• Title/Summary/Keyword: standard typhoon

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Frequency Analysis on Surge Height by Numerical Simulation of a Standard Typhoon (표준태풍 모의를 통한 해일고 빈도해석)

  • Kang, Ju Whan;Kim, Yang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.284-291
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    • 2016
  • A standard typhoon, which results in extreme wind speeds having various return period, can be reconstructed by combination of typhoon parameter informations(Kang et al., 2016). The aim of this study is to present a kind of surge-frequency analysis method by numerical simulation of a standard typhoon at Yeonggwang. MIKE21 was adopted as a numerical model and was proved to simulate the surge phenomena of the typhoon BOLAVEN(1215) well at several sites of the Western Coast. The simulation results with change of typhoon track which reflects typhoon-surge characteristics of the Western Coast show to have something in common with the observational results. This method is considered to be very efficient method on the point of simulating only one typhoon, while existing methods need to simulate a lot of typhoons.

Generation of a Standard Typhoon using for Surge Simulation Consistent with Wind in Terms of Return Period (풍속 재현빈도와 일치하는 해일모의용 표준태풍 생성)

  • Kang, Ju Whan;Kim, Yang-Seon;Kwon, Soon-Duck;Choun, Young-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2016
  • Extreme wind speeds at four sites including Mokpo, Gunsan, Incheon and Jeju near the Western Coast have been estimated with a tool of Monte Carlo simulation and typhoon data. Results of sensitivity analysis show that closeness between distance to the eye and the radius to maximum wind is most sensitive. While location angle and pressure deficit are sensitive too, but translation velocity is not. A standard typhoon, which results in extreme wind speeds having various return period, can be constructed by combination of parameter informations of each site. Then, with a numerical modelling of the typhoon, extreme surge heights having the same return period can also be obtained. To be added, by analysing the data which only including those based on navigable semicircle, it is possible to produce a standard typhoon which could result in setting-down of sea level.

Analysis of Hourly Precipitation Change by Typhoon (태풍으로 인한 시간강수량의 변동성 분석)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Oh, Tae-Suk;Shin, Dong-Jun
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.497-500
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    • 2008
  • The typhoon is provoking huge damage attacking in Korea periodically every year. Therefore, in this study, the analysis of 24 hourly maximum precipitation change related to typhoon events achieved based on Mann-Whitney U test, T test, Modified T test, Sign test, F test, and Modified F test. At the results, the 24 hourly maximum precipitation was expose that average and standard deviation are increasing recently. Therefore, hydorlogical structures have to be prepared of extreme rainfall events by typhoons.

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Assessment of the directional extreme wind speeds of typhoons via the Copula function and Monte Carlo simulation

  • Wang, Jingcheng;Quan, Yong;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2020
  • Probabilistic information regarding directional extreme wind speeds is important for the precise estimation of the design wind loads on structures. A joint probability distribution model of directional extreme typhoon wind speeds is established using Monte Carlo simulation and empirical copula function to fully consider the correlations of extreme typhoon wind speeds among the different directions. With this model, a procedure for estimating directional extreme wind speeds for given return periods, which ensures that the overall risk is distributed uniformly by direction, is established. Taking 5 typhoon-prone cities in China as examples, the directional extreme typhoon wind speeds for given return periods estimated by the present method are compared with those estimated by the method proposed by Cook and Miller (1999). Two types of directional factors are obtained based on Cook and Miller (1999) and the UK standard's drafting committee (Standard B, 1997), and the directional risks for the given overall risks are discussed. The influences of the extreme wind speed correlations in the different directions and the simulated typhoon wind speed sample sizes on the estimated extreme wind speeds for a given return period are also discussed.

Characteristics of Slope Failure induced by Typhoon and an Examination of a Standard Slope Inclination for Design (태풍에 의한 절개면 붕괴특성 연구 및 경사도 설계기준 검토)

  • Koo, Ho-Bon;Baek, Yong;Kwon, O-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2003
  • Every year in domestic slope failure caused by rainfall is happening frequently. Specially, causable failure accident by localized downpour accompanied when summer rainy season period and produces typhoon gets damage of large scale human life and property. Failure happened at slope of 121 places ranged whole country national highway by No.15 typhoon Rusa that strike whole country during 3 days from August 30, 2002. Slope failure that happen by typhoon are judged for major cause to effect of ground saturation and surface water by localized downpour. In this research, failure characteristic was analyzed to target 20 places attaining site investigation among failure slope. As a result, erosions by surface water was construed for major cause of failure and judged for direct relation in failure slope weathering and topography Also, result that analyze inclination of failure part, in the case of ripping rock, inclination of failure side is forming Incline of the lowest 40$^{\circ}$, because surface failure of depth 4m on or so scale happened, it is require that regulating plan gently design standard inclination of weathered rock and soil layer And it is considered that desirable preparation of design standard about measure that help smooth drainage of surface water and can restrain percolation in ground to reduce failure damage by rainfall.

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Evaluation of the Numerical Models' Typhoon Track Predictability Based on the Moving Speed and Direction (이동속도와 방향을 고려한 수치모델의 태풍진로 예측성 평가)

  • Shin, Hyeonjin;Lee, WooJeong;Kang, KiRyong;Byun, Kun-Young;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.503-514
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    • 2014
  • Evaluation of predictability of numerical models for tropical cyclone track was performed using along-and cross-track component. The along-and cross-track bias were useful indicators that show the numerical models predictability associated with cause of errors. Since forecast errors, standard deviation and consistency index of along-track component were greater than those of cross-track component, there was some rooms for improvement in alongtrack component. There was an overall slow bias. The most accurate model was JGSM for 24-hour forecast and ECMWF for 48~96-hour forecast in direct position error, along-track error and cross-track error. ECMWF and GFS had a high variability for 24-hour forecast. The results of predictability by track type showed that most significant errors of tropical cyclone track forecast were caused by the failure to estimate the recurvature phenomenon.

Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)-Based Near-Realtime Analysis of Typhoon Track for Maritime Safety (해상안전을 위한 GNSS 기반 태풍경로 실시간 분석)

  • LEE, Jae-Kang;HA, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2019
  • In this study, in order to analyze the possibility of observing a typhoon track based on the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS), Typhoon NARI, the 11th typhoon of 2007, was analyzed in terms of the typhoon track as well as the local variation of perceptible water over time. The perceptible water was estimated using data obtained from observatories located on the typhoon track from Jeju to the southern coast of Korea for a total of 18 days from September 7(DOY 250) to September 24(DOY 267), 2007, including the period when the observatories were affected by the typhoon at full-scale, as well as one previous week and one following week. The results show that the trend of the variation of perceptible water was similar between the observatories near the typhoon track. Variation of perceptible water over time depending on the development and landing of the typhoon was distinctively observed. Several hours after the daily maximum of perceptible water was found at the JEJU Observatory, the first struck by the typhoon on the typhoon track, the maximum value was found at other observatories located on the southern coast. In the observation period, the time point at which the maximum perceptible water was recorded in each location was almost the same as the time point at which the typhoon landed at the location. To analyze the accuracy of the GNSS-based perceptible water measurement, the data were compared with radiosonde-based perceptible water data. The mean error was 0.0cm, and the root mean square error and the standard deviation were both 0.3cm, indicating that the GNSS-based perceptible water data were highly accurate and precise. The results of the this study show that the GNSS-based perceptible water data may be used as highly accurate information for the analysis of typhoon tracks over time.

Special Quality Analysis of Extreme Rainfall by Typhoon (태풍으로 인한 극한강수 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Tae Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5B
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 2008
  • This study investigated typhoon characteristics that provoke precipitation which is much attacking periodically in our country, and calculated probability precipitation of extreme rainfalls using Empirical Simulation Technique. The typhoon influenced in Korea was happened 3.18 times per, and year exposed to affect Korea during 107 hours. The depth of precipitation with the typhoon was different according to observation points. The extreme precipitation of typhoon events has analyzed by change and trend analyses. In the results, mean and standard deviation of extreme rainfall has been increasing than the past events in some areas. Also, About 143 typhoons influenced Korea was applied in EST techniques using center position, central pressure, time precipitation data using rainfall observatory in Korea. Therefore, we applied EST techniques and calculated probability precipitation. In the results, Jeonla-do, Gyeongsang-do and Gangwon-do will have heavy rain with typhoon events in high probability.

Comparative analysis of the wind characteristics of three landfall typhoons based on stationary and nonstationary wind models

  • Quan, Yong;Fu, Guo Qiang;Huang, Zi Feng;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.269-285
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    • 2020
  • The statistical characteristics of typhoon wind speed records tend to have a considerable time-varying trend; thus, the stationary wind model may not be appropriate to estimate the wind characteristics of typhoon events. Several nonstationary wind speed models have been proposed by pioneers to characterize wind characteristics more accurately, but comparative studies on the applicability of the different wind models are still lacking. In this study, three landfall typhoons, Ampil, Jongdari, and Rumbia, recorded by ultrasonic anemometers atop the Shanghai World Financial Center (SWFC), are used for the comparative analysis of stationary and nonstationary wind characteristics. The time-varying mean is extracted with the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) method, and the time-varying standard deviation is calculated by the autoregressive moving average generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) model. After extracting the time-varying trend, the longitudinal wind characteristics, e.g., the probability distribution, power spectral density (PSD), turbulence integral scale, turbulence intensity, gust factor, and peak factor, are comparatively analyzed based on the stationary wind speed model, time-varying mean wind speed model and time-varying standard deviation wind speed model. The comparative analysis of the different wind models emphasizes the significance of the nonstationary considerations in typhoon events. The time-varying standard deviation model can better identify the similarities among the different typhoons and appropriately describe the nonstationary wind characteristics of the typhoons.

A Study on typhoon damage prevention measures about the facility of the rural areas - Focused on Jeollabuk-do area - (농촌지역 시설물의 태풍피해 예방 및 대책에 관한 연구 - 전북지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Deog-Yong;Kim, Il-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is the impact of the typhoon damage to housing and facilities in rural areas. House of damage, as well as the only including damage of facilities in rural areas, particularly greenhouse(Glass greenhouse, Plastic greenhouse, Vinyl greenhouse) leads to damage of crops the scale of the damage increases. In this study, focused on Jeollabuk-do area, accompanying him, the number of gale damage and evaluate the extent of the damage to the typhoon. And aims to provide basic data for the rural areas of strong winds and typhoons preparedness and facility design based on the results. Judging from the results of the analysis of natural disasters caused by typhoons and strong winds, the city formed mainly in the area than in the plains or coastal rural areas compared to other areas more damage can appear. In recent years, many design maximum wind speed of 40m/s wind over because disaster type, even if the standard installation, preferably determined through a precise structural analysis to ensure the structural history of acting urgently.