Conversely, the copula models do not present such drawbacks but show feasible reproduction of key and operational statistics. We concluded that the periodic Markov chain based the copula models is a practicable method to simulate intermittent monthly streamflow time series.

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Simulation of Run-Length and Run-Sum of Daily Rainfall and Streamflow (일수문량의 RUN-LENGTH 및 RUN-SUM의 SIMULATION)

  • 이순택;지홍기
    • Water for future
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 1977
  • This study is aimed at the establishment and examination of stochastic model to simulate Run-length and Run-sum of daily rainfall and streamflow. In the analysis, daily rainfall records in major cities (Seoul, Kangnung, Taegu, Kwangju, Busan, and Cheju) and daily streamflow records of Major rivers (Han, Nakdong and Geum River) were used. Also, the fitness of daily rainfall and streamflow to Weibull and one parameter exponential distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, from which it was found that daily rainfall and streamflow generally fit well to exponential type distribution function. The Run-length and Run-sum were simulated by the Weibull Model (WBL Model), one parameter exponential model (EXP-1 Model) based on the Nonte Carlo technique. In this result, Run-length of rainfall was fitted for one parameter exponential model and Run-length of streamflow was fitted for Weibull model. And Run-sum of rainfall and streamflow were fit comparatively for regression model. Hereby, statistical charactristics of Simulation data were sinilar to historical data.

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Synthesis op Daily Streamflow by Multilag Model (다차수모델에 의한 일류량의 추계학적 모의발생)

  • 엄태규;이순택
    • Water for future
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1981
  • This study attempts to examine and estabilish a simulation model from the stochastic analysis of daily streamflow. Daily streamflow records obstained at the main gauging stations along the Han, Nakdong and Geum River were used in the analysis. The following results were abtained. From the analysis of time series of streamflow by the correlogram and spectraal density, The serial component of one-year periodicity, serial correlation and irregular or random component were found. The coefficient of determination R2 of multilag model remaine a plateau at log-two, so that second order mu.ltilag model was Known to fit in the simulation of daily streamflow, Consequently, multilag and recised Markov model of the sewnd order give the best results in simulatin of daily streamflow. But the former generally gives better results than the latter. And theoretical markev model is unfit in the simulation of daily series without modification.

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Studies on the Variation Pattern of Water Resources and their Generation Models by Simulation Technique (Simulation Technique에 의한 수자원의 변동양상 및 그 모의발생모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sun-Tak;An, Gyeong-Su;Lee, Ui-Rak
    • Water for future
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 1976
  • These studies are aimed at the analysis of systematic variation pattern of water resources in Korean river catchments and the development of their simulation models from the stochastic analysis of monthly and annual hydrologic data as main elements of water resources, i.e. rainfall and streamflow. In the analysis, monthly & annual rainfall records in Soul, Taegu, Pusan and Kwangju and streamflow records at the main gauging stations in Han, Nakdong and Geum river were used. Firstly, the systematic variation pattern of annual streamflow was found by the exponential function relationship between their standard deviations and mean values of log-annual runoff. Secondly, stochastic characteristics of annual rainfall & streamflow series were studied by the correlogram Monte Carlo method and a single season model of 1st-order Markov type were applied and compared in the simulation of annual hydrologic series. In the simulation, single season model of Markov type showed better results than LN-model and the simulated data were fit well with historical data. But it was noticed that LN-model gave quite better results in the simulation of annual rainfall. Thirdly, stochastic characteristics of monthly rainfall & streamflow series were also studied by the correlogram and spectrum analysis, and then the Model-C, which was developed and applied for the synthesis of monthly perennial streamflow by lst author and is a Markov type model with transformed skewed random number, was used in the simulation of monthly hydrologic series. In the simulation, it was proved that Model-C was fit well for extended area in Korea and also applicable for menthly rainfall as well as monthly streamflow.

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Simulation of Monthly Streamflow for the Soyang Basin Using Water And Snow balance MODeling System (융설을 고려한 물수지 모형을 이용한 소양강 댐 상류 유역의 월 유출량 산정)

  • Kim, Byung Sik;Jang, Dae Won;Seoh, Byung Ha;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • This study describes the WASMOD, water balance model which can consider the snowmelting. The pilot study basin is the Soyang River basin with outlet at Soyang Dam Site and compute long-term monthly streamflow, The advantage of the WASMOD is that the input data is simple and the user can operate easily. To optimize for the parameters of the model, the WASMOD used VA05A of automatic fitting technique. The observed and simulated monthly streamflow hydrographs were compared. The model performance on corrleation coefficient between the observed and the simulated streamflow for the verification periods was above 0.89. It was shown that the WASMOD reproduces the observed monthly streamflow hydrographs very well. This evidence suggests that the WASMOD might be appropriate for the simulation of monthly streamflow

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A Tank Model Shell Program for Simulating Daily Streamflow from Small Watersheds (Tank모형 쉘프로그램을 이용한 중소하천의 일유출량 추정)

  • 박승우
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 1993
  • A menu-driven shell program DSFS (Daily Streamflow Simulation Model), that can process the input data, optimize the parameters, execute the program, and graphically display the results of a modified tank model, was developed and applied to simulating daily streamflow from small watersheds. The model defines daily watershed evapotranspiration losses from potential values multiplied by monthly landuse coefficients and correction factors for soil water storage levels. The parameters were calibrated using observed hydrologic data for fifteen watersheds, and the results were correlated with watershed parameters to define empirical relationships. The proposed model was tested with streamflow data of ungaged conditions, and the simulation results overestimated the annual runoff.

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Variation analysis of Streamflow through partitioning of appropriate subwatersheds and Hydrologic Response Unit(HRU) using BASINS SWAT(Yongdam Dam Watershed) (BASINS SWAT을 이용한 소유역 및 HRU 구분에 따른 유출량 변화 분석(용담댐 유역을 대상으로))

  • Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Hyeon-Joon;Kim, Nam-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.467-470
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    • 2003
  • The size, scale, and number of subwatersheds can affect a watershed modeling process and subsequent results. The objective of this study was to determine the appropriate level of subwatershed division for simulating streamflow. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) model with a GIS interface(BASINS SWAT) was applied to Yongdam Dam watershed. Daily output was analyzed from simulation, which was executed for 10 years using climate data representing the 1987 to 1996 period. The optimal number of subwatersheds and HRUs to adequately predict streamflow was found to be around 15, 174. Increasing the number of subwatersheds and HRUs beyond this level does not significantly affect the computed streamflow. this number of subwatersheds and HRUs can be used to optimize SWAT input data preparation requirements and simplify the interpretation of results without compromising simulation accuracy.

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A STUDY ON A REGULAR EVALUATION METHODOLOGY OF STREAMFLOW DATA

  • Noh, Jae-Kyoung
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.233-242
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    • 2000
  • A system for regularly appraising the reliability of streamflow data, KORSAS (KOwaco's Regular Streamflow Appraising System) was developed on PC based Windows for hydrological specialists and engineers working in the Korea Water Resources Corporation (KOWACO). The reliability of streamflow rates can be evaluated with KORSAS in various as pects according to the evaluation duration and method. The former being selected as short term (event based) or long term(continus based), and the latter being classified into comparison methods of flow measurement, other stations results, and simulation. Rainfall-runoff models can be used together with KORSAS in order to evaluate the reliability of observed flow data by comparing with simulated flow data. The objective of this study is to develop a systematic methodology in various aspects to evaluate the reliability of streamflow data regularly.

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Baseflow and Streamflow Simulation Applying Baseflow Recession Constants in Individual Sub-watersheds (소유역 별 기저유출 감수상수를 적용한 유량 및 기저유출 모의)

  • Han, Jeong Ho;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Jung, Younghun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2017
  • This study attempted to improve the accuracy of streamflow and baseflow prediction of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) by applying baselfow recession constants for each sub-watershed. This study set two different scenarios (S1 and S2) to evaluate the impact of application of baseflow recession constants for each sub-watershed on streamflow prediction. In S1, Only the baseflow recession constant obtained from the streamflow station located in the final outlet of study area was applied for whole sub-watersheds. In S2, baseflow recession constants obtained from six different streamflow stations were applied for each sub-watershed. Then, baseflow was separated form the measured streamflow data and the predicted streamflow of S1 and S2 using Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT). The results showed Nash-Sutcliff efficiency (NSE) and $R^2$ of S2 were a little higher than these of S1 in both streamflow and baseflow prediction results. However, it is important that S2 reflected physical meaning of baseflow recess. Also, recession part of hydrograph in S2 was calibrated better than that of S1 compared to the measured hydrograph.