• 제목/요약/키워드: state variables prediction

검색결과 128건 처리시간 0.029초

다중센서 융합 기반 무인잠수정 위치추정 개선 (Improvement of Position Estimation Based on the Multisensor Fusion in Underwater Unmanned Vehicles)

  • 이경수;윤희병
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 상태변수 평준화 및 되먹임구조를 이용하여 무인잠수정의 위치추정을 개선하기 위한 다중센서 융합 기반의 위치추정 알고리즘을 제안한다. 이를 위해 먼저 상대적으로 오차가 큰 주 센서인 INS와 오차가 작은 보조센서인 DVL에서 측정되는 상태변수를 예측단계 이전에 융합하여 상태변수 평준화 과정을 수행한다. 그 다음, 평준화된 상태변수를 각 필터에 입력하여 예측 및 수정단계의 칼만 필터링 과정을 통해 최종 수정된 상태변수를 융합시키며, 마지막으로 이를 다시 주센서에 되먹임함으로서 무인잠수정의 위치추정을 개선한다. 평가를 위해 무인잠수정의 기동모델에 대한 시뮬레이션을 실시하여 기동경로를 생성하고 제안 알고리즘을 적용하여 위치추정 성능을 확인한다. 평가 결과, 제안 알고리즘이 다중센서 융합 알고리즘 중 가장 우수한 위치추정 성능을 보였으며, 또한 기동침로가 변경되는 구간에서도 강인한 위치추정이 가능하다는 것이 증명되었다.

Combined Age and Segregated Kinetic Model for Industrial-scale Penicillin Fed-batch Cultivation

  • Wang Zhifeng;Lauwerijssen Maarten J. C.;Yuan Jingqi
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a cell age model for Penicillium chrysogenum fed-batch cultivation to supply a qualitative insight into morphology-associated dynamics. The average ages of the segregated cell populations, such as growing cells, non-growing cells and intact productive cells, were estimated by this model. A combined model was obtained by incorporating the aver-age ages of the cell sub-populations into a known but modified segregated kinetic model from literature. For simulations, no additional effort was needed for parameter identification since the cell age model has no internal parameters. Validation of the combined model was per-formed by 20 charges of industrial-scale penicillin cultivation. Meanwhile, only two charge-dependent parameters were required in the combined model among approximately 20 parameters in total. The model is thus easily transformed into an adaptive model for a further application in on-line state variables prediction and optimal scheduling.

비선형 시스템의 계수추정 알고리즘 연구 (A Study on the Parameter Estimation Algorithm for Nonlinear Systems)

  • 이달호;성상만
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권7호
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    • pp.898-902
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we proposed an algorithm for estimating parameters of nonlinear continuous-discrete state-space system. This algorithm uses the conventional extended Kalman filter(EKF) for estimating state variables, and modifies the recursive prediction error method for parameter estimation of the nonlinear system. Simulation results for both linear and nonlinear measurements under the environment of process and measurement noises show a convincing performance of the proposed algorithm.

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지역사회 노인의 성별에 따른 낙상 예측모형 (Fall Prediction Model for Community-dwelling Elders based on Gender)

  • 윤은숙
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.810-818
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to explore factors relating to number of falls among community-dwelling elders, based on gender. Methods: Participants were 403 older community dwellers (male=206, female=197) aged 60 or above. In this study, 8 variables were identified as predictive factors that can result in an elderly person falling and as such, supports previous studies. The 8 variables were categorized as, exogenous variables; perceived health status, somatization, depression, physical performance, and cognitive state, and endogenous variables; fear of falling, ADL & IADL and frequency of falls. Results: For men, ability to perform ADL & IADL (${\beta}_{32}$=1.84, p<.001) accounted for 16% of the variance in the number of falls. For women, fear of falling (${\beta}_{31}$=0.14, p<.05) and ability to perform ADL & IADL (${\beta}_{32}$=1.01, p<.001) significantly contributed to the number of falls, accounting for 15% of the variance in the number of falls. Conclusion: The findings from this study confirm the gender-based fall prediction model as comprehensive in relation to community-dwelling elders. The fall prediction model can effectively contribute to future studies in developing fall prediction and intervention programs.

Copula entropy and information diffusion theory-based new prediction method for high dam monitoring

  • Zheng, Dongjian;Li, Xiaoqi;Yang, Meng;Su, Huaizhi;Gu, Chongshi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2018
  • Correlation among different factors must be considered for selection of influencing factors in safety monitoring of high dam including positive correlation of variables. Therefore, a new factor selection method was constructed based on Copula entropy and mutual information theory, which was deduced and optimized. Considering the small sample size in high dam monitoring and distribution of daily monitoring samples, a computing method that avoids causality of structure as much as possible is needed. The two-dimensional normal information diffusion and fuzzy reasoning of pattern recognition field are based on the weight theory, which avoids complicated causes of the studying structure. Hence, it is used to dam safety monitoring field and simplified, which increases sample information appropriately. Next, a complete system integrating high dam monitoring and uncertainty prediction method was established by combining Copula entropy theory and information diffusion theory. Finally, the proposed method was applied in seepage monitoring of Nuozhadu clay core-wall rockfill dam. Its selection of influencing factors and processing of sample data were compared with different models. Results demonstrated that the proposed method increases the prediction accuracy to some extent.

관문통제동통이론과 FISHBEIN의 모델을 이용한 동통표현 예견에 대한 연구 (Prediction of Pain Expression Using the Extended Gate Control Theory of Pain and Fishbein′s Model)

  • 이은옥
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this study were to(a) develop theoretical modifications of the extended gate control theory of pain using Fishbein's model and(b) test the efficacy of these modifications. Attitude, social subjective norm, personal subjective norm, habit and state anxiety were operationalized to represent internal stimuli for the cognitive-evaluative and motivational-affective dimensions of the theory. Pain expression was operationalized as sensory and affective responses to pain, and pain endurance. Sixty-two female nurses from 20 to 50 years of age participated. A semantic differential scale measured attitude and motivations to comply; a Likerty-type scale measured personal and social norms and habit. Spielberger's STAI measured state anxiety, Pain was produced using a modified submaximum effort tourniquet technique. Pair expression was measured using ratio scales of sensory intensity and unpleasantness developed by Gracely and his associates. Pain endurance was measured by subtracting time of pain threshold from pain tolerance. The first hypothesis examining whether pain endurance would be more significantly related to the affective response than to the sensory response was net rejected. Four remaining hypotheses, testing the ability of the five variables to predict the sensory and affective responses were not rejected. However, the habit of pain expression and the attitude toward pain expression contributed to the prediction of both sensory and affective responses to pain. The interaction between the cognitive-evaluative and the sensory-discriminative dimensions and the interaction between the cognitive-evaluative and motivational-affective dimensions were partially supported by the data from these two variables. The interaction between the motivational-affective and the sensory-discriminative dimensions was also supported by the relationship of sensory to affective responses. The variables which did not significantly predict pain expression appeared to have potential for prediction. Revision and testing of the tools for better reliability, validity, and clinical usuability are needed. The study contributed to theory building. The identification of variables which pre-dict pain behavior must occur before effective nursing interventions can be developed.

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박판금속 성형공정에서의 블랭크 설계및 변형률 예측 (Blank Design and Strain Prediction in Sheete Metal Forming Process)

  • 이충호;허훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.1810-1818
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    • 1996
  • A new finite elemetn approach is introduced for direct prediction of bland shapes and strain distributions from desired final shapes in sheet metal forming. The approach deals with the geometric compatibility of finite elements, plastic deformation theory, minimization of plastic work with constraints, and a proper initial guess. The algorithm developed is applied to cylindrical cup drawing, square cup drawing, and fron fender forming to confirm its validity by demonstratin reasonable accurate numerical results of each problems. Rapid calculation with this algorithm enables easy determination of various process variables for design of sheet metal forming process.

Adaptive On-line State-of-available-power Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries

  • Fleischer, Christian;Waag, Wladislaw;Bai, Ziou;Sauer, Dirk Uwe
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.516-527
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a new overall system for state-of-available-power (SoAP) prediction for a lithium-ion battery pack. The essential part of this method is based on an adaptive network architecture which utilizes both fuzzy model (FIS) and artificial neural network (ANN) into the framework of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). While battery aging proceeds, the system is capable of delivering accurate power prediction not only for room temperature, but also at lower temperatures at which power prediction is most challenging. Due to design property of ANN, the network parameters are adapted on-line to the current battery states (state-of-charge (SoC), state-of-health (SoH), temperature). SoC is required as an input parameter to SoAP module and high accuracy is crucial for a reliable on-line adaptation. Therefore, a reasonable way to determine the battery state variables is proposed applying a combination of several partly different algorithms. Among other SoC boundary estimation methods, robust extended Kalman filter (REKF) for recalibration of amp hour counters was implemented. ANFIS then achieves the SoAP estimation by means of time forward voltage prognosis (TFVP) before a power pulse occurs. The trade-off between computational cost of batch-learning and accuracy during on-line adaptation was optimized resulting in a real-time system with TFVP absolute error less than 1%. The verification was performed on a software-in-the-loop test bench setup using a 53 Ah lithium-ion cell.

Spatio-temporal Load Forecasting Considering Aggregation Features of Electricity Cells and Uncertainties in Input Variables

  • Zhao, Teng;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Haibo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.38-50
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    • 2018
  • Spatio-temporal load forecasting (STLF) is a foundation for building the prediction-based power map, which could be a useful tool for the visualization and tendency assessment of urban energy application. Constructing one point-forecasting model for each electricity cell in the geographic space is possible; however, it is unadvisable and insufficient, considering the aggregation features of electricity cells and uncertainties in input variables. This paper presents a new STLF method, with a data-driven framework consisting of 3 subroutines: multi-level clustering of cells considering their aggregation features, load regression for each category of cells based on SLS-SVRNs (sparse least squares support vector regression networks), and interval forecasting of spatio-temporal load with sampled blind number. Take some area in Pudong, Shanghai as the region of study. Results of multi-level clustering show that electricity cells in the same category are clustered in geographic space to some extent, which reveals the spatial aggregation feature of cells. For cellular load regression, a comparison has been made with 3 other forecasting methods, indicating the higher accuracy of the proposed method in point-forecasting of spatio-temporal load. Furthermore, results of interval load forecasting demonstrate that the proposed prediction-interval construction method can effectively convey the uncertainties in input variables.

월 유출량 예측 변수로서 지하수 함양량의 이용 (Use of Groundwater recharge as a Variable for Monthly Streamflow Prediction)

  • 이동률;윤용남;안재현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.275-285
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    • 2001
  • 우리 나라 갈수기의 하천유출은 대부분 지하수에서 공급되는 유출이므로 홍수기 강우량에 의해 침투한 유역의 수분상태에 지배된다. 따라서, 홍수기의 지하수 함양량 추정을 통한 유역 상태 정보를 이용한다면 갈수기 월유출 예측을 만족스럽게 수행할 수 있는 수문학적 환경을 가지고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 지하수 함양량에 의한 월유출량의 영향을 평가하고, 이를 다중회귀모형의 독립변수로 이용하여 장기 월유출량 예측을 시도하는 것이다. 해당 월의 유출량, 강수량, 선행 유출량과 강수량 및 지하수 함양량의 상관분석을 이용하여 다중회귀모형의 최적독립변수들을 평가하였다. 지하수 함양량을 독립변수로 포함한 모형에서 향상된 예측결과를 얻었다. 또한, 사전에 파악된 강수량과 지하수함량의 관계를 이용하여 지하수 유출 이월효과를 고려하면서 강수량만으로 유출 예측모형을 개발할 수 있음을 제시하였다.

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