• Title/Summary/Keyword: stock trading

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Understanding User Continuance of Stock Investment Information in an Online Trading Environment (온라인 거래 환경에서 주식 투자 정보의 지속 사용에 대한 이해)

  • Kim, Hye Min;Chung, Sunghun;Han, Ingoo;Kim, Byoungsoo
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2011
  • Given the prevalence of home trading systems, it has become important to examine user behaviors in a stock investment environment. In this vein, this paper developed an integrated model to deeply understand the key determinants of user's continuance intention to use investment information through constructs prescribed by incorporating trust and perceived risk into expectation-confirmation model. The proposed research model was tested by using survey data collected from 160 users who have experience with stock investment. PLS (partial least squares) was employed for the analysis of the data. The findings of this study showed that the proposed framework provides a statistically significant explanation of the variation in continuance intention to search investment information. The findings revealed that trust and perceived risk are more prevalent predictors of continuance intention to use investment information compared to perceived usefulness. It was also found that user satisfaction serves as the salient antecedents of continuance intention to use investment information. The theoretical and practical implications of the findings were described.

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The Effects of Sidecar on Index Arbitrage Trading and Non-index Arbitrage Trading:Evidence from the Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에서 사이드카의 역할과 재설계: 차익거래와 비차익거래에 미치는 효과를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jong-Won;Eom, Yun-Sung;Chang, Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.91-131
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    • 2007
  • In the paper, the effects of sidecar on index arbitrage trading and non-index arbitrage trading in the Korean stock market are examined. The analyses of return, volatility, and liquidity dynamics illustrate that there are no distinct differences for index arbitrage group and non-index arbitrage group surrounding the sidecar events. For further analysis, we construct pseudo-sidecar sample and analyse the effects of the actual sidecar and pseudo-sidecar on arbitrage sample and non-index arbitrage sample. The result of analysis using pseudo-sidecar shows that the differences between index arbitrage group and non-index arbitrage group are larger in pseudo-sidecar sample than in actual sidecar sample. This means that former results can be explained by temporary order clustering in one side before and after the event. Sidecar has little effect on non-index arbitrage group, however, it has relatively large effect on arbitrage group. These results imply that it needs to redesign the sidecar system of the Korean stock market which applies for all program trading including arbitrage and non-index arbitrage trading.

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Investor Behavior Responding to Changes in Trading Halt Conditions: Empirical Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • RAHIM, Rida;SULAIMAN, Desyetti;HUSNI, Tafdil;WIRANDA, Nadya Ade
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2021
  • Information has an essential role in decision-making for investors who will invest in financial markets, especially regarding the policies on the condition of COVID-19. The purpose of this study is to determine the market reaction to the information published by the government regarding the policy changes to the provisions of Trading Halt on the IDX in an emergency using the event study method. The population in this study was companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in March 2020; the sample selection technique was purposive sampling. Data analysis used a normality test and one sample T-test. The results of the study found that there were significant abnormal returns on the announcement date, negative abnormal returns around the announcement date, and significant trading volume activity occurring three days after the announcement. The existence of a significant positive abnormal return on the announcement date indicates that the market responds quickly to information published by the government. The practical implication of this research can be taken into consideration for investors in making investment decisions to analyze and determine the right investment options so that investors can minimize the risk of their investment and maximize the profits they want to achieve.

System Trading using Case-based Reasoning based on Absolute Similarity Threshold and Genetic Algorithm (절대 유사 임계값 기반 사례기반추론과 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 시스템 트레이딩)

  • Han, Hyun-Woong;Ahn, Hyun-Chul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.63-90
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    • 2017
  • Purpose This study proposes a novel system trading model using case-based reasoning (CBR) based on absolute similarity threshold. The proposed model is designed to optimize the absolute similarity threshold, feature selection, and instance selection of CBR by using genetic algorithm (GA). With these mechanisms, it enables us to yield higher returns from stock market trading. Design/Methodology/Approach The proposed CBR model uses the absolute similarity threshold varying from 0 to 1, which serves as a criterion for selecting appropriate neighbors in the nearest neighbor (NN) algorithm. Since it determines the nearest neighbors on an absolute basis, it fails to select the appropriate neighbors from time to time. In system trading, it is interpreted as the signal of 'hold'. That is, the system trading model proposed in this study makes trading decisions such as 'buy' or 'sell' only if the model produces a clear signal for stock market prediction. Also, in order to improve the prediction accuracy and the rate of return, the proposed model adopts optimal feature selection and instance selection, which are known to be very effective in enhancing the performance of CBR. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we applied it to the index trading of KOSPI200 from 2009 to 2016. Findings Experimental results showed that the proposed model with optimal feature or instance selection could yield higher returns compared to the benchmark as well as the various comparison models (including logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, artificial neural network, support vector machine, and traditional CBR). In particular, the proposed model with optimal instance selection showed the best rate of return among all the models. This implies that the application of CBR with the absolute similarity threshold as well as the optimal instance selection may be effective in system trading from the perspective of returns.

One-Snapshot Algorithm for Secure Transaction Management in Electronic Stock Trading Systems (전자 주식 매매 시스템에서의 보안 트랜잭션 관리를 위한 단일 스냅샷 알고리즘)

  • 김남규;문송천;손용락
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.209-224
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    • 2003
  • Recent development of electronic commerce enables the use of Electronic Stock Trading Systems(ESTS) to be expanded. In ESTS, information with various sensitivity levels is shared by multiple users with mutually different clearance levels. Therefore, it is necessary to use Multilevel Secure Database Management Systems(MLS/DBMSs) in controlling concurrent execution among multiple transactions. In ESTS, not only analytical OLAP transactions, but also mission critical OLTP transactions are executed concurrently, which causes it difficult to adapt traditional secure transaction management schemes to ESTS environments. In this paper, we propose Secure One Snapshot(SOS) protocol that is devised for Secure Transaction Management in ESTS. By maintaining additional one snapshot as well as working database SOS blocks covert-channel efficiently, enables various real-time transaction management schemes to be adapted with ease, and reduces the length of waiting queue being managed to maintain freshness of data by utilizing the characteristics of less strict correctness criteria. In this paper, we introduce the process of SOS protocol with some examples, and then analyze correctness of devised protocol.

Development and Evaluation of an Investment Algorithm Based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model : Case Studies of the U.S. and the Hong Kong Stock Markets (마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형을 기반으로 한 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 : 미국 및 홍콩 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting on the first trading day of 2006 and ending on the last trading day of 2011, growth rates of 12.63% and 23.25% were observed for Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index, respectively, while the proposed investment algorithm achieved substantially higher cumulative returns of 35.7% in the U.S. stock market, and 150.62% in the Hong Kong stock market. When compared in terms of Sharpe ratio, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index achieved 0.075 and 0.155 each, while the proposed investment algorithm showed superior performance, achieving 0.363 and 1.074 in the U.S. and Hong Kong stock markets, respectively. Further, performance in the U.S. stock market is shown to be less sensitive to an investor's risk preference, while aggressive performance goals are shown to achieve relatively higher performance in the Hong Kong stock market. In conclusion, this paper empirically demonstrates that an investment based on a mathematical model using objective historical stock return data for constructing optimal portfolios achieves outstanding performance, in terms of both cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.

Basis Strategies for Improving the Economics of Petroleum Stockpiling (베이시스를 이용한 석유비축의 경제성 제고 방안)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.301-322
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    • 2004
  • The current petroleum stockpiling by Korean government is based on the static concept of dead-stock. However, the recent changes in economic environment is requiring a transition to the dynamic concept of flow-stock. This study suggested selective trading strategies using basis of changing oil prices as an option for improving the economics of domestic strategic petroleum reserve (SPR), and quantitatively analyzed their effects. For this purpose, we tested the validity of selective trading strategies using the weekly spot and forwards prices of WTI for the period of October 1997 to August 2002. Summarizing the simulation results, the selective trading strategies would increase the expected values of profits and decrease their volatilities compared to those of traditional routine strategies. And, the adoption of trigger value could increase the improvements by the selective trading strategies. Based on the results, we suggest that, in order to improve the economics of domestic petroleum stockpiling, it is necessary to actively utilize the reserve facilities and the reserved petroleum with proper derivatives position.

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Parrondo Paradox and Stock Investment

  • Cho, Dong-Seob;Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2012
  • Parrondo paradox is a counter-intuitive phenomenon where two losing games can be combined to win or two winning games can be combined to lose. When we trade stocks with a history-dependent Parrondo game rule (where we buy and sell stocks based on recent investment outcomes) we found Parrondo paradox in stock trading. Using stock data of the KRX from 2008 to 2010, we analyzed the Parrondo paradoxical cases in the Korean stock market.

Data Mining Tool for Stock Investors' Decision Support (주식 투자자의 의사결정 지원을 위한 데이터마이닝 도구)

  • Kim, Sung-Dong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.472-482
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    • 2012
  • There are many investors in the stock market, and more and more people get interested in the stock investment. In order to avoid risks and make profit in the stock investment, we have to determine several aspects using various information. That is, we have to select profitable stocks and determine appropriate buying/selling prices and holding period. This paper proposes a data mining tool for the investors' decision support. The data mining tool makes stock investors apply machine learning techniques and generate stock price prediction model. Also it helps determine buying/selling prices and holding period. It supports individual investor's own decision making using past data. Using the proposed tool, users can manage stock data, generate their own stock price prediction models, and establish trading policy via investment simulation. Users can select technical indicators which they think affect future stock price. Then they can generate stock price prediction models using the indicators and test the models. They also perform investment simulation using proper models to find appropriate trading policy consisting of buying/selling prices and holding period. Using the proposed data mining tool, stock investors can expect more profit with the help of stock price prediction model and trading policy validated on past data, instead of with an emotional decision.

Conceptual Framework for Pattern-Based Real-Time Trading System using Genetic Algorithm (유전알고리즘 활용한 실시간 패턴 트레이딩 시스템 프레임워크)

  • Lee, Suk-Jun;Jeong, Suk-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to design an intelligent pattern-based real-time trading system (PRTS) using rough set analysis of technical indicators, dynamic time warping (DTW), and genetic algorithm in stock futures market. Rough set is well known as a data-mining tool for extracting trading rules from huge data sets such as real-time data sets, and a technical indicator is used for the construction of the data sets. To measure similarity of patterns, DTW is used over a given period. Through an empirical study, we identify the ideal performances that were profitable in various market conditions.