• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.58 no.3
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• pp.424-429
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• 2020

An Energy Storage System (ESS) is recently drawing an increasing attention as an efficient tool to cope with variation in the energy system. In order to take the best utilization of ESS, the inherent variation of energy supply and demand should be properly addressed. This paper is concerned with computing the stochastic capacity of ESS in the face of such variations by way of Monte Carlo simulation. The issue of uncertainty in energy systems will be given further focus. More works are expected to be followed to address the issues in academia and industry.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.161-163
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• 2012

Recently on Value Engineering(VE) and Life Cycle Cost(LCC) social interests is increasing. The government Turn Key, BTL projects and public works projects, such as VE and LCC Analysis on the value and economic analysis is mandatory. And accordingly the VE and LCC analysis is underway for the various studies. However, there is a problem existing in the LCC analysis. Worth the cost varies according to the flow of time. However, the real interest rate during the LCC analysis of buildings in calculation time for interest rates and inflation are not considering the value of the flow. In other words, a few years using the average value of the deterministic analysis method has been adopted. These costs for the definitive analysis of the cost of an uncertain future, unforeseen changes resulting hazardous value. In this study of the last 15 years interest rates and inflation targeting by using Monte-Carlo Simulation is to perform probabilistic analysis. This potential to overcome uncertainties of the cost of building a more scientific and LCC Estimation of the probability value of the real interest rate is presented.

• Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.41-50
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• 2021

This paper analyzes the efficiency of social enterprises by analyzing bootstrapping data envelopment analysis. Unlike the definitive DEA model, we analyze the confidence intervals of efficiency estimates through the DEA model, which takes into account stochastic factors. Major analysis results are summarized as follows: First, the results of the bootstrapping DEA analysis of social enterprises estimated that the technical efficiency was 0.459 and the 95% confidence interval was 0.389 to 0.601. Second, the number of inefficient social enterprises with efficiency values of less than 0.5 was found to be 15 (55.56%) in technical efficiency, 5 (18.52%) in pure technical efficiency, and 8 (29.63%) in scale efficiency. It can be seen that a significant number of social enterprises are operating in an inefficient state. Third, looking at the returns of scale of social enterprises, 25 (67.57%) are currently in the increasing returns of scale, 10 (27.02%) are in the constant returns of scale, and 2 (5.41%) are in decreasing returns of scale. In other words, it can be seen that social enterprises are under-invested in terms of input factors.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.717-734
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• 2022

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to effectively detect violations that occur simultaneously against Good Manufacturing Practice, which were concealed by drug manufacturers. Methods: In this study, we present an analysis framework for analyzing regulatory violation patterns using Association Rule Mining (ARM), Text Mining, and t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) to increase the effectiveness of on-site inspection. Results: A number of simultaneous violation patterns was discovered by applying Association Rule Mining to FDA's inspection data collected from October 2008 to February 2022. Among them there were 'concurrent violation patterns' derived from similar regulatory ranges of two or more regulations. These patterns do not help to predict violations that simultaneously appear but belong to different regulations. Those unnecessary patterns were excluded by applying t-SNE based on text-mining. Conclusion: Our proposed approach enables the recognition of simultaneous violation patterns during the on-site inspection. It is expected to decrease the detection time by increasing the likelihood of finding intentionally concealed violations.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.4
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• pp.355-363
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• 2009

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the influence of noise on chaotic time series. We used two time series of Lorenz system and of Great Salt Lake's volume data which are well known as chaotic systems. This study investigated the attractors, correlation dimensions, and Close Returns Plots and Close Returns Histograms of two time series to investigate the influence of noise as increasing noise level. We performed Chi-square test to the relative frequency of Close Returns Histogram from Close Returns Plot for the investigation of stochastic process of chaotic time series as increasing noise level of time series. As the results, two time series were changed from chaotic to stochastic series as noise level is increased. Finally, we analyzed the effect of noise cancellation by using Simple Moving Average method. The results of applications of Simple Moving Average method to Lorenz and GSL time series showed that we could effectively cancel the noise. Then we could confirm the applicability of Simple Moving Average method to cancel the noise for the hydrologic time series having chaotic characteristics.

• Journal of Power System Engineering
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.56-62
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• 2010

This paper is concerned with the stochastic nature of elevated temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time in 18Cr-8Ni stainless steels. The Weibull statistical analysis using the NRIM data sheet has been performed to investigate the effects of variability of the elevated temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time on the testing temperature. From those investigations, the distributions of temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time were well followed in 2-parameter Weibull. The shape parameter and scale parameter for the Weibull distribution of tensile strength were decreased with increasing the testing temperature. For the creep rupture time, generally, the shape parameter were decreased with increasing the testing temperature.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.59 no.1
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• pp.15-36
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• 2016

The components of the seismic behavior factor of RC frames are expected to change as structural redundancy increases. Most researches indicate that increasing redundancy is desirable in response to stochastic events such as earthquake loading. The present paper investigated the effect of redundancy on a fixed plan for seismic behavior factor components and the nonlinear behavior of RC frames. The 3D RC moment resistant frames with equal lateral resistance were designed to examine the role of redundancy in earthquake-resistant design and to distinguish it from total overstrength capacity. The seismic behavior factor and dynamic behavior of structures under natural strong ground motions were numerically evaluated as the judging criteria for structural seismic behavior. The results indicate that increasing redundancy alone in a fixed plan cannot be defined as a criterion for improving the structural seismic behavior.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.67-79
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• 2010

Korea water resources corporation (K-Water) has developed the real-time water resources management system for the Nakdong and the Geum River basin to efficiently operate multi-purpose dams in the basins. This study has extended to the Han River basin for providing an effective ending target storage of a month to the real-time water resources management system using Sampling Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SSDP), consequently increasing the efficiency of the reservoir system. The optimization model were developed for three reservoirs, named Soyang, Chungju, and Hwacheon, with high priority in terms of the amounts of effective capacity and water supply for the basin. The number of storage state variable for each dam to set an optimization problem has been assigned from the results of sensitivity analysis. Compared with the K-water operating policy with the target water supply elevations, the optimization model suggested in this study showed that the shortfalls are decreased by 37.22 MCM/year for the required water demands in the basin, even increasing 171 GWh in hydro electronic power generation. In addition, the result of a reservoir operating system during the drawdown period applied to real situation demonstrates that additional releases for water quality or hydro electronic power generation would be possible during the drawdown period between 2007 and 2008. On the basis of these simulation results, the applicability of the SSDP model and the reservoir operating system is proved. Therefore, the more efficient reservoir operation can be achieved if the reservoir operating system is extended further to other Korean basins.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.101-113
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• 2010

Recently actual rainfall pattern is decreasing rainy days and increasing in rainfall intensity and the frequency of flood occurrence is also increased. To consider recent situation, Engineers use deterministic methods like a PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation). If design storm wouldn't occur, increasing of design criteria is extravagant. In addition, the biggest structure cause trouble with residents and environmental problem. And then it is necessary to study considering probability of rainfall parameter in each sub-basin for design of water structure. In this study, stochastic rainfall patterns are generated by using log-ratio method, Johnson system and multivariate Monte Carlo simulation. Using the stochastic rainfall patterns, hydrological analysis, hydraulic analysis and 2nd flooding analysis were performed based on GIS for their applicability. The results of simulations are similar to the actual damage area so the methodology of this study should be used about making a flood risk map or regidental shunting rout map against the region.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.425-436
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• 2010

We established a stochastic 3-D fracture network system for fractured rock masses located in Il-Gwang Mine, Busan, to explore the relationship between the acidity of mine drainage and fracture geometry. A field scanline survey and borehole image processing were performed to estimate the best probability distributions of fracture geometry parameters. The stochastic 3-D fracture network system constructed for the rock masses was validated and deemed to be successful. The 3-D fracture network model was suitable for developing conceptual ideas on fluid flow in fractures at a field experimental site. An injection well and three observation wells were drilled at the field experimental site to monitor the acidity of mine drainage induced by the injection of fresh water. The field experiment, which was run for 29 days, yielded a significant relationship (with a high coefficient of determination) between the fracture geometry parameters and the acidity of mine drainage. The results show that pH increased with increasing relative frequency of fracture strike, and decreased with increasing fracture density. The concentration of $SO^{2-}_4$ decreased with increasing relative frequency of fracture strike, and increased with increasing fracture density.